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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 132.25 -3.05 131.45 149.95 25M 45M 132.31
Current. Faded back after the solid Friday price move. Volume
was lower so not sweating over this pullback.
AGE 08/16 Test 50 83.43 +0.15 84.04 96.75 858K 2.2M 81.69
Buy Not Issued. Flat, tight lateral consolidation as AGE forms a handle
to its short double bottom. Very good set up for the
breakout after filling the gap from the big late May jump.
AGU 07/13 Test BO 44.54 -0.01 45.33 53.95 982K 1.6M 43.78
Current. Gappedl lower, recovered to positive, then closed flat
on low trade. Has been an impressive rebound from near
35 hit on the intraday low. Want to see it hold in
the 44 range to keep the option position open.
AMLN 08/15 Test BO 49.49 -0.11 49.93 56.95 1.3M 2.6M 48.57
Current. Still working laterally just below 50, holding above
the 10 day EMA on the close. Low volume persists, and
as long as it is working laterally on this low trade
it continues setting up for a move higher.
AMZN 08/11 Test 50 78.65 -0.60 76.58 88.50 7M 15M 76.21
Current. Upgraded and it gapped higher but could not hold the
move into the close, posting a modest low volume loss.
Low volume for the month even during the selling. Trying
to break thru upside.
BCSI 08/18 Asc Bse 84.79 -0.20 57.81 68.45 2.5M 675K 81.25
Current.
BCSI 07/28 Test 50 84.79 -0.20 52.97 62.95 2.5M 600K 81.25
Current. Rallied higher but faded back to flat to show a doji
on the close. It did this on Thursday, but it continued
higher. Still, after this surge, if it shows any more
weakness it is worth locking in the big option gains.
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 211.95 +8.74 210.50 254.90 4.8M 4M 203.88
Entered today. Solid move on both price and volume as BIDU breaks
out from its new base. Solid action in a so-so market
day as BIDU shows its strength.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 59.45 -0.35 61.10 69.95 2.6M 5.5M 58.92
Current. Still workign laterall at the 50 day MA on very low
volume. Building the base. Would like to see strength
off of this higher low.
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 34.72 +1.66 34.17 42.45 1.2M 1.2M 31.88
Entered today. Excellent break higher on strong volume. Gapped up,
tested, and rallied on up. Very nice.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 34.72 +1.66 35.26 41.95 1.2M 896K 33.54
Current.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 18.23 -0.45 14.48 17.65 328K 785K 17.38
Current. Low volume as CPHD faded back to test the 10 day EMA on the low. Still a strong uptrend, still letting it move higher in its trend.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 59.98 +0.99 53.97 65.95 8M 7.5M 54.22
Current. Gapped higher on word it was expanding its line into clothing that was UV resistant, etc. Gave back half the move and just missed closing at a new high. Not bad but would have liked to see it over that prior closing high.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 43.24 +1.74 42.88 49.98 968K 425K 39.45
Current.
CTRP 06/30 Cup hdl 43.24 +1.74 39.63 45.48 968K 450K 39.45
Current.
DRYS 08/25 Dbl btm 66.30 +1.70 66.04 79.35 2.3M 1.9M 62.89
Entered today. Nice high volume run higher on solid trade. Closed
some off its high but a solid breakout move.
DWSN 08/22 Test 50 68.29 -1.51 68.12 78.35 191K 410K 63.48
Buy Not Issued. Turned back from the early August high after bouncing
to that level on low volume last week. Without the
high volume we were not moving in & will need to see
a break over 70 now on some strong trade to buy.
EGOV 08/15 Test BO 7.26 -0.25 7.42 8.95 92K 325K 7.05
Buy Not Issued. Fading some more, undercutting the 18 day EMA on the
close but on low trade. It is at the point where it
needs to find bottom and make the next break higher.
FCN 07/09 Test BO 51.55 -0.11 39.75 45.75 245K 525K 50.38
Current. Crouching at the 10 day EMA, ready to make the next
break higher in its uptrend.
FLIR 08/14 Test 18 49.06 -1.34 49.80 57.98 638K 1.2M 48.55
Current. Sagged through the 18 day EMA on rising but still below
avg volume, Solid stock but this is where it has to hold.
