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Begin part 2 of 3
Part 3 will be forwarded later today.
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGU 07/13 Test BO 41.54 -0.37 45.33 53.95 2M 1.6M 44.38
Current. Despite the market selling AGU held its ground above the 90 day MA and at the April highs, continuing its lateral consolidation of the past two weeks. Not a great surge or anything like that, but given the market selling, a pillar of strength as it tries to set up for the bounce off this support.
ALGN 07/30 Test BO 25.64 -0.92 27.77 33.38 753K 1.2M 2597.0
Buy Not Hit. Fell below the 18 day MA, but not without a fight as it stood up well against the market selling. Currently sits just above the early-May and mid-June highs(roughly 24 dollars) looking to make a bounce high once volume returns.
BCSI 07/28 Test 50 50.30 -1.64 52.32 62.95 292K 600K 49.89
Buy Not Issued. Weathered the market selling well to post a modest loss on low volume. Critical point in the life of BCSI as it tests the new high(55.53) past the most recent top for BCSI(52.01). Looks set to rebound high above the 10 day MA given that selling volume was low Friday and that late may and early June set up some nice support at the current level.
BDX 08/01 Cup hdl 76.20 -2.28 79.22 91.45 1.6M 1.5M 76.88
Buy Not Issued. Dropping as it gapped lower in a very wild session.
BG 07/24 Test BO 92.17 -2.06 89.15 99.95 1.2M 1.5M 87.97
Current. Got sucked in by the market flow to put the brakes on the surge and test early. Tested with low volume after five days of above-average volume, meaning BG looks ready to return to the breakout soon.
BTJ 07/11 Test BO 40.35 -3.05 51.18 59.95 396K 700K 50.55
Current. Fell to next support at 40 with a quick late move.
Will have to hold here and give a bounce or 35 is next.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 59.46 -0.96 60.88 69.95 3.2M 5.5M 58.78
Buy Not Issued. Fell back to the 50 day MA on low volume along the July support. Wants to start the move higher but either doesn't have the individual strength or the support of the market to get it started.
CIEN 08/02 Test 50 35.62 -1.51 37.42 44.95 2.9M 5M 34.98
Buy Not Hit. Met the 50 day MA on the low after getting rejected by the 18 day EMA. Currently sits on late June and early July support on average volume. Still on the test of the new high of CIEN over the late peak of March 2006, in need of a reversal soon to keep the move.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 32.01 -1.20 35.26 41.95 387K 896K 33.54
Current. Fades back to June-July support on low volume to set up for the breakout higher. Important that it holds a nice move here seeing as it is still in the massive 06-07 Cup hdl base.
CMTL 06/28 Rev HS 42.18 -2.05 47.45 54.75 339K 450K 47.89
Current. Broke below the 90 day MA, but on low volume and in
the afternoon with that massive throw out of all stocks.
Held some support at 42 and we expect a bounce from
here to test 45ish.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 15.06 -0.14 14.48 17.65 1M 785K 14.97
Current. Fell back on the 10 day MA with above-average volume, holding near support. Held up well in the selling and now needs to show us a continued move.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 42.90 +2.40 42.88 49.98 2M 425K 39.45
Current. Continued the Wednesday explosive rebound on even better volume to recover a majority of the prior week's losses. Doing great going against the flow of the market as it nears the July top, the next key test. After this run it may be a bit tired and pause at that level. Don't want to see the volume jump higher on any test back from that resistance.
CTRP 06/30 Cup hdl 42.90 +2.40 39.63 45.48 2M 450K 39.45
Current.
CTXS 08/01 Test BO 35.74 -1.13 37.65 44.95 1.6M 3.2M 35.55
Buy Not Hit. Fell through the 18 day EMA on the Friday close, but volume was very low and even further below average. Still in great shape to deliver upside.
CVX 07/17 Test BO 81.02 -2.87 91.85 103.95 16M 12M 90.11
Current. Gapped lower and slid through the 90 day MA after testing
it on the Thursday low. Holding above support at 80
where it needs to show us a recovery.
FCN 07/09 Test BO 45.07 +2.18 39.75 45.75 2.4M 525K 40.11
Target Hit. Gapped higher on a strong earnings report, blowing
past the target. Took some strong 20% stock and 74%
option gain.
GIVN 08/02 Test 50 27.50 -1.62 29.88 36.95 214K 285K 27.79
Buy Not Hit. Fell below the 50 day moving average to rest on May and June support. Made the move on average volume and looks to rebound soon with or without the market's help.
GME 06/21 Test BO 39.55 -1.96 41.01 48.98 6.3M 2.5M 41.32
Current. Sold down hard early on TTWO delaying the release of
Grand Theft Auto IV, but managed to rebound and hold
the 50 day EMA on the close, showing a big doji. It
has now made a full test of that level & still looks solid.
