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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 02/21 Test 50 93.52 -0.44 89.11 99.75 16M 42M 91.32
Current. Excellent week for AAPL as it definitively cleared
the 90 level. Spent Thurs & Fri easing back modestly
on lower trade, setting up for the run to 100. Low
volume on the entire move so not sweating that too much.
ACTG 03/08 Asc Bse 15.90 -0.24 15.31 18.48 139K 300K 15.38
Current. Easing back Thurs and Friday on lower volume after
an excellent breakout move to start the week. A test
of the 10 day EMA (15.47) & a bounce off of that is
another entry point.
AMKR 03/21 Asc Bse 12.85 +0.14 12.77 15.35 2.5M 3.2M 11.88
Buy Not Issued. Edged higher on no volume. Thought about it given the
stronger, above avg volume Wednesday & Thursday, but
will wait and see how it reacts to early this week.
Still well within the buy zone.
ANST 02/28 Test BO 32.30 +0.05 31.01 35.95 116K 325K 31.08
Current. Stalled out some to close the week, but it was a week that saw ANST build on the prior Fridays break higher off the 50 day EMA and a short double bottom at that key level. Willing to let it run for us. Likely to pause here & then resume.
ARD 03/19 Asc Bse 48.13 -0.04 46.82 55.95 278K 389K 44.08
Buy Not Issued. Wobbly finish to a good week, starting to stall some.
That is fine as a pullback in the 47 range gives us
a solid entry point.
ASCA 02/22 Cup hdl 34.44 +0.38 33.77 40.95 274K 325K 33.21
Current. Getting some better volume (average) as ASCA breaks
to a new March high. Maybe now it will get some wind
in its sails.
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 10.03 -0.08 9.55 11.77 10M 15M 9.77
Current. A good start to the week fizzled to close it out, but
it started a better trend up the 10 day EMA this week.
BRLI 03/17 Asc Bse 25.42 +0.33 25.57 29.78 91K 230K 24.57
Buy Not Issued. Turned higher on stronger but still below avg volume.
Promising, but needs some more trade to show us the
buyers are behind it.
CMC 03/19 Asc Bse 30.32 +0.20 29.54 34.95 1.6M 1.8M 28.95
Current. Solid week, posting a break above the February high. Nice volume as it surged, stalling some Friday on lower but still solid trade. Nice run. May take a bit of a breather, but the strong trade on the move says it will just be modest.
CMTL 03/14 Cup 37.56 +0.25 37.85 43.85 170K 345K 35.78
Buy Not Issued. Finished the week still in the lateral move, still
waiting for the break higher from a nice set up. Looks
like just a matter of time.
COGO 03/20 Rev HS 17.74 -0.06 17.24 20.65 310K 800K 16.03
Buy Not Issued. Ran out of steam to end the week, but a good break higher early on. Likely to test a bit after the run higher, and after an early week test it will be in better position to buy as it rebounds. Still a nice pattern, but a handle here would be great.
CTCM 03/19 DB hdl 26.18 +0.42 26.05 30.42 245K 677K 24.78
Current. Solid jump higher Wednesday as CTCM broke out from
its base. Finished the week sluggish, but like the
start of the move.
CVNS 03/10 Test BO 27.09 -0.17 25.84 30.78 234K 300K 26.11
Current. Great week for CVNS as it cleared the February high.
Faded modestly Friday, but a great start to the next
leg of the move.
FORM 03/15 Cup hdl 45.92 -1.05 46.69 55.95 767K 1.2M 45.98
Current. Received a downgrade after breaking out Wednesday;
the plight of strong stocks. It should hold here and
start back up. Still an excellent pattern.
FRED 03/22 Cup hdl 15.62 +0.36 15.65 18.58 636K 450K 14.78
Entered today. Nice break higher continues as FRED cleared the May
and September highs. Key to make higher highs and that
paves the way for much more upside.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 55.17 -0.43 56.05 66.25 166K 385K 53.62
Current. Nice move on the week, ending it with a low volume
fade Thurs & Friday. Forming a short handle to its
double bottom, and that is going to set up a sweeter
break higher.
GLW 03/20 DB hdl 22.99 +0.05 22.92 27.85 8.7M 22M 22.25
Current. Strong move to start the week, then a lateral slide on low volume to end it. Broke over the February high and held it. Made that important higher high and now can work on the next. Taking its time making the move, however.
