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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACL 03/05 Test 50 127.93 -1.17 127.38 137.00 298K 650K 126.95
Low volume fade after tapping at 130 again intraday. Not a lot of strength at all on this second attempt higher and stops should be set tight because low volume on a high or attempted high shows little interest and typically precedes selling.
ACTG 03/08 Asc Bse 14.37 -0.49 15.21 18.32 185K 300K 14.44
Buy Not Hit. Testing the last run at the breakout point, holding
the 18 day EMA on very low volume. Nice point to make
a higher low and from there launch another attack on
the breakout. Solid action.
ANST 02/28 Test BO 30.20 +0.14 31.01 35.95 207K 325K 29.28
Current. Nice doji at the 50 day EMA on rising average volume. Excellent position to move higher but with this market it may not be able to make the attempt just yet. Holding up very well, however.
BA 02/03 Test BO 89.45 -1.75 91.65 102.95 5.2M 5.8M 89.78
Current. Sold back on the heels of that strong Monday move. Volume was lower but still above average as BA came back after that order for roughly $7B in planes. Needs to hold near this level and continue higher (50 day EMA at 88.72).
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 9.55 -0.12 9.55 11.77 25M 15M 9.17
Current. Holding up well above 9.50 for now but showing a big
doji Tuesday on a very big surge in volume. Still a
nice pattern but it needs to hold the 10 day MA (9.41)
to keep it in the breakout mode.
COG 03/01 PreSplt 65.69 -1.24 68.85 76.95 310K 700K 66.78
Buy Not Hit. Dropping for now to let it set up better above the
50 day EMA.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 32.60 -0.08 31.05 34.95 1.3M 1.1M 31.98
Current. Solid relative strength to the market, holding its big gains from last week as the rest of the market sells off. On its own path right now but don't want to give up a good gain if the sellign starts to infect all market sectors.
EXC 03/12 Test BO 64.95 -1.17 66.85 74.88 3.6M 4M 64.21
Entered today. Solid early move on stronger volume could not withstand
the market selling that followed. Gave the move back
and more, managing to cling to the 10 day EMA on the
close. From solid to so-so in less than a session.
FDX 02/20 Rev HS 112.69 -2.45 120.32 134.95 2.1M 2.5M 117.36
Exited. Could not hold the gains and started to slip below
the 50 day EMA so it was time to close it.
GAP 03/05 Test BO 32.56 -0.87 32.85 37.75 412K 450K 32.18
Current. Testing the last solid move, holding the 10 day EMA
on the close on the second session of low volume. Still
trending higher up the 10 and 18 day EMA.
HLTH 02/28 Test 18 14.40 -0.27 15.11 18.25 2.1M 8M 14.38
Buy Not Hit. Faded below near support at 14.50. Low volume but going
to drop for now and just keep watching it to see if
it forms back up.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 19.50 -0.03 20.11 23.88 329K 450K 18.87
Entered today. Surged to 20.45 on the high as volume moved higher. Could not hold the move and closed flat on slightly above avg volume. Was strong early but then was the victim of the market wide selling. Easily above support, but starting back over here.
KCI 03/12 Test 50 49.68 -0.36 50.72 58.95 780K 1.2M 47.95
Buy Not Issued. Probed higher but there was no volume on the move. It faded back but held above the 10 day EMA. Everything was tossed back in the afternoon but after this initial sell it all move KCI is in a sector that will perform well in this market.
LHCG 03/07 Test BO 29.16 -0.34 30.22 34.95 339K 225K 28.65
Buy Not Hit. Doji at the 18 day EMA on some strong volume. This looks to be the bottom of this pullback. Good sector for a weaker market and this action sets it up for a bounce. Adjusted the buy point to take the action into consideration.
NTGR 02/17 Dbl btm 26.69 -1.08 28.63 34.32 626K 1.1M 27.68
Exited. Closed the book on NTGR as it tried 28 and failed.
That was our watch point for this rebound attempt.
NUAN 02/28 Test BO 13.39 -0.63 14.38 17.65 4.3M 5.5M 13.77
Buy Not Hit. Faded modestly on very low volume. Move that started at the start of the money may have run out of gas. Will have to show us solid upside trade to move in.
