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Begin part 2 of 3
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NOTE: Part 1 will follow part 2 this evening.
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CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMSC 03/23 Test BO 14.94 -0.07 15.03 17.21 369K 375K 14.04
Current. Faded back modestly & on lower volume from the Friday
surge. Still a nice walk higher up the 10 day EMA and
just letting it work for us.
ANAD 03/21 Asc Bse 12.51 -0.30 13.55 16.32 2.3M 2.6M 12.68
Buy Not Hit. Slipped to close just below the 18 day EMA on rising though below avg trade. Still a nice pattern and this looks a lot like a shakeout fake out, i.e. a dip that makes you give up on it just to see it recover & break higher.
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 10.52 +0.49 9.55 11.77 20M 15M 9.96
Current. Nice gap higher Monday on very strong trade as BRCD
clears last week's consolidation and a new 4 year high.
Excellent. Just going to let it run up the 10 day EMA.
CLB 03/19 Asc Bse 85.29 +0.55 84.98 94.95 194K 450K 82.86
Entered today. Tested the 10 day EMA on the low and started to rebound.
Nice test of the break above the February high. Used
this to start some positions on the play as it recovered
from a nice test.
COGO 03/20 Rev HS 17.92 +0.18 17.24 20.65 506K 800K 16.03
Buy Not Issued. Just no trade increase as COGO bumps the November high and late December lows. Will need more trade to punch it thru. Would like to see a handle form here to set up a platform to break higher and take out the December and January highs.
CXW 03/26 DB hdl 52.64 +1.34 52.52 59.45 517K 450K 51.28
Entered today. Bonus. Formed up a nice double bottom that used the 50 day EMA as support, formed, a handle late last week, and broke higher Monday on strong trade. Great move and still a buy as it continues.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 33.87 -0.07 31.05 34.95 668K 1.1M 32.95
Current. Still working laterally to start the week, waiting
for the 10 day EMA (33.30) to catch up to the great
move higher. Just letting it stair-step up the 10 day EMA.
ESV 03/19 Asc Bse 56.34 +0.55 55.11 63.45 2.4M 4.5M 53.95
Current. Gapped higher, sold off, then recovered to hold most
of the gain. Low volume so it is having some sustainability
issues here, but still a nice breakout move & run higher.
Will test but a lot more ahead for ESV.
EXC 03/12 Test BO 68.15 +0.43 66.85 74.88 2.3M 4M 67.32
Current. Bouncing after a nice test of the break higher last
week. Now it just needs to show more volume as it continues
higher.
FLIR 03/05 Test 50 34.62 -0.02 34.65 39.35 288K 750K 33.98
Current. Doji at the 18 day EMA on below avg volume. Nice handle
shaping up. FLIR is just about to the point it needs
to show a flirry of upside.
FORM 03/14 Cup hdl 45.80 -0.12 46.69 55.95 650K 1.2M 44.98
Current. Sold a bit more after that Friday downgrade, but it
came back in style, closing near the 10 day EMA. Again,
a strong stock should survive that downgrade and resume
the move higher.
GIGM 03/19 Test BO 14.34 +0.39 13.45 15.65 1.9M 1.5M 13.28
Current. Running higher still on another shot of solid, above
avg volume. Very nice run higher up the 10 day and
letting it go to work for us.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 54.93 -0.24 56.05 66.25 182K 385K 53.62
Current. Excellent handle forming, tapping 50 day SMA on the low and rebounding. Ready for a break higher once more and we are going to add when it does. Looks super. New buy point: 56.93 when it clears the handle. Aggressive is on a continued bounce from here.
GLW 03/20 DB hdl 22.90 -0.09 22.92 27.85 12M 22M 22.25
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the Monday low and rebounded
for a modest loss. As with other solid stocks, this
is some very nice consolidation that is setting up
the next run nicely. A new buy at 23.25.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 22.37 -0.24 20.11 23.88 268K 450K 21.57
Current. Fading back from the February high as volume jumps
up near average. Can form a handle here but not if
volume continues to rise. Want it to hold near 22 on
any handle formation.
IOC 03/24 Cup 26.32 -0.33 26.88 31.95 316K 445K 25.00
Buy Not Hit. Took a low volume breather after that strong upside
last week as Bush talked up ethanol again. Still looks
super to follow this money flow higher as refiners
remain hot.
