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us stock market, top stock pick
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGU 07/17 DB hdl 41.14 +0.46 46.25 53.95 2.5M 2M 44.38
Current. Bounced back to the 90 day MA on a modest gain of 46 cents. Made the move on high volume and expecting the volume to push AGU back towards the 50 day MA.
ALGN 07/30 Test BO 27.04 +0.14 27.77 33.38 1M 1.2M 2597.0
Buy Not Hit. Returned to the 7/30 high, moving parallel to the 10 day MA out of yesterday's aggressive rebound. Looks to fade back to the 10 day MA as volume dies out.
AMED 08/06 Asc Bse 39.34 +0.59 39.24 45.25 706K 550K 37.38
Buy Not Issued. Good volume and closed above the buy point but it was falling back into the close so we left it for the day
to see how it performs the day after the FOMC meeting.
ARTC 08/01 Test BO 56.60 +1.01 51.89 59.75 893K 600K 54.38
Current. Continued the move into the upper-50's on another day of high volume. Losing some momentum on its way up as volume progressively declines.
BCSI 07/28 Test 50 54.11 +2.17 52.97 62.95 668K 600K 50.98
Entered today. Picks up some great volume as it continues the Friday rebound from beneath the 18 day MA. Got in on the breakout as it looks set to pass the July high with the help from today's high volume. Important to see it make the new high here as BCSI is still in the Cup hdl base of 06-07.
BIDU 08/04 Rev HS 199.20 +5.80 200.45 248.00 3.2M 4M 195.22
Buy Not Issued. Met with the 10 day MA, rebounding off the early July support. Made the move on another day of below-average volume, needing to see volume pick up and give BIDU a stronger rebound towards the July top.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 60.98 -0.03 61.10 69.95 4.5M 5.5M 58.92
Entered today. Gave the entry point after holding the key support along the 50 day MA with average volume. CELG setting up for a strong move here on rising volume.
CMTL 06/28 Rev HS 42.47 -0.18 47.45 54.75 440K 450K 47.89
Exited. Unable to rebound with the rest of the market. Though
it still held some support at 44 we did not want to
hold it as it did not show any pop post-FOMC.
CPO 07/26 Test 50 44.19 -0.68 46.44 53.45 661K 1.1M 43.88
Buy Not Hit. Returned to the 18 day MA on a fourth day of below-average volume. Setting up for something huge as it continues to consolidate along the mid-40 line.
CSCO 07/24 FlyPlat 29.69 +0.19 30.18 36.25 78M 70M 29.40
Current. Was all over the map on more strong, above avg volume as CSCO tested the Monday low & rebounded to close above the 18 day EMA. After hrs earnings beat & the stock jumped up to 31.40 on the John 'Gosh yes' Chambers conference call.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 40.61 -2.67 42.88 49.98 2.4M 425K 39.45
Current. Gapped lower on the earnings but held easily above
the 50 day EMA on the close. We liked the respnse to
the gap lower below the 50 day & we like the recovery
& are looking for a bounce back up from here.
CTRP 06/30 Cup hdl 40.61 -2.67 39.63 45.48 2.4M 450K 39.45
Current.
CTXS 08/01 Test BO 36.66 -0.01 37.65 44.95 2M 3.2M 35.55
Buy Not Hit. Still in the pattern as stock moves up after testing the breakout. Next important move will be to break through some resistance at 37.
CVX 07/17 Test BO 83.18 +1.16 91.85 103.95 15M 12M 90.11
Current. Rebounded back up thru the 90 day EMA on continued
strong volume. Will see if it can get up to the 85-86
level where the 50 day EMA resides& what it can do
at taht resistance. May have to shut it down at that point.
FCX 08/04 Test 50 87.78 +2.31 86.88 99.95 9.6M 12M 85.21
Buy Not Issued. May be there. The volume was not quite what we wanted Tuesday, but if it continues higher we can use that
rebound volume from Monday to enter some positions.
FTK 07/28 Test 50 31.97 +1.05 30.66 35.97 328K 604K 27.94
Current. Rebounded on low volume off the 10 day MA to return to the Thursday high. Needing to see FTK overcome the prior high before it builds resistance off the July high as well.
