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Begin part 2 of 3
NOTE: Part 3 with new plays will be forwarded later today.
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACTG 03/08 Asc Bse 15.90 -0.24 15.31 18.48 139K 300K 15.38
Current. Easing back Thurs and Friday on lower volume after
an excellent breakout move to start the week. A test
of the 10 day EMA (15.47) & a bounce off of that is
another entry point.
ANAD 03/21 Asc Bse 12.81 -0.15 13.55 16.32 1.8M 2.6M 12.68
Buy Not Hit. Excellent set up for this week with a low volume pullback
to the 10 day EMA to end the week, setting a higher
low and the breakout move.
ANST 02/28 Test BO 32.30 +0.05 31.01 35.95 116K 325K 31.08
Current.
ARD 03/19 Asc Bse 48.13 -0.04 46.82 55.95 278K 389K 44.08
Buy Not Issued. Wobbly finish to a good week, starting to stall some.
That is fine as a pullback in the 47 range gives us
a solid entry point.
BA 02/03 Test BO 90.98 +0.41 91.65 102.95 2.3M 5.8M 89.78
Current. Spent the week working laterally in a very nice handle
to its 18 week base. It is now setting up very nicely
for a breakout.
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 10.03 -0.08 9.55 11.77 10M 15M 9.77
Current. A good start to the week fizzled to close it out, but
it started a better trend up the 10 day EMA this week.
CLB 03/19 Asc Bse 84.74 -0.42 82.96 92.95 239K 450K 79.78
Buy Not Issued. Volume was up as CLB broke higher but never crossed
average. A bit of a slide back to start the week forms
a handle that sets up a stronger breakout.
CMC 03/19 Asc Bse 30.32 +0.20 29.54 34.95 1.6M 1.8M 28.95
Current. Solid week, posting a break above the February high. Nice volume as it surged, stalling some Friday on lower but still solid trade. Nice run. May take a bit of a breather, but the strong trade on the move says it will just be modest.
CMTL 03/14 Cup 37.56 +0.25 37.85 43.85 170K 345K 35.78
Buy Not Issued. Finished the week still in the lateral move, still
waiting for the break higher from a nice set up. Looks
like just a matter of time.
COGO 03/20 Rev HS 17.74 -0.06 17.24 20.65 310K 800K 16.03
Buy Not Issued. Ran out of steam to end the week, but a good break higher early on. Likely to test a bit after the run higher, and after an early week test it will be in better position to buy as it rebounds. Still a nice pattern, but a handle here would be great.
CTCM 03/19 DB hdl 26.18 +0.42 26.05 30.42 245K 677K 24.78
Current. Solid jump higher Wednesday as CTCM broke out from
its base. Finished the week sluggish, but like the
start of the move.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 33.94 +0.17 31.05 34.95 682K 1.1M 32.95
Current. Another strong week logged by CYTC as it surged out
of a lateral consolidation. Fiinished the week on lower
volume, easing back to test. A great run in progress.
EQT 03/15 Asc Tri 47.45 -0.12 44.57 50.95 628K 800K 45.95
Excellent week as EQT surged higher with a gap and
run. Ran out of gas Friday and likely to test the move
a bit.
EXC 03/12 Test BO 67.72 -0.02 66.85 74.88 3.9M 4M 67.32
Current. After a great start to the week EXC struggled but held
the 10 day EMA on the lows. Still set to move higher
after this small set back.
FORM 03/15 Cup hdl 45.92 -1.05 46.69 55.95 767K 1.2M 45.98
Current. Received a downgrade after breaking out Wednesday;
the plight of strong stocks. It should hold here and
start back up. Still an excellent pattern.
GIGM 03/19 Test BO 13.95 +0.21 13.45 15.65 2M 1.5M 13.05
Current. Nice break higher to start the week, moving to a 7
year high. Tried to extend Friday but faded well off
the high to close. Nice move on the week.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 55.17 -0.43 56.05 66.25 166K 385K 53.62
Current. Nice move on the week, ending it with a low volume
fade Thurs & Friday. Forming a short handle to its
double bottom, and that is going to set up a sweeter
break higher.
GLW 03/20 DB hdl 22.99 +0.05 22.92 27.85 8.7M 22M 22.25
Current. Strong move to start the week, then a lateral slide on low volume to end it. Broke over the February high and held it. Made that important higher high and now can work on the next. Taking its time making the move, however.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 22.61 -0.03 20.11 23.88 173K 450K 21.57
Current. Great week form HMSY as it matched the February high and we took some of the gain. Volume was very low the entire move so we have to remain cautious into this week that it does not reverse. Low volume 2nd peaks can be trouble.
