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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACL 03/05 Test 50 127.40 -3.04 127.38 137.00 680K 650K 126.95
Friday ACL backed off from the 130 resistance point,
falling to the 18 day on rising trade. Still in the
short pattern such just being patient to see if it
can make the break.
ACTG 03/08 Asc Bse 15.07 +0.48 15.21 18.32 390K 300K 14.44
Buy Not Issued. Thought hard about entering this one ahead of hte close
given the strong volume, but it closed just off the
buy point. If it continues the move Monday we can move
in. Looking solid.
ANST 02/28 Test BO 30.63 +1.15 31.01 35.95 319K 325K 29.28
Current. After spending all week tap dancing at the 50 day EMA
ANST enjoyed the best volume in a month and broke higher
through the 10 & 18 day EMA. Wow. Looks ready to make
its move.
BA 02/03 Test BO 90.00 -1.04 91.65 102.95 5.8M 5.8M 89.78
Current. Strong jump Monday on volume but then the market caught
up and it moved laterally to close the week. Strong
Friday volume was just expiration. Still working laterally
on a handle and holding up quite well.
BEAV 03/14 Test 50 33.35 +0.88 31.11 36.95 2.3M 1M 28.93
Buy Not Issued. Surged again with no test. Will look for the test
and see if it gives us a good entry point on a pullback
after this strong move.
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 9.69 -0.08 9.55 11.77 13M 15M 9.34
Current. Finished the week continuing the lateral move as the
10 day EMA finally caught up with it. That is likely
to send it higher as it consolidated without giving
up a nickel of the break higher.
CMTL 03/14 Cup 36.91 0.00 37.85 43.85 248K 345K 35.78
Buy Not Hit. Another lateral move and doji above the 90 day EMA
as volume jumped up to average. Nice set up for the
break higher this week.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 33.07 -0.01 31.05 34.95 1.4M 1.1M 31.98
Current. Finished a strong week with a doji at 33. Excellent
breakout and run, and still showing very solid price/volume
action so we are in no hurry to cut it off.
EQT 03/15 Asc Tri 44.07 -0.20 44.57 50.95 769K 800K 42.48
Buy Not Issued. Tried to extend the Thursday rally but no volume and
it closed flat. Still a nice pattern ready to make
its breakout move. Doesn't hurt that it is in a sector
getting quite a bit of money of late.
EXC 03/12 Test BO 65.78 -0.52 66.85 74.88 3.5M 4M 64.21
Current. Back and forth week for EXC, but it managed to trend
higher though modestly. Still looks ready to really
bust out for us.
FORM 03/15 Cup hdl 45.46 +0.05 46.69 55.95 594K 1.2M 44.11
Buy Not Hit. Another doji at the 10 day EMA to close the week. Very
solid and just being patient to let it show us the
break higher.
GAP 03/05 Test BO 31.95 -0.61 32.85 37.75 708K 450K 32.18
Exited. Took the rest off the table Friday as it started a
pretty hard, higher volume break below the 18 day EMA.
By the close it managed to hold that level, but after
taking a gain earlier we shot first to preserve it.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 52.71 +2.93 53.12 63.75 723K 385K 51.04
New.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 20.49 +0.94 20.11 23.88 312K 450K 19.21
Current. Nice end to the week getting some volume and a solid
price move to really get the move off the 50 day EMA
test underway. That is what we paid for!
HNT 03/17 FlyPlat 54.18 +0.51 54.88 62.95 1.7M 1.5M 52.72
New.
IVN 03/13 Test BO 11.29 -0.16 11.65 14.35 426K 1.2M 10.85
Buy Not Issued. After the good test IVN tried to make the next move
in the breakout but volume simply was not there. Still
an excellent set up for a move higher this week.
KCI 03/12 Test 50 49.14 -0.49 50.72 58.95 459K 1.2M 47.95
Buy Not Issued. Still waiting for the break higher as KCI continues
its lateral move and sets up the next run higher.
LHCG 03/07 Test BO 28.52 -0.53 30.22 34.95 178K 225K 28.65
Buy Not Hit. Hmmm. Continues to slide back. It has filled the early March gap and is still sliding. It will find bottom, likely near the 50 day EMA at 28. Will keep watching as it nears to see if it can bounce. If it does we will put it back on the report.