GSS 03/07 Cup hdl 4.39 -0.01 4.22 5.18 3M 5M 4.15
Current. Great week for GSS as volume poured in and it jumped
off the 18 day EMA test. Closed the week flat, but
a great start to the next leg higher.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 22.61 -0.03 20.11 23.88 173K 450K 21.57
Current. Great week form HMSY as it matched the February high and we took some of the gain. Volume was very low the entire move so we have to remain cautious into this week that it does not reverse. Low volume 2nd peaks can be trouble.
HOC 03/13 Asc Bse 61.37 +1.01 57.73 64.95 608K 750K 58.68
Current. Excellent week, surging higher and continuing the the
breakout move. It is a refiner so it is printing money
right now. It is also making us money as it does.
ISE 03/21 Cup 48.07 -0.18 49.44 55.45 300K 1.2M 46.42
Buy Not Hit. Doji at the 90 day MA to end the week. Nice set up,
making a higher low and ready for the next break higher
in the base.
IVN 03/13 Test BO 11.69 -0.05 11.65 14.35 1.2M 1.2M 11.38
Buy Not Issued. Finally got some volume Friday but closed flat after
gapping higher. Still a nice set up to start the next leg.
LEH 03/21 Dbl btm 73.50 +0.33 74.89 85.85 4.1M 6M 72.28
Buy Not Hit. Ended the week fading back to test the 200 day. Going
to drop this for now and look toward GS and MS this week.
LHCG 03/22 Test BO 30.87 +0.66 30.74 35.35 411K 225K 29.11
Entered today. Excellent volume again as LHCG continued the Thursday
break higher off the 50 day EMA. Nice action and strong
technical underpinnings.
LPSN 03/12 Test BO 7.38 0.00 7.12 8.75 383K 400K 6.88
Current. Great wee to start with a huge break higher then walked
laterally into Friday. Solid start to the play.
MA 03/22 Cup 109.86 +0.29 110.78 121.00 635K 4.5M 106.74
Buy Not Hit. Very, very low volume as MA spend another day working
on the handle to its base. Like this action a lot.
Another couple of days like this and it will be ready
to make the move.
MFB 03/20 DB hdl 23.12 +1.04 21.75 25.95 368K 332K 20.52
Buy Not Issued. Lulled us with those low volume moves and then jumped
away from us Friday. Might be kicking ourselves over
this one. Will look for a test of 22.50ish to give
us another entry shot.
NUAN 03/17 Dbl btm 15.98 -0.22 14.38 17.65 4.2M 5.5M 13.77
Buy Not Issued. Ran away from us Wednesday as we waited for a pullback
post-Fed. Now we wait for a pullback toward 15.50 to
test and hold to give us another entry point.
OIH 03/14 Rolling 147.00 +0.82 142.35 150.88 9.4M 16M 144.04
Current. Great week, rising with oil and the energy sector. Gapped higher to show a doji Friday, but not going to sweat that too much. Now we can take some option gain at this point if it cannot proceed higher. 35%ish gain in options here.
PRFT 03/11 Test 50 20.64 -0.08 20.25 23.95 147K 600K 19.05
Buy Not Issued. Sharp move Wednesday but no volume. Finished the week
with two lateral moves, setting up the break higher
with a short handle here. Setting up well. Just needs
to show us the break higher.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 36.98 +0.03 35.17 39.95 7.1M 10M 35.55
Current. Rallied up to the February highs on th week, showing some good volume Wednesday then some churn Thursday. Key point for it. Can fade back to the 10 day MA (36.14), make a higher low, & then make the next surge. That is what it needs.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 21.90 +1.18 19.54 23.45 663K 425K 19.94
Current. What a week with a strong Monday breakout, a test,
and then surging Friday on very strong trade once more.
What a move is underway.
ROLL 03/21 DB hdl 31.97 -0.53 32.89 38.95 103K 205K 31.77
Buy Not Hit. Slipped through the 18 day EMA Friday on low volume.
May be the final shakeout before it breaks higher.
Dropping for now but will keep watching it.
RS 03/20 Cup hdl 46.42 -0.06 46.68 53.68 767K 1M 44.11
Buy Not Issued. Looks to be forming a handle after a strong jump higher
Tuesday. A couple more lateral moves and it has set
up a nice 6 week double bottom with handle base.
