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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACL 03/05 Test 50 127.40 -3.04 127.38 137.00 680K 650K 126.95
Friday ACL backed off from the 130 resistance point,
falling to the 18 day on rising trade. Still in the
short pattern such just being patient to see if it
can make the break.
AMSC 03/17 Test BO 14.04 +0.54 14.38 16.58 573K 375K 13.38
New.
BEAV 03/14 Test 50 33.35 +0.88 31.11 36.95 2.3M 1M 28.93
Buy Not Issued. Surged again with no test. Will look for the test
and see if it gives us a good entry point on a pullback
after this strong move.
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 9.69 -0.08 9.55 11.77 13M 15M 9.34
Current. Finished the week continuing the lateral move as the
10 day EMA finally caught up with it. That is likely
to send it higher as it consolidated without giving
up a nickel of the break higher.
CNMD 03/14 Test BO 27.80 -0.05 27.94 32.95 404K 350K 26.49
Buy Not Issued. Another doji to end the week as CNMD bumped 28 on strong,
above average volume. It is crouching, ready to make
the move.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 33.07 -0.01 31.05 34.95 1.4M 1.1M 31.98
Current. Finished a strong week with a doji at 33. Excellent
breakout and run, and still showing very solid price/volume
action so we are in no hurry to cut it off.
EXC 03/12 Test BO 65.78 -0.52 66.85 74.88 3.5M 4M 64.21
Current. Back and forth week for EXC, but it managed to trend
higher though modestly. Still looks ready to really
bust out for us.
FLIR 03/05 Test 50 33.71 -0.35 34.65 39.35 669K 750K 33.98
Current. Looked as if it was going to get ugly as it fell to
the 50 day SMA, but it recovered and held its ground
pretty well to close out the week. Needs to show us
the move higher this coming week.
FORM 03/14 Cup hdl 45.46 +0.05 46.69 55.95 594K 1.2M 44.11
Buy Not Hit. Another doji at the 10 day EMA to close the week. Very
solid and just being patient to let it show us the
break higher.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 52.71 +2.93 53.12 63.75 723K 385K 51.04
New.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 20.49 +0.94 20.11 23.88 312K 450K 19.21
Current. Nice end to the week getting some volume and a solid
price move to really get the move off the 50 day EMA
test underway. That is what we paid for!
IVN 03/13 Test BO 11.29 -0.16 11.65 14.35 426K 1.2M 10.85
Buy Not Issued. After the good test IVN tried to make the next move
in the breakout but volume simply was not there. Still
an excellent set up for a move higher this week.
KCI 03/12 Test 50 49.14 -0.49 50.72 58.95 459K 1.2M 47.95
Buy Not Issued. Still waiting for the break higher as KCI continues
its lateral move and sets up the next run higher.
KNOL 01/09 Asc Bse 14.50 -0.02 11.38 13.95 58K 165K 14.21
All week KNOL could only work laterally in a very narrow
range on very low volume. Given the market, that ain't
bad. Just letting it work laterally to set up the next
move. It is not losing any ground so no worries there.
MM 03/13 DB hdl 42.93 +0.16 42.12 48.65 384K 545K 40.98
Current. Finished the week with three gains though running out
of some steam on Friday. Solid volume on the break
higher so going to let it go to work for us now.
NUAN 03/17 Dbl btm 14.26 +0.22 14.38 17.65 5.2M 5.5M 13.77
New.
OIH 03/14 Rolling 138.65 -0.65 140.88 149.95 9.3M 16M 136.45
Buy Not Hit. Continues the lateral move in a tight ragne, still
in good position to head higher. Just needs to show
the move.
PCLN 03/10 FlyPlat 51.71 +0.05 53.55 61.65 475K 1.7M 51.15
Buy Not Hit. Looking solid here with a pair of dojis at the 18 day
EMA to end the week. It looks pretty put has to show
us the move across the price line set for the buy.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 134.49 -0.53 145.31 159.95 5M 13M 142.22
Current.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 134.49 -0.53 135.96 154.89 5M 10M 142.22
Current. Ended the week on two very tight, very low volume dojis
at the 50 day EMA. Excellent set up for a break higher
off the 50 day and we are tempted to buy into the next
upside again.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 35.46 -0.46 35.17 39.95 13M 10M 34.21
Current. Closed the week a smidge higher than it started. Struggling
to get on down the river but still trending higher
and we are going to let it work for us.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 18.30 -0.43 18.65 22.45 246K 425K 17.57
New.
SIGA 03/15 Test BO 4.52 +0.14 4.68 5.78 663K 1.6M 4.35
Buy Not Hit. Looks super with the intraday test of the 18 day EMA
and a rebound for a gain. Looks ready to make its move
this week.
SPN 03/12 DB hdl 33.56 +0.06 34.11 39.95 1M 2M 21.31
Buy Not Hit. Showing some live but still no volume as it toys with
the breakout. Just sit back and let it show us the
move out of this sweet pattern.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 39.97 -0.25 40.55 46.65 192K 205K 39.41
New.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 32.65 -0.10 33.47 38.65 476K 900K 31.13
Buy Not Hit. Has filled the gap from mid-February and is working
laterally just over support at 32. Just looking for
volume to jump up as it makes the next move higher.
Set up very well.