MCHP 03/13 Cup 36.44 -0.31 37.21 42.88 2.1M 3.1M 35.98
Buy Not Hit. Finished out the week with a test of near support at
the 18 day EMA. Still holding up very well in the correcting
market, still setting up the breakout.
MM 03/13 DB hdl 42.93 +0.16 42.12 48.65 384K 545K 40.98
Current. Finished the week with three gains though running out
of some steam on Friday. Solid volume on the break
higher so going to let it go to work for us now.
NUAN 03/17 Dbl btm 14.26 +0.22 14.38 17.65 5.2M 5.5M 13.77
New.
PCLN 03/10 FlyPlat 51.71 +0.05 53.55 61.65 475K 1.7M 51.15
Buy Not Hit. Looking solid here with a pair of dojis at the 18 day
EMA to end the week. It looks pretty put has to show
us the move across the price line set for the buy.
PRFT 03/11 Test 50 19.80 -0.25 20.25 23.95 293K 600K 19.05
Buy Not Issued. Faded to test and hold the 18 day EMA on the Friday
close. Good test to end the week and gives us a better
entry. If the buyers come back in with volume that
is a very good time to buy.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 134.49 -0.53 145.31 159.95 5M 13M 142.22
Current.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 134.49 -0.53 135.96 154.89 5M 10M 142.22
Current. Ended the week on two very tight, very low volume dojis
at the 50 day EMA. Excellent set up for a break higher
off the 50 day and we are tempted to buy into the next
upside again.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 35.46 -0.46 35.17 39.95 13M 10M 34.21
Current. Closed the week a smidge higher than it started. Struggling
to get on down the river but still trending higher
and we are going to let it work for us.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 18.30 -0.43 18.65 22.45 246K 425K 17.57
New.
SPN 03/12 DB hdl 33.56 +0.06 34.11 39.95 1M 2M 21.31
Buy Not Hit. Showing some live but still no volume as it toys with
the breakout. Just sit back and let it show us the
move out of this sweet pattern.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 39.97 -0.25 40.55 46.65 192K 205K 39.41
New.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 65.22 +0.61 64.03 73.42 2.2M 1.7M 63.48
Current. Excellent volume Friday as SYK continues its move higher
up the 10 day EMA. It took a while but we knew SYK
would perform for us. Letting it run higher up the
10 day EMA. Getting close to a stryking performance.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 32.65 -0.10 33.47 38.65 476K 900K 31.13
Buy Not Hit. Has filled the gap from mid-February and is working
laterally just over support at 32. Just looking for
volume to jump up as it makes the next move higher.
Set up very well.
TK 03/15 Asc Bse 52.75 +1.53 52.38 58.45 884K 600K 50.25
Entered today. Steaming higher. Excellent breakout move, ready to
challenge the all-time high on the high seas. Excellent.
TRW 03/01 Test BO 33.33 +0.19 30.55 35.95 984K 530K 31.98
Current. Some real volume Friday as TRW tried to extend but
closed flat. Strong two weeks as it continues the
strong move higher. Beautiful for something having
to do with autos.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 16.92 +0.07 16.41 19.45 200K 725K 16.55
Current. A trio of dojis at the 10 day EMA on low volume, holding
the breakout. A hold here and bounce on rising trade
is a good add-to point.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 25.84 -0.35 26.87 31.95 1.7M 2.9M 25.32
Buy Not Issued. Not yet clicking along for us yet, fading to the 50
day EMA on the Friday close. Volume remained low. Nice
pattern continues. Just looking for other investors
to decide VCLK is a value.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 60.01 -0.50 61.15 68.89 12M 12M 59.31
Current. Solid break higher Wednesday on strong volume but then
wandered off to close at the 10 day EMA though on lower
trade. This is pretty sweet, just stepping up the 10
day EMA so going to let it continue.
VSEA 03/05 Test BO 49.72 +0.02 48.05 54.95 1.1M 2M 45.31
Buy Not Issued. Tried to make the move Thursday but it did not have the volume behind it to really break on through. It has reached the February high & looks solid given the market is selling. Has to show volume on the break higher, however, to avoid the double top look.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 54.87 -0.26 54.48 61.95 4.5M 5.4M 54.68
Current. Three dojis at the 10 day EMA to end the week as WFR
tries to punch through the February high. Holding up
well, but it has to punch through 57 with some strong
trade to show the buyers want to push it higher.
