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Begin part 2 of 3
Part 3 containing new plays will be forwarded later today.
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACTG 04/09 Test BO 15.62 -0.37 16.57 19.95 100K 225K 15.48
Buy Not Hit.
ACTG 03/08 Asc Bse 15.62 -0.37 15.31 18.48 100K 300K 15.48
Current. An inside day, meaning the next way it moves shows
us the near term direction. Having trouble holding
the break higher just over a week back. If it cannot
move early this week we close it.
ADM 04/06 Test 20 38.01 +0.50 37.68 44.89 6.4M 12M 36.95
Current. Starting back up after that midweek test back to the
10 day EMA. Part of the ethanol play so we are going
to let it work higher for us as long as it will.
AGU 04/04 Asc Bse 41.17 +0.23 40.35 47.45 1M 1.9M 39.63
Current. Modest drift higher to end last week with volume tailing
off Wed to Friday. Nice pattern but has yet to give
us that definitive break higher.
AH 03/31 DB hdl 68.60 +0.50 69.07 78.95 425K 890K 66.87
Buy Not Issued. Low volume move off the 18 day EMA to end the week.
Still looks good just has not given the breakaway to
the upside to continue the breakout.
ALJ 04/04 DB hdl 39.16 -0.09 38.60 45.78 395K 510K 37.94
Current. Spent the entire week working laterally after the strong surge the prior week. Volume was lower on the test so it is doing what you want as it rests. Strong break higher and rather early in the move so letting this one run.
AVT 04/09 Asc Bse 38.30 -0.13 38.92 46.50 1.5M 2.4M 36.96
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but no volume and AVT faded back to below
average, still holding the lateral move above some
support at 38.
BA 02/03 Test BO 91.03 +0.18 91.65 102.95 3M 5.8M 89.78
Current. Managed a bit more upside but nothing close to getting
it out of its tight lateral range over the 50 day EMA.
BEAV 04/05 Test 18 33.36 +0.59 33.04 37.95 1.4M 1.2M 32.08
Entered today. Solid volume as BEAV breaks higher. Good volume Wed
to Friday set up the move. Solid.
BLUD 04/12 Test BO 34.06 +0.39 34.25 39.95 1.2M 1.2M 32.24
Buy Not Hit. Strong volume Friday as BLUD moved higher but could
not hold the move over the buy point. Still solid,
still ready to move in as it continues higher.
CELG 04/12 Cup hdl 57.98 -0.02 58.98 67.95 3.2M 5M 56.44
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally over the 10 day EMA as it continues
to work on the handle.
CHTT 04/06 PreAnn 59.83 +0.48 60.15 69.95 383K 550K 58.05
Buy Not Issued. Still bumping into 60 without an big volume surge to
really push it higher. Nice, just needs to show a more
definitive move to get the buyers chatting it up.
CLB 03/19 Asc Bse 88.31 -0.48 84.98 94.95 284K 450K 86.38
Current. Could not extend the move this week, just drifting
higher along with the 10 day EMA. Still in good shape
so going to let it run higher for us as long as it will.
CMC 03/19 Asc Bse 32.83 +0.40 29.54 34.95 1.5M 1.8M 31.89
Current. Basically moving laterally the past week after gapping
higher Monday. Started back up Friday. Still ready
to move higher, continuing the run up the 10 day EMA.
COG 03/29 Cup hdl 35.59 -0.36 34.84 40.95 684K 700K 34.66
Current. Nice gap Thursday then gave part back Friday on low
volume. Looks good but want to see more of a breakaway
this week.
COGO 03/20 Rev HS 18.66 +0.04 18.48 21.88 334K 800K 18.32
Current. Working its way back up the 10 day EMA after the Tuesday
dump lower. Needs to show us something this week to
renew the breakout move.
CROX 04/06 Cup 52.95 -0.43 52.71 59.95 1.1M 2M 51.55
Current. Modest low volume decline Friday after CROX drifted
higher all week with a strong volume gap up on Wednesday
mixed in.
CSX 04/12 Rev HS 42.46 -0.68 43.39 51.85 11M 8M 41.11
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher, continuing the strong Thursday move
but it could not hold it. Tapped the breakout point
on the intraday low adn bounced some. Held the breakout
point and still set up to move higher.
