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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACL 03/05 Test 50 127.63 +0.23 127.38 137.00 338K 650K 126.95
Lower volume as it tried that February high last week
and then sold on stronger volume Friday. If it cannot
bounce from here it is time to get out & see if it
fills that February gap higher.
ACL 03/05 PreAnn 127.63 +0.23 130.75 142.00 338K 650K 126.95
Buy Not Hit.
ANST 02/28 Test BO 31.49 +0.86 31.01 35.95 247K 325K 30.22
Current. Another solid move up off the 50 day EMA though volume
lagged as it moved higher. No complaints with this
nice surge off of this key support level.
ASCA 02/22 Cup hdl 33.45 +0.39 33.77 40.95 239K 325K 32.56
Current. Held steady Monday with a modest gain on no volume.
Just puttering sideways as it tries to set up a more
definitive move as the one it started a week ago has
stalled into a sideways move.
ATW 03/10 Cup hdl 54.08 +2.37 53.88 61.45 910K 650K 51.68
Entered today. Nice strong breakout as energy enjoyed a strong session.
BA 02/03 Test BO 90.32 +0.32 91.65 102.95 3.6M 5.8M 89.78
Current. Modest gain, showing a doji over the 10 day EMA as
BA consolidates the early March move off the lows and
sets up for another try to the upside.
BKE 03/17 Asc Bse 34.98 +0.32 35.94 41.38 232K 235K 34.25
Buy Not Hit. Very strong volume Monday but just crouching at the
18 day EMA, ready to make a higher low and spring upside.
It is ready, now needs to unbuckle the move.
BWLD 03/03 DB hdl 59.47 +2.51 57.38 64.75 508K 450K 56.48
Current. Volume moved up above average as the buffalo wings
it sprouted last week continue to propel it higher.
Now trading at a new all-time high.
CMTL 03/14 Cup 36.91 0.00 37.85 43.85 122K 345K 35.78
Buy Not Hit. And yet another doji Monday on low volume as CMTL continues
its tight lateral range that is setting up the breakout
nicely.
CNMD 03/14 Test BO 28.10 +0.30 27.94 32.95 447K 350K 26.49
Buy Not Issued. Edging through 28 on continued above avg volume. If
it can continue it is a buy.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 33.11 +0.04 31.05 34.95 1.2M 1.1M 32.15
Current. Held steady Monday after a nice break higher. Nice
uptrend above the 10 day EMA and just letting it continue
this run.
DLTR 03/01 PreAnn 36.04 +0.46 34.65 39.95 1.3M 1.2M 35.35
Current. Decent upside move Monday off the 10 day EMA on rising
though still below avg volume. Nice trend up the 10
day is continuing & will let the stock continue this
move higher.
EQT 03/15 Asc Tri 45.17 +1.10 44.57 50.95 728K 800K 42.48
Buy Not Issued. Big price move and probably should have pulled the trigger but volume was lower and still below avg. If it continues we will take a few positions, let it test if it will, then add some more when it holds and starts to break higher.
EXC 03/12 Test BO 66.71 +0.93 66.85 74.88 1.8M 4M 65.04
Current. No volume but reversed the Friday drop to the 10 day
EMA and continues the move up this near support level.
FLIR 03/05 Test 50 33.80 +0.09 34.65 39.35 326K 750K 33.98
Current. Basically flat Monday as FLIR continued along the 50
day EMA, still trying to set up for another break higher
after the last attempt got caught in last week's selling
session.
FOSL 03/10 PreAnn 25.85 +0.15 27.24 32.71 278K 600K 25.97
Buy Not Hit. Still holding just below the 10 & 18 day EMA Monday
on low volume, trying to hold the line and continue
higher from here with a higher low.
GIL 03/10 PreAnn 55.49 +0.24 55.35 63.75 115K 350K 53.89
Buy Not Issued. Still below average volume Monday as GIL continued
its lateral move just over the November highs, waiting
for the 10 day EMA (54.50) to catch up with it.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 53.70 +0.99 53.12 63.75 391K 385K 51.04
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but closed off the high on lower but
continued above avg volume. Still set to move, and
if it continues from here it is a buy.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 21.13 +0.64 20.11 23.88 250K 450K 19.91
Current. Another solid gain as HMSY continues its move off of
the 50 day EMA test. Volume was back below avg but
the initial move was on solid trade.
HNT 03/17 FlyPlat 54.93 +0.75 55.10 62.95 906K 1.5M 53.31
Entered today. Gapped higher and volume was solid early, but it faded
back as the session wore on. Managed to hold its gap
and still looks solid to continue higher.