GME 05/24 Test 18 39.55 -1.96 37.01 42.45 6.3M 3.5M 41.32
Current.
HAL 07/18 Test 50 34.27 -1.19 36.52 41.75 20M 20M 36.78
Current. Was holding up well until the last hour selling that
pushed it down toward its June and July lows. Volume
was up but still lower than prior sessions. Looked
a bit overdone so looking for a bounce early this week.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 47.41 -0.82 46.35 53.35 17M 20M 47.64
Current. Wild session as HQP ended on the 10 day MA on above-average volume to sit on early July support. Before that it was down to the 50 day EMA and then up to the July high. Yes, Suzy, there is volatility. Nonetheless, setting up to rebound off the 10 or 18 day MA's.
HRS 06/28 Test BO 54.70 -0.97 56.16 64.00 916K 1.2M 57.29
Current. Sold back to the 50 day EMA with average volume. Has key support here to send it higher after this test.
LMT 08/01 DB hdl 99.37 -3.01 103.22 118.75 2.1M 3.2M 98.45
Buy Not Hit. Thumped Friday, dumping to the 18 day EMA on lower but still average volume. Will see if it can hold here and continue the pattern and show us the breakout.
LRCX 08/01 Test BO 54.82 -2.41 59.12 67.98 2.8M 4.5M 56.38
Buy Not Hit. Sold hard to hold at the 50 day MA along May and June supports. Has three key support points here that are set to give it the bounce back to recover the Friday selling, but don't like this drop. If it can recover we will put it back on, but dropping for now
MA 06/21 Test BO 131.26 -11.36 166.68 185.00 7M 5M 167.11
Exited. May and June support couldn't hold the hard selling as MA fell through the 90 day MA with no problem Friday. With the massively weak financial sector we decided to clear out and see if, when, and where it holds.
MA 06/12 Test 18 131.26 -11.36 148.15 169.75 7M 4.5M 164.11
Exited.
MFE 06/27 Test 18 35.25 -1.80 35.78 40.95 1.3M 2M 35.54
Current. Slipped on the afternoon market selling to return to the 50 day EMA on low volume. Ready to rebound here as it sits atop some decent June and July support and it was not being sold hard Friday.
MR 08/02 DB hdl 31.63 +0.52 32.22 38.45 888K 750K 29.96
Buy Not Hit. Posted a decent gain off the quiet move Thursday, not quite hitting our buy point. Moves on above-average volume to renew the surge higher after flat-lining Thursday on a third day of consecutively lower volume. Really like how it is showing strength in a weak market.
NE 07/28 PreSplt 97.27 -3.40 104.47 118.95 3.3M 4M 99.94
Current. Dumped to the 50 day EMA though volume did not ramp up Friday. This is where NE has to show some nobility and hold key support and continue the move.
NETL 07/14 Cup hdl 30.23 -0.98 34.48 40.45 418K 900K 33.39
Current. Slipped through the 90 day SMA Friday but on very low volume and NETL is holding some support at 30. Again, this is where it needs to make a stand.
NVDA 07/28 Test 18 42.54 -2.68 47.47 56.75 10M 12M 44.44
Current. Gapped higher and hung in there nicely until the afternoon
session when it gave up ground. Despite the close off
the high it remains in solid shape and will look at
more positions as it holds and rebounds again.
OIH 07/30 Test 50 166.75 -6.20 181.68 198.95 12M 12M 177.55
Buy Not Issued. Knifed lower through the 50 day EMA and closed below the 90 day SMA. May find some support and rebound, and we will be watching it for that, but dropping as this is no the play we put on the report as it could not hold the key 50 day.
ONNN 07/25 Test BO 11.39 -0.55 11.44 13.95 6.2M 7.5M 10.95
Buy Not Issued. Could not extend the attempts at the breakout, instead pulling back to the 18 day MA on below-average volume to rest on heavy support from April to July. Ready to make the next move higher off the support and push past the Thursday high.
PKI 08/01 Test BO 28.05 -0.49 28.42 32.89 1.1M 1.1M 27.08
Buy Not Issued. Another stock showing excellent strength in the overall market sloth. Tested the Wednesday high on above-average volume but faded in the afternoon as the market collapsed. Nears two key support levels from July where it looks to make the bounce and finish the test and give us the buy.
POT 07/30 Test 50 85.31 +1.50 83.55 94.95 4.2M 5M 80.97
Current. Pushed against the market to give a good move on above-average volume. Reaches up for the Mid-July high and need to see POT hold the aggressive move past the top to break resistance.
