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Begin part 2 of 3
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NOTE: Part 2 will be forwarded prior to part 1 this evening.
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CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 02/21 Test 50 95.85 +2.33 89.11 99.75 31M 42M 93.68
Current. After that short pullback to end last week AAPL got some volume and some legs, jumping off the 10 day EMA & closing in on the January highs. This despite rumors its next OS would be delayed. Nice pattern, nice break higher toward 100.
ACTG 03/08 Asc Bse 15.95 +0.05 15.31 18.48 81K 300K 15.48
Current. Very low volume as ACTG continues to test the strong
move from last week. Excellent test bac above the 10
day EMA (15.56).
AMKR 03/21 Asc Bse 12.98 +0.13 12.77 15.35 2.6M 3.2M 11.88
Buy Not Issued. Rallied a bit further but still on low volume after
the break higher last Wednesday. Likely to test back
toward the 10 day EMA (12.38) from here & when it bounces
that is a better entry point.
ANST 02/28 Test BO 32.27 -0.03 31.01 35.95 141K 325K 31.42
Current. Looks as if it is going to walk laterally for a few
sessions & form another short handle. Not bad action
at all.
ARD 03/19 Asc Bse 48.45 +0.32 46.82 55.95 164K 389K 44.08
Buy Not Issued. Stalling a bit after last week's run. A test of 47ish
and a bounce from there is our entry point.
ASCA 02/22 Cup hdl 34.20 -0.24 33.77 40.95 265K 325K 33.21
Current. Tested the Friday move, tapping at the 18 day EMA on
the low and then rebounding to post a modest, below
avg volume loss. Still continuing higher, but want
it to get some volume & start paying off.
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 10.52 +0.49 9.55 11.77 20M 15M 9.96
Current. Nice gap higher Monday on very strong trade as BRCD
clears last week's consolidation and a new 4 year high.
Excellent. Just going to let it run up the 10 day EMA.
BRLI 03/17 Asc Bse 25.05 -0.37 25.57 29.78 52K 230K 24.57
Buy Not Issued. Tested the Friday move Monday with still very low volume.
It is at the cusp of a breakout with this 2 week lateral
move right at an all-time high.
CMC 03/19 Asc Bse 30.80 +0.48 29.54 34.95 1.3M 1.8M 29.12
Current. Monday CMC continued its breakout run from last week.
Excellent run in progress.
CMTL 03/14 Cup 38.09 +0.53 38.03 43.95 323K 345K 36.95
Entered today. Getting some solid above avg volume as it breaks higher
from the 2 week lateral range. Nice break higher.
COGO 03/20 Rev HS 17.92 +0.18 17.24 20.65 506K 800K 16.03
Buy Not Issued. Just no trade increase as COGO bumps the November high and late December lows. Will need more trade to punch it thru. Would like to see a handle form here to set up a platform to break higher and take out the December and January highs.
CTCM 03/19 DB hdl 26.67 +0.49 26.05 30.42 336K 677K 25.21
Current. Gapped higher on rising but continued bdlow avg volume.
No complaints given the breakout move was on solid
trade. Just going to let it run higher above the 10
day EMA.
CVNS 03/10 Test BO 26.85 -0.24 25.84 30.78 352K 300K 26.11
Current. Volume jumped as CVNS spun its wheels after the strong
break higher last week. Still just a modest pullback
but want to see volume subside if it tests further
from here.
FCX 03/24 Cup hdl 64.70 +2.40 63.51 72.95 29M 14M 61.31
Entered today. Excellent breakout move as FCX clears all interim resistance
on strong trade.
FORM 03/15 Cup hdl 45.80 -0.12 46.69 55.95 650K 1.2M 45.98
Current. Sold a bit more after that Friday downgrade, but it
came back in style, closing near the 10 day EMA. Again,
a strong stock should survive that downgrade and resume
the move higher.
FRED 03/22 Cup hdl 15.49 -0.13 15.65 18.58 570K 450K 14.78
Current. Gapped modestly higher then gave back a modest loss
to close. Still very solid in its break and trend higher.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 54.93 -0.24 56.05 66.25 182K 385K 53.62
Current. Excellent handle forming, tapping 50 day SMA on the low and rebounding. Ready for a break higher once more and we are going to add when it does. Looks super. New buy point: 56.93 when it clears the handle. Aggressive is on a continued bounce from here.
