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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGU 07/13 Test BO 46.46 -0.49 45.33 53.95 1.5M 1.6M 44.38
Current. Began the test of the Thursday high by dropping 85 cents on low volume. Made a nice reversal off the 18 and 10 day averages over the last week and looks do to the same for the current test.
AMT 07/11 DB hdl 45.02 -0.13 43.48 49.95 3.4M 3.5M 43.57
Current. Great week for AMT with that big Thursday break higher. Tested Friday off the DB hdl base in June on low volume.
ARRS 06/20 Asc Bse 17.49 -0.33 17.10 20.58 2.1M 2.2M 17.22
Current. Returns to the 10 day MA on the Ascending Base run started in early June. Having some trouble making it over the 17.50-18.00 dollar area as ARRS sits at the 10 day for the third time this month. Once positive volume returns it will have no problem moving into the 18's and breaking through the resistance of the previous two tries.
ATHR 07/12 Asc Bse 32.70 -1.17 32.94 37.95 2.8M 2M 31.89
Buy Not Issued. Reaches for the 18 day EMA on average volume after a second try at pushing past the 33.80's. Needs the return of some good volume and a rebound off the 18 day to bring it back and give us the entry. Like the test heading into this week.
BCSI 06/04 Test BO 55.02 -0.51 43.24 49.65 374K 450K 51.97
Current. Still on the test of the early July-high, working laterally in a tight range as the 10 day EMA rises to meet it. This is an important level for BCSI seeing as it is still near the high of last year. Like how it is setting up, however.
BCSI 05/17 Cup hdl 55.02 -0.51 39.44 46.39 374K 500K 51.97
Current.
BID 07/07 Dbl btm 50.85 -0.29 51.63 58.65 1.4M 2.1M 50.21
Current. Continues forming a second handle to its base, tapping toward the 50 day EMA on the Friday low and rebounding to close flat. Low volume test and high volume on the Friday test and rebound. That looks as if it was the last shakeout before continuing higher.
BIDU 05/09 Cup hdl 189.50 -8.69 132.15 148.50 4.4M 3.2M 205.95
Current. Tough week as it sold on the GOOG news and simply putting in a heck of a run. It held the 18 day EMA, however, and we are looking for a new play as it bounces.
CAT 07/09 Test 50 83.20 -3.78 80.95 94.95 39M 8M 84.21
Current. Gapped lower on those really weak US earnings but very strong global business. It held the 50 day EMA early and then mounted a steady recovery, taking back more than half its losses by the close. We will see if the cat scratch fever abates and CAT continues back up. Have to like how we are still positive in the play even after that whacking.
CBG 07/18 Test BO 39.75 -1.69 41.11 47.95 3M 3.5M 39.48
Buy Not Issued. Volume jumped as CBG lost everything it gained Thursday. Going to drop for now and see if it can recover and set up again.
CLF 07/16 Cup hdl 83.70 -1.55 86.82 99.95 1M 2.2M 83.77
Buy Not Hit. Tougher session Friday but held the 18 day EMA on the close on continued low volume. Just a bit more shakeout in the handle, setting it up for a good breakout this week. The aggressive souls out there can move in on a jump over the 85 level if the volume is running high.
CLF 06/16 Test 50 83.70 -1.55 80.95 94.95 1M 2.4M 83.38
Current.
CMI 07/11 Test BO 116.07 -3.30 118.60 135.95 2.9M 2.8M 116.95
Current. Ended the week plunking down to the 10 day EMA on the CAT news, but held there with a nice hammer doji. Still looks very good.
CMI 06/19 Test BO 116.07 -3.30 104.10 119.85 2.9M 2.5M 116.97
Current.
