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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACL 03/05 Test 50 129.00 +1.87 127.38 137.00 397K 650K 124.95
Continue to move up all week after testing the 50 day EMA. Meeting some resistance established in mid February at 130.
BCSI 03/08 Cup hdl 35.95 +3.78 33.11 39.75 1.7M 400K 31.11
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher than anticipated and never gave up any ground. Will wait for a test of this gap. Will watch but dropping for now.
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 9.56 -0.09 9.55 11.77 15M 15M 9.17
Current. Pullback after breakout early this week. Filling the gap from Monday's gap up.
BTJ 03/07 Test BO 27.71 +1.61 25.18 29.98 524K 300K 26.95
Target Hit. Gapped higher and rallied on strong volume, continuing
the move. Took some interim gain given the correction,
but letting the rest of the position run for us and
it is running well.
BW 03/07 Test BO 45.05 -0.05 45.05 51.85 212K 520K 43.00
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we are looking for so will drop.
CXW 03/07 Test BO 51.57 -0.26 52.21 58.89 412K 450K 49.89
Buy Not Issued. Beginning to make a lateral move along the 10 day EMA afte4 Tuesday's breakout move. Looking for the breakaway move on strong volume.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 32.55 +1.26 31.05 34.95 4.1M 1.1M 31.78
Target Hit. Surging higher on very strong trade. Took some interim
gain on part of the position but letting the rest run
in this powerful move.
FDX 02/20 Rev HS 114.67 +1.08 120.32 134.95 1.5M 2.5M 117.36
Current. Gapped higher on an upgrade w/a price target at 140.
Held some gain but lost $2 of it. Working its way back
& is in much better position now to find some support
at 114 & set up another move from there.
FLIR 03/05 Test 50 34.60 +0.08 34.65 39.35 358K 750K 32.65
Current. Rebounding this week on average volume after testing the 50 day EMA.
HLTH 02/28 Test 18 14.63 -0.11 15.11 18.25 1.9M 8M 14.38
Buy Not Hit. Ease back holding just below the 18 day EMA on low volume. Still in the pattern.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 19.44 +0.40 19.68 22.95 500K 450K 18.75
Buy Not Issued. Like the volume surge as it moved off the 50 day EMA but held off after tapping at the 18 day EMA and fading
back. Still looks super for a move higher.
KNOL 01/09 Asc Bse 14.50 -0.03 11.38 13.95 93K 165K 14.12
Moving up after testing the 18 day EMA. Moving up after testing the breakout in February.
NTGR 02/17 Dbl btm 26.54 -0.03 28.63 34.32 603K 1.1M 27.68
Current. Spent much of the week rebounding on low volume. Stock trying to break through the 90 day EMA. (27). Stock needs to rebound from here.
NUAN 02/28 Test BO 14.13 +0.12 14.38 17.65 2.8M 5.5M 13.77
Buy Not Hit. Tested the 18 day EMA intraday and bounced showing a doji on the 10 day EMA on rising volume. Stock rebounding after Monday's gap down below the 18 day EMA. Looking for a breakaway move.
PTNR 02/12 Test BO 13.84 -0.05 14.30 16.97 106K 344K 13.55
Current. Moving up after testing the 50 day EMA. Meeting some resistance at 14 established in February.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 134.53 -2.04 145.31 159.95 7.3M 13M 142.22
Current. Gapped up at the open, but gave it all back tapping 132.67 at the day's low and bounced to hold just above the 50 day EMA. Choppy session this week as stock tries to rebound off the 90 day EMA. Stock unsuccessfully attempted to break through the 10 day EMA. Needs to hld at the 50 day EMA (134)
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 134.53 -2.04 135.96 154.89 7.3M 10M 142.22
Current.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 34.96 +0.67 35.17 39.95 7.9M 10M 32.57
Current. Tested the 10 day EMA intraday and rallied back for a nice gain showing a doji on low volume. Stock rallied this week after Monday's gap down below the 50 day EMA. Stock needs to continue to rebound.
RVSN 02/15 Test BO 22.47 -0.36 22.54 26.95 239K 220K 22.05
Current. After a nice week of rebounding from Monday's gap down. Stock gaps up at the open, but then reverses on stronger volume. Will let the stock test the 10 day EMA (22.36) but will need to hold there.
RYI 03/05 Test BO 38.92 -0.59 36.28 41.00 752K 1.5M 38.32
Ran up close to the target and backed off some on some very strong volume. On another surge we take some gain. If it falters we take some let it test and then look for some more positions.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 33.10 -0.18 33.47 38.65 337K 900K 31.13
Buy Not Hit. Pullback holding just below the 18 day EMA on low volume. Still in the pattern.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 17.05 -0.39 16.41 19.45 495K 725K 16.08
Current. Gapped up at the open, but reversed on low volume giving back yesterday's nice gain. Will watch closely because we do not want to ride the stock down. This week moved up on average volume after testing the 18 day EMA.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 26.39 +0.10 26.87 31.95 1.3M 2.9M 25.32
Buy Not Issued. Showing a doji on the 10 day EMA on low volume as stock begins to make a lateral move along the 10 day EMA. Rebounding from Monday's gap down below the 50 day EMA.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 60.23 +0.23 60.22 67.95 12M 12M 57.95
Buy Not Issued. Ran out of juice after clearing the late February high, drifting higher to end the week. Would like to see a good test to set up the next move but it makes a strong break higher from here we will be buying some positions.
