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us stock market, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 134.08 +7.26 131.45 149.95 42M 45M 132.31
Current. Got some help from the market rebound to post a nice gain Wednesday and near the end of testing last week's high. Held some nice volume in the rebound off the 50 day MVA in what looks to continue higher from here.
AMX 08/27 Rev HS 59.18 +1.63 61.25 70.45 5M 9M 59.11
Buy Not Hit. Completed a nice, REV HS with the rebound on below-average volume back to the 50 day MA Wednesday. Needing some higher volume and a strong move from the new base to give the entry point.
ANSS 08/18 Test BO 32.31 +1.50 32.88 38.95 476K 865K 20.78
Buy Not Issued. Returned to the August high on rising volume after an impressive rebound off the 18 day MVA. Need to see ANSS break through this resistance on its third try at passing the prior high. Can't enter until it shows it has the strength to push higher.
ARTC 08/28 Test BO 55.62 +1.21 56.25 64.95 296K 750K 53.39
Buy Not Hit. Continues to test the early August high with Wednesday giving the rebound off the 10 day MA. Still not much life in ARTC's volume and in need of a strong move through 56 on solid volume to give the buy.
ATW 08/28 DB hdl 73.63 +2.21 72.88 83.95 517K 1M 68.89
Buy Not Issued. ATW with a nice DB hdl move on rising volume, closing Wednesday higher out of the prior sessions doji. Continuing the nice run from the DB hdl in what looks to hit the July high soon. Will enter if it passes the high with some stability and higher trade.
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 206.53 +6.84 210.50 254.90 3.3M 4M 203.88
Current. Showing some nice consolidation above the 10 day MA this week in what looks to be a big move coming soon. Tests the high of August out of the DB hdl quickly after rebounding off the 10 day MA Wednesday and is set to push higher once volume kicks in.
BIIB 08/02 Test BO 62.86 +0.78 58.08 66.75 3.2M 8.5M 60.55
Current. Wednesday gave a modest rebound above the 10 day MVA on rising volume to give BIIB another days rest from the Monday, August high. Looks to continue the move higher soon once the rest is over.
BLUD 08/16 Cup hdl 32.78 +0.43 34.04 39.95 450K 1.4M 32.12
Current. BLUD doing a nice job of holding the 18 day MVA as support this week after another reach below the average on Wednesday. Sits along early August support after the Wednesday close above the 10 day MA and ready to make the move higher here, just needing the volume to back it up.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 61.80 +1.90 61.10 69.95 3M 5.5M 58.92
Current. Nice move out of the Rev HS for CELG Wednesday to July and prior-August high. With volume at below-average the impressive rebound higher expecting CELG to take a rest here unless some high, buying volume says otherwise.
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 34.60 +2.10 34.17 42.45 775K 1.2M 31.88
Current. Continues the rebound off the 50 day MVA from last week on average volume to close Wednesday at the prior August closing high. Critical to move by here without the mid-July consolidation becoming serious resistance.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 34.60 +2.10 35.26 41.95 775K 896K 33.54
Current.
CPHD 08/16 Test BO 18.43 +0.55 18.72 22.48 706K 1.2M 17.38
Current. Finally gave a nice rebound with a boost of volume off early-August support, the 10 day MA. Looks to resume the ascending base started back in June. Expecting this one to push higher from here as volume picks up.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 59.14 +1.85 53.97 65.95 4M 7.5M 54.22
Current. CROX testing the 50 day MVA smoothly so far and now showing it has the stability to keep the 10 day MA. Consolidates above the average on fading volume, expecting this one to pull back to the 10 day MVA before making another try at the early August high. Need to see CROX make the critical move into the 60's in the next move.
CSCO 07/24 FlyPlat 31.00 +0.59 30.18 36.25 40M 70M 30.88
Current. Continues to rebound after filling the early August gap, progressively moving back into the low-30's. CSCO trading at highs it hasn't seen since 2004 and showing stability.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 41.78 +1.19 42.88 49.98 369K 425K 39.45
Current. Got some help from the market on Wednesday to post a nice rebound off the 10 day MA on low volume. Was weathering some hard selling for the week until the market stepped in for the rebound. Will likely test back to the 10 day MA unless some buyers step in and say otherwise.