PCLN 03/10 FlyPlat 51.34 -1.55 53.55 61.65 765K 1.7M 51.15
Buy Not Hit. Tries to hold the 18 day EMA on below avg volume. Still
showing solid relative strength but likely has another
week or so to set up given the market action.
PRFT 03/11 Test 50 19.71 -0.33 20.25 23.95 392K 600K 19.05
Buy Not Issued. Rallied early but then turned over to post a modset
loss, holding above the 18 day EMA. Just going to see
how it can hold and set up some upside.
PTNR 02/12 Test BO 13.51 -0.47 14.30 16.97 106K 344K 13.55
Exited. Turned back from the 14 day MA. That was our watch
point on the rebound, and after closing there Monday
it started lower and could not recover. Dumped it.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 133.28 -3.59 145.31 159.95 7.5M 13M 142.22
Current. Sold to the 50 day EMA but is still in the recent consolidation
range. Letting it ride this out as it continues to
show strong relative strength.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 133.28 -3.59 135.96 154.89 7.5M 10M 142.22
Current.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 34.17 -1.47 35.17 39.95 12M 10M 34.21
Current. Faded back to some support at 34 as volume rose above
average. Key point for RIO TO hold though the 50 day
EMA is not far below at 32.90, and it should find some
support there.
RVSN 02/15 Test BO 22.14 -0.65 22.54 26.95 87K 220K 22.05
Current. Faded to the 18 day EMA on low volume. Needs to hold here because its test of the February high the past week did not have much power behind it. In short, when it got to the next breakout point there was no one there to push it.
SPN 03/12 DB hdl 32.89 -0.48 34.11 39.95 1.8M 2M 21.31
Buy Not Hit. Fading toward the 10 day EMA on rising, above avge
volume, setting up the handle further. Will let it
test and see if it delivers the breakout move.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 63.68 -0.35 64.03 73.42 2M 1.7M 62.04
Current. Holding nicely but bumped into the February high again (64.27) but could not push through despite some stronger above avg volume. Solid relative strength but likely to test a bit here again. The 10 day EMA (62.70) should hold it.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 32.63 -0.47 33.47 38.65 383K 900K 31.13
Buy Not Hit. Faded on low volume once more, holding near the mid-February
gap higher. Just being patient, waiting for it to finish
up and show us the upside move if tcan.
TRW 03/01 Test BO 32.40 -0.29 30.55 35.95 601K 530K 31.98
Current. Holding nicely with a modest pullback during the market
maelstrom.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 17.20 -0.56 16.41 19.45 439K 725K 16.55
Current. Holding up well on low volume as UCTT consolidates
its strong gains, refusing to give up its upside move.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 26.38 -0.31 26.87 31.95 1.6M 2.9M 25.32
Buy Not Issued. Still holding the 18 day EMA on below avg volume as
VCLK continues its lateral move. Like how it is refusing
to give into the market selling.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 60.19 -0.10 61.15 68.89 16M 12M 58.89
Entered today. Rallied nicely early on strong volume but then faded
to flat on the close, continuing the lateral move.
Everything was sold in the afternoon. Took some positions
and will look at more as VLO continues higher.
VSAT 02/07 Test BO 32.52 -1.04 33.75 39.98 131K 250K 34.32
Exited. Turned down from the early February highs and we closed
it out.
VSEA 03/05 Test BO 48.42 -1.01 48.05 54.95 1.4M 2M 45.31
Buy Not Issued. Testing back, holding the 10 day EMA on the close.
Will see if it can hold the 48 ish level on this test
and give us an entry point as it resumes the move higher.
WEBX 03/05 Test 50 44.91 -1.60 45.88 51.45 545K 950K 44.82
Current. Fell to the 18 day EMA but on very light, below avg
volume. That said, don't want it to fall further from
here as the 50 day EMA is a long way down at 42.34.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 55.19 -1.27 54.48 61.95 3.9M 5.4M 54.68
Current. Showing great relative strength as WFR moves laterally,
holding its gains on low volume.