HNT 03/17 FlyPlat 55.42 -0.56 55.10 62.95 704K 1.5M 54.00
Current. Nice break higher from the lateral range but not a
lot of trade as it made new high ground. Still in solid
health.
ISE 03/21 Cup 48.07 -0.18 49.44 55.45 300K 1.2M 46.42
Buy Not Hit. Doji at the 90 day MA to end the week. Nice set up,
making a higher low and ready for the next break higher
in the base.
ISRG 03/22 Cup 121.67 +1.01 121.67 135.00 767K 1M 118.25
Entered today. Extended Thursday's big break higher though volume
was a lighter. Solid breakout and looking for ISRG
to surge up the right side of its base.
IVN 03/13 Test BO 11.69 -0.05 11.65 14.35 1.2M 1.2M 11.38
Buy Not Issued. Finally got some volume Friday but closed flat after
gapping higher. Still a nice set up to start the next leg.
KCI 03/12 Test 50 49.75 -0.77 50.72 58.95 560K 1.2M 47.95
Buy Not Issued. Still holding the 10 and 18 day EMA on low volume, now in its 7th week on this lateral move. Looks as if it needs more time to base. Will continue watching it but dropping for now.
LEH 03/21 Dbl btm 73.50 +0.33 74.89 85.85 4.1M 6M 72.28
Buy Not Hit. Ended the week fading back to test the 200 day. Going
to drop this for now and look toward GS and MS this week.
LHCG 03/22 Test BO 30.87 +0.66 30.74 35.35 411K 225K 29.11
Entered today. Excellent volume again as LHCG continued the Thursday
break higher off the 50 day EMA. Nice action and strong
technical underpinnings.
MA 03/22 Cup 109.86 +0.29 110.78 121.00 635K 4.5M 106.74
Buy Not Hit. Very, very low volume as MA spend another day working
on the handle to its base. Like this action a lot.
Another couple of days like this and it will be ready
to make the move.
MCHP 03/13 Cup 36.51 -0.19 37.21 42.88 1.4M 3.1M 35.98
Buy Not Hit. Faded to end the week on low volume, closing at the
10 day EMA. Still set up very well to give us the breakout
move.
MFB 03/20 DB hdl 23.12 +1.04 21.75 25.95 368K 332K 20.52
Buy Not Issued. Lulled us with those low volume moves and then jumped
away from us Friday. Might be kicking ourselves over
this one. Will look for a test of 22.50ish to give
us another entry shot.
MM 03/13 DB hdl 45.66 +0.17 42.12 48.65 215K 545K 43.78
Current. Great week for MM as it continued the prior weeks breakout from its 5 week base. Rallied up to 46 and ran into some resistance. Took some gain Thursday. Likely to test some but will let it do that and pick up more as it holds & bounces again.
NUAN 03/17 Dbl btm 15.98 -0.22 14.38 17.65 4.2M 5.5M 13.77
Buy Not Issued. Ran away from us Wednesday as we waited for a pullback
post-Fed. Now we wait for a pullback toward 15.50 to
test and hold to give us another entry point.
PCLN 03/10 FlyPlat 54.20 -1.06 53.55 61.65 750K 1.7M 51.15
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the low after the average
volume gap higher Thursday. This may be the shakeout
that sets the move. Ready to move in as it continues
higher.
PRFT 03/11 Test 50 20.64 -0.08 20.25 23.95 147K 600K 19.05
Buy Not Issued. Sharp move Wednesday but no volume. Finished the week
with two lateral moves, setting up the break higher
with a short handle here. Setting up well. Just needs
to show us the break higher.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 137.27 +0.73 145.31 159.95 3.5M 13M 142.22
Current. Nice end to the week after an early week shakeout that
held 130 support and pushed RIMM back above the 50
day EMA. A short test this week sets a higher low and
a launch point for the next rally.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 137.27 +0.73 135.96 154.89 3.5M 10M 142.22
Current.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 36.98 +0.03 35.17 39.95 7.1M 10M 35.55
Current. Rallied up to the February highs on th week, showing some good volume Wednesday then some churn Thursday. Key point for it. Can fade back to the 10 day MA (36.14), make a higher low, & then make the next surge. That is what it needs.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 21.90 +1.18 19.54 23.45 663K 425K 19.94
Current. What a week with a strong Monday breakout, a test,
and then surging Friday on very strong trade once more.
What a move is underway.
RS 03/20 Cup hdl 46.42 -0.06 46.68 53.68 767K 1M 44.11
Buy Not Issued. Looks to be forming a handle after a strong jump higher
Tuesday. A couple more lateral moves and it has set
up a nice 6 week double bottom with handle base.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 43.39 +0.30 42.15 47.85 83K 205K 41.75
Current. Strong start to the week with a new break higher on strong volume off the 10 day EMA as it continues the breakout run. Closed the week working laterally. Will take off again as the 10 day EMA rises to catch up with the move.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 65.26 -0.68 64.03 73.42 2.7M 1.7M 65.95
Current. Rallied on the FOMC result and we took some gain off
the table. It faded to close the week at the 10 day
EMA on a big volume surge. Has to hold here.