CXW 03/27 DB hdl 53.63 +0.73 53.44 60.48 239K 450K 52.45
Current. Now it is getting somewhere, bouncing off the 10 day
with the next move since the start of the month. No
volume. Want to see some more trade as it clears 54.
EDU 04/10 Asc Bse 42.69 -0.11 43.44 51.95 136K 600K 41.77
Buy Not Hit. Nice doji at the 10 day EMA, pinching between that
near support and the down trendline from February.
It is close to the make or break point.
EQT 03/15 Asc Tri 49.86 +0.02 44.57 50.95 390K 800K 48.57
Flat session but still moving higher up the 10 day EMA.
EXC 03/12 Test BO 70.92 -0.21 66.85 74.88 2M 4M 70.78
Current. Undercut the 10 day EMA on the session low but recovered to hold that level at the close Friday. Lower volume so no dumping. Needs to hold this level this week or we will take the rest off the table as it got volatile to end the week.
FALC 04/03 Cup hdl 11.66 -0.07 11.38 13.74 195K 690K 11.35
Current. Some big trade during the week but could not extend
the strong break higher from Monday. Strong move that
took a breather to end the week. Looks solid.
FCX 03/24 Cup hdl 71.17 +1.32 63.51 72.95 11M 14M 68.68
Current. Solid week for FCX and it ended it with another break
higher to close at a new high on this run and right
at the early 2006 double top peak.
FLS 03/29 Cup hdl 59.55 +0.67 59.57 71.55 718K 667K 57.88
Entered today. Excellent break higher, showing the best volume in
a month as FLS made the break over the early February
highs.
GLDN 03/17 Dbl btm 57.65 +0.93 56.05 66.25 357K 385K 56.21
Current. Volume surged Friday as GLDN continued the move off
of the 18 day EMA test. Like the trade coupled with
the upside move. Now it looks set to rally after the test.
GLW 03/20 DB hdl 23.74 -0.09 22.92 27.85 8.1M 22M 23.23
Current. GLW continues having trouble getting through 24 even
as it works slowly up the 10 day EMA. Needs to show
us that move this week or we will look to close it.
GROW 04/02 Cup hdl 30.53 -0.45 30.08 35.95 1.2M 3M 31.13
Current. Volatile week for GROW but it is a volatile growth
stock. Good recovery Thursday on volume, resting Friday.
Needs to make the move after this test.
GS 04/09 Cup hdl 206.50 -0.55 210.22 229.75 4.3M 10M 206.95
Buy Not Hit. Fell to the 90 day MA to end the week. Will keep watching
for GS to firm up but going to drop for now.
HES 04/10 Test 18 57.87 +0.25 57.05 65.50 1.8M 4M 54.88
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higehr but still no volume, showing a doji on the candlestick Friday. That indicates it may pausea bit and come back some before it continues. Needs somethign because the volume is not strong enough. Dropping for now.
HLTH 03/31 Cup 15.90 +0.17 15.29 18.45 2.4M 5M 14.65
Buy Not Issued. HLTH rallied Friday, showing a solid price move but unable to put the volume in with it. It is approaching the February high without volume. Will watch how it handles that level and see if it forms a handle there to give it another breakout shot.
HWCC 03/28 Asc Bse 29.65 +0.37 27.65 32.88 324K 350K 28.11
Current. Good week for HWCC as it broke higher Wednesday and
carried up to end the week. Not a lot of trade but
willing to let this one work for us.
ISE 04/11 Cup hdl 51.25 +0.85 49.88 57.45 835K 1.2M 49.35
Current. Excellent week for ISE as it finally broke higher and
cleared the February high on solid trade. Great start
to the rally.
IVN 03/13 Test BO 12.81 +0.21 12.22 14.95 1.2M 1.2M 12.29
Current. Tested back to the 10 day EMA Thursday and then bounced
back Friday. Letting it make this test here but need
to see it run higher this week.
JCOM 04/10 DB hdl 28.68 +0.43 28.88 34.95 735K 1M 27.45
Buy Not Hit. Volume kicked up to above average Friday as JCOM rallied
up to the breakout point. Looking solid for the breakout
this month.