GLW 03/20 DB hdl 22.90 -0.09 22.92 27.85 12M 22M 22.25
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the Monday low adn rebounded
for a modest loss. As with other solid stocks, this
is some very nice consolidation that is setting up
the next run nicely. A new buy at 23.25.
GSS 03/07 Cup hdl 4.56 +0.17 4.22 5.18 4.5M 5M 4.36
Current. Great move last week and a strong move Monday on strong
volume. Excellent action as GSS hits a new 2 year high.
Sweet.
HCSG 03/24 PreAnn 30.03 +0.21 30.15 35.95 199K 275K 28.68
Buy Not Issued. Jumped higher early but was all over the map, showing
a doji after that big volume Friday move. Still solid,
still ready to move higher.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 22.37 -0.24 20.11 23.88 268K 450K 21.57
Current. Fading back from the February high as volume jumps
up near average. Can form a handle here but not if
volume continues to rise. Want it to hold near 22 on
any handle formation.
HOC 03/13 Asc Bse 60.81 -0.56 57.73 64.95 922K 750K 58.68
Current. Gapped higher Monday but could not hold all of the move as Pres. Bush was out talking ethanol again. that is a transitory effect. If it comes back to the 10 day EMA (59ish), it is a buy on the bounce.
IOC 03/24 Cup 26.32 -0.33 26.88 31.95 316K 445K 25.00
Buy Not Hit. Took a low volume breather after that strong upside
last week as Bush talked up ethanol again. Still looks
super to follow this money flow higher as refiners
remain hot.
ISE 03/21 Cup 47.89 -0.18 49.44 55.45 243K 1.2M 46.42
Buy Not Hit. Another doji at the 90 day MA as it tests the 50 day
MA on the low and rebounds intraday. Still setting
up nicely. Just waiting for it to show us the move.
IVN 03/13 Test BO 11.70 +0.01 11.65 14.35 809K 1.2M 11.38
Buy Not Issued. Not there yet but still looking good for the break
higher that continues its early March breakout move.
LHCG 03/22 Test BO 32.50 +1.63 30.74 35.35 964K 225K 31.37
Current. Big gap higher on strong volume as LHCH continues its
break higher, clearing to a new all-time high.
LPSN 03/12 Test BO 7.44 +0.06 7.12 8.75 429K 400K 7.05
Current. Started up after the quick lateral sidestep, with volume
rising Monday as it did. A very solid move in progress.
MA 03/22 Cup 108.48 -1.38 110.78 121.00 1.7M 4.5M 106.74
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower but tapped the 10 day EMA on the low,
showing a nice doji on continued below avg volume.
Still setting up to make the next break higher.
MFB 03/20 DB hdl 23.12 0.00 21.75 25.95 571K 332K 20.52
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but then traded to flat as it was all
over the map on heavy trade. Will see how this tests
and if it can give us a new buy point.
MS 03/24 DB hdl 80.37 -0.73 82.08 94.95 9.2M 8.9M 79.38
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher but gave it back, tapping at support
on the low. Volume jumped as it continued the test.
Still in the pattern so just waiting on the break higher
to give us an entry point.
NUAN 03/17 Dbl btm 15.95 -0.03 14.38 17.65 3.1M 5.5M 13.77
Buy Not Issued. Edging back ever so slightly and on very low trade
following that big Wednesday break higher. Would love
a test down to 15.50ish to give us an entry on the rebound.
OIH 03/14 Rolling 147.55 +0.55 142.35 150.88 8.5M 16M 149.97
Current. Gapped higher Monday on the higher oil prices/geopolitical
tensions. It fell all the way to 145 but then rebounded
to close near the session high. Lower trade. A big
wild, but that is how it trades.
PRFT 03/11 Test 50 20.33 -0.31 20.88 24.57 162K 600K 19.89
Buy Not Issued. Faded to the 10 day EMA on continued low, below avg
volume, continuing the work on the handle. Moving the
buy point to accommodate this nice handle that is setting
up a breakout.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 37.60 +0.62 35.17 39.95 8.1M 10M 36.11
Current. After a pause to end last week RIO bounced on rising
but below avg volume. Matching the February high though
making a new closing high. Want to see more trade to
show validity to the new high.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 21.78 -0.12 19.54 23.45 1000 425K 20.75
Current. Big gap higher Monday but unable to hold the move,
fading to flat on strong volume. Never like these roll
over typ days, but still a strong move and will let
it hold and recover.
