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us stock market, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 126.82 -5.43 131.45 149.95 42M 45M 132.31
Current. Tough session for the iTech company, slightly undercutting
the 50 day EMA on rising, slightly above avg trade.
Needs to hodl the line in this area. Giving it some
rop but not much more.
AGE 08/16 Test 50 82.32 -1.11 84.04 96.75 780K 2.2M 81.69
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower beneath the 50 day MVA on below-average volume to test the August high. Critical rebound lower for AGE as it hit resistance at the 50 day MVA. Need to see it pass the moving average before it can give a stable buy point.
AGU 07/13 Test BO 42.23 -2.31 45.33 53.95 1.2M 1.6M 43.78
Current. Sold back from the solid reversal under the 200 day MA and held key support at 42 from the April high and the 50 day MVA.
AMLN 08/15 Test BO 48.01 -1.48 49.93 56.95 1.5M 2.6M 48.57
Exited. Fell through the 18 day MA on rising trade. Saving the remainder of the August gains and will let this one go for now.
AMX 08/27 Rev HS 57.55 -2.69 61.25 70.45 5.6M 9M 59.11
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower on the Tuesday session to build the shoulder in the rest of the August Rev HS base. Picked up some volume in the gap and looking good for a buy if AMX can rebound here and post a solid run from the Rev HS.
AMZN 08/11 Test 50 76.22 -2.43 76.58 88.50 5.6M 15M 76.21
Current. AMZN still testing the high of the 50 day MA reversal, selling below the 18 day MA on fading volume. Ready to bounce higher from here off the early August support.
BCSI 08/18 Asc Bse 80.50 -4.29 57.81 68.45 1.7M 675K 81.25
Target Hit. Came back some so we took the rest of the options on
this one, booking some more solid gain.
BCSI 07/28 Test 50 80.50 -4.29 52.97 62.95 1.7M 600K 81.25
Target Hit. Took the rest of the option gain on this position as
well. nice big fat gain.
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 199.69 -12.26 210.50 254.90 4.2M 4M 203.88
Current. Fell back to the 10 day EMA on lower trade. Said it
was volatile and it lived up to that, but the fade
was still contained at near support.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 59.90 +0.45 61.10 69.95 3.1M 5.5M 58.92
Current. Nice move Tuesday closing above the 18 day MA and building volume. CELG starting out the Rev HS move smoothly, expecting a solid move back towards the early August high as volume picks up again
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 32.50 -2.22 34.17 42.45 1.4M 1.2M 31.88
Current. Gapped lower on its earnings but held the 10 day EMA
with a tap at that level and then recovered some ground.
Still a solid pattern and will see how it shakes off
this bobble on its earnings report.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 32.50 -2.22 35.26 41.95 1.4M 896K 33.54
Current.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 17.88 -0.35 14.48 17.65 354K 785K 17.38
Current. CPHD holding at August support with volume dropping out on the test. Good position to start the move higher from here off the 10 day MA.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 57.29 -2.69 53.97 65.95 5.6M 7.5M 54.22
Current. Gapped lower, reaching down to the 10 day MA intraday as CROX tests the Monday tap at the early August high. Showing some great moves out of the 50 day MA reversal, pushing back into the 60's. Volume at below-average in the selling and looks to take CROX near the 18 day MA before rebounding.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 40.59 -2.65 42.88 49.98 848K 425K 39.45
Current. CTRP was caught up in the selling in the China stocks,
but after undercutting its 50 day EMA intraday it rebounded
to close at the 10 day EMA. That was a good hold but
it needs to show a bounce up off that level.
CTRP 06/30 Cup hdl 40.59 -2.65 39.63 45.48 848K 450K 39.45
Current.
DRYS 08/25 Dbl btm 61.30 -5.00 66.04 79.35 1.8M 1.9M 62.89
Current. Testing the new high for DRYS on above-average volume. Still holding a decent move out of the Dbl btm to post the new price high, weathering the selling for now near the early August top. Volume at this level looks to take it back to the 18 day MVA before rebounding.
DWSN 08/22 Test 50 64.84 -3.45 68.12 78.35 162K 410K 63.48
Buy Not Issued. Dropped for now after the hard selling Tuesday down to the 18 day MVA. Will watch this one closely however as it has some moderate supports coming up soon.
EGOV 08/15 Test BO 6.89 -0.37 7.42 8.95 137K 325K 7.05
Buy Not Issued. Continued the weeks selling on rising volume and has been dropped.
FCN 07/09 Test BO 49.82 -1.73 39.75 45.75 332K 525K 50.38
Trailing Stop. Took some nice 138% option gain off the table ($930/contract)
as FCN tested back toward the 18 day EMA. Volume remains
low and if it holds at that level we will look at riding
the next bounce higher with another option play.
FLIR 08/14 Test 18 46.99 -2.07 49.80 57.98 605K 1.2M 48.55
Exited. Gaining momentum on the downside, FLIR broke through July-August supports with ease and we got out.