TK 03/15 Asc Bse 54.08 +0.21 52.38 58.45 206K 600K 52.42
Current. A great week as TK broke out and ran to a new all-time
high. Volume faded as it made the new high so might
need a test before moving back up, but solid action
overall.
TRW 03/01 Test BO 35.04 +0.04 30.55 35.95 739K 530K 33.72
Current. A great week on top of a great run this month. Strong
trade on the week. May test some after this surge,
letting the 10 day EMA (33.80) catch up w/it.
TZOO 03/21 Cup hdl 38.31 -0.02 38.68 46.45 238K 500K 36.32
Buy Not Issued. Huge break higher Monday and then threatened to continue
the move all week but could not get the trade to push
it. Still set up very well to continue the breakout move.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 18.52 +0.01 16.41 19.45 346K 725K 17.48
Current. Excellent surge this week, breaking to a new all-time high with some volume. Tapped 19 on the highs to end week but stalled there. Still in a great uptrend & just letting it run higher. Another tap at 19 that cannot break thru & we can take some gain.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 26.48 -1.04 27.32 32.45 1.8M 2.9M 26.24
Current. Not yet clicking along for us yet, fading to the 50 day EMA on the Friday close. Volume remained low. Nice pattern continues. Just looking for other investors to decide VCLK is a value.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 63.65 +0.95 61.15 68.89 12M 12M 61.88
Current. Gapped higher and continued the strong move for the
week taht took it over the March high. Excellent action
as Valero prints more money with those refining margins.
VSEA 03/05 Test BO 53.56 -0.27 52.78 62.95 1.1M 2M 51.48
Current. Great week for VSEA, breaking out from a 5 week lateral
move on some tremendous trade. Carried the move through
Thursday & held it Friday. Excellent move to a new
all-time high.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 63.60 +3.44 54.48 61.95 7.9M 5.4M 61.25
Current. What a week for WFR, surging on a new breakout Tuesday
and flying higher all week on continued strong trade.
Just letting it run for now.
WMS 03/10 Cup hdl 39.80 -0.56 39.79 45.75 382K 600K 38.98
Current. Came to life this week, jumping off the 50 day MA and
clearing the early February high on strong volume.
Faded to test Friday, but still in good shape for another
new all-time high.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACAS 03/08 Put 44.85 +0.13 43.00 41.00 1.5M 1.6M 42.85
Current. Finished the week moving laterally below the 50 day
EMA (45.09). If it does not break lower from this early
this week we have to close it.
AEO 03/15 Put 30.90 +0.38 30.24 28.57 1.4M 4.2M 31.05
Buy Not Issued. Moved on thru the 10 & 18 day EMA but is now at the 50 day EMA (31) on very low volume. This is the lick log for the move; it drops or rallies higher. The low volume rebound favors a fall. We will let it show us the move starting & then we move in.
CL 03/14 HdShldr 67.12 +0.07 65.08 63.55 1.5M 2M 65.91
Current. Held the 50 day SMA to close the week (66.94). Bounced
on very low trade suggesting it won't hold, but needs
to get back below the 50 day MA early this week.
CSE 03/20 Put 24.65 +0.07 24.34 22.35 631K 1.2M 24.84
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 18 day EMA (24.75). Tried to move higher
late in the week but volume was very low. Just going
to sit back and see if it makes the plunge from here.
GS 03/10 Put 211.89 +1.81 199.45 192.25 5.2M 8M 202.10
Current. Added back the Thursday loss as it starts to work laterally.
If it does not fade early this week we close it and
flip to the upside as it forms a handle.
SPY 03/15 Put 143.39 +0.21 139.65 137.10 74M 70M 139.38
Current. Worked laterally to end the week after the big FOMC
Wednesday surge, working on a handle to its double
bottom. Any fade this week we are lookign to close it.
SYY 03/22 Put 32.96 +0.30 32.46 31.00 3.5M 3M 33.05
Buy Not Hit. Bounced back up to the 200 day MA (32.95) on lower
but still above avg volume. This is the lick log for
SYY; it is going to rise or fall from here because
the big money either buys at the 200 day or sells.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 46.25 -0.17 45.02 43.58 1.4M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Moved over the 50 day EMA last week but could not advance.
Now working laterally on lower trade. If it does not
break lower and close below the 46 early this week
we will have to close it.
End part 1 of 3
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