RIMM 07/26 PreSplt 218.50 -5.57 226.22 249.50 6.7M 10M 216.97
Entered today. Nice intraday surge, leading the early rebound from
the morning selling. It was rolled in the last hour
and closed just over the 18 day EMA. Still nice but
sure would have liked it to hold the early move higher.
SAY 07/25 Test BO 26.10 -0.88 27.88 32.32 738K 1.4M 26.65
Current. Faded back to the 50 day EMA on low volume after getting caught in the market selling. Ready to make a reversal here as the 50 day MA sits at a strong key support for SAY.
SID 07/17 PreAnn 55.27 -2.27 56.12 64.35 1.1M 1.4M 55.89
Exited. Faded back hard on rising trade early and we did not want to get caught in a steel meltdown. If it can hold we will look at new positions.
SJR 07/30 Test BO 23.03 -0.75 49.15 57.95 449K 221K 46.44
Buy Not Hit. Continued lower, unable to hold the 18 day EMA and may fade on down to the 50 day EMA. We will watch it and see if it can hold, but dropping for now.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 53.43 +0.66 56.32 65.45 16M 12M 53.96
Buy Not Issued. Rebounded high against the market flow with great volume though gave up much of the day's gain in that last hour selling. Tested the 18 and sets up to push back up to the 10 day MA with fresh buying volume.
SPN 07/31 Asc Bse 39.05 -1.27 41.88 48.22 1.3M 1.5M 39.22
Buy Not Hit. Closed the week at key support for SPN above the 90 day MA, but this was not the move we wanted to see. Fell with the market to finish beneath the 50 day EMA on above-average volume. Still working somewhat laterally out of the Dbl handle made in early 07, but will have to hold here and show us the break higher soon.
SPWR 07/24 Test 18 67.30 -1.67 71.84 82.45 828K 2M 67.31
Current. Faded in the Friday selling below the 18 day EMA, but extremely light volume so there was no one really wanting to sell it. Set to rebound soon as the selling dies out.
STP 07/23 Test BO 38.16 -1.49 43.31 49.95 1.8M 3M 39.97
Current. Flopped to the 50 day MA on continued low, below average volume, with an assist from the Friday afternoon market selling. Setting up for a nice break higher off the 50 day as there is no heavy selling volume. Will look at more positions as it makes the rebound.
TRMB 05/31 Test 50 37.93 -0.46 31.10 35.99 1.3M 650K 34.92
Current. Great wee for TRMB, finishing it out with a doji but holding up well in the Friday market flop. Very strong.
VDSI 07/07 Asc Bse 28.76 +0.78 25.58 30.45 1.7M 670K 26.65
Current. Great week and a great close to the week despite the market sell off. Made the move past the July top on great volume. Letting this one run as long as it will.
VIP 05/30 Test BO 106.16 -2.59 107.05 121.95 398K 1.2M 104.88
Current. Ended the week with a drop back to the 50 day EMA where it has to hold because it is setting up a potential Head and shoulders top. Low volume is a plus along with the hold at the 50 day. Needs to make the move higher off the 50 day MA here with selling volume ending and VIP with strong support at this level.
VSEA 07/25 Test BO 48.40 -1.22 44.88 52.95 2.5M 3M 44.97
Current. Tested the first high for August as it made a modest pullback on average volume. Excellent strength. Want to see VSEA hold the new high and end the test off the late-April an mid-July support.
VSEA 06/21 Test 50 48.40 -1.22 42.42 49.65 2.5M 3M 45.88
Current.
WFR 06/27 Test 50 58.46 -1.83 63.85 73.75 3.6M 8.2M 61.22
Current. Fell through the 50 and 90 day MA on low volume to meet key support from May through June. In good position to make the next move higher and recover week's losses as it continues its 5 month lateral base.
WHQ 07/21 Asc Bse 59.15 -3.52 67.12 79.95 566K 450K 63.94
Buy Not Issued. Tanked to the 90 day SMA. Dropping.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CCK 07/31 Put 23.71 -0.89 24.38 23.05 2.1M 1.4M 24.22
After tapping at the 10 day EMA on Thursday and early
Friday, CCK rolled over on volume. It closed up off
its low but still looks to tap at the 200 day MA (23.12)
before this is over.
FNM 07/31 Put 56.63 -2.33 59.00 56.10 13M 5M 57.92
Target Hit. Took part of the 42.5% put option gain as FNM tapped
at the target after that afternoon sell off. Still
looks weak and looking to give us a bit more downside
early this week.
NITE 07/31 Put 13.29 -0.74 13.96 12.45 3M 1.7M 13.62
Current. Fell out of the quiet move Thursday to hit 13.29 on high selling volume. Looks to continue the move lower as the high volume gives a good start to the new pull back.
End part 2 of 3
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