CMTL 06/28 Rev HS 47.03 -1.24 47.45 54.75 331K 450K 47.89
Current. Reaches for the 18 day MA for the second time in July, both on low volume. Failed to pass the 7/09/07 high and now sits on the 18 day EMA where we will see if it can reload and make another try.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 15.23 -0.57 14.48 17.65 997K 785K 14.97
Current. Faded to the 18 day EMA on the Friday low following a great break higher early in the week. Still walking up the 18 day EMA following its breakout in late June so we view this as solid action.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 84.83 -0.93 85.75 99.95 225K 425K 82.95
Current. Good wee with the test of the breakout and bounce off the 18 day EMA Thursday. Stands ready to make its next move as the selling ends and CTRP plans its next trip to higher ground.
CTRP 05/26 Test BO 84.83 -0.93 76.38 89.95 225K 425K 85.45
Current.
CVX 07/17 Test BO 92.12 -0.88 91.85 103.95 10M 12M 90.11
Current. Broke higher Wednesday and we moved in but then stalled a bit to end the week, tapping the 10 day EMA on the Friday low. Still looks solid for the next run following that late June breakout.
CVX 06/25 PreAnn 92.12 -0.88 83.98 99.95 10M 10M 91.12
Current.
CXW 07/05 PreSplt 31.00 -0.45 32.75 36.72 642K 425K 31.98
Current. Tested the 50 on Wednesday to attempt a reversal but couldn't break past the 18 day EMA. Now sits below the 50 day MA with low volume on what will be a good shakeout of sellers before CXW's next move - - if it can hang onto this key level here at the 50 day EMA.
DO 05/26 Test BO 108.40 +2.86 96.65 111.50 3.5M 3.5M 104.92
Current. DO blew through that potential double top from late June and early July, powering higher on stronger, above average volume both Thursday and Friday. Sweet black gold.
DO 05/01 Test BO 108.40 +2.86 88.18 99.95 3.5M 3.4M 104.92
Current.
FCN 07/09 Test BO 40.51 -1.05 39.75 45.75 881K 525K 40.11
Current. Faded right back after that solid Thursday price move. Managed to close at the 10 day MA on average volume after reaching for the 18 intraday and rebounding.
FCSX 07/07 Test 18 57.32 -2.74 61.57 71.95 342K 600K 59.89
Current. Returns to the 18 day average after the previous rebound off the 18. Though it closed just below the 18 day, it showed low volume and FCSX is more volatile and thus we give it a bit more room on thses moves.
FCX 07/18 Test BO 99.03 +1.37 96.62 107.95 12M 12M 96.22
Current. Great move off of the 10 day EMA last week gave us the new buy point and drove our positions higher. Love the smell of copper in the morning.
FCX 06/21 Test 18 99.03 +1.37 83.02 99.95 12M 10M 96.22
Current.
FCX 06/06 Test 18 99.03 +1.37 77.12 87.00 12M 12M 96.22
Current.
FCX 05/23 Asc Bse 99.03 +1.37 74.45 85.00 12M 12M 96.22
Current.
FFIV 06/13 Asc Bse 89.08 -1.18 85.40 98.95 812K 1.8M 87.95
Current. After a great recovery with a gap lower Wednesday and a big gap higher Thursday, FFIV took the day off to catch its breath. Still like this one a lot despite a bit of volatility last week.
GES 06/18 FlyPlat 49.80 -0.31 50.78 59.95 1M 2.2M 50.05
Current. Faded back all week, holding right at the 18 day EMA and the mid-June consolidation range. Needs to make the stand here.
GME 06/21 Test BO 41.93 +0.26 41.01 48.98 1.1M 2.5M 41.32
Current. Flat-lines through the 10 day MA on low volume to close a quiet week. Thankfully doesn't follow the trend of the Electronic Stores Industry, as GME makes its own wake. It sure looks ready to bust higher; look at that big volume Wednesday as it tested lower and then the buyers jumped back in.
GME 05/24 Test 18 41.93 +0.26 37.01 42.45 1.1M 3.5M 41.32
Current.
GMRK 06/25 DB hdl 55.75 +0.42 55.50 65.95 144k 385K 54.38
Current. The symbol is now GLF. Not a bad session as GLF moves off its 18 day EMA test.