TK 03/15 Asc Bse 52.75 +1.53 52.38 58.45 884K 600K 50.25
Entered today. Steaming higher. Excellent breakout move, ready to
challenge the all-time high on the high seas. Excellent.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 16.92 +0.07 16.41 19.45 200K 725K 16.55
Current. A trio of dojis at the 10 day EMA on low volume, holding
the breakout. A hold here and bounce on rising trade
is a good add-to point.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 25.84 -0.35 26.87 31.95 1.7M 2.9M 25.32
Buy Not Issued. Not yet clicking along for us yet, fading to the 50
day EMA on the Friday close. Volume remained low. Nice
pattern continues. Just looking for other investors
to decide VCLK is a value.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 60.01 -0.50 61.15 68.89 12M 12M 59.31
Current. Solid break higher Wednesday on strong volume but then
wandered off to close at the 10 day EMA though on lower
trade. This is pretty sweet, just stepping up the 10
day EMA so going to let it continue.
VSEA 03/05 Test BO 49.72 +0.02 48.05 54.95 1.1M 2M 45.31
Buy Not Issued. Tried to make the move Thursday but it did not have the volume behind it to really break on through. It has reached the February high & looks solid given the market is selling. Has to show volume on the break higher, however, to avoid the double top look.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 54.87 -0.26 54.48 61.95 4.5M 5.4M 54.68
Current. Three dojis at the 10 day EMA to end the week as WFR
tries to punch through the February yigh. Holding up
well, but it has to punch through 57 with some strong
trade to show the buyers want to push it higher.
WMS 03/10 Cup hdl 39.10 +0.13 39.79 45.75 517K 600K 38.29
Current. Made a decent show of coming back from the Tuesday
dump lower. Has to show us some upside this week to
indicate it is not going to languish here for weeks.
WNR 02/22 Cup hdl 36.52 +1.18 28.25 33.89 1.1M 450K 34.95
Knocking the cover off the market w/a strong volume, strong price move Friday to cap a week of strong gains. Impressive & just letting it run though getting a bit extended on this leg. If it gaps higher & starts to turn you can take some $ off table.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABB 03/13 HdShldr 16.76 +0.01 16.35 15.00 1.7M 2.5M 16.89
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the high and closed with a
nice, tight doji on low volume. Good set up to continue
lower this week after that low volume rebound to test
near resistance.
ABC 03/13 HdShldr 51.86 -0.39 51.22 49.21 1.2M 1.5M 51.65
Buy Not Issued. Closed below the buy point but that was after running down to the 50 day EMA and then rebounded up above the 18 day EMA. With that kind of volatility we decided to hold off and see if it will continue lower & thru the 50 day EMA (51.33).
ACAS 03/08 Put 43.87 -0.10 43.00 41.00 1.1M 1.6M 42.85
Current. Gapped higher Thursday but on very low volume, stalling at the 18 day EMA. Friday it sagged modestly, still struggling at resistance. Still looks really ripe for a drop from here & looking at more positions on a move below 43.60.
AEO 03/15 Put 29.89 -0.09 29.86 28.11 2.3M 4.2M 30.39
Buy Not Issued. Toyed with the buy point all Friday but volume was
very low after some other retailers had some good results.
Once that news wears off for next week AEO is primed
to move lower.
AMP 03/17 HdShldr 55.15 -0.36 54.95 52.45 2.3M 1.4M 55.55
New.
C 03/17 Put 49.53 -0.60 49.39 48.12 31M 22M 50.08
New.
CCU 03/12 Put 35.16 -0.07 34.84 33.38 6.6M 6M 35.31
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 10 day EMA on low volume. Looks ready
to turn down adn really give us a good move lower from
this topping pattern.
CHRS 02/27 Put 11.97 -0.01 12.10 11.09 1.3M 975K 12.04
Current. Doji below the 10 day EMA as CHRS sets up to continue
its move lower below that resistance level.
CL 03/14 HdShldr 65.10 -0.16 65.08 63.55 2.4M 2M 65.91
Current. Undercut 65 on rising voluem but rebounded to just
hang onto that level. Still looks ready for a much
nastier drop.
GS 03/10 Put 199.00 -1.89 199.45 192.25 11M 8M 220.10
Current. Faded back from the 10 day EMA on rising trade. Still
has the look it is going to roll over and head back
toward 190ish. A good $4 to $5 plunge and we have a
nice gain in our options.
PHRM 03/03 Put 26.25 +0.27 25.98 23.65 673K 600K 26.82
Buy Not Issued. Bounced up Friday on some strong volume, falling back
through the 10 day EMA to close. Still watching for
a break lower. It is set up but we just have to wait
and let it show us the move.
PSA 03/17 HdShldr 95.79 -1.68 95.45 92.00 1.3M 1.5M 96.25
New.
SONC 02/27 Put 20.60 -0.25 21.35 20.00 1.1M 625K 20.88
Current. America's favorite drive through is driving lower, fading from the Thursday test of the 18 day EMA. Money flow is ugly and volume on the downside is strong. Relative strength should be called relative weakness. Like it.
SPY 03/15 Put 138.53 -0.94 139.65 137.10 122M 70M 139.38
Current. Headed lower as expected, but once more SPY found some
support at 128 as it did last trip lower. Still looking
for more downside this week, and if 138 breaks we could
see it at 135ish rather quickly.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 45.41 +0.41 45.02 43.58 5M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Strong volume Friday, the strongest in two weeks as it tried the 18 day EMA on the high and fading to close just below the 10 day EMA. Needs to stall here and make a lower high. Still a weak pattern and begging the rollover.
TOL 03/17 Put 28.40 -0.42 28.15 26.12 3.2M 3.8M 28.88
New.
End part 2 of 3
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