HOC 03/13 Asc Bse 58.69 +1.71 57.73 64.95 828K 750K 55.87
Current. Excellent move with a gap higher on rising volume,
closing at a new all-time high. Excellent action continues
as HOC rallies above its 10 day EMA.
KG 03/08 Cup hdl 19.09 +0.23 19.05 22.95 2.1M 3.8M 18.21
Buy Not Issued. Another one of those good Monday price moves that had no volume behind it. Without the trade we were hesitant to enter. Will see how it performs over the next few sessions to see if it tests or can show us more strength in volume Tuesday and warrant a buy
MCHP 03/13 Cup 36.06 -0.38 37.21 42.88 1.8M 3.1M 35.98
Buy Not Hit. Faded to close through the 18 day EMA but held support
at 36. Volume was lo. Still a nice pattern and just
hanging around waiting for it to shows us the move.
MM 03/13 DB hdl 44.01 +1.08 42.12 48.65 605K 545K 41.97
Current. Managing to show some mettle with a strong price and
volume surge as MMA continues its new breakout move.
Solid. Iron-clad.
MRO 03/13 PreAnn 95.50 +2.21 95.25 107.95 4.7M 5.3M 92.45
Buy not hit. Basically working laterally the past two weeks, setting up the break above 95. Good volume the last half of the week. Just being patient and letting it show us the breakout move.
NKE 03/01 PreSplt 108.32 +0.85 105.67 115.00 1.4M 2M 105.88
Current. Coasted higher Monday after the strong price and volume
surge Friday off the 18 day EMA. Another good strong
push and we will look at banking some of the option gain.
NOV 03/06 PreAnn 75.35 +2.44 72.33 79.95 2.4M 4.3M 72.68
Current. Strong price move off the 10 day EMA on on low volume.
NOV is in a solid uptrend, running higher up the 10
day EMA with a series of bounces.
NX 01/23 Trnd Rv 41.36 +0.78 39.29 44.88 297K 500K 40.54
Current. Not getting any strong buy side support but NX continues
moving higher after tested the 18 day EMA last week.
PD 03/15 PreAnn 129.47 +0.97 128.25 144.45 8.7M 4.5M 124.95
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher on much stronger volume but not a tremendous move. Edging higher but likely to give us a quick test for a session before coninuing. Will watch for that test and then when it starts back upside the next session (or there abouts) we move in.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 133.20 -1.29 145.31 159.95 5M 13M 142.22
Current. Sagged to the 90 day MA on the close on continued below
avg volume. This is where it needs to hold and set
a higher low.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 133.20 -1.29 135.96 154.89 5M 10M 142.22
Current.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 36.45 +0.99 35.17 39.95 8.1M 10M 34.68
Current. No volume but RIO continued higher off the 10 day EMA.
Letting it work for us as long as it will.
RL 02/15 Asc Bse 85.50 +1.68 85.55 96.45 724K 1.2M 85.21
Current. Nice jump higher Monday off the 50 day MA as RL makes
a higher low at that key support level. Now wee see
if it can do anything with it.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 20.54 +2.24 19.54 23.45 1.2M 425K 18.18
Entered today. Excellent surge off of the 10 day EMA as ROCM wasted
no time in rocketing higher off this test.
ROCM 03/10 DB hdl 20.54 +2.24 17.45 20.95 1.2M 350K 18.57
Current.
SPN 03/12 DB hdl 34.26 +0.70 34.11 39.95 721K 2M 21.31
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but very low volume and could not take
the move any farther. If it gets some trade then it
is a buy on this move.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 40.57 +0.60 40.55 46.65 127K 205K 39.41
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but on low, below avg volume so we were
not buying this move just yet. If it continues here
we venture some positions and see how the volume comes in.
SSYS 03/01 Test BO 40.57 +0.60 39.04 44.95 127K 175K 39.97
Current.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 65.55 +0.33 64.03 73.42 1.1M 1.7M 63.87
Current. Gapped higher Monday as it conitues its move higher
above the 10 day EMA.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 32.82 +0.17 33.47 38.65 241K 900K 31.13
Buy Not Hit. Going to drop it now but keep watching it to see if
it sets up further. When we like what we see we will
put it back on.