GRMN 06/09 Test BO 79.71 -2.31 65.42 75.35 2.2M 2M 79.21
Current. Falls after the previous attempt to regain the test high from Monday. Now sits above the 10 day MA on low volume, looking as if it may finally make a deeper test. It goes no lower given that lower high the past week (meaning we take the rest of our nice gain if it cannot hold and start back up).
HAL 07/12 Test 50 36.57 +0.17 35.55 40.95 22M 22M 35.22
Current. Great break higher for the week, matching the May high on the Friday intraday high. It faded back from there & it may take a breather, but we like our position here.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 48.54 +0.14 46.35 53.35 15M 20M 47.11
Current. Quiets the aggressive run into the high 40's as it drops 3 cents to close the day. Strong week for HPQ as it made a great run off the test of the 50 and continues to push for the 50 dollar mark.
HRS 06/28 Test BO 58.79 +0.52 56.16 64.00 1.2M 1.2M 57.11
Current. Breaks high into the upper-50's on above average volume Friday to close out a great week. In contrast, the Telecommunications sector suffered some hard selling this week as it ran 24 dollars lower after a great July run. What does that mean? HRS is a horse in its sector.
HURN 05/10 PreAnn 76.47 -0.52 67.14 76.95 211K 350K 73.92
Current. HURN keeps moving higher up the 18 day EMA. No complaints but the volume is overall low and it just won't make that big breakout move. Big volume Tuesday on the upside, so we are still anticipating a definitive upside move from HURN.
ICE 06/23 Test BO 160.24 -1.11 150.61 182.95 3M 4.5M 165.45
Current. Melted a bit, falling to the 18 day EMA on below average volume. Couldn't hold the run past the February high but is set up for another try as volume dies out on the selling.
ICE 06/12 Cup hdl 160.24 -1.11 151.88 173.95 3M 5.8M 165.45
Current.
ININ 06/26 Cup hdl 22.15 -0.11 20.99 25.25 97K 300K 21.57
Current. Nice break higher just over a week back and then a flat, tight consolidation last week on low volume as the 10 day EMA moved up to meet it. Looks set for the next break higher.
JEC 07/07 Asc Bse 65.85 -0.11 61.15 70.78 910K 1.2M 63.88
Current. Another solid week for JEC as it held up on the test off of that tombstone doji the prior week and made a new high. Impressive.
MA 06/21 Test BO 165.28 -2.15 166.68 185.00 3.7M 5M 167.11
Current. Tested back last week, undercutting the 18 day EMA on the Friday low but rebounding to hold above that level on the close. We are thinking about a new buy on a strong bounce off this test.
MA 06/12 Test 18 165.28 -2.15 148.15 169.75 3.7M 4.5M 164.11
Current.
MBT 07/19 Test BO 65.14 -2.41 67.89 77.95 1.4M 1.6M 65.57
Buy Not Hit. Fell right back to the 10 day EMA Friday. Hmmm. Would like to see it hold here, work laterally a couple of sessions, and that would then set up a break.
MFE 06/27 Test 18 35.92 -0.01 35.78 40.95 797K 2M 35.54
Current. Returns to the 18 day EMA Friday on very low trade. Still preparing to make a nice reversal to continue the move.
MM 07/14 Cup hdl 45.96 -0.99 49.04 56.95 235K 475K 47.38
Buy Not Hit. Breaks below all averages except the 200 on a steady downtrend into the mid-40's. Needs to give some signs that it can sustain the loss and recover once positive action returns. Otherwise, no clear entry point yet and we are dropping it for now.
MON 07/12 FlyPlat 69.04 -0.62 69.89 79.95 4M 3.5M 67.21
Buy Not Issued. Reaches for the 10 day MA on low volume to continue the FlyPlat trend. Still set up for the break off the 10 day to continue its run.
MR 06/30 Test BO 30.24 0.00 31.89 39.95 454K 750K 31.02
Exited. After gapping lower Wednesday MR rebounded Thursday and Friday, tapping the 10 & 18 day EMA on the Friday highs and fading back. We closed the position on this action as it looked like a bounce but failed test.