WMS 03/10 Cup hdl 38.27 -1.54 39.79 45.75 601K 600K 38.29
Current. Turned right back donw on stronger, above avg volume,
giving back the Monday gain and more. Has to show us
a bounce from here over the next couple of sessions.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACAS 03/08 Put 42.41 -1.65 43.00 41.00 1.8M 1.6M 42.85
Entered today. Turned down from the doji at the 18 day EMA, diving
lower on rising, above avg volume. Textbook turn lower
to continue the selling.
BEBE 02/27 Put 16.83 -0.88 18.20 16.05 1.2M 1.2M 17.11
Current. They threw out the bebe with the bath water again on
Tuesday as BEBE sold off sharply on above avg volume
and undercut the January low on the close. The downside
is its oyster ahead. Nice.
CCU 03/12 Put 34.75 -0.10 34.68 33.38 9.3M 6M 35.12
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower but then rebounded right after that. Reversed to close basically flat but showing a doji on the candlestick chart. Given that pattern we held off to see if it will rebound over the next session to better set up the downside play.
CHRS 02/27 Put 11.82 -0.33 12.10 11.09 1.1M 975K 12.04
Current. Charming break lower from the 10 day EMA test as volume
rose to avearge. CHRS is continuing the downtrend with
this move.
CSE 03/10 Put 23.73 -0.86 24.50 23.21 3.5M 1.4M 24.04
Current. Diving lower on strong volume. Hit near the target
and bounced. On another blow down we will look at taking
some of that gain off the table, but it likely has
more downside beyond that.
DIA 02/28 Put 121.02 -2.13 121.36 119.25 14M 9M 120.72
Current. Diving lower off the tombstone doji, plunging on the
strongest volume since . . . the last sell off.
GS 03/10 Put 199.03 -3.57 199.45 192.25 32M 8M 220.10
Current. Hit the 50 day MA on the high and reversed, a 9.5 point high to low move after showing great earnings. The market did not care and sold it off. The options bought late Monday are $2 profitable but there is still a lot of downside here.
HGT 02/12 Put 23.58 -0.57 23.72 22.25 107K 285K 23.78
Current. Tanking once more, fading back fromt eh 18 day EMA
on rising but still rather tame volume. Volume, however,
often remains light for HGT as it falls so not all
hung up on the lower trade level.
IWM 03/12 Put 76.39 -2.01 77.12 75.15 96M 54M 76.68
Turned down hard from the 90 day MA test on strong
volume. Next support is in the 66 range but the prior
low was 75.15 and it is going to test that level and
likely more.
LIZ 03/10 Put 42.41 -0.57 42.51 40.75 897K 1M 43.05
Buy Not Issued. Continues to waffle around the buy point, not showing
the breakaway. Looks ready to bounce more than sell
here as 42 appears to be pushing up on it.
PHRM 03/03 Put 26.25 -0.82 25.98 23.65 286K 600K 26.82
Buy Not Issued. Starting lower from the 90 day EMA. Volume was so-so. If it can continue lower and crack through 29 on some volume it is a buy for the rest of the move lower. Note that late Sept gap that has not been filled. Interesting.
SBUX 03/08 Put 29.36 -0.71 30.50 29.00 11M 10M 29.57
Current. Diving lower once more, coming close to the target
on the low. Another push lower and we will take some
of the gain off the table. Can still go much lower
from there.
SONC 02/27 Put 20.88 -0.39 21.35 20.00 1.2M 625K 21.11
Current. Finally heard the sonic boom as SONC took out 21 support
on the strongest volume in 2 months. Now it has the
freedome to free fall a bit.
SPY 03/07 Put 138.25 -2.74 140.74 136.88 190M 70M 138.55
Current. Diving lower on huge volume, spying the target. February
low is at 137.35 and might try to pause there, but
this sell off will likely take out that level.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 44.94 -1.24 45.02 43.58 2.3M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Volume ticked higher as TMO fell back down from its
18 day EMA test. Want to see it slice through 44 on
this move. If it does so in a big move, watch for an
intraday rebound.
End part 2 of 3
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