VSAT 02/07 Test BO 33.27 +0.11 33.75 39.98 89K 250K 34.32
Current. Rebounding on low volume after testing the 50 day EMA. Need to break through the 10 day EMA (33.27)
VSEA 03/05 Test BO 48.97 +0.63 48.05 54.95 836K 2M 45.31
Buy Not Issued. After Monday's volatile session stock spent much of the week rebounding off the 18 day EMA. Stock did not have the volume needed given this market to enter the play. Will let test back.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 55.05 -0.75 54.48 61.95 3.6M 5.4M 54.68
Current. Until Friday stock spent week moving up after testing the 50 day EMA. Today stock made a pullback on lower volume. Meeting some new resistance at 56 established in February.
WNR 02/22 Cup hdl 32.25 -0.11 28.25 33.89 364K 450K 31.45
Current. Typical pullback on low volume after nice breakout on Wednesday.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACAS 03/08 Put 43.96 +0.70 43.09 41.00 1.4M 1.6M 43.95
Buy Not Hit. Bounced on low volume to hold the 10 day EMA. Still in the downtrend pattern.
BEBE 02/27 Put 17.90 +0.20 18.20 16.05 712K 1.2M 17.69
Current. Gapped higher and tapped at the 10 day EMA and stalled,
showing a doji at that level on very low volume. It
got no real pop out of the same store sales so it is
ready to turn down once more.
CHRS 02/27 Put 12.13 +0.06 12.10 11.09 870K 975K 12.04
Current. Gapped higher but could not hold a move over the 10
day EMA. Low volume indicates little buying. Ready
to turn down once more after this test of near resistance
in the downtrend.
DAKT 03/08 Put 25.31 +0.44 24.69 23.10 900K 1.4M 25.05
Buy Not Hit. After a few low volume relief bounces. Stock still moves down the 10 day EMA.
DIA 02/28 Put 122.99 +0.19 121.36 119.25 9.3M 9M 120.72
Current. Broke through the 10 day EMA at the open, but faded back to hold the 10 day EMA on rising volume. Did come off the day's low of 122.33. This might be it for this week's relief bounce. Stock rallied to test the 10 day EMA, but could not break through and hold. A sign this rally is fading.
HGT 02/12 Put 24.05 +0.10 23.72 22.25 154K 285K 24.02
Current. On Friday, stock broke through to test the simple 50 day EMA at the high (24.45) but faded back showing a doji under the 10 day EMA on rising volume. Stock tried to break through the 10 day EMA this week but was unable to do so showing stock is still in downtrend.
MA 03/07 Put 102.36 -0.40 99.31 93.85 3.5M 3.2M 102.11
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop, but will keep our eye on it.
PHRM 03/03 Put 26.86 +0.12 25.92 23.65 155K 600K 26.95
Buy Not Issued. Tested the 18 day EMA at the high, but faded back to hold the 10 day EMA on low volume. Given the weeks rally on strong volume. Needed to see a clear and decisive move on strong volume to enter the play.
QLGC 02/05 Put 17.12 +0.21 18.18 16.92 3.1M 3.8M 17.11
Target Hit. Took the rest of the 50% gain off the table as it tried
to bounce on some rising trade and we were holding
march options. Nice gain.
SBUX 03/08 Put 30.31 -0.39 30.50 29.00 10M 10M 30.97
Entered today. Turned lower once again after testing the 18 day EMA
on Thursday and fading. Pretty good start to the next
leg lower.
SONC 02/27 Put 21.17 0.00 21.35 20.00 585K 625K 21.39
Current. Gapped higher but again could not move through the
10 day EMA and faded. It also did not fall through
21 again. Money flow continues to fall and can wait
to see SONC fall this week as we hold June options.
SPY 03/07 Put 140.78 +0.04 140.74 136.88 108M 70M 141.65
Entered today. SPY gapped higher and then faded, unable to make the
jobs report move stick. Issued an alert and took an
aggressive position in anticipation of some selling
next week.
STEC 02/27 Put 8.42 +0.06 8.91 7.70 358K 1.4M 8.31
Looking for one more turn lower form the 10 day EMA
down toward 8. With the 200 day MA (7.81) rising, we
will take the money if it cannot move below 8 this week.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 45.93 +0.04 45.02 43.58 2.4M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Rallied this week but was unable to break through the 18 day EMA and hold. Today's session broke through the 18 day EMA, but faded back to hold the 90 day EMA. Rally this week did not break the downtrend pattern
End part 2 of 3
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