MA 03/22 Cup 109.40 -0.42 110.78 121.00 761K 4.5M 106.74
Buy Not Issued. Still set to make the breakout. Good surge Tuesday
on volume then a low volume faded to the 10 day EMA
to end the week. Nice pattern, just waiting for the
break higher.
MGM 03/26 Cup hdl 72.54 +0.65 72.57 83.45 524K 3.4M 69.44
Buy Not Issued. Low volume all week as MGM tested near support and
set up the pattern nicely. One we have to just watch
and see if it can make the move for us.
MON 03/26 DB hdl 58.38 +0.21 58.14 65.45 2M 4M 56.57
Current. Bounced off the 10 day EMA test to end the week, managing
to squeak out a new closing high Friday. Looking for
some volume this week to continue the gap higher on
earnings.
MS 03/24 DB hdl 79.99 -0.08 80.88 94.95 4.5M 8.9M 78.21
Buy Not Issued. Big gap higher Friday but immediately tanked; an outrider
trade. Still holding well above the 90 day EMA and
ready to make the move.
MT 03/31 DB hdl 54.36 +0.01 53.51 63.95 2.4M 3.2M 53.98
Finished the week with a test of the 10 day EMA and
then a higher volume doji at the 10 day on Friday.
Set up to continue the break higher.
NCTY 04/11 Test BO 39.72 -0.28 40.55 47.95 135K 500K 37.71
Buy Not Hit. Very low volume to end the week with a lateral move,
refusing to give up the Monday breakout. Just waiting
for the next move to start.
NIHD 04/04 Test BO 79.26 +0.62 78.95 89.95 1.9M 2M 77.62
Current. Strong volume as NIHD taps at the recent highs, ready
to breakout and make the next run.
NTGR 04/09 Dbl btm 30.24 +0.25 29.78 35.78 741K 1M 28.48
Buy Not Issued. Volume was up Friday on stronger volume that just cracked
average. If it continues higher this week it is a buy.
NUAN 03/17 Dbl btm 16.19 -0.14 15.54 19.85 2.2M 5.5M 15.55
Current. Low volume as NUAN continues up the 10 day EMA. Needs
to show us some volume this week as it breaks higher
and puts some distance on that late March high at 16.20.
OII 03/31 DB hdl 46.52 +0.68 44.50 50.85 771K 1.2M 45.31
Current. Solid volume Wednesday on as OII broke out and ran
higher, heading toward a new closing high. Hard to
complain about this.
PAAS 04/03 DB hdl 31.59 +0.67 30.45 36.55 1.4M 2M 29.98
Current. Great volume Friday as PAAS further jumped off the
10 day EMA after that Wednesday dump to that level.
Good recovery and going to let it work higher for us
as metals continue to work well.
PCLN 03/10 FlyPlat 55.57 +0.50 53.57 61.65 667K 1.7M 53.88
Current. Continues working up the 10 day EMA but on very low
volume. Will let it work higher as long as it will,
but would prefer some stronger trade as it moves over
the March high where it is at right now.
PRFT 03/11 Test 50 22.55 0.00 21.39 24.97 571K 600K 21.65
Current. Excellent test to end the week, tapping at the 10 day
EMA on the lows and rebounding. Strong breakout, great
test. REady to rock and roll again this week.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 132.74 -1.36 145.31 159.95 7.6M 13M 145.45
Exited.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 132.74 -1.36 135.96 154.89 7.6M 10M 145.45
Exited.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 41.25 +0.33 35.17 39.95 7.9M 10M 39.55
Current. Gapped higher for a modest gain, gapping a strong two
weeks for RIO. Excellent action as RIO works higher
and higher up the 10 day EMA (39.69). Just letting
it work higher for us.
ROCM 03/17 Test BO 23.59 -0.20 19.54 23.45 481K 425K 22.11
Current. Great week for ROCM, gapping higher Monday and then
rallying up to 24. Got wilder as the week wore on,
but some solid action.
RS 03/20 Cup hdl 52.04 +0.07 47.78 54.78 1.2M 1M 50.32
Current. Excellent volume Thursday and Friday as RS continued
the move higher after that strong break to start the
Month. Just letting it work higher for us.