FNDT 08/13 DB hdl 15.32 -0.14 15.88 18.98 12K 100K 14.94
Buy Not Issued. Trade dropping out and FNDT in good position to bounce higher off the 10 day MVA as selling ends. Waiting to see some higher volume before buying as FNDT runs decently out of the Db hdl.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 88.23 -1.96 94.35 108.45 430K 800K 89.98
Current. Gapped lower Tuesday to meet early August support on fading, below-average volume. Continues a routine pullback for the week and looks to start back up again soon, holding the uptrend from beneath the 50 day MA.
GME 06/21 Test BO 46.42 -2.29 41.01 48.98 2.4M 2.5M 46.98
Trailing Stop. Gaining volume and heading even farther south from the Monday test. Exited and will wait for the next entry point to show from a clean, stable test of the new high for GME.
GME 05/24 Test 18 46.42 -2.29 37.01 42.45 2.4M 3.5M 46.98
Trailing Stop.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 96.38 -5.55 105.22 120.95 3.5M 4M 99.88
Buy Not Hit.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 96.38 -5.55 90.35 111.95 3.5M 4.2M 100.88
Current. Volume moved up through avg as GRMN gapped lower and
solid, just undercutting the 18 day EMA on the close.
Needs to hold above 95 and resume the bounce.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 23.28 -0.65 24.21 29.45 100K 444K 21.11
Buy Not Issued. Sold back to the 18 day MA on some dead volume. HMSY set to bring an upside to the Test BO from here on with selling volume almost gone and HMSY sits at key support at the 18 day MA. Need to see HMSY push back above the 10 day MA against some resistance in the 24's to give the buy.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 46.88 -0.91 46.35 53.35 11M 20M 47.98
Current. Critical test of the 50 day MA coming up soon. Like to see HPQ hold the moving average and bounce, but not necessarily a crisis should it stall and fall back below the 50 day MA.
HRS 08/21 DB hdl 56.68 -1.80 59.04 67.95 642K 1.6M 56.38
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower near the 50 day MA on some hard selling Tuesday with below-average volume. Waiting to see HRS find a bottom in the test of the DB hdl high and bounce higher before it can give a good entry point.
HRS 06/28 Test BO 56.68 -1.80 56.16 64.00 642K 1.2M 57.29
Trailing Stop.
HSIC 08/06 Cup hdl 57.36 -0.76 57.21 63.95 211K 450K 58.65
Met the 18 day MA on some low volume selling with most of the market. Looks to rebound off the average with the selling volume coming to an end.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 205.98 -3.42 202.89 243.00 629K 1.2M 203.88
Current. ISRG in good condition above the 10 day MVA, trying to set up a Rev HS to push higher from. So far showing some stability against the wild market and set to make another push past the August highs from here as volume picks up.
MON 08/07 Test 50 65.46 -2.31 67.60 75.95 2.3M 5M 67.77
Current. Sold back to the 50 day MA on below-average volume to test the high from the prior Friday. Slipped with the market like most other stocks, now at key support and set to bounce higher from here.
MORN 08/27 Test BO 61.88 -1.06 64.68 74.50 74K 240K 61.96
Buy Not Hit. MORN posting some minor selling Tuesday to meet the 10 day MA and signal the bottom of the test. Volume low and MORN setting up for a rebound here, will enter on some strong volume in a solid move higher.
MOS 08/27 DB hdl 38.79 -1.83 41.65 49.95 1.5M 4M 38.88
Buy Not Hit. Low volume pullback to hold the 18 day EMA. Should be ready to rebound from here. Still forming the handle.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 46.33 -3.01 48.45 55.45 9.1M 14M 46.78
Current. Caught in a market turn Tuesday, & that took it down
to the 18 day EMA on the close on lower trade. Needs
to hold here.
NVDA 07/28 Test 18 46.33 -3.01 47.47 56.75 9.1M 12M 46.78
Current.
OIH 08/27 Dbl btm 170.55 -2.95 174.92 190.00 6.6M 11M 172.11
Buy Not Hit. Continues the test of the Dbl btm high from Friday on rising volume. Currently below the 50 day MVA, OIH looks to sell a bit longer before getting a chance to bounce back up. When it does, may enter if volume shows it can support a solid move.
OII 08/11 Test BO 61.85 -3.08 63.76 76.95 647K 15M 62.11
Exited. Gapped lower on a boost from volume to sell below the 18 day MA. Got out with OII set to weather some heavy selling from here.
RADS 08/23 Test BO 15.39 +0.08 15.81 18.95 392K 400K 14.95
Buy Not Issued. RADS picking up some volume in the rebound off the 10 day MA to start a quiet, but stable upside move. Held the average intraday as it reach down to the 18 day MVA. Will enter if RADS can continue to build from the Tuesday rebound and keep the high trade.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 77.20 -3.91 78.88 99.00 13M 30M 74.88
Buy Not Hit. Volume rising at below-average as RIMM heads downhill testing the prior week's high. Looks to sell back towards the 18 day MA with selling picking up as it did Tuesday. Will enter if RIMM shows some stability once the test finds a bottom.
