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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 132.51 +4.94 131.45 149.95 37M 45M 127.11
Entered today. Gap higher above the 50 day in May, continuing in the
strong recovery move from Tuesday. Though volume was
lower, it managed to hold the gap and move higher intraday,
and thus we use the move to start the play.
AFSI 08/20 Dbl btm 16.30 +0.53 15.72 20.45 575K 875K 14.62
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher, continuing the move to the 50 day EMA on Tuesday, and though volume is higher, it was still well below average. We decided to hold off and see if it forms a handle here given that it bumped at the 50 day SMA intraday and backed off.
AGU 07/13 Test BO 42.07 +0.64 45.33 53.95 1.2M 1.6M 44.38
Current. AGU continued its rather impressive rebound off of last Thursday's intraday reversal, gapping higher, and though testing lower intraday, AGU rebounded to hold most of its move. It is now at the April high, and this is a critical stage for AGU.
AMED 08/06 Asc Bse 39.58 +0.22 39.24 45.25 211K 550K 37.38
Buy Not Issued. Continuing the test of the 10 day EMA, moving all in a very low volume Wednesday. This is a nice test of last week's break higher, and all we need to see from AMED is rising volume as it moves higher off of this near support.
ARTC 08/01 Test BO 56.15 +0.26 51.89 59.75 339K 600K 54.38
Current. Edging higher Wednesday, but own very low below-average
volume. The low trade continues, and we are simply
waiting for ARTC to showed a return of average or better
volume. Overall, ARTC remains in a very solid uptrend.
BCSI 08/18 Asc Bse 77.31 +17.46 57.81 68.45 5.1M 675K 71.57
Target Hit. Massive gap higher on strong volume as its earnings were blowout. BCSI rallied higher all session, closing at the session high. A huge move, and we will let it run further if it will. If it stalls, we will take the rest of the option gain off the table
BCSI 07/28 Test 50 77.31 +17.46 52.97 62.95 5.1M 600K 71.57
Current.
BG 07/24 Test BO 87.68 +1.44 89.15 99.95 731K 1.5M 88.48
Current. BG continued the recovery in the ad sector, gapping higher, but stalling at early July peak. This is an important level for BG as the July peak represents left shoulder in a potential head and shoulders pattern. Need to see a continued move higher.
BLUD 08/16 Cup hdl 32.57 -0.68 34.04 39.95 666K 1.4M 32.12
Current. A modest gap higher button in BLUD rolled over and
closed at the handle in the pattern. Volume remained
below average, but BLUD needs to find support here
and continue to breakout move.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 59.89 +0.13 61.10 69.95 2.5M 5.5M 58.92
Current. Celgene continues to move laterally and I range between 58 and 60, working on its cup base. For now we are content to let it continue to move in the base, looking for a break hire that may give us the opportunity for new positions.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 31.92 +1.81 35.26 41.95 847K 896K 33.54
Current. A nice gap above the 50 day EMA and continued run through the close. Volume moved up to average, indicating some strength behind the move. CMED. is now at the late June and early July consolidation level. This is where it has to make its break higher.
CPHD 08/16 Test BO 18.68 -0.18 18.72 22.48 422K 1.2M 17.38
Current. Took the day off on a low blow average volume, pausing
after the nice surge off of the 10 day EMA that started
last week. Still solidly in its uptrend and letting
it continue to work for us.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 18.68 -0.18 14.48 17.65 422K 785K 17.38
Current.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 58.13 -0.30 53.97 65.95 6.7M 7.5M 53.39
Current. Gap higher for the fourth straight session, but could not hold the move as it tested that early August peak. CROX continues to show good to strengthen, and a modest pullback here global IM will set up an attempt at that prior high.
CSCO 08/01 FlyPlat 30.26 +0.16 30.18 36.25 37M 70M 30.88
Current. Gap higher with the rest of the tax, tested the move intraday, and then rebounded to hold a very modest upside move. Volume remained quite low as Cisco rests on top of the July consolidation range, setting up for the next upside move.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 40.84 +2.23 42.88 49.98 778K 425K 39.45
Current. Excellent surge off of the 90 day MA, moving higher on rising average volume. CTRP matched the late May peak on this move, and it may test some towards 40, but after that it needs to continue higher from here. Nice little double bottom action.