CTRP 05/26 Test BO 41.78 +1.19 38.19 44.98 369K 425K 39.45
Current.
DE 08/18 Dbl btm 131.45 +5.03 129.88 149.95 3.1M 4M 127.89
Current. Picked up some above-average volume Wednesday to post a great move out of the consolidation over the last week. Doing a great job of continuing the Dbl btm move back into the 130's as DE looks to carry the current rebound off the 10 day MA back to the July top(133.68).
EXM 08/21 Dbl btm 37.52 +0.72 40.05 47.50 291K 775K 37.25
Buy Not Issued. Gave a small rebound above the 10 day MVA, posting a doji on sinking volume in what looks to take EXM lower in the test of the Dbl btm high. Need to see EXM find support in the 35's off the 18 day MA and post some gains before the entry points can start showing up.
FMC 08/23 PreSplt 88.47 +1.94 89.12 99.95 177K 355K 97.88
Buy Not Issued. Posted a modest gain Wednesday to continue the consolidation from last week. Needing to see FMC post a series of solid, upside moves on higher volume to give us the buy.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 91.60 +3.37 94.35 108.45 702K 800K 89.98
Current. Nice rebound on much stronger volume after routine pullback. Anticipating FTI to continue the move much higher as volume begins to re-enter the picture.
FTK 07/28 Test 50 37.27 -1.05 30.66 35.97 589K 604K 37.88
Trailing Stop. Tested lower Wednesday to give us the exit and save a majority of the impressive August gains from the test of the 50 day MA.
GMCR 08/27 Test BO 34.43 +0.22 35.78 42.95 698K 680K 33.65
Buy Not Hit. GMCR setting up for a big move here after a second, consecutive and slightly higher doji was posted Wednesday. Trade is rising and the buyers look to be stepping back in for GMCR and we will to if the move is legitimate.
GPRO 08/28 PreAnn 62.79 +0.78 63.39 72.95 170K 750K 61.55
Buy Not Hit. GPRO still taking it easy above the 10 day MVA on low volume in the 62's. Waiting for a strong move with some higher trade before any it can present any buy points.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 100.96 +4.58 105.22 120.95 3.1M 4M 99.88
Buy Not Hit.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 100.96 +4.58 90.35 111.95 3.1M 4.2M 100.88
Current. Rebounding after testing the 18 day MVA. In good position to push higher from here with the 10 day MA under its feet as support and the market helping out.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 23.58 +0.30 24.21 29.45 103K 444K 21.11
Buy Not Issued. Held the 18 day MA as support to post a modest gain after reaching below 23 dollars intraday. However, needing a stronger move and some much higher volume to give us the buy.
HPQ 07/26 Test BO 48.42 +1.54 48.11 53.95 13M 15M 47.98
Current. Nice move Wednesday off the 50 day MA on rising volume to reach near the mid-point of the August high(49.40). Continuing a nice move higher out of the August Dbl btm beneath the 50 day MVA and looks to push the move further on the rising volume.
HSIC 08/06 Cup hdl 57.93 +0.57 57.21 63.95 265K 450K 58.65
Current. Rebounded off the 18 day MA to post a modest gain Wednesday, but losing momentum on the way up. Gained some volume in the modest gain, expecting the test back towards the 18 day MVA before showing a stronger move back into the 58's.
IBM 08/25 Test 50 114.57 +2.57 114.77 130.00 6.7M 10M 111.88
Buy Not Hit. IBM posting a great move off the 10 day MA on rising volume in carrying the test of the 50 day MA even higher. Entered on the move and expecting some big moves from it.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 215.58 +9.60 202.89 243.00 717K 1.2M 211.32
Current. ISRG posting a new, all-time closing high after the Wednesday rebound off the 10 day MVA. Volume beginning to rise in the move and ISRG in good position to continue the move higher.
MON 08/07 Test 50 67.77 +2.31 67.60 75.95 2.7M 5M 67.77
Current. Nice rebound off the 50 day MVA on rising volume Wednesday to continue the Dbl btm back into the upper-60's. Important to see MON push through the late-June highs as resistance and continue its way back to the August top.
