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Begin part 2 of 3
*NOTE**
Part 2 precedes part 1 this evening.
* * *
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 131.07 -1.44 131.45 149.95 31M 45M 127.11
Current. Gapped higher with NASD overall but then rolled over
and gave back part of the Wednesday surge. Low trade
and a good test that held the 50 day SMA.
AFSI 08/20 Dbl btm 15.83 -0.47 15.72 20.45 666K 875K 14.62
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but stalled at the 50 day SMA on the
high and turned back to fill the Wed gap. Now it looks
as if it will form a new handle to the double bottom
and set up a new entry point on a move over 1.630.
AGU 07/13 Test BO 42.61 +0.54 45.33 53.95 1.4M 1.6M 44.38
Current. Gapped higher with the market, but then stalled to close below the 50 day as in a period, a volatile session, but AGU held on for a modest, low volume gain. It is holding up well, but we do not want it to close below the 42 level.
AMED 08/06 Asc Bse 37.50 -2.08 39.24 45.25 1.7M 550K 37.38
Buy Not Issued. Tough session as AMED gapped lower. It managed to
hold the 50 day SMA on the close, but we are dropping
for now.
ARGN 08/22 Rev HS 17.19 -2.15 20.11 24.22 1.2M 437K 18.72
Buy Not Hit. Sold off hard on high-volume, breaking below the 50
day EMA on the close. Don't like that action. Dropping.
ARTC 08/01 Test BO 53.89 -2.26 51.89 59.75 356K 600K 54.38
Trailing Stop. Unable to take out the early August high, and rolled
over, closing below the 10 day EMA. Volume was lower,
but did not like this action so took the rest of the
gain off the table.
BCSI 08/18 Asc Bse 78.07 +0.76 57.81 68.45 3.3M 675K 74.88
Current. After that massive run higher or, on Wednesday, BCSI
added a bit more and also announced a stock split.
Moving up the trailing stop, but going to let it run
as far as it will for us.
BCSI 07/28 Test 50 78.07 +0.76 52.97 62.95 3.3M 600K 74.88
Current. After that massive run higher or, on Wednesday, BCSI
added a bit more and also announced a stock split.
Moving up the trailing stop, but going to let it run
as far as it will for us.
BG 07/24 Test BO 86.67 -1.01 89.15 99.95 715K 1.5M 88.48
Exited. Faded back to the 18 day EMA on the close. though low volume we did not like the stall at the early July high. If it holds and bounces we can look at a new position but we did not want a gap lower from here in this potentially toppy pattern.
BLUD 08/16 Cup hdl 32.01 -0.56 34.04 39.95 722K 1.4M 32.12
Current. Plunked down to the 18 day EMA on the close on continued
below average volume. Given the low trade we are giving
it another day to rebound.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 60.26 +0.37 61.10 69.95 2.8M 5.5M 58.92
Current. Continued higher off the 200 day MA test, running into
the 90 day EMA on the close. Lower trade, still basing.
Giving some time to work through the base.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 32.16 +0.24 35.26 41.95 436K 896K 33.54
Current. Gapped higher, continuing the nice recovery off of last weeks selling. Volume was very low & CMED did not hold much of its move. Important level for CMED as it is reached to late June consolidation level, as well as early August peak.
CPHD 08/16 Test BO 18.00 -0.68 18.72 22.48 704K 1.2M 17.38
Current. Faded back on continued below-average volume to test
the 10-day EMA. Still a very solid pattern and a very
solid uptrend, and looking for a bounce higher once
more off of this near support.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 18.00 -0.68 14.48 17.65 704K 785K 17.38
Current.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 56.69 -1.44 53.97 65.95 4.5M 7.5M 53.39
Current. Gap higher for the fourth straight session, but could not hold the move as it tested that early August peak. CROX continues to show good to strengthen, and a modest pullback here global IM will set up an attempt at that prior high.
CSCO 08/01 FlyPlat 30.27 +0.01 30.18 36.25 38M 70M 30.88
Current. Once more Cisco did Higher, but faded to close flat.
No volume, but it is working laterally over the 18
day EMA and the July consolidation range. Thus we
are letting it hold and set up for the next move higher.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 40.75 -0.09 42.88 49.98 557K 425K 39.45
Current. Another nice gap higher and rallied to 42 on the high, but volume was lower & CTRP faded back to flat . Still showing a lot of momentum, so we are letting it take a pause here, but don't want to see it fall much further before resuming its rebound.
