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Begin part 2 of 3
Part 3 will be forwarded later today.
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 03/29 Test BO 90.24 -1.95 94.87 105.95 26M 40M 92.25
Current. Gapped lower on the news it was going to delay its
Leopard operating system due to focusing on the iPhone.
Sounds rather strange. Closed near the 50 day EMA.
If it cannot bounce form here we shut it down.
ACTG 04/09 Test BO 15.62 -0.37 16.57 19.95 100K 225K 15.48
Buy Not Hit.
ACTG 03/08 Asc Bse 15.62 -0.37 15.31 18.48 100K 300K 15.48
Current. An inside day, meaning the next way it moves shows
us the near term direction. Having trouble holding
the break higher just over a week back. If it cannot
move early this week we close it.
ADM 04/06 Test 20 38.01 +0.50 37.68 44.89 6.4M 12M 36.95
Current. Starting back up after that midweek test back to the
10 day EMA. Part of the ethanol play so we are going
to let it work higher for us as long as it will.
AH 03/31 DB hdl 68.60 +0.50 69.07 78.95 425K 890K 66.87
Buy Not Issued. Low volume move off the 18 day EMA to end the week.
Still looks good just has not given the breakaway to
the upside to continue the breakout.
ALJ 04/04 DB hdl 39.16 -0.09 38.60 45.78 395K 510K 37.94
Current. Spent the entire week working laterally after the strong surge the prior week. Volume was lower on the test so it is doing what you want as it rests. Strong break higher and rather early in the move so letting this one run.
BTU 04/11 DB hdl 46.18 +0.19 46.32 53.32 4.4M 7M 44.78
Entered today. Volume jumped back above average as BTU edged higher, tapping just below the buy point. Good action and just being patient and waiting for the break higher.
CELG 04/12 Cup hdl 57.98 -0.02 58.98 67.95 3.2M 5M 56.44
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally over the 10 day EMA as it continues
to work on the handle.
CMC 03/19 Asc Bse 32.83 +0.40 29.54 34.95 1.5M 1.8M 31.89
Current. Basically moving laterally the past week after gapping
higher Monday. Started back up Friday. Still ready
to move higher, continuing the run up the 10 day EMA.
COGO 03/20 Rev HS 18.66 +0.04 18.48 21.88 334K 800K 18.32
Current. Working its way back up the 10 day EMA after the Tuesday
dump lower. Needs to show us someting this week to
renew the breakout move.
CROX 04/06 Cup 52.95 -0.43 52.71 59.95 1.1M 2M 51.55
Current. Modest low volume decline Friday after CROX drifted
higher all week with a strong volume gap up on Wednesday
mixed in.
CXW 03/27 DB hdl 53.63 +0.73 53.44 60.48 239K 450K 52.45
Current. Now it is getting somewhere, bouncing off the 10 day
with the next move since the start of the month. No
volume. Want to see some more trade as it clears 54.
DO 03/31 Test 50 83.50 +0.03 82.37 94.45 1.7M 4.5M 79.25
Buy Not Issued. Started moving to end the week but volume was not there.
Going to drop for now and see if it sets back up.
EDU 04/10 Asc Bse 42.69 -0.11 43.44 51.95 136K 600K 41.77
Buy Not Hit. Nice doji at the 10 day EMA, pinching between that
near support and the down trendline from February.
It is close to the make or break point.
ESLR 04/10 Cup 11.61 +0.16 11.48 13.95 2.5M 3.5M 10.68
Buy Not Issued. Strong volume Tuesday as it broke higher and then drifted
up the rest of the week. Looking for a tap back to
11 to give us a better entry.
FALC 04/03 Cup hdl 11.66 -0.07 11.38 13.74 195K 690K 11.35
Current. Some big trade during the week but could not extend
the strong break higher from Monday. Strong move that
took a breather to end the week. Looks solid.
FCX 03/24 Cup hdl 71.17 +1.32 63.51 72.95 11M 14M 68.68
Current. Solid week for FCX and it ended it with another break
higher to close at a new high on this run and right
at the early 2006 double top peak.
FLS 03/29 Cup hdl 59.55 +0.67 59.57 71.55 718K 667K 57.88
Entered today. Excellent break higher, showing the best volume in
a month as FLS made the break over the early February
highs.
GLD 04/04 DB hdl 67.84 +0.85 67.81 76.78 5.1M 6M 66.55
Entered today. Gapped higher and held much of it into the close. Gold
is heading higher as one of the inflation indicators
and GLD is tracking it on up. It is approaching the
late Feb high at 68.29.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 57.65 +0.93 56.05 66.25 357K 385K 56.21
Current. Volume surged Friday as GLDN continued the move off
of the 18 day EMA test. Like the trade coupled with
the upside move. Now it looks set to rally after the test.