TK 03/15 Asc Bse 52.45 -0.30 52.38 58.45 618K 600K 50.25
Current. Took a lower volume breather Monday after that strong
breakout on Friday.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 17.16 +0.24 16.41 19.45 323K 725K 16.55
Current. Tried to extend the move to 17.70 but could only hold
part of the gain given the low, below avg trade. Still
a solid pattern and UCTT really looks like a break
higher from here is in the cards.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 60.79 +0.78 61.15 68.89 12M 12M 59.31
Current. Moved up off the 10 day EMA test from Friday with some rising but still below avg volume. Still in great shape, just want more of a breakaway upside move after this 2 week lateral move. The 10 day EMA has caught up with it so it could be anytime.
VMC 03/10 PreAnn 115.48 +0.49 117.65 134.85 853K 1.4M 114.00
Buy Not Issued. Doji at the 18 day EMA on low volume as we still await
VMC's big move higher. Nice set up but you have to
see the break higher from these patterns to feel good
about the entry.
VSEA 03/03 Test BO 48.95 -0.77 48.05 54.95 1.7M 2M 45.31
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher in the Monday excitement but then gave
it all back and more on rising, above avg volume. Still
a nice pattern, but still ready for the move higher
from this pattern.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 54.34 -0.53 54.48 61.95 3.3M 5.4M 54.68
Current. Still holding the 18 day EMA, easing back Monday on
lower, below avg volume. Still nice relative strength
but need hold here and deliver another break higher
to show the recent high was not a low volume second top.
XTO 01/30 PreAnn 51.53 +1.01 52.32 59.89 2.3M 4.5M 51.31
Current. Gapped higher but no volume. Not participating in the
energy run but it is holding up. Need to see a break
above 52 to really show us it has joined the game.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABB 03/13 HdShldr 16.99 +0.23 16.35 15.00 2.2M 2.5M 16.89
Current. Gapped higher and tapped the 50 day EMA Monday and
backed off. Low trade as it bumps key resistance. Want
to see it fill the gap and more after this low volume
bounce with a market relief bounce.
ABC 03/13 HdShldr 53.30 +1.44 51.22 49.21 1.2M 1.5M 51.65
Buy Not Issued. Continued higher after bouncing over the 50 day EMA
last week. Dropping but will keep watching it since
the move higher is on low volume.
AEO 03/15 Put 30.00 +0.11 29.86 28.11 2.5M 4.2M 30.39
Buy Not Issued. Unable to participate in the market rally, still holding
below the 10 day EMA and still primed to fade.
AMP 03/17 HdShldr 57.52 +2.37 54.95 52.45 2.1M 1.4M 55.55
Buy Not Hit. Jumped higher on solid volume above the 90 day EMA,
closing below the 50 day MA. Can still fall from here
but going to drop it for now and keep an eye on it
to see if it does turn back over.
C 03/17 Put 50.06 +0.53 49.39 48.12 17M 22M 50.08
Buy Not Hit. Low volume move up to the 10 day EMA where it stalled.
Still very much looks like a downside move to come.
CCU 03/12 Put 35.64 +0.48 34.84 33.38 10M 6M 35.31
Buy Not Issued. Bounced higher up to tap the 50 & 90 day MA on the
intraday high. Volume was up. Don't like the rising
trade so going to drop for now.
GS 03/10 Put 202.44 +3.44 199.45 192.25 8.2M 8M 202.10
Current. Gapped higher as financials recovered but volume was
below avg for the first time in a month. Not a powerful
move and still in position to turn over for a really
hard drop.
PHRM 03/03 Put 26.94 +0.69 25.98 23.65 281K 600K 26.82
Buy Not Issued. Rallied up to the 90 day EMA on low volume. Will continue
to watch it but going to drop for now.
SONC 02/27 Put 20.76 +0.16 21.35 20.00 992K 625K 20.88
Current. Held above the Friday low nd recovered some ground.
Above average but lower volume, but still in the downtrend
below the 10 day EMA.
SPY 03/15 Put 140.20 +1.67 139.65 137.10 96M 70M 139.38
Current. Managed to move thru the 10 day EMA but closed below
the 18 day EMA on lower, below avg volume. It will
likely fail at the 18 day (140.58) and we will add
positions on that turn over.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 46.49 +1.08 45.02 43.58 3M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Gapped higher and closed with a solid session on low, below avg volume. Will watch for a test of 46 Tuesday and see how it holds that. This one still has downside in it and when it rolls back over we are going in with more positions.
TOL 03/17 Put 28.80 +0.40 28.15 26.12 3.5M 3.8M 28.88
Buy Not Hit. Tried to move back through the 200 day MA but closed
off the high and right at that level on lower trade.
Still just being patient and waiting to see if TOL
runs out of dimes and at key resistance and fails.
End part 2 of 3
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