CTRP 05/26 Test BO 40.84 +2.23 38.19 44.98 778K 425K 39.45
Current.
DE 08/18 Dbl btm 130.72 +1.42 129.88 149.95 2.4M 4M 127.89
Current. Gap tire with the rest of the market and held roughly
half of the games for its fifth advance in a row. May
take a breather here as it has reached at the July
peak. Don't want to see volume spike up as a tests.
EBAY 08/09 Test BO 34.45 +0.05 34.72 44.45 11M 25M 33.11
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher, but volume remained below average and
thus it could not hold the move. Still well-position
to make the bounce higher off the 50 day moving average.
EMC 08/13 Dbl btm 19.84 +0.55 19.32 22.65 52M 55M 18.98
Current. EMC gapped higher on strong volume, continue the move
off of the 50 day EMA. It has cleared the July peak,
opening the door to much higher trade here.
EXM 08/21 Dbl btm 38.55 +3.06 36.05 43.45 513K 775K 33.53
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and ran up through the 'hump' in the short double bottom. It tested quickly but we missed that & it ran higher on us. Looking for a test back after 4 upside sessions to see if it gives another entry point.
FCN 07/09 Test BO 52.40 -0.26 39.75 45.75 507K 525K 50.38
Current. Closed flat on the session as it bumps the early August
peak. Not too concerned about this as it had 4 good
upside sessions ahead of it and is still in a good uptrend.
FLIR 08/14 Test 18 51.92 +1.77 49.80 57.98 468K 1.2M 47.97
Current. Bounced off the 10 day EMA test but not a lot of volume
as it moves to a new high. Just going to let it move
higher for us as long as it will. The move kicked off
with a strong move, and that is the key.
FNDT 08/13 Dbl btm 15.40 0.00 15.55 18.75 7.1K 100K 14.88
Buy Not Issued. Still working laterally in a narrow range, forming
a very nice handle to the base. Note the volume is
nil. That is what you want. It looks ready to surge.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 86.43 +0.36 94.35 108.45 558K 800K 89.98
Current. Gapped higher to the 18 day EMA but rolled over for
a modest gain. Still at the 50 day EMA and this is
where it needs to show us a bounce with some teeth.
FTK 07/28 Test 50 32.61 +1.35 30.66 35.97 381K 604K 32.39
Current. Recovering nicely from the 50 day EMA test, gapping
higher on much stronger, average volume. Looks ready
to continue its run.
GES 06/18 FlyPlat 48.77 +0.81 50.78 59.95 920K 2.2M 50.05
Current. Moved higher but still struggling to break away from
the 50 day EMA. Needs to show us something here.
GME 06/21 Test BO 43.42 +0.46 41.01 48.98 2.3M 2.5M 41.97
Current. Took some gain off the table ahead of the earnings
on the morning. May come back some on the earnings
given the run higher, but we are not expecting it to
come back much.
GME 05/24 Test 18 43.42 +0.46 37.01 42.45 2.3M 3.5M 41.97
Current.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 101.37 -1.13 90.35 111.95 3.2M 4.2M 96.88
Current. Gapped higher for a fourth consecutive session but talled at the early August high at 105. It fell back for a modest loss. We expect it is just a pause here at the old high but you always watch for a surge in downside volume after this kind of test.
GTIV 08/08 Asc Bse 21.66 +0.36 21.84 26.25 147K 302K 21.38
Current. Volatile as heck, but gapped higher and held the move
Wednesday. It is still in the pattern so we are letting
it move for us.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 24.16 +0.32 24.65 29.45 555K 444K 23.11
Buy Not Issued. Still working laterally over the 10 day EMA, tapping
it on the low and bouncing modestly higher. Really
like the jump in volume, coming in well above avg.
Looks ripe.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 46.42 +0.41 46.35 53.35 12M 20M 47.98
Current. Still trying to get on track after its sstrong earnings
report. It is holding at the 50 day EMA and above the
May/June peaks, so letting it digest some here.