GLW 03/20 DB hdl 23.74 -0.09 22.92 27.85 8.1M 22M 23.23
Current. GLW continues having trouble getting through 24 even
as it works slowly up the 10 day EMA. Needs to show
us that move this week or we will look to close it.
GS 04/09 Cup hdl 206.50 -0.55 210.22 229.75 4.3M 10M 206.95
Buy Not Hit. Fell to the 90 day MA to end the week. Will keep watching
for GS to firm up but going to drop for now.
GSS 03/07 Cup hdl 4.86 +0.08 4.22 5.18 4.8M 5M 4.62
Current. Gapped higher on strong volume. Gold is trying to set
up for a sprint higher. GSS is having no trouble moving
up, riding the 10 day EMA higher.
HLTH 03/31 Cup 15.90 +0.17 15.29 18.45 2.4M 5M 14.65
Buy Not Issued.
HOC 03/13 Asc Bse 63.27 +0.10 57.73 64.95 425K 750K 61.11
Current. Held steady Friday after a solid week moving up the
10 day EMA. Just going to let it continue to work higher
for us.
ISE 04/11 Cup hdl 51.25 +0.85 49.88 57.45 835K 1.2M 49.35
Current. Excellent week for ISE as it finally broke higher and
cleared the February high on solid trade. Great start
to the rally.
ITRI 03/27 DB hdl 69.47 +0.24 67.95 77.45 793K 709K 66.98
Current. Strong volume to end the week as ITRI surges off the
10 day EMA, continuing the Monday breakout move. Very
solid. Took awhile, but it is moving well now.
IVN 03/13 Test BO 12.81 +0.21 12.22 14.95 1.2M 1.2M 12.29
Current. Tested back to the 10 day EMA Thursday and then bounced
back Friday. Letting it make this test here but need
to see it run higher this week.
JCOM 04/10 DB hdl 28.68 +0.43 28.88 34.95 735K 1M 27.45
Buy Not Hit. Volume kicked up to above average Friday as JCOM rallied
up to the breakout point. Looking solid for the breakout
this month.
MA 03/22 Cup 109.40 -0.42 110.78 121.00 761K 4.5M 106.74
Buy Not Issued. Still set to make the breakout. Good surge Tuesday
on volume then a low volume faded to the 10 day EMA
to end the week. Nice pattern, just waiting for the
break higher.
MO 03/28 Cup 69.56 -0.39 65.85 74.97 8M 18M 68.95
Current. Still testing that strong move from two weeks back,
holding most of the gain as it fades on low volume,
still holding well above near support at the 10 day EMA.
MON 03/26 DB hdl 58.38 +0.21 58.14 65.45 2M 4M 56.57
Current. Bounced off the 10 day EMA test to end the week, managing
to squeak out a new closing high Friday. Looking for
some volume this week to continue the gap higher on
earnings.
MS 03/24 DB hdl 79.99 -0.08 80.88 94.95 4.5M 8.9M 78.21
Buy Not Issued. Big gap higher Friday but immediately tanked; an outrider
trade. Still holding well above the 90 day EMA and
ready to make the move.
NTGR 04/09 Dbl btm 30.24 +0.25 29.78 35.78 741K 1M 28.48
Buy Not Issued. Volume was up Friday on stronger volume that just cracked
average. If it continues higher this week it is a buy.
NTY 04/06 Cup hdl 52.87 +0.99 54.11 64.95 1M 1.9M 51.44
Buy Not Hit. Tested the 18 day EMA during the week and then rebounded
Friday. Excellent lateral handle is setting up the
breakout. Very nice.
NUAN 03/17 Dbl btm 16.19 -0.14 15.54 19.85 2.2M 5.5M 15.55
Current. Low volume as NUAN continues up the 10 day EMA. Needs
to show us some volume this week as it breaks higher
and puts some distance on that late March high at 16.20.
NUE 03/26 Rev HS 66.79 +0.09 67.62 76.45 2.1M 5.7M 65.94
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher Monday and then spent the week testing
back to teh 10 day EMA. Held that level showing a doji
Friday. Looks ready to make its move.
NUVA 04/12 DB hdl 24.42 -0.13 25.24 28.95 366K 364K 23.98
Buy Not Hit. Wide ranging doji Friday on a second day of above avg
volume. Bumped 25 on the high again. Still solid, still
needs to show the breakout over that level.
OIH 03/14 Rolling 154.08 +0.28 142.35 150.88 6.3M 16M 152.39
Current. Strong week for the index. After a strong surge Thursday
it took the day off Friday on lower volume. Just letting
it work higher up the 10 day EMA for us as long as it will.
PAAS 04/03 DB hdl 31.59 +0.67 30.45 36.55 1.4M 2M 29.98
Current. Great volume Friday as PAAS further jumped off the
10 day EMA after that Wednesday dump to that level.
Good recovery and going to let it work higher for us
as metals continue to work well.