SIGA 03/15 Test BO 5.13 -0.07 5.25 6.57 1M 1.6M 4.88
Current. Gapped higher Friday but then gave back a fraction.
Solid return to the upside Thursday, and looking for
that to continue this week as SIGA continues the breakout
move after the test.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 43.39 +0.30 42.15 47.85 83K 205K 41.75
Current. Strong start to the week with a new break higher on strong volume off the 10 day EMA as it continues the breakout run. Closed the week working laterally. Will take off again as the 10 day EMA rises to catch up with the move.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 65.26 -0.68 64.03 73.42 2.7M 1.7M 65.95
Current. Rallied on the FOMC result and we took some gain off
the table. It faded to close the week at the 10 day
EMA on a big volume surge. Has to hold here.
TESOF 03/01 Cup hdl 25.87 -0.08 22.43 26.48 178K 165K 24.95
Current. Excellent week again but started to stall near 26.50
so took some gain Thursday on a gap higher that faded.
Will likely test toward 25 and then start up again.
TRW 03/01 Test BO 35.04 +0.04 30.55 35.95 739K 530K 33.72
Current. A great week on top of a great run this month. Strong
trade on the week. May test some after this surge,
letting the 10 day EMA (33.80) catch up w/it.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 18.52 +0.01 16.41 19.45 346K 725K 17.48
Current. Excellent surge this week, breaking to a new all-time high with some volume. Tapped 19 on the highs to end week but stalled there. Still in a great uptrend & just letting it run higher. Another tap at 19 that cannot break thru & we can take some gain.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 26.48 -1.04 27.32 32.45 1.8M 2.9M 26.24
Current. Not yet clicking along for us yet, fading to the 50 day EMA on the Friday close. Volume remained low. Nice pattern continues. Just looking for other investors to decide VCLK is a value.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 63.60 +3.44 54.48 61.95 7.9M 5.4M 61.25
Current. What a week for WFR, surging on a new breakout Tuesday
and flying higher all week on continued strong trade.
Just letting it run for now.
WNR 02/22 Cup hdl 39.30 +0.03 28.25 33.89 884K 450K 37.38
Current. What a week for WNR. What a month. It started to stall
at 40, however, signaling it is ready for a rest.
Took some nice gain on the move and willing to let
the stock positions test.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACAS 03/08 Put 44.85 +0.13 43.00 41.00 1.5M 1.6M 42.85
Current. Finished the week moving laterally below the 50 day
EMA (45.09). If it does not break lower from this early
this week we have to close it.
AEO 03/15 Put 30.90 +0.38 30.24 28.57 1.4M 4.2M 31.05
Buy Not Issued. Moved on thru the 10 & 18 day EMA but is now at the 50 day EMA (31) on very low volume. This is the lick log for the move; it drops or rallies higher. The low volume rebound favors a fall. We will let it show us the move starting & then we move in.
CL 03/14 HdShldr 67.12 +0.07 65.08 63.55 1.5M 2M 65.91
Current. Held the 50 day SMA to close the week (66.94). Bounced
on very low trade suggesting it won't hold, but needs
to get back below the 50 day MA early this week.
CSE 03/20 Put 24.65 +0.07 24.34 22.35 631K 1.2M 24.84
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 18 day EMA (24.75). Tried to move higher
late in the week but volume was very low. Just going
to sit back and see if it makes the plunge from here.
GS 03/10 Put 211.89 +1.81 199.45 192.25 5.2M 8M 202.10
Current. Added back the Thursday loss as it starts to work laterally.
If it does not fade early this week we close it and
flip to the upside as it forms a handle.
SPY 03/15 Put 143.39 +0.21 139.65 137.10 74M 70M 139.38
Current. Worked laterally to end the week after the big FOMC
Wednesday surge, working on a handle to its double
bottom. Any fade this week we are looking to close it.
SYY 03/22 Put 32.96 +0.30 32.46 31.00 3.5M 3M 33.05
Buy Not Hit. Bounced back up to the 200 day MA (32.95) on lower
but still above avg volume. This is the lick log for
SYY; it is going to rise or fall from here because
the big money either buys at the 200 day or sells.
End part 2 of 3
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