HRS 08/21 DB hdl 59.22 +1.79 59.04 67.95 759K 1.6M 56.38
Buy Not Issued. Soared higher right at the close, hitting the buy point.
If it continues higher Thursday we are on it.
HRS 06/28 Test BO 59.22 +1.79 56.16 64.00 759K 1.2M 57.29
Current.
HSIC 08/11 Test BO 58.05 +0.12 58.74 67.45 283K 700K 57.11
Current. Gapped modestly higher as HSIC continued its rebound.
Not too impressed with the move so watching it closely
at this level as it tests some toward the 10 day (57.40).
Don't want it to reverse on us.
HUN 08/21 Test 50 25.52 +0.27 25.44 29.45 2.5M 3.7M 23.97
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but trade vanished and it closed well
off the intraday high. Want to see it hold here and
resume the move. That is when we move in.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 210.93 +5.34 202.89 243.00 842K 1.2M 201.89
Current. Gapped higher, continuing the strong move from Tuesday.
Not a ton of volume, but ISRG does that, i.e. rises
on low trade. The point: not freaking over the low
volume gain.
KCI 08/18 Test BO 60.67 +0.77 59.05 67.95 631K 1.4M 56.11
Buy Not Issued. Continued the move higher but on no trade. With the low overall volume on this move we are looking for a test back toward 60 or 59 to give us another shot at the entry point. Of course, want to see good volume on that rebound.
MON 08/07 Test 50 66.50 +2.40 67.60 75.95 2.7M 5M 67.77
Current. Excellent gap higher on rising though still below average
volume. Cleared the 50 day MA and the June/July lows.
Not out of the woods but a good start higher after
that hammering from two weeks back.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 48.41 +1.08 48.45 55.45 9.2M 14M 45.06
Entered today. Hard to complain with the move, gapping higher as NVDA
moves to a new all-time high. Lower volume but went
ahead and entered some positions as NVDA is showing
great relative strength all through the selling.
NVDA 07/25 Test 18 48.41 +1.08 47.47 56.75 9.2M 12M 44.98
Current.
OII 08/11 Test BO 62.90 -0.46 63.76 76.95 339K 15M 61.11
Current. Gapped higher but couldn't do anything with it, fading
to close at the 10 day EMA. Very low trade so no dumping,
just resting even as most energy struggles.
OMCL 08/07 Cup hdl 24.42 +0.07 24.62 29.45 354K 750K 23.11
Buy Not Issued. Still looks great, moving in that narrow range over
the 10 day EMA on low volume, but it still has not
shown us the move. The waiting is the hardest part.
PFWD 07/26 Test BO 18.04 -0.19 17.65 21.65 588K 400K 16.78
Buy Not Issued. This is just about to reach the limit of my patience
with its volatile intraday action that ends up going
nowhere. Hmmm. Must be ready to break higher here.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 91.04 +1.79 91.41 109.00 5.2M 12M 87.91
Buy Not Hit. The offshore drillers are showing some backbone. SLB
still looks ready to make the break, but just waiting
for it to do so because until then, it is just a pretty
face.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 54.70 +0.51 57.30 66.75 5.4M 12M 54.95
Current. A second lateral move at the 18 day EMA on very low,
below avg volume. SNDK is not a tower of strength,
unable to move higher as the market moves higher. Still
in good position but has to show us something.
SRCL 08/02 Test BO 49.21 +0.44 49.49 56.65 338K 1M 51.32
Current. Another lateral move over the 18 day EMA on very low, below average volume. Nice consolidation, but it is not participating in the latest bounce. Yes, but it will perform as the rest of the market starts to sell again.
SSYS 08/11 PreSplt 50.90 -0.06 50.32 58.75 129K 280K 48.11
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and rallied nicely, then realized there was no volume under it and it fell back to flat. SSYS has just now showed the breakaway volume or strength as it has drifted higher. Thus we have taken a pass thus far.
TPX 07/28 Test BO 30.63 +0.76 32.14 38.55 1.1M 2.1M 30.18
Current. Sleeping a bit better over this one as it continues its rebound, gapping higher and clearing some resistance. It is a long road back but TPX is doing the job thus far. Has the gap point at 31, and it will need to pause there. No high volume selling!