PRFT 03/11 Test 50 22.55 0.00 21.39 24.97 571K 600K 21.65
Current. Excellent test to end the week, tapping at the 10 day
EMA on the lows and rebounding. Strong breakout, great
test. REady to rock and roll again this week.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 41.25 +0.33 35.17 39.95 7.9M 10M 39.55
Current. Gapped higher for a modest gain, gapping a strong two
weeks for RIO. Excellent action as RIO works higher
and higher up the 10 day EMA (39.69). Just letting
it work higher for us.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 23.59 -0.20 19.54 23.45 481K 425K 22.11
Current. Great week for ROCM, gapping higher Monday and then
rallying up to 24. Got wilder as the week wore on,
but some solid action.
ROLL 03/31 Dbl btm 36.25 +0.28 35.11 40.88 250K 185K 34.95
Big move Monday and then worked laterally all week,
ending up holding the gains to close it out.
RS 03/20 Cup hdl 52.04 +0.07 47.78 54.78 1.2M 1M 50.32
Current. Excellent volume Thursday and Friday as RS continued
the move higher after that strong break to start the
Month. Just letting it work higher for us.
SMSI 04/11 Test BO 19.14 -0.12 19.88 23.95 366K 1.2M 18.74
Buy Not Hit. Low, low volume Friday as SMSI tested the 10 day EMA
once more and held the line there. Nice lateral move,
just waiting for the next sharp break higher.
SPWR 04/04 DB hdl 53.06 +1.97 49.69 56.65 1.7M 1M 51.35
Current. Nice week for SPWR, breaking higehr Tuesday and then
racing higher Friday on strong volume. Excellent surge.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 41.14 -1.11 42.15 47.85 138K 205K 41.75
Exited.
TESO 03/01 Cup hdl 28.64 +0.21 22.43 26.48 106K 165K 27.57
Current. Tested the 10 day EMA the first half of the week and
then surged higher to a new high to end it. Have to
like that action. Will let TESO conitnue to work higher
for us.
TRW 03/01 Test BO 36.28 -0.12 30.55 35.95 260K 530K 35.15
Current. Nice break higher Monday and Thursday, taking TRW out
of a two week lateral move. Excellent action adn we
are letting TRW work higher for us as long as it will.
UA 03/29 DB hdl 51.89 -0.77 52.32 59.95 614K 1.2M 51.44
Current. Good gap higher to start the week and then a tough
Friday, losing ground down near the 10 day EMA. Needs
to hold the line here.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 29.50 +0.16 27.32 32.45 1.9M 2.9M 29.25
Current. Surging after hours to 31.15 on word of GOOG's acquisition
of Doubleclick. Even before that it was a very nice
week for VCLK, gapping higher Tuesday and rallying
from there.
VLCM 04/12 Cup hdl 36.74 -0.40 37.72 43.45 84K 400K 36.08
Buy Not Hit. Very low volume as VLCM continued the lateral move
along the 10 day EMA, setting up the next move.
VTIV 03/28 DB hdl 38.94 -0.04 38.95 44.65 170K 458K 37.89
Current. Strong breakout move Thursday then a day off Friday
on lower volume. Nice action to start the play.
WFR 04/03 Test 18 59.71 0.00 61.72 69.95 2.9M 6M 58.88
Current.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 59.71 0.00 54.48 61.95 2.9M 5.4M 61.25
Current. Doji at the 18 day EMA Friday, coming back from the
lows to close flat. Excellent pullback, refusing to
give up the gains. Now it needs to show us the renewed
run higher.
WOOF 04/12 DB hdl 38.85 -0.02 39.08 44.95 331K 400K 37.15
Buy Not Hit. After the strong break higher Thursday, WOOF took the
session off, showing a low volume doji Friday. A couple
of days test would do it just fine.
ZUMZ 04/02 Test 18 39.75 -1.16 42.11 48.95 573K 545K 40.18
Exited.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ASCA 04/04 Put 31.62 +0.16 30.15 28.25 719K 325K 30.32
Current. Finished the move on up to the 90 day MA. Now we see
if it makes the rollover here at the lick log.
CBRL 04/11 Put 45.85 +0.48 45.64 43.50 760K 770K 46.05
Buy Not Issued. Low, below avg volume bounce up toward the 90 day MA.
Good low volume bounce is setting up another decline.
CSE 03/20 Put 24.45 +0.19 24.76 22.75 683K 1.2M 25.65
Trailing Stop.
RECN 04/11 Dbl Top 31.17 -0.16 30.84 29.60 593K 650K 31.21
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 90 day EMA on rising volume. Weak money
flow, double top. Ready to fall.
SBUX 03/28 Put 30.76 +0.09 31.18 30.00 10M 10M 31.05
Current. Reached lower Thursday but rebounded to flat, posting
a bit more upside Friday. Still trending lower and
looke for it to turn back down after this rebound from
the harsh Wednesday selling.
End part 2 of 3
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