MR 05/19 DB hdl 30.24 0.00 27.89 33.55 454K 750K 31.02
Trailing Stop. Took the position off the table with a modest gain given the fading strength on the rebound.
MTL 07/19 Test BO 43.99 -0.01 44.32 53.32 386K 500K 42.44
Buy Not Hit. Still set to continue the breakout run after this nice test of the early July break higher.
NTGR 07/09 Asc Bse 40.67 -0.04 39.24 45.82 845K 715K 39.05
Current. Posted modest gains last week but more walked laterally, waiting for the 10 day EMA (39.53) to catch up with it. Tapped that level on the intraday low and will likely wait a couple more days before it resumes the move.
PCAR 07/11 Test BO 94.90 -2.66 92.74 105.95 2.8M 2.2M 95.45
Current. Fell harder Friday on the CAT news but it too held its 10 day EMA after a great run last week. Looking for it to hold here and resume the move.
PCLN 06/23 Test BO 70.68 +0.67 69.04 78.95 1.1M 1.4M 66.98
Current. Good move off the 18 day EMA test starting on Wednesday. Nice recovery as the market weakened late in the week. So far has made steady progress through the previous months and now shoots for new territory.
PRFT 07/10 Rev HS 22.66 -0.40 22.05 26.45 297K 450K 21.31
Buy Not Issued. Strong volume Thursday then the test Friday on lower volume. May test some more early this week and then deliver the next upside move and we can move in on that one.
RATE 06/25 Test BO 50.73 -0.80 51.65 59.95 291K 741K 49.32
Current. Made a run for the high of May 2006 but couldn't carry the climb and broke off this week, working laterally as the 10 day EMA rose to meet it. Nice test and it looks just about ready to start back up.
RECN 07/16 Test BO 33.19 -0.73 34.86 40.88 362K 850K 33.88
Exited. Caved after the July top and now continues to fall into the lower 30's on poor volume action.
RIMM 06/06 Test BO 230.52 -3.83 170.35 193.95 7.3M 7.2M 228.00
Current. Another nice run on the week, fading modestly Friday. No trouble yet for RIMM as it makes a great start on testing the previous high.
SAY 07/19 Test BO 28.32 +0.92 28.39 33.78 3.3M 825K 27.21
Entered today. Obvious entry point as SAY blasted through the early July highs on its great move into the upper-20's. Currently runs on high volume and looks to break into the 30's if volume can keep up.
SID 07/17 PreAnn 56.32 -0.10 56.12 64.35 1.2M 1.4M 53.98
Current. Falls on slightly below-average volume as it sits atop the 10 day MA on a very nice test of the break higher. We moved in on the Wednesday bump higher, and we are looking at more positions as it makes the next strong volume upside move.
SIMO 07/14 Test BO 25.62 -0.19 28.69 34.39 2.1M 850K 26.04
Current. Caved on the test of the July top, reaching down to the 50 day EMA intraday Friday. It rebounded nicely on strong volume, making the do or die move it had to make. Now after that tough week started by Intel's earnings miss SIMO has to show us it can recover.
SIMO 06/13 DB hdl 25.62 -0.19 24.48 29.55 2.1M 1.4M 25.95
Current.
SLB 06/20 Test BO 96.68 +3.23 87.65 99.95 18M 9.5M 93.42
Current. A great week for SLB as it broke into the mid-90's on decent volume. It is a rogue elephant, storming through the market and making its own path. Just going to let this animal run and damn glad we have loaded up positions with this stock. This is what we mean by averaging up into winners. We have amassed some massive gains in our options and stock positions and we are just letting them run for now.
SLB 05/26 Test BO 96.68 +3.23 80.25 91.95 18M 10M 93.42
Current.
SLB 05/15 Test 50 96.68 +3.23 76.52 87.85 18M 10M 93.42
Current.
SMSC 07/02 Cup hdl 35.22 -0.77 36.58 43.95 271K 300K 34.02
Buy Not Hit. Tougher session Friday as things got a bit wilder from the quiet handle. Still held above the 18 day EMA on the close so still in the game for a breakout.