GES 06/18 FlyPlat 52.06 +3.81 50.78 59.95 1.7M 2.2M 50.05
Current. Exploded high out of the rebound from below the 50 day MA yesterday. Running on a second day of above-average volume and looking to pass the July high if volume can stay another day.
GME 06/21 Test BO 42.76 +2.16 41.01 48.98 3.1M 2.5M 41.32
Current. Building momentum out of the rebound off the 50 day MA to continue the move into the low-40's. Set to meet the early-July high soon and will pass if volume holds at above-average.
GME 05/24 Test 18 42.76 +2.16 37.01 42.45 3.1M 3.5M 41.32
Current.
HAL 07/26 Test BO 34.69 +0.39 37.82 43.50 19M 20M 35.98
Buy Not Hit.
HAL 07/12 Test 50 34.69 +0.39 35.55 40.95 19M 22M 36.78
Current. umped out of the flat-line to post a small gain and pass the 90 day MA. No solid volume for HAL yet and in need of some to push to the 50 day MA.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 48.48 +0.02 46.35 53.35 16M 20M 47.64
Current. Nearly leveled off from yesterday's high as HAL sits along the July top on average volume. Need to see HPQ with stronger volume to make it past the prior high.
ILMN 07/17 Cup hdl 49.44 +2.18 42.92 50.95 2.3M 1.6M 45.89
Target Hit. Another strong move and took some 16% stock and 70%
option gain off the table, letting the rest of the
position run with this nice break higher.
JCI 08/06 Dbl btm 117.16 +1.10 117.65 134.95 1.3M 1.2M 113.57
Entered today. Continued to build off the rebound from key support Friday. Gave the entry point as it held the move higher on below-average volume, showing strength similar to the impressive July run.
LAVA 08/02 Cup hdl 14.19 -0.20 15.55 18.78 700K 950K 14.46
Buy Not Hit. Held the move out of the July consolidation for a bit but gave it back on high selling volume. Dropped this one after it returned to the 50 day MA and below the May-June support with no problem.
LAYN 07/28 Cup hdl 44.79 -0.31 45.38 51.95 307K 315K 42.34
Current. Anotner pullback tapping support at 43.42 and made a nice rally back showing a tight doji on the 10 day EMA on much stronger volume surge. Doji may indicate a change in pattern to the upside.
LRCX 08/06 Test 50 57.59 +0.12 58.65 67.98 2M 4.5M 55.97
Buy Not Hit. Moved parallel with the 10 day MA on low volume to end the aggressive rebound off the 50 day MA. Looks to fade back to the 10 day MA on the test before continuing the move higher.
MFE 06/27 Test 18 34.98 +0.18 35.78 40.95 2.4M 2M 35.54
Current. Broke through the 90 day MVA at the low (33.26) and made a fierce rally back holding at some resistance just below the 50 day EMA. Looks ready to continue the rebound but will need to break through the resistance at 35
MR 08/02 DB hdl 35.17 +4.19 33.97 39.95 2.9M 750K 31.89
Entered today. Jumped on this one after it showed the quick test out of the DB handle with solid building volume. Enjoying the explosive move with excellent volume.
NVDA 07/25 Test 18 43.58 +0.68 47.47 56.75 9.4M 12M 44.44
Current. Rebounding on rising volume after Monday's doji. Tested the 10 day MVA at the high, but faded back. Stock will need to break through next level of resistance at 44
PETS 08/02 Test BO 15.55 +0.54 15.74 18.98 789K 450K 14.64
Entered today. Held the move into the 15 dollar range on a 5th day of climbing volume. Clear sign for entry once it showed the progressive volume and second rebound above the 10 day MA.
PFWD 07/26 Test BO 17.85 +0.33 17.65 21.65 344K 400K 16.78
Buy Not Issued. Rebounding as stock bounced off the 10 day EMA on lower, but above average volume. If stock continues the move on strong volume will be a buy.
PKI 08/01 Test BO 27.03 -0.93 28.42 32.89 2.1M 1.1M 27.08
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop.
RESP 07/31 Test BO 48.57 +1.25 46.26 52.95 568K 400K 46.65
Current. Great rebound on stronger above average volume after routine pullback. Stock made a 2 year high.
