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Begin part 3 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACL 03/05 Test 50 127.40 -3.04 127.38 137.00 680K 650K 126.95
Friday ACL backed off from the 130 resistance point,
falling to the 18 day on rising trade. Still in the
short pattern such just being patient to see if it
can make the break.
ACL 03/05 PreAnn 127.40 -3.04 130.75 142.00 680K 650K 126.95
Buy Not Hit.
ANST 02/28 Test BO 30.63 +1.15 31.01 35.95 319K 325K 29.28
Current. After spending all week tap dancing at the 50 day EMA
ANST enjoyed the best volume in a month and broke higher
through the 10 & 18 day EMA. Wow. Looks ready to make
its move.
ASCA 02/22 Cup hdl 33.06 -0.28 33.77 40.95 313K 325K 32.56
Current. Started higher Monday but could not carry the move
further after the Tuesday market selling. Finished
the week over the 18 day EMA and still looking very
solid for a further move higher.
ATW 03/10 Cup hdl 51.71 +0.25 52.55 60.45 383K 650K 50.72
Buy Not Issued. Spent all week bumping up against the breakout point
near 52 but could not quite do it even with some strong
volume Tuesday and Wednesday. Still set up to make
the break; just has to show the move.
BA 02/03 Test BO 90.00 -1.04 91.65 102.95 5.8M 5.8M 89.78
Current. Strong jump Monday on volume but then the market caught
up and it moved laterally to close the week. Strong
Friday volume was just expiration. Still working laterally
on a handle and holding up quite well.
BKE 03/17 Asc Bse 34.66 -0.26 35.94 41.38 180K 235K 34.25
New.
BWLD 03/03 DB hdl 56.96 -0.54 57.38 64.75 292K 450K 54.78
Current. Bumped up against 57.50 on the high again, still looking
for a stronger breakout. When that comes we will add
some positions.
CMTL 03/14 Cup 36.91 0.00 37.85 43.85 248K 345K 35.78
Buy Not Hit. Another lateral move and doji above the 90 day EMA
as volume jumped up to average. Nice set up for the
break higher this week.
CNMD 03/14 Test BO 27.80 -0.05 27.94 32.95 404K 350K 26.49
Buy Not Issued. Another doji to end the week as CNMD bumped 28 on strong,
above average volume. It is crouching, ready to make
the move.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 33.07 -0.01 31.05 34.95 1.4M 1.1M 31.98
Current. Finished a strong week with a doji at 33. Excellent
breakout and run, and still showing very solid price/volume
action so we are in no hurry to cut it off.
DLTR 03/01 PreAnn 35.58 -0.40 34.65 39.95 1M 1.2M 35.35
Current. Ended the week with a doji at the 10 day EMA on very low trade, filling the gap and holding up well. Got the boost on the DG take out, and we took some gain on that. Still looks good for another run so kept some positions alive.
EQT 03/15 Asc Tri 44.07 -0.20 44.57 50.95 769K 800K 42.48
Buy Not Issued. Tried to extend the Thursday rally but no volume and
it closed flat. Still a nice pattern ready to make
its breakout move. Doesn't hurt that it is in a sector
getting quite a bit of money of late.
EXC 03/12 Test BO 65.78 -0.52 66.85 74.88 3.5M 4M 64.21
Current. Back and forth week for EXC, but it managed to trend
higher though modestly. Still looks ready to really
bust out for us.
FLIR 03/05 Test 50 33.71 -0.35 34.65 39.35 669K 750K 33.98
Current. Looked as if it was going to get ugly as it fell to
the 50 day SMA, but it recovered and held its ground
pretty well to close out the week. Needs to show us
the move higher this coming week.
FOSL 03/10 PreAnn 25.70 -0.23 27.24 32.71 547K 600K 25.97
Buy Not Hit. Getting heavy here, selling on rising volume the past 3 out of 4 sessions. Going to drop for now but keep watching it to see if it can set back up for a break higher. That gap higher in February has us concerned it will try & fill it.
GIL 03/10 PreAnn 55.25 -0.25 55.35 63.75 79K 350K 53.89
Buy Not Issued. Working laterally all week below 56, trying to mass
the troops for the breakout. Still very solid.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 52.71 +2.93 53.12 63.75 723K 385K 51.04
New.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 20.49 +0.94 20.11 23.88 312K 450K 19.21
Current. Nice end to the week getting some volume and a solid
price move to really get the move off the 50 day EMA
test underway. That is what we paid for!
HNT 03/17 FlyPlat 54.18 +0.51 54.88 62.95 1.7M 1.5M 52.72
New.