ISE 03/21 Cup 47.89 -0.18 49.44 55.45 243K 1.2M 46.42
Buy Not Hit. Another doji at the 90 day MA as it tests the 50 day
MA on the low and rebounds intraday. Still setting
up nicely. Just waiting for it to show us the move.
ISRG 03/22 Cup 123.38 +1.71 121.67 135.00 863K 1M 119.94
Current. Continued last week's move on rising, average trade
Monday. nice surge.
IVN 03/13 Test BO 11.70 +0.01 11.65 14.35 809K 1.2M 11.38
Buy Not Issued. Not there yet but still looking good for the break
higher that continues its early March breakout move.
KNOL 01/09 Asc Bse 14.70 -0.03 11.38 13.95 111K 165K 14.21
Still holding the 10 day EMA on low volume as it drifts
every so slowly higher. Needs to show us something
when the rest of the market breaks back to the upside.
MA 03/22 Cup 108.48 -1.38 110.78 121.00 1.7M 4.5M 106.74
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower but tapped the 10 day EMA on the low,
showing a nice doji on continued below avg volume.
Still setting up to make the next break higher.
MICC 03/24 Cup hdl 75.45 -1.37 78.21 89.95 417K 926K 75.55
Buy Not Hit. Continued testing, falling to the 18 day EMA on the
low. Volume was up but well below average. Nice pattern,
just waiting to see if it can make the break upside.
MM 03/13 DB hdl 45.93 +0.27 42.12 48.65 395K 545K 43.98
Current. Another doji after stalling some to end last week, but volume moved up toward average as it moved up a bit more. Another day or tow laterally and it could be ready to move higher. Test or surge from here, a good move is underway.
MS 03/24 DB hdl 80.37 -0.73 82.08 94.95 9.2M 8.9M 79.38
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher but gave it back, tapping at support
on the low. Volume jumped as it continued the test.
Still in the pattern so just waiting on the break higher
to give us an entry point.
MT 03/24 DB hdl 53.69 +1.04 53.51 63.95 2.9M 3.2M 50.95
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher then traded up and down all session near
the buy point. Volume moved up above average as it
settled at the close near the session high. If it continues
higher from here it is still a buy.
NUAN 03/17 Dbl btm 15.95 -0.03 14.38 17.65 3.1M 5.5M 13.77
Buy Not Issued. Edging back ever so slightly and on very low trade
following that big Wednesday break higher. Would love
a test down to 15.50ish to give us an entry on the rebound.
OIH 03/14 Rolling 147.55 +0.55 142.35 150.88 8.5M 16M 149.97
Current. Gapped higher Monday on the higher oil prices/geopolitical
tensions. It fell all the way to 145 but then rebounded
to close near the session high. Lower trade. A big
wild, but that is how it trades.
PCLN 03/10 FlyPlat 53.61 -0.59 53.57 61.65 564K 1.7M 52.38
Entered today. PCLN tapped the 18 day EMA on the Monday low and recovered
to close above the 10 day EMA on lower, below avg volume.
Used this test and nice recovery to start some positions
on the play.
PCU 03/24 DB hdl 71.15 +0.43 72.48 83.95 3.2M 3.9M 69.55
Buy Not Issued. Ranged higher and lower, but held the 10 day EMA on
the low. It could not hold the move over the buy point
but volume was up. Still a very solid pattern to move
higher from.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 138.98 +1.71 145.31 159.95 4.5M 13M 142.22
Current.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 138.98 +1.71 135.96 154.89 4.5M 10M 142.22
Current. Excellent rebound off the shakeout below the 50 day
EMA last week, tapping the 18 day EMA on the low and
posting a solid gain Monday.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 37.60 +0.62 35.17 39.95 8.1M 10M 36.11
Current. After a pause to end last week RIO bounced on rising
but below avg volume. Matching the February high though
making a new closing high. Want to see more trade to
show validity to the new high.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 21.78 -0.12 19.54 23.45 1000 425K 20.75
Current. Big gap higher Monday but unable to hold the move,
fading to flat on strong volume. Never like these roll
over type days, but still a strong move and will let
it hold and recover.
SIGA 03/15 Test BO 5.07 -0.05 5.25 6.57 610K 1.6M 4.88
Current. Faded a bit further on very low volume as SIGA continued
its test of the Thursday move higher on solid trade.
Still well positioned but want to see it hold the line
here and resume the move.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 42.72 -0.67 42.15 47.85 90K 205K 41.75
Current. Low volume price fade Monday as SSYS does some backing
and filling after that strong break higher last Tuesday.