CTRP 05/26 Test BO 40.75 -0.09 38.19 44.98 557K 425K 39.45
Current.
DE 08/18 Dbl btm 127.38 -3.34 129.88 149.95 2.8M 4M 127.89
Current. Gap higher looking to put in its sixth straight upside session, but reversed and sold sharply. Volume was lower, though still average on the selling. Don't like this sharp reversal, & want to see it hold at this level.
EBAY 08/09 Test BO 34.20 -0.25 34.72 44.45 11M 25M 33.11
Buy Not Issued. eBay continues to struggle at the July in May and April
peaks, fading on the session, though on very low volume.
Still holding the tests so still getting it the opportunity
to bounce and show us the buy.
EMC 08/13 Dbl btm 19.45 -0.39 19.32 22.65 38M 55M 18.98
Current. Gapped higher but reversed to close down for the session,
though on lower below-average volume. After two very
solid gains, it took a breather.
EXM 08/21 Dbl btm 37.94 -0.61 36.05 43.45 739K 775K 33.53
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher yet again, but reversed to close lower on a sharp increase in volume. Made it to July high and reversed on higher volume, so we have to let it fall here and show us if it's going to hold and set up the handle for a new entry point.
FCN 07/09 Test BO 51.25 -1.15 39.75 45.75 450K 525K 50.38
Current. After a nice run the past week, FCN faded on very low
below-average volume to test the 10 day EMA. Nice
normal test as it continues its strong uptrend.
FLIR 08/14 Test 18 50.26 -1.66 49.80 57.98 491K 1.2M 47.97
Current. Unable to push higher after the solid the Wednesday
bounce, fading to close at support at the 50 level.
Still solid, still letting it work for us.
FNDT 08/13 Dbl btm 15.55 +0.14 15.55 18.75 26K 100K 14.88
Buy Not Issued. Got its feet under, it, moving higher, but closed well
off the intraday high. Volume was stronger, but still
well below average. It is just about there, & a further
move on volume, it is a buy.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 88.00 +1.57 94.35 108.45 686K 800K 89.98
Current. Showing some surprising resilience here, pouncing off
the 50 day EMA. Volume remained elevated though below
average. Shows some promise, & we'll see if it can
break through 88.60 and continue the upside bounce.
FTK 07/28 Test 50 32.93 +0.32 30.66 35.97 221K 604K 32.39
Current. After the strong winds, they move higher, a modest
further balance blood on much lower volume. Has matched
the early July peak, and needs to move higher from
here or risks a head and shoulders top.
GES 06/18 FlyPlat 48.58 -0.19 50.78 59.95 832K 2.2M 50.05
Exited. No major reversal, but did not like the continued struggle
at the June peak, & did not want to risk a downside gap.
GME 06/21 Test BO 47.45 +4.03 41.01 48.98 9.1M 2.5M 46.55
Current. Glad we held onto some positions through earnings as
GME gapped sharply higher on huge volume. A close
off its high, but it is still very strong and we are
letting the remaining positions work for us.
GME 05/24 Test 18 47.45 +4.03 37.01 42.45 9.1M 3.5M 46.55
Target Hit. Earnings were huge and GME gapped higher on very strong
trade. We took the rest of the 140% gain on the October
options, $1130 per contract. We are leading the rest
of the position work for us.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 101.30 -0.07 90.35 111.95 3M 4.2M 96.88
Current. After hitting the early August peak at 105 and reversing Wednesday, GRMN held steady on Thursday. It may test now to the 10 day EMA (97.82) before resuming its move. Potential double top, so important it holds this mere support.
GTIV 08/08 Asc Bse 21.03 -0.63 21.84 26.25 348K 302K 21.38
Exited. Did not like the weak action on high volume in a market
that was moving higher early. It undercut the June
and July peaks, but managed to hold that level on the
close. Given its early weakness we closed the position.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 24.02 -0.14 24.65 29.45 254K 444K 23.11
Buy Not Issued. No change, still working laterally above the 10 day
EMA and on low volume. It is set up for the breakout,
but still needs to show the move.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 47.65 +1.23 46.35 53.35 15M 20M 47.98
Current. We were getting a bit edgy about HP , but it showed a nice bounce off the 50 day EMA Thursday. Volume was low, but the price move was acceptable. That will do for now, but we don't want any backsliding, if it tests 49 on this move.