WMS 03/10 Cup hdl 39.10 +0.13 39.79 45.75 517K 600K 38.29
Current. Made a decent show of coming back from the Tuesday
dump lower. Has to show us some upside this week to
indicate it is not going to languish here for weeks.
ZUMZ 03/14 Asc Bse 39.24 -0.32 37.68 44.95 862K 726K 35.07
Buy Not Issued. Weakened a shade on Friday but hardly noticeable after
the Thursday gap higher. Still looking for a test of
the gap to give us an entry point. When we see it we
will put it back on the report.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABB 03/13 HdShldr 16.76 +0.01 16.35 15.00 1.7M 2.5M 16.89
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the high and closed with a
nice, tight doji on low volume. Good set up to continue
lower this week after that low volume rebound to test
near resistance.
ABC 03/13 HdShldr 51.86 -0.39 51.22 49.21 1.2M 1.5M 51.65
Buy Not Issued. Closed below the buy point but that was after running down to the 50 day EMA and then rebounded up above the 18 day EMA. With that kind of volatility we decided to hold off and see if it will continue lower & thru the 50 day EMA (51.33).
ACAS 03/08 Put 43.87 -0.10 43.00 41.00 1.1M 1.6M 42.85
Current. Gapped higher Thursday but on very low volume, stalling at the 18 day EMA. Friday it sagged modestly, still struggling at resistance. Still looks really ripe for a drop from here & looking at more positions on a move below 43.60.
AEO 03/15 Put 29.89 -0.09 29.86 28.11 2.3M 4.2M 30.39
Buy Not Issued. Toyed with the buy point all Friday but volume was
very low after some other retailers had some good results.
Once that news wears off for next week AEO is primed
to move lower.
AMP 03/17 HdShldr 55.15 -0.36 54.95 52.45 2.3M 1.4M 55.55
New.
C 03/17 Put 49.53 -0.60 49.39 48.12 31M 22M 50.08
New.
CCU 03/12 Put 35.16 -0.07 34.84 33.38 6.6M 6M 35.31
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 10 day EMA on low volume. Looks ready
to turn down adn really give us a good move lower from
this topping pattern.
CHRS 02/27 Put 11.97 -0.01 12.10 11.09 1.3M 975K 12.04
Current. Doji below the 10 day EMA as CHRS sets up to continue
its move lower below that resistance level.
CL 03/14 HdShldr 65.10 -0.16 65.08 63.55 2.4M 2M 65.91
Current. Undercut 65 on rising voluem but rebounded to just
hang onto that level. Still looks ready for a much
nastier drop.
GS 03/10 Put 199.00 -1.89 199.45 192.25 11M 8M 220.10
Current. Faded back from the 10 day EMA on rising trade. Still
has the look it is going to roll over and head back
toward 190ish. A good $4 to $5 plunge and we have a
nice gain in our options.
PHRM 03/03 Put 26.25 +0.27 25.98 23.65 673K 600K 26.82
Buy Not Issued. Bounced up Friday on some strong volume, falling back
through the 10 day EMA to close. Still watching for
a break lower. It is set up but we just have to wait
and let it show us the move.
SONC 02/27 Put 20.60 -0.25 21.35 20.00 1.1M 625K 20.88
Current. America's favorite drive through is driving lower, fading from the Thursday test of the 18 day EMA. Money flow is ugly and volume on the downside is strong. Relative strength should be called relative weakness. Like it.
SPY 03/15 Put 138.53 -0.38 139.65 137.10 122M 70M 139.38
Current. Headed lower as expected, but once more SPY found some
support at 128 as it did last trip lower. Still looking
for more downside this week, and if 138 breaks we could
see it at 135ish rather quickly.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 45.41 +0.41 45.02 43.58 5M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Strong volume Friday, the strongest in two weeks as it tried the 18 day EMA on the high and fading to close just below the 10 day EMA. Needs to stall here and make a lower high. Still a weak pattern and begging the rollover.
TOL 03/17 Put 28.40 -0.42 28.15 26.12 3.2M 3.8M 28.88
New.
End part 2 of 3
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