HOC 03/13 Asc Bse 56.98 +0.03 57.73 64.95 681K 750K 55.12
Current. Tough time finishing off the week after a strong break
higher Wednesday on strong volume. Still in solid shape.
KG 03/08 Cup hdl 18.86 +0.10 19.05 22.95 2.7M 3.8M 18.21
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher on rising, above average volume. It is
looking ripe to make the move. KG is trying to once
more obtain royal status. A big breakout would help
the coronation.
MCHP 03/13 Cup 36.44 -0.31 37.21 42.88 2.1M 3.1M 35.98
Buy Not Hit. Finished out the week with a test of near support at
the 18 day EMA. Still holding up very well in the correcting
market, still setting up the breakout.
MM 03/13 DB hdl 42.93 +0.16 42.12 48.65 384K 545K 40.98
Current. Finished the week with three gains though running out
of some steam on Friday. Solid volume on the break
higher so going to let it go to work for us now.
MRO 03/13 PreAnn 93.29 -0.61 95.25 107.95 4.3M 5.3M 92.45
Buy Not Hit. Basically working laterally the past two weeks, setting
up the break above 95. Good volume the last half of
the week. Just being patient and letting it show us
the breakout move.
NKE 03/01 PreSplt 107.47 +1.81 105.67 115.00 2.4M 2M 105.39
Current. Picking up the pace as it gets closer to the finish
line (split is effective 4-3). Strong volume Friday
as NKE surged off the 18 day EMA test. Want to see
some more swoosh this week to pump up those option values.
NOV 03/06 PreAnn 72.91 -0.39 72.33 79.95 2.6M 4.3M 72.58
Current. Solid move on the week though it did give some back
toward the 10 day EMA on low trade. Nice run, nice test.
NX 01/23 Trnd Rv 40.58 -0.52 39.29 44.88 407K 500K 40.54
Current. Could not keep last week's strong move alive, but it
did test, holding the 18 day EMA on the close. Hardly
going to cut it off at this point as it is set up well
to continue higher off of the February top.
PD 03/15 PreAnn 128.50 +0.57 128.25 144.45 3.4M 4.5M 124.95
Buy Not Issued. Gapped modestly higher after that solid Thursday move.
Volume was very low and it did nothing with the gap
so we decided to wait, see if its tests early this
week and then moves back up.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 134.49 -0.53 145.31 159.95 5M 13M 142.22
Current.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 134.49 -0.53 135.96 154.89 5M 10M 142.22
Current. Ended the week on two very tight, very low volume dojis
at the 50 day EMA. Excellent set up for a break higher
off the 50 day and we are tempted to buy into the next
upside again.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 35.46 -0.46 35.17 39.95 13M 10M 34.21
Current. Closed the week a smidge higher than it started. Struggling
to get on down the river but still trending higher
and we are going to let it work for us.
RL 02/15 Asc Bse 83.82 -0.63 85.55 96.45 644K 1.2M 85.21
Current. In the big picture it was not a bad week as RL came back to test the 50 day MA on low volume where it looks as if it is going to make a higher low. Still really like this pattern as the foundation for another break higher.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 18.30 -0.43 18.65 22.45 246K 425K 17.57
New.
ROCM 03/10 DB hdl 18.30 -0.43 17.45 20.95 246K 350K 18.21
Current. Finished the week with a bit of a stinker that took away some of the shine from a strong break higher on strong trade. Very solid move and the low volume Friday shows no one really interested in selling it. A hold near 18 is a buy
SPN 03/12 DB hdl 33.56 +0.06 34.11 39.95 1M 2M 21.31
Buy Not Hit. Showing some live but still no volume as it toys with
the breakout. Just sit back and let it show us the
move out of this sweet pattern.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 39.97 -0.25 40.55 46.65 192K 205K 39.41
New.
SSYS 03/01 Test BO 39.97 -0.25 39.04 44.95 192K 175K 39.97
Current. Sweet test of the solid break higher, pinching off
at the 10 day EMA to end the week. Volume rose to average
Friday. Looks as if it is ready to continue the move
higher.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 65.22 +0.61 64.03 73.42 2.2M 1.7M 63.48
Current. Excellent volume Friday as SYK continues its move higher
up the 10 day EMA. It took a while but we knew SYK
would perform for us. Letting it run higher up the
10 day EMA. Getting close to a stryking performance.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 32.65 -0.10 33.47 38.65 476K 900K 31.13
Buy Not Hit. Has filled the gap from mid-February and is working
laterally just over support at 32. Just looking for
volume to jump up as it makes the next move higher.
Set up very well.