HRS 08/21 DB hdl 58.46 -0.76 59.04 67.95 570K 1.6M 56.38
Buy Not Issued.
HRS 06/28 Test BO 58.46 -0.76 56.16 64.00 570K 1.2M 57.29
Current. Nice gap higher, but no volume to push it and HRS faded
on the close. Still holding key support above 58,
and we will let it work for us. From here.
HSIC 08/11 Test BO 57.56 -0.49 58.74 67.45 936K 700K 57.11
Current. As with many stocks, HSIC gapped higher, but then rolled
over to close lower. It held the 10-day EMA on the
close, though volumes spiked well above average. Important
to hold this level and resume the upside move.
HUN 08/21 Test 50 25.52 0.00 25.44 29.45 1.4M 3.7M 23.97
Buy Not Issued. Another stock that gapped higher then closed flat as
volume remained very low. Looking for HUN fade back
toward 25, and then bounce to give us a nice entry point.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 205.50 -5.43 202.89 243.00 481K 1.2M 201.89
Current. After two great upside moves, ISRG faded and gave back
all of the Wednesday gain. Much lower volume. So this
looks like a short test of the rebound..
JKHY 08/22 Rev HS 26.43 -0.21 27.11 31.95 483K 1M 25.32
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher but cannot continue to move in faded
to close modestly lower. Volume was much lower. Given
the important July peak, we want to see JKHY break
over 27 on strong volume
KCI 08/18 Test BO 62.57 +1.90 59.05 67.95 941K 1.4M 56.11
Buy Not Issued. Geez. KCI gapped higher once more, and this time rallied
on stronger, average volume. This one ran away from
us and we will have to look for a test for a new entry.
MON 08/07 Test 50 65.59 -0.91 67.60 75.95 2.5M 5M 67.77
Current. Gapped higher, but then reversed closing just above
the 50 day EMA. Volume was very low. Given the low
trade, we decided to wait and see if MON will hold
this key level and resume the recovery bounce.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 48.00 -0.41 48.45 55.45 11M 14M 45.06
Current. Modest gap higher and in a modest aid, holding most of the gain from Wednesday. Volume was higher and above average, something to watch, as NVIDIA tests the last move. A market leader so are not too worried about at test here.
NVDA 07/25 Test 18 48.00 -0.41 47.47 56.75 11M 12M 44.98
Current.
OII 08/11 Test BO 63.01 +0.11 63.76 76.95 450K 15M 61.11
Current. Nice tight doji that tapped an 18 day EMA on the low
& rebounded to close at the 10 day EMA. Very low volume,
looks very nice.
OMCL 08/07 Cup hdl 23.83 -0.59 24.62 29.45 226K 750K 23.11
Buy Not Issued. Low-volume but OMCL undercut the 18 day EMA on the
close. No real damage to the pattern, but we are going
to drop for now and keep an eye on it.
PFWD 07/26 Test BO 18.08 +0.04 17.65 21.65 408K 400K 16.78
Buy Not Issued. Never have so few spent so much time doing nothing. For three weeks Phase Forward has traded between 18 and 19 and has gone nowhere. This is last chance. Of course now that we are impatient, it will probably break higher.
RVBD 08/22 Test 50 43.44 -1.26 44.25 53.95 1.1M 1.4M 42.24
Buy Not Issued. After two strong upside moves, Riverbed reversed and sold off on lower below-average volume. It held nicely above the 50 day EMA, and this low-volume test is setting up a better entry point for us. Moved the buy point accordingly.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 92.42 +1.38 92.72 110.00 6.4M 12M 89.88
Entered today. Nice gap higher, and no volume remained low we started
some positions. An up-and-down session, but SLB closed
strong.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 53.12 -1.58 57.30 66.75 6.9M 12M 54.95
Current. Thought hard about exiting today, as SNDK fell toward the 50 day EMA on rising though still significantly below-average volume. It has held this level before, & the pattern is not bad out all. Thus will give it a chance to bounce.
SRCL 08/02 Test BO 49.18 -0.03 49.49 56.65 519K 1M 51.32
Current. Still holding steady above the 18 day EMA after gapping
higher than selling back on rising though still below-average
volume. Holding well, waiting for it to deliver the
next bounce.
SSYS 08/11 PreSplt 51.09 +0.19 50.32 58.75 224K 280K 48.11
Buy Not Issued. Volume was finally up and above average, as SSYS gapped
higher. It then rolled back down though, for just
a modest gain. Finally showing the volume, and now
we want it to show us a good breakaway move to the upside.