Still in solid shape with this rather ordinary pullback.
TIE 03/20 Cup hdl 36.90 +0.35 36.60 42.95 2.2M 3M 35.38
Current. Gapped higher, tested support at 36, and then rebounded
to close positive on rising volume. Still good action
for this solid stock.
TK 03/15 Asc Bse 54.03 -0.05 52.38 58.45 628K 600K 52.76
Current. Gapped higher Monday and then turned over to close
flat on much higher, above avg trade. Never like to
see this kind of action after a run. Will see if it
can snap out of this Tuesday.
TZOO 03/21 Cup hdl 37.98 -0.33 38.68 46.45 257K 500K 36.32
Buy Not Issued. Hanging in around the buy point again on Monday as
the 10 day EMA rises to meet it. That will likely send
it higher.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 18.47 -0.05 16.41 19.45 272K 725K 17.78
Current. Still working laterally to start the week as volume
faded well below average. Holding its gain, waiting
for the 10 day EMA to catch up with it. Nice.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 26.59 +0.11 27.32 32.45 1.1M 2.9M 26.24
Current. Tapped the 50 day SMA on the Monday low and rebounding
to close flat. Good point to bounce from. Needs to do it.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 64.35 +0.70 61.15 68.89 14M 12M 62.74
Current. Took the President's ethanol push in stride Monday
and put in a new high on this run as volume surged
back above avg. Nice.
VSEA 03/05 Test BO 53.70 +0.14 52.78 62.95 1.1M 2M 51.48
Current. Flat on lower volume Monday as VSEA continues its lateral
move after a strong break higher Wednesday & Thurs.
Like how it holds its gains as it and the market tests.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 62.30 -1.30 54.48 61.95 5.5M 5.4M 61.25
Current. Faded back on lower, average trade Monday as WFR tests
its strong surge from last week.
WMS 03/10 Cup hdl 40.15 +0.35 39.79 45.75 407K 600K 38.98
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the Monday low and then a
recovery on rising trade. Nice shakeout and ready to
make a move higher.
WNR 02/22 Cup hdl 39.31 +0.01 28.25 33.89 678K 450K 37.95
Current. Gapped higher but then traded back to flat. Volume
was lower as it did, indicating not much selling as
WNR tests the strong surge. Thus far holding its gains
as the 10 day MA plays catch up.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACAS 03/08 Put 44.79 -0.06 43.00 41.00 1.4M 1.6M 42.85
Current. Sold off below the 18 day EMA intraday but rebounded.
Still below the 50 day EMA on the close and on low
volume. This is where it folds or it makes an upside move.
AEO 03/15 Put 30.63 -0.27 30.24 28.57 2.7M 4.2M 31.05
Buy Not Issued. Tested sharply lower but then rebounded to close above
the 10 day EMA but still below the 50 day EMA (30.99).
This is the decision point for AEO in its rebound attempt.
CL 03/14 HdShldr 66.94 -0.18 65.08 63.55 1.4M 2M 65.91
Current. Reached down below the 90 day MA nad rebounded to close
just below the 50 day SMA. Volume remained low. Likely
to test again, but if it holds aboe 66.30 time to close it.
CSE 03/20 Put 24.60 -0.05 24.34 22.35 1.1M 1.2M 24.84
Buy Not Issued. Dove lower early but then recovered to hold the 10
day EMA. Still churning below resistance at the 18
day EMA. Just waiting to see which way CSE breaks at
this key level on the rebound attempt.
GS 03/10 Put 211.73 -0.16 199.45 192.25 6.5M 8M 202.10
Exited. Sold down to the 50 day SMA & started to rebound so
it was time to exit and look for an upside play on
this one.
JNJ 03/24 Put 60.25 -0.26 60.04 58.91 17M 11M 60.71
Entered today. Continued lower on very strong volume as it falls from
the 10 day EMA.
SPY 03/15 Put 143.20 -0.19 139.65 137.10 114M 70M 139.38
Exited. Tested lower to the 90 day EMA and started to rebound
so we closed it out as it was more consolidation work.
SYY 03/22 Put 33.67 +0.71 32.46 31.00 3.8M 3M 33.05
Buy Not Hit. Whoa. Volume remained to the upside as SYY surged higher
through the 200 day MA. Dropping.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 45.95 -0.30 45.02 43.58 1.9M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Sold lower below the 90 day MA and managed a rebound
but still lost some ground. This is where it needs
to make the fade.
End part 2 of 3
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