FNDT 08/13 DB hdl 15.46 -0.09 15.88 18.98 20K 100K 14.94
Buy Not Issued. Still working on that handle on low volume as it sets
up for the break higher out of a nicely formed 17 week
base.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 90.19 -1.10 94.35 108.45 527K 800K 89.98
Current. Gave back some of that strong Friday move but on low
trade versus that high volume gain. Thus not much to
worry about just yet.
GME 06/21 Test BO 48.71 -0.72 41.01 48.98 2.2M 2.5M 46.98
Current.
GME 05/24 Test 18 48.71 -0.72 37.01 42.45 2.2M 3.5M 46.98
Current. After that big run on earnings last week GME took a
day off on lower, below average volume. No issues with
this though it is a bit extended. That has not kept
such stocks from running higher in this market, however.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 101.93 -2.07 105.22 120.95 2.2M 4M 99.88
Buy Not Hit.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 101.93 -2.07 90.35 111.95 2.2M 4.2M 100.88
Current. Opened lower and lost a bit more ground from there,
but very low trade as it continues a modest lateral
move as the 10 day EMA (99.48) rises to meet it. That
may be what triggers the next move higher.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 23.93 -0.05 24.65 29.45 256K 444K 23.11
Buy Not Issued. Very nice tight doji at the 10 day EMA as HMSY continues
to set up for the next break higher in its breakout.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 47.79 -0.31 46.35 53.35 9.1M 20M 47.98
Current. After a couple of solid moves off the 50 day EMA to
end last week HPQ took the day off on low volume.
HRS 08/21 DB hdl 58.48 -0.47 59.04 67.95 526K 1.6M 56.38
Buy Not Issued.
HRS 06/28 Test BO 58.48 -0.47 56.16 64.00 526K 1.2M 57.29
Current. Faded modestly as HRS continues the day to day up and
down action, but working laterally on low volume as
the 10 day EMA rises to meet it. That should send it
back up.
HSIC 08/06 Cup hdl 58.12 -0.18 57.21 63.95 265K 450K 58.65
Anotehr stock working laterally after the breakout
test, waiting for the trigger to send it higher. In
good shape, just needs that push higher.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 209.40 -2.06 202.89 243.00 577K 1.2M 203.88
Current. Still nicely set up to continue the move higher after
this lateral move to end last week. Looks intuitive.
MON 08/07 Test 50 67.77 -0.22 67.60 75.95 2.3M 5M 67.77
Current. Took the day off after that solid Friday move, holding
flat on lower volume. This is still an important level
for MON to hold as this is the early July high.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 49.34 +1.09 48.45 55.45 11M 14M 46.78
Current. Another surge higher to a new high on rising, average
trade. NVDA continues to look strong as it 'outstrengths'
the market.
NVDA 07/28 Test 18 49.34 +1.09 47.47 56.75 11M 12M 46.78
Current.
OII 08/11 Test BO 64.93 +0.02 63.76 76.95 372K 15M 62.11
Current. Still looking nice as it moves off the 18 day EMA test
even though it took the day off on Monday for the most
part.
RADS 08/23 Test BO 15.31 -0.19 15.81 18.95 303K 400K 14.95
Buy Not Issued. Still in the est, holding at the 10 day EMA on some
rising, average trade. Nice test and just looking for
the break higher on solid trade.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 81.11 -0.75 82.55 99.00 5.9M 30M 77.11
Buy Not Hit. Modest fade on very low trade as RIMM continues testing
that strong move from the prior week.
RVBD 08/22 Test 50 42.78 -1.16 44.25 53.95 454K 1.4M 42.24
Buy Not Issued. Fell on back to the 50 day EMA on the close after
bouncing off that level on the Friday low. Still set
up to make a higher low and rebound. Want to see that
volume jump as it does.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 93.14 -1.09 92.72 110.00 4.4M 12M 91.45
Current. Faded on some low trade, bouncing up off a tap at the
10 day EMA on the low. Solid and looking for a rebound
from here. Will look at some more positions as it moves
higher again.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 51.86 -2.14 57.30 66.75 9M 12M 54.95
Current. Fell back to some support at 52. Still in the handle
of a larger cup with handle base, but this is where
it needs to hold the line.