TRAK 08/18 Asc Bse 38.34 -1.19 40.55 47.65 149K 462K 27.87
Buy Not Hit. Thumped down to the 18 day on the close on continued
very low volume. Still in the overall pattern, however
and will be patient with it because of the low volume
and its great fundamentals as well.
TRMB 08/18 Test 50 37.18 +1.25 37.04 42.88 746K 1.3M 35.64
Entered today. It was not blowout, but it was a solid advance on a
nice shot of rising volume as TRMB continued the break
higher off the 50 day EMA. This was one of the few
leaders we put money into today.
TRMB 05/31 Test 50 37.18 +1.25 31.10 35.99 746K 650K 35.92
Current.
UA 08/16 Test BO 66.86 -0.05 63.76 76.95 1.2M 1.8M 63.88
Current. Gapped higher and made it almost to 70 but then gave it all back. Rather strange day for UA given the DKS CEO was talking how hot its line of products was in his stores. After 4.5 upside days it was enough to take a breather.
WYNN 08/16 Test BO 118.70 +1.95 114.65 134.95 1.3M 2.9M 110.65
Buy Not Issued. Still waiting for a definitive move off the 50 day
MA. For now it is a sleeping dog on that low volume,
but it can wake up quickly.
Gapped higher once more but again no volume. Thus we
did nothing and will wait to see if it comes back to
us for another entry attempt.
ZUMZ 08/15 Test 50 47.89 +3.52 42.17 50.75 2.1M 1M 45.05
Current. Have to say it: ZUMZ zoomed higher, gapping up and
running to a new all-time high on strong, above average
volume. Great results are great results, and the winners
in specialty are really tearing it up this week. Sweet.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AEO 08/13 Put 23.81 +1.00 22.55 21.00 3.9M 4.2M 22.39
Exited. And Tire and continue to run during the session closing
above the 18 day EMA, so we closed the downside play.
After hours, ANF reported solid earnings and the teen
retailing sector was generally moving higher.
AMD 08/20 Put 12.01 -0.16 11.95 10.95 26M 30M 12.32
Buy Not Hit. AMD gapped higher and ran through the 10 day EMA, but reversed to close lower for the session and on rising volume. Despite the strength and technology, AMD was quite weak, and we still look for a nice downside to play from this stock.
BBY 08/21 Put 44.34 +0.25 43.64 41.55 3.7M 7M 44.52
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher, but stalled at the 18 day EMA on low
volume, showing a doji on the candlestick chart. Still
looks as if it is going to fall and continue the downtrend
from this level.
DIA 08/20 Put 132.28 +1.60 131.28 126.71 8.4M 20M 132.05
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher with the market, but stalled a team day TMA on lower, below average volume. Moved up the buy point on the downside play to take advantage of any roll over the Dow shows here at the neckline of its head and shoulders pattern.
ETFC 08/18 Put 15.25 -0.32 14.22 12.54 29M 20M 14.85
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher on news of an AMTD merger, but reversed
and sold negative on strong volume. It cleared the
18 day EMA but then could note even hold the 10 day
on the close. Still looking to play this one lower.
FCX 08/20 Put 85.59 +4.30 82.32 75.00 11M 14M 84.65
Buy Not Hit. Moved up and everyone is talking about metals, but
the volume has been unimpressive. Moved up the buy
point to see if it rolls over in this range and sells
on rising volume.
FRPT 08/14 Put 16.89 +0.80 15.74 13.55 1M 3.2M 15.64
Current. Moved up through the 18 day EMA on continued very low
volume. Want to see it hold here and roll back down
or we close it.
GRA 08/04 Put 21.93 +1.22 18.94 17.00 305K 1.2M 20.55
Current. Bounced higher off the 10 day EMA but on no volume.
Still looking for it to fail near 22 and turn back down.
SPY 08/18 Put 146.66 +1.73 145.54 140.35 156M 235M 146.22
Buy Not Issued. Moved the buy point higher even though SPY moved up
through the 200 day because volume was so low. Still
looking for a rollover after this bounce is over and
with the higher buy point we will be ready.
End part 2 of 3
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