TPX 07/28 Test BO 30.00 -0.63 32.14 38.55 985K 2.1M 30.18
Current. After the very nice recovery the past week, TPX they
did to give back part of the Wednesday game. Volume
was still low in below average, but it needs to hold
this level from 30 down to 29.65.
TRAK 08/18 Asc Bse 37.95 -0.39 40.55 47.65 123K 462K 27.87
Buy Not Hit. Continue to fade, tapping the 50 day as M.A. on the
low. Volume remained very low as TRAK forms the handle
to its six-week double bottom base.
TRMB 08/18 Test 50 36.83 -0.35 37.04 42.88 492K 1.3M 35.64
Current.
TRMB 05/31 Test 50 36.83 -0.35 31.10 35.99 492K 650K 35.92
Current. Gapped modestly higher, but low-volume, and thus TRMB
faded for a modest loss. Still well above the 10 day
EMA on the close so not sweating this move.
UA 08/16 Test BO 64.98 -1.88 63.76 76.95 833K 1.8M 63.88
Current. After that nice gap higher on Wednesday, UA continued
to move lower. Volume remained well below average,
but this is where the Stott needs to hold.
WMS 08/22 Rev HS 28.97 -0.20 29.95 34.50 587K 878K 27.95
Buy Not Hit. Lower volume, as WMS basically held steady for the
session, still looking for the breakout from its nicely
formed the base.
WYNN 08/16 Test BO 116.87 -1.83 114.65 134.95 1.1M 2.9M 110.65
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher once more but again no volume. Thus we did nothing and will wait to see if it comes back to us for another entry attempt.
ZUMZ 08/15 Test 50 45.86 -2.03 42.17 50.75 1.6M 1M 45.05
Current. Reported some strong earnings, but after the strong run higher it gapped lower at the open. It rebounded intraday and we took some nice gain off of the table. It may test a bit further, but strong earnings and a strong stock. So we want to stay in it.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMD 08/20 Put 12.06 +0.05 11.85 10.78 25M 30M 12.32
Entered today. Gapped modestly higher then rallied to test the 10
day moving average. It faded back to flat on the close.
Volume remained low, but AMD remains ready to continue
its downtrend.
BBY 08/21 Put 44.04 -0.30 43.64 41.55 4.5M 7M 44.52
Buy Not Hit. Now this is looking interesting. BBY gapped above
the 18 day EMA, but then reversed to close below the
10 day EMA. Volume was still below average, this is
how the prior downside moves again.
DIA 08/20 Put 132.17 -0.12 131.28 126.71 14M 20M 132.05
Buy Not Issued. Gap higher with the market but reversed to close flat on rising, though still below average volume. Struggling at the June & July lows, & ready to turn back down here. Adjusted the option given the continued bounce higher.
ETFC 08/18 Put 15.34 +0.09 14.22 12.54 9M 20M 14.85
Buy Not Hit. Tried to move higher on the session, but closed flat
on lower below-average volume. Still looks primed
to fall after it could not hold the move on the AMTD
merger news.
FCX 08/20 Put 84.23 -1.36 82.32 75.00 11M 14M 84.65
Buy Not Hit. We are still looking for FCX to turn over and fall once more after this rebound off of the hard selling two weeks back. Thursday gapped higher, tapped the 50 day SMA, then reversed ground. It is struggling at the June high & looks ready to fall.
FRPT 08/14 Put 16.26 -0.63 15.74 13.55 874K 3.2M 15.64
Current. Gapped higher with the market, but rolled over to close
at 10 day EMA. No volume on this bounce higher, so
we're looking for it to resume the fall. Needs to
break lower below 16 to get things going once again.
GRA 08/04 Put 21.94 +0.01 18.94 17.00 578K 1.2M 20.55
Current. GRA continued the low-volume advance, but when it hit
resistance at 22 it showed a doji and stalled. Critical
point for GRA, and we are looking for it to turn back
down here and sell back through 21 on some higher volume.
SPY 08/18 Put 146.52 -0.13 145.54 140.35 204M 235M 146.22
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher then rolled over for a modest loss on rising volume. Tapped the 200 day EMA on the low and bounced,. May still hold here, but we are going to be ready for the downside play as we anticipate another downturn in the market.
End part 2 of 3
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