SSYS 08/11 PreSplt 50.51 -0.03 51.55 59.95 115K 280K 49.65
Buy Not Issued. Nice tight doji at the 10 day EMA on some low, below
average volume as SSYS looks to have set up for the
rebound break higher as it heads into the split on 8-30-07.
TRAK 08/18 Asc Bse 37.51 -0.34 40.55 47.65 231K 462K 27.87
Buy Not Hit. Faded further to the 50 day EMA on rising though still
below avg volume. Can still make a higher low here and
will look to move in if TRAK can make tracks and show
us a higher volume break upside. Aggressive buy: 38.31.
TRMB 08/18 Test 50 36.25 -0.74 37.04 42.88 624K 1.3M 35.64
Current. Faded to the 18 day EMA on rising but below avg volume.
Still very nice and in excellent postion to move higher.
TRMB 05/31 Test 50 36.25 -0.74 31.10 35.99 624K 650K 35.92
Current.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 63.15 -2.33 67.24 76.95 865K 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Hit.
UA 08/16 Test BO 63.15 -2.33 63.76 76.95 865K 1.8M 63.88
Current. Fell through the 10 day EMA to close at the 18 day
EMA. Volume remained very low. This is where we want
UA to hold on this test.
WMS 08/22 Rev HS 28.97 -0.64 29.95 34.50 520K 878K 27.95
Buy Not Hit. Tapped at the prior highs once more then faded to close
at continued below avg volume. Still in the pattern,
still looking for the break higher.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMD 08/20 Put 11.98 -0.15 11.85 10.78 14M 30M 12.32
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the high and then faded to
close lower. Trade bounced but was still low. AMD is
still set to fall.
BBY 08/21 Put 43.72 -0.32 43.64 41.55 4.3M 7M 44.52
Buy Not Hit. Rallied up thru the 18 day EMA (44.26) but turned lower
to close negative, just over the buy point. Like these
reversals for downside plays; now need to see volume
bump higher.
BWA 08/23 Dbl Top 82.18 -0.66 82.15 77.05 237K 450K 83.78
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the buy point right on the low after tapping
the 10 day EMA on teh high and slipping back. Looks
primed to make the fall and make us a nice downside
piece of change.
CAT 08/25 Put 76.00 -0.32 75.42 72.21 3.1M 7M 76.75
Buy Not Hit. Tried to rally through the 18 day EMA but showed a
doji and faded. back. All good news for the downside
play; now just need to see it make the move lower.
DIA 08/20 Put 133.12 -0.52 131.88 126.71 8.5M 20M 132.42
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower, rallied thru the 50 day EMA but then
slipped. Not a bad consolidation session but still
in good position to fall if the market weaknes again.
ETFC 08/18 Put 14.99 -0.25 14.88 12.54 6.6M 20M 15.54
Buy Not Hit. Slid lower on the session but on no volume. Still nicely
poised to make the next run lower.
FCX 08/20 Put 85.72 -1.41 83.44 75.25 6.3M 14M 85.25
Buy Not Hit. Just sitting back watching this one, waiting to see
if it rolls over from here after stalling at the 50
day SMA (87.16) the past three sessions.
FRPT 08/14 Put 18.79 +1.49 15.74 13.55 2.1M 3.2M 15.64
Current. Gapped higher, not giving us much to work with. Closed
at the 50 day EMA and just below the 200 day MA on
rising trade. It has filled the gap on this move after
gapping lower in July. needs to give us a fall here.
GRA 08/04 Put 22.01 -0.99 18.94 17.00 432K 1.2M 20.55
Current. Turned back down from Friday's tap at the 50 day SMA
on the high. No volume on the selling just as there
was non on the upside. Now it needs to close below
the 18 day EMA at 21.39) to show it is heading lower.
JNS 08/23 Put 27.61 -0.46 27.38 24.78 1.1M 3.4M 28.11
Buy Not Issued. Tried to move through the 90 day MA but then turned
lower on the session. Still looks good to make the
move lower after this test.
SPY 08/18 Put 146.95 -1.38 145.54 140.35 113M 235M 146.22
Buy Not Issued. Turned back at the 50 day EMA (148). Lower volume so
no rollover. Still set to turn lower and we will just
lay back and see if the market starts to sell again
and shows us the downside play.
End part 2 of 3
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