RS 03/20 Cup hdl 46.54 +0.12 46.68 53.68 863K 1M 44.11
Buy Not Issued. Still a nice tight lateral move Monday on lower, below
avg volume as RS continues making its lateral move,
forming the handle for the breakout to come.
SIGA 03/15 Test BO 5.07 -0.05 5.25 6.57 610K 1.6M 4.88
Current. Faded a bit further on very low volume as SIGA continued
its test of the Thursday move higher on solid trade.
Still well positioned but want to see it hold the line
here and resume the move.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 42.72 -0.67 42.15 47.85 90K 205K 41.75
Current. Low volume price fade Monday as SSYS does some backing
and filling after that strong break higher last Tuesday.
Still in solid shape with this rather ordinary pullback.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 65.59 +0.33 64.03 73.42 1.5M 1.7M 65.95
Current. Doji with tail Monday as SYK tapped the 18 day EMA
on the low and recovered to close just above the 10
day EMA. Nice shakeout and a nice setup for the next
break higher. An add to on a move over 66.
TESOF 03/01 Cup hdl 26.23 +0.36 22.43 26.48 177K 165K 25.14
Current. Bounced higher after the test to end last week. Not
much volume on the move but TESOF continues its excellent
run higher above the 10 day MA.
TRW 03/01 Test BO 35.16 +0.12 30.55 35.95 664K 530K 33.72
Current. Modest gain Monday on lower but still above avg volume
as TRW peaks out some here. Not giving up any ground,
however.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 18.47 -0.05 16.41 19.45 272K 725K 17.78
Current. Still working laterally to start the week as volume
faded well below average. Holding its gain, waiting
for the 10 day EMA to catch up with it. Nice.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 26.59 +0.11 27.32 32.45 1.1M 2.9M 26.24
Current. Tapped the 50 day SMA on the Monday low and rebounding
to close flat. Good point to bounce from. Needs to do it.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 62.30 -1.30 54.48 61.95 5.5M 5.4M 61.25
Current. Faded back on lower, average trade Monday as WFR tests
its strong surge from last week.
WNR 02/22 Cup hdl 39.31 +0.01 28.25 33.89 678K 450K 37.95
Current. Gapped higher but then traded back to flat. Volume
was lower as it did, indicating not much selling as
WNR tests the strong surge. Thus far holding its gains
as the 10 day MA plays catch up.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACAS 03/08 Put 44.79 -0.06 43.00 41.00 1.4M 1.6M 42.85
Current. Sold off below the 18 day EMA intraday but rebounded.
Still below the 50 day EMA on the close and on low
volume. This is where it folds or it makes an upside move.
AEO 03/15 Put 30.63 -0.27 30.24 28.57 2.7M 4.2M 31.05
Buy Not Issued. Tested sharply lower but then rebounded to close above
the 10 day EMA but still below the 50 day EMA (30.99).
This is the decision point for AEO in its rebound attempt.
CL 03/14 HdShldr 66.94 -0.18 65.08 63.55 1.4M 2M 65.91
Current. Reached down below the 90 day MA nad rebounded to close
just below the 50 day SMA. Volume remained low. Likely
to test again, but if it holds aboe 66.30 time to close it.
CSE 03/20 Put 24.60 -0.05 24.34 22.35 1.1M 1.2M 24.84
Buy Not Issued. Dove lower early but then recovered to hold the 10
day EMA. Still churning below resistance at the 18
day EMA. Just waiting to see which way CSE breaks at
this key level on the rebound attempt.
GS 03/10 Put 211.73 -0.16 199.45 192.25 6.5M 8M 202.10
Exited. Sold down to the 50 day SMA & started to rebound so
it was time to exit and look for an upside play on
this one.
JNJ 03/24 Put 60.25 -0.26 60.04 58.91 17M 11M 60.71
Entered today. Continued lower on very strong volume as it falls from
the 10 day EMA.
SPY 03/15 Put 143.20 -0.19 139.65 137.10 114M 70M 139.38
Exited. Tested lower to the 90 day EMA and started to rebound
so we closed it out as it was more consolidation work.
SYY 03/22 Put 33.67 +0.71 32.46 31.00 3.8M 3M 33.05
Buy Not Hit. Whoa. Volume remained to the upside as SYY surged higher
through the 200 day MA. Dropping.
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