TK 03/15 Asc Bse 52.75 +1.53 52.38 58.45 884K 600K 50.25
Entered today. Steaming higher. Excellent breakout move, ready to
challenge the all-time high on the high seas. Excellent.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 16.92 +0.07 16.41 19.45 200K 725K 16.55
Current. A trio of dojis at the 10 day EMA on low volume, holding
the breakout. A hold here and bounce on rising trade
is a good add-to point.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 60.01 -0.50 61.15 68.89 12M 12M 59.31
Current. Solid break higher Wednesday on strong volume but then
wandered off to close at the 10 day EMA though on lower
trade. This is pretty sweet, just stepping up the 10
day EMA so going to let it continue.
VMC 03/10 PreAnn 114.99 -2.27 117.65 134.85 1.4M 1.4M 114.00
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and volume was not bad, but it could
not hold the move and indeed finished lower. Will have
to wait and see how this shakes out. Does not look
as if it is quite there yet.
VSEA 03/03 Test BO 49.72 +0.02 48.05 54.95 1.1M 2M 45.31
Buy Not Issued. Tried to make the move Thursday but it did not have the volume behind it to really break on through. It has reached the February high & looks solid given the market is selling. Has to show volume on the break higher, however, to avoid the double top look.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 54.87 -0.26 54.48 61.95 4.5M 5.4M 54.68
Current. Three dojis at the 10 day EMA to end the week as WFR
tries to punch through the February yigh. Holding up
well, but it has to punch through 57 with some strong
trade to show the buyers want to push it higher.
XTO 01/30 PreAnn 50.52 -0.55 52.32 59.89 3.3M 4.5M 51.31
Current. Traded laterally all week between the 50 day and the 10 day EMA. It is holding up but has more work ahead of it to tighten the range and set up the next break higher. Would like it to show something this week but nothing to suggest it will.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABB 03/13 HdShldr 16.76 +0.01 16.35 15.00 1.7M 2.5M 16.89
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the high and closed with a
nice, tight doji on low volume. Good set up to continue
lower this week after that low volume rebound to test
near resistance.
ABC 03/13 HdShldr 51.86 -0.39 51.22 49.21 1.2M 1.5M 51.65
Buy Not Issued. Closed below the buy point but that was after running down to the 50 day EMA and then rebounded up above the 18 day EMA. With that kind of volatility we decided to hold off and see if it will continue lower & thru the 50 day EMA (51.33).
AEO 03/15 Put 29.89 -0.09 29.86 28.11 2.3M 4.2M 30.39
Buy Not Issued. Toyed with the buy point all Friday but volume was
very low after some other retailers had some good results.
Once that news wears off for next week AEO is primed
to move lower.
AMP 03/17 HdShldr 55.15 -0.36 54.95 52.45 2.3M 1.4M 55.55
New.
C 03/17 Put 49.53 -0.60 49.39 48.12 31M 22M 50.08
New.
CCU 03/12 Put 35.16 -0.07 34.84 33.38 6.6M 6M 35.31
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 10 day EMA on low volume. Looks ready
to turn down and really give us a good move lower from
this topping pattern.
GS 03/10 Put 199.00 -1.89 199.45 192.25 11M 8M 220.10
Current. Faded back from the 10 day EMA on rising trade. Still
has the look it is going to roll over and head back
toward 190ish. A good $4 to $5 plunge and we have a
nice gain in our options.
PHRM 03/03 Put 26.25 +0.27 25.98 23.65 673K 600K 26.82
Buy Not Issued. Bounced up Friday on some strong volume, falling back
through the 10 day EMA to close. Still watching for
a break lower. It is set up but we just have to wait
and let it show us the move.
SONC 02/27 Put 20.60 -0.25 21.35 20.00 1.1M 625K 20.88
Current. America's favorite drive through is driving lower, fading from the Thursday test of the 18 day EMA. Money flow is ugly and volume on the downside is strong. Relative strength should be called relative weakness. Like it.
SPY 03/15 Put 138.53 -0.38 139.65 137.10 122M 70M 139.38
Current. Headed lower as expected, but once more SPY found some
support at 128 as it did last trip lower. Still looking
for more downside this week, and if 138 breaks we could
see it at 135ish rather quickly.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 45.41 +0.41 45.02 43.58 5M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Strong volume Friday, the strongest in two weeks as it tried the 18 day EMA on the high and fading to close just below the 10 day EMA. Needs to stall here and make a lower high. Still a weak pattern and begging the rollover.
TOL 03/17 Put 28.40 -0.42 28.15 26.12 3.2M 3.8M 28.88
New.
End part 2 of 3
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