SMSI 04/11 Test BO 19.14 -0.12 19.88 23.95 366K 1.2M 18.74
Buy Not Hit. Low, low volume Friday as SMSI tested the 10 day EMA
once more and held the line there. Nice lateral move,
just waiting for the next sharp break higher.
SPWR 04/04 DB hdl 53.06 +1.97 49.69 56.65 1.7M 1M 51.35
Current. Nice week for SPWR, breaking higehr Tuesday and then
racing higher Friday on strong volume. Excellent surge.
SSYS 03/17 Test BO 41.14 -1.11 42.15 47.85 138K 205K 41.75
Exited.
TALX 03/27 Test 18 33.61 -0.13 34.08 39.35 173K 850K 33.18
Buy Not Hit.
TK 03/15 Asc Bse 55.43 -0.04 52.38 58.45 183K 600K 54.38
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the low and recovered positive. No volume but it held where it needed to in the test and bounced. going to let it work higher for us as long as it holds the trend.
TRW 03/01 Test BO 36.28 -0.12 30.55 35.95 260K 530K 35.15
Current. Nice break higher Monday and Thursday, taking TRW out
of a two week lateral move. Excellent action adn we
are letting TRW work higher for us as long as it will.
UA 03/29 DB hdl 51.89 -0.77 52.32 59.95 614K 1.2M 51.44
Current. Good gap higher to start the week and then a tough
Friday, losing ground down near the 10 day EMA. Needs
to hold the line here.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 29.50 +0.16 27.32 32.45 1.9M 2.9M 29.25
Current. Surging after hours to 31.15 on word of GOOG's acquisition
of Doubleclick. Even before that it was a very nice
week for VCLK, gapping higher Tuesday and rallying
from there.
VLCM 04/12 Cup hdl 36.74 -0.40 37.72 43.45 84K 400K 36.08
Buy Not Hit. Very low volume as VLCM continued the lateral move
along the 10 day EMA, setting up the next move.
VLO 03/07 DB hdl 68.40 -0.26 61.15 68.89 8.9M 12M 66.95
Current.
VTIV 03/28 DB hdl 38.94 -0.04 38.95 44.65 170K 458K 37.89
Current. Strong breakout move Thursday then a day off Friday
on lower volume. Nice action to start the play.
WFR 04/03 Test 18 59.71 0.00 61.72 69.95 2.9M 6M 58.88
Current.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 59.71 0.00 54.48 61.95 2.9M 5.4M 61.25
Current. Doji at the 18 day EMA Friday, coming back from the
lows to close flat. Excellent pullback, refusing to
give up the gains. Now it needs to show us the renewed
run higher.
WMS 03/10 Cup hdl 41.85 +0.47 39.79 45.75 179K 600K 40.22
Current. Good finish to the week, rising on Thursday and Friday
with a strong shot of volume Thursday. After languishing
to end March it came to life this month. Given that,
we are letting it run for us.
ZUMZ 04/02 Test 18 39.75 -1.16 42.11 48.95 573K 545K 40.18
Exited.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ASCA 04/04 Put 31.62 +0.16 30.15 28.25 719K 325K 30.32
Current. Finished the move on up to the 90 day MA. Now we see
if it makes the rollover here at the lick log.
CBRL 04/11 Put 45.85 +0.48 45.64 43.50 760K 770K 46.05
Buy Not Issued. Low, below avg volume bounce up toward the 90 day MA.
Good low volume bounce is setting up another decline.
CSE 03/20 Put 24.45 +0.19 24.76 22.75 683K 1.2M 25.65
Trailing Stop.
RECN 04/11 Dbl Top 31.17 -0.16 30.84 29.60 593K 650K 31.21
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 90 day EMA on rising volume. Weak money
flow, double top. Ready to fall.
SBUX 03/28 Put 30.76 +0.09 31.18 30.00 10M 10M 31.05
Current. Reached lower Thursday but rebounded to flat, posting
a bit more upside Friday. Still trending lower and
looke for it to turn back down after this rebound from
the harsh Wednesday selling.
End part 2 of 3
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