SAY 07/25 Test BO 26.60 +0.45 27.88 32.32 549K 1.4M 26.65
Buy Not Hit. Gave a nice low volume bounce after Monday's doji. Held at the 18 day EMA. Rebounding off the 50 day EMA. Needs to clear resistance at 27
SNDK 07/30 Test 18 53.56 -0.21 56.89 65.45 10M 12M 53.96
Buy Not Issued. Meeting some resistance at 54 (18 day EMA). Still in the pattern.
SPWR 07/24 Test 18 68.04 +2.12 71.84 82.45 1.3M 2M 67.31
Current. Bounced on low volume holding the 10 day EMA. Stock needs to break through resistance at 10 day EMA and not stall.
SRCL 08/02 Test BO 53.85 +2.64 49.49 56.65 1.4M 1M 51.32
Current. Another great move following Monday's on even stronger volume surge. Continue to rebound after testing the breakout last week.
STP 07/23 Test BO 40.45 +2.25 43.31 49.95 4.5M 3M 39.97
Current. After Monday's doji stock made a breakout move on excellent volume surge. Broke through resistance at 40. Did come off the day's high of 41.77
TASR 08/04 Test 50 14.56 +0.43 15.11 18.25 3.1M 6M 14.05
Buy Not Hit. Reaches up for the 18 day MA on a third day of low volume. Rebounded off the early-July support to post a modest gain of 44 cents, but is somewhat stranded if volume doesn't pick up soon.
TPX 07/28 Test BO 30.48 +1.28 31.42 37.95 2.2M 2.1M 29.88
Buy Not Issued. Nice rebound on lower, but strong volume after testing the breakout. Looking good.
TRMB 05/31 Test 50 38.02 -0.43 31.10 35.99 1.8M 650K 34.92
Current. Pullback on strong volume as stock begins to consolidate holding most of the gain.
VDSI 07/07 Asc Bse 31.00 +1.83 25.58 30.45 1.2M 670K 29.65
Target Hit. Nice break higher to a new all-time high and we took
part of the 20% stock and 100% option gain ($440/contract),
letting the rest run on this nice surge higher.
VSEA 07/25 Test BO 51.54 +0.39 44.88 52.95 1.9M 3M 47.98
Current. Continue with the uptrend on lower volume. Stock has almost made a straight run up since late July.
WFR 06/27 Test 50 58.71 -0.09 63.85 73.75 4.2M 8.2M 61.22
Current. Moving laterally holding above support at 58.
ZOLT 07/02 Test BO 43.35 +0.37 45.99 54.45 849K 1.2M 47.11
Current. Moved somewhat laterally along the 50 day MA on average volume. Ready to make the next move higher as it builds along June support.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AEO 07/31 Put 24.30 +0.70 24.11 22.35 6.8M 3.5M 23.94
Strong volume move tapping 24.49 at the high, but faded back. Still holding below the 10 day EMA (24.60). Still in downtrend.
CXW 08/04 Put 26.06 -3.72 29.72 27.65 6.3M 900K 30.62
Buy Not Issued. Volatile session. Got away from us with the big gap down and continued to move down. Did come off the day's low of 24.81. Will see if stock gets a relief bounce to fill the gap for a buying opportunity.
DIA 07/31 Put 135.05 +0.85 131.70 128.74 31M 20M 134.94
Exited. Was coming back strong after the FOMC dip but then
faded in the wee minutes of the session. The key for
us was it closed above the 50 day EMA though it may
still fade from there.
GRA 08/04 Put 20.24 +0.49 19.78 17.72 972K 1.2M 20.55
Buy Not Issued. Bounced on low volume testing the 10 day EMA at the high, but faded back. Needs to break through support at 20 on strong volume.
NITE 07/31 Put 13.45 -0.22 13.96 12.45 3M 1.7M 13.62
Current. Tapped 13.82 at the high, but faded back on lower, but strong volume. Came off the day's low of 13.16 to hold at some support.
SPY 08/06 Put 147.77 +1.56 146.95 142.55 280M 295M 136.66
Buy Not Issued. Gave another relief bounce today testing the 18 day EMA at the high, but faded back holding just above the 10 day EMA on lower, but strong volume. Should hold at resistance at 148.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
top stock pick
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