RVBD 08/22 Test 50 43.16 +0.38 44.25 53.95 652K 1.4M 42.24
Buy Not Issued. Bounced off the 50 day MA to post a modest gain and pick up some volume for what looks to be a steady move back to the 44's. If RVBD can keep the move going and hold the rising volume it will be a buy.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 91.31 -1.83 92.72 110.00 6.5M 12M 91.45
Current. Picked up where Monday left off and carried the test of the Friday high back to the 18 day MVA. Volume rising for SLB as it makes a second try at hitting the early August high in the 95 dollar range. Ready to rebound off the August supports and make the move back toward the 97's.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 52.03 +0.17 57.30 66.75 7.1M 12M 54.95
Current. SNDK closing Tuesday with a doji beneath the 50 day MVA on below-average, fading volume. Do or die time for SNDK, if it can't hold a move here it will be exited.
SSYS 08/11 PreSplt 48.07 -2.44 51.55 59.95 195K 280K 49.65
Buy Not Issued. Picked up some heavy selling volume Tuesday to close nearing the 50 day MVA. Slipped with the market after stalling in the prior sessions and has been dropped.
TRAK 08/18 Asc Bse 37.42 -0.09 40.55 47.65 134K 462K 27.87
Buy Not Hit. TRAK set to rebound after hitting the 50 day MA on some dry volume Tuesday. Holding a decent Ascending Base from July-August and if it can build off the base well enough may just give the buy.
TRMB 08/18 Test 50 34.87 -1.38 37.04 42.88 547K 1.3M 35.64
Exited. Got out with TRMB heading downhill from the prior Wednesday's high. Picked up on the selling volume, although still below-average, and looks to carry the selling near the 50 day MVA.
TRMB 05/31 Test 50 34.87 -1.38 31.10 35.99 547K 650K 35.92
Trailing Stop.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 62.25 -0.90 67.24 76.95 1M 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Hit.
UA 08/16 Test BO 62.25 -0.90 63.76 76.95 1M 1.8M 63.88
Current. UA posting a minor loss and a doji on rising volume Tuesday to set up for the rebound and end the test soon. In good shape to try for the August high a third time as volume picks up. UA also set to form a nice, Rev HS base if it can hold the rebound from here.
WMS 08/22 Rev HS 28.17 -0.80 29.95 34.50 296K 878K 27.95
Buy Not Hit. WMS dropped for now in the week's selling out of the Rev HS high. Watching this one closely, however, as some buyer action could pull WMS back above the 10 day MA.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMD 08/20 Put 11.66 -0.32 11.85 10.78 15M 30M 11.89
Current. AMD headed downhill with some momentum after the Friday attempt at passing the 10 day MA fell short. Holding some below-average volume in the selling and looking good to keep the selling up for a bit longer.
BBY 08/21 Put 43.12 -0.60 43.64 41.55 4.6M 7M 44.52
Buy Not Issued. No volume on the move lower as it gapped downside, holding at the prior August closing low. Given the lack of trade as it held that low we held off, but if it breaks below 43 it can still give us a good downside gain.
BWA 08/23 Dbl Top 80.56 -1.62 81.25 77.05 528K 450K 81.98
Gapped lower with the market and did not try very hard
to fill the gap. Closed just off the session low that
tapped the May consolidation level. Good opening move
lower.
CAT 08/25 Put 74.16 -1.84 74.65 71.44 4.5M 7M 75.55
Entered today. Entered the play as stock made a nice move down below the 10 day EMA on much stronger volume.
DIA 08/20 Put 130.49 -2.63 130.92 126.35 13M 20M 131.55
Big gap down to open on the 18 day EMA as stock gave us a free fall on much stronger volume for a great move down.
ETFC 08/18 Put 14.34 -0.65 14.88 12.54 7.9M 20M 15.54
Buy Not Issued. Gapped down and continued to move down below the 10 day EMA on rising volume. Will let stock test up to the 10 day EMA (15).
FCX 08/20 Put 82.04 -3.68 83.44 75.25 8M 14M 85.25
Buy Not Issued. Got away from us as stock gapped down to open on the 50 day EMA and continued to fall on rising volume. Looking for stock to give us a relief bounce off the 90 day EMA for a possible buying opportunity.
FRPT 08/14 Put 17.34 -1.45 15.74 13.55 1.6M 3.2M 15.64
Current. Opened on the 50 day EMA and reversed for a nice move down holding just above average volume. Next critical move will be to fall through the 10 day EMA (17)
GRA 08/04 Put 21.12 -0.89 18.94 17.00 540K 1.2M 20.55
Current. Gapped down at the open and continued to fall through the 18 day EMA on rising volume. Nice move down below the 10 day EMA.
JNS 08/23 Put 26.08 -1.53 27.38 24.78 1.5M 3.4M 28.11
Buy Not Issued. JNS dumped lower but there was just no activity in the options with low open interest activity. We weighed the possibilities and decided not to buy in with no increase in the number of options trading as it is too risky on the quick downside moves.
SPY 08/18 Put 143.72 -3.23 145.37 140.22 219M 235M 145.55
Entered today. Gapped down and continued to free fall on much stronger volume.
End part 2 of 3
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