SNDA 06/23 Flat 32.10 -1.14 29.90 35.55 561K 1.1M 32.11
Trailing Stop. Broke below the 10 day EMA on low volume today to close the week. We got a bit panicky and took the gain off the table. Rookie mistake and if it holds here we will look at a new play.
SPSS 07/14 Test BO 45.63 -1.65 46.89 53.85 148K 441K 45.22
Current. Sits on the 18 day MA to test the recent high of 47.28. Descends on fairly below-average volume and sets up the next move into higher ground.
TESO 07/19 Flat 33.50 -0.71 34.55 40.45 132K 175K 32.15
Buy Not Hit. Reversed low off the Thursday breakout, falling on low volume, reaching for the 10 day EMA with an intraday test before rebounding. Good test, setting us up for a great entry point.
TRMB 05/31 Test 50 33.13 -0.36 31.10 35.99 355K 650K 32.98
Current. Faded in a low volume test for the week, holding the 18 day EMA on the close. This is where it continues its run if it is going to do it.
UA 07/14 DB hdl 55.12 -2.26 55.98 66.31 1.3M 1.5M 55.11
Current. Fell hard Friday after that great break higher for the week. This had a very 'expiration' feel to it and we are looking for UA to turn back up this week.
UCO 07/16 Rev HS 79.96 -0.16 80.88 94.95 561K 650K 77.94
Buy Not Hit. Set up the Rev HS trend nicely and now gets ready to breakout of the base once volume returns. Currently reaches for the 10 day MA on low volume and can put itself in a good buy point region if it can make the move high.
UTHR 07/16 Cup hdl 69.42 -0.02 68.80 78.97 678K 1.2M 67.57
Current. Levels off on low volume after closing the week near 70 dollars after that great break higher on Tuesday.
VCLK 06/23 Dbl btm 29.98 -0.87 30.77 36.85 1.6M 4.5M 28.89
Current. Gapped lower Friday to the 50 day EMA but on low volume. Still looking for VCLK to continue from here.
VDSI 07/07 Asc Bse 25.06 -0.63 25.58 30.45 519K 670K 24.05
Current. Nice break higher on Tuesday and then a low volume test to end the week, easily holding above the 10 day EMA. Nice set up for yet another move higher. Has made three great bounces off the 50 day MA so far in 07 and has a similar trend backing it up in the Computer Software & Services sector.
VIP 07/18 Test BO 112.43 -0.45 113.33 125.45 415K 850K 109.86
Buy Not Hit. Returns to the 10 day MA on the test of the July high. Currently descends on low volume as it gets ready to make its next move.
VIP 05/30 Test BO 112.43 -0.45 107.05 121.95 415K 1.2M 114.22
Current.
VLO 07/10 PreAnn 73.13 -1.39 77.95 90.95 14M 13M 75.08
Exited. Broke through the 50 day EMA and now reaches for the 90. Exiting was a definite after several months of quiet movement and finally the high, selling volume this past week after a mediocre high.
VSEA 06/21 Test 50 46.31 -0.11 42.42 49.65 1.6M 3M 44.48
Current. Great week for VSEA that took it to its late April high (the all-time high). Took a breather Friday and may rest a bit more, but looks super for a break to a new high.
WFR 06/27 Test 50 57.72 -1.18 63.85 73.75 5.1M 8.2M 61.22
Current. Broke through the 50 and 90 day averages on consistent, average volume. It held support at 57.50ish from May and June price consolidations. This is where it has to hold.
XTO 06/09 Test BO 60.77 -1.06 61.05 61.05 4M 5M 61.57
Current. Mixed week for XTO. It vaulted off the 50 day EMA Wednesday on solid, above average volume. It stalled at the early June interim peak and faded back to the 10 day EMA Friday on rising, average volume. It sure looks as if it wants to make the break higher and challenge the June high for a new all-time high.
XTO 05/26 Test BO 60.77 -1.06 58.41 66.95 4M 4.5M 61.57
Current.
End part 2 of 3
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