MORN 08/27 Test BO 62.50 +0.62 64.68 74.50 134K 240K 61.96
Buy Not Hit. Doji posted Wednesday on rising volume as the buyers only slightly overpowered the sellers. Consolidation range tightening since mid-August. The next move out of consolidation could present a nice buy point.
NOV 08/28 DB hdl 122.76 +5.18 122.75 138.45 2.7M 5M 116.55
Entered today. Showed some more solid movement from the DB hdl run to give us the entry point.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 48.96 +2.63 48.45 55.45 9M 14M 46.78
Current. Continues a nice move into the upper-40's from the Dbl btm of mid-August after testing the 18 day MVA Tuesday. Backed up by July-August support, NVDA in good position to push for a new high.
NVDA 07/25 Test 18 48.96 +2.63 47.47 56.75 9M 12M 46.78
Current.
OIH 08/27 Rev HS 176.47 +5.97 174.92 190.00 7.2M 11M 172.11
Buy Not Issued. Nice break higher off the 90 day MA test, clearing
the 50 day SMA on the move. Now a neat reverse head
and shoudlers and looking to move in as it continues
higher.
PAYX 08/04 Rev HS 44.46 +1.08 43.62 49.95 2.7M 3.6M 44.88
Current. PAYX with a decent gain Wednesday on slightly, rising volume to return above the 10 day MVA. Continues to post some great gains from the March-July Rev HS base. Testing the August high for now and set to push higher once volume returns.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 81.82 +4.62 79.76 99.95 12M 30M 77.45
Entered today. Jumped in on RIMM after the great rebound from the Tuesday test of the 10 day MVA. Continuing the reversal from under the 50 day MVA, RIMM looks to push the move much higher from here.
SII 08/18 PreAnn 64.06 +2.55 60.12 69.45 2.6M 4.5M 57.94
Buy Not Issued. Broke above the handle and hump high in the pattern on rising trade. If it continues from here it is still
a buy as the energy sector recovers.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 95.72 +4.41 92.72 110.00 8.3M 12M 92.89
Current. Still pushing higher from the test of the 50 day MVA in mid-August. Volume rises and SLB looks to easily hold the move back to the late-July high.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 53.54 +1.51 57.30 66.75 7.9M 12M 54.95
Current. Bounced high from Tuesday's doji on growing volume, posting a modest gain back above the 10 day MVA. Still tests the August high and looks to start a nice recovery move here with the rising volume.
TJX 08/23 Asc Bse 30.23 +0.79 30.61 35.00 4.1M 6.6M 29.22
Current. Wednesday TJX made the move back above the 10 day MVA and July-August resistance to set up for the next move higher. With the 10 day MVA under its feet as support, TJX looking good to post some gains here.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 64.73 +2.48 67.24 76.95 823K 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Hit.
UA 08/16 Test BO 64.73 +2.48 63.76 76.95 823K 1.8M 63.88
Current. Finished the Rev HS base Wednesday after rebounding past the 10 day MVA to complete the Shoulder for the August pattern. UA in decent position to push higher from here now with the 18 day MVA proving itself as solid support.
WYNN 08/16 Test BO 120.75 +2.95 120.89 139.95 2.8M 2.9M 118.89
Nice tap at the 18 day EMA on the low and bouncing
on rising above avg volume. It was able to hold this
move, so as it continues higher we will look at more
positions with some $120 call options (UWY LD).
XLE 08/28 Rev HS 68.96 +2.21 69.65 77.50 27M 2.4M 66.65
Buy Not Hit. Nice gain on nice volume as the pattern quickly turns
to a reverse head and shoulders. Looking to flip this
one and play it upside.
ZUMZ 08/25 Test BO 46.69 +1.97 45.92 53.95 606K 1M 44.48
Entered today. ZUMZ entered after rebound high above the 10 day MVA in its continued series of bounces higher since the late-July test of the 200 day MVA. Volume picks up and ZUMZ in great position to carry the move higher.
ZUMZ 08/15 Test 50 46.69 +1.97 42.17 50.75 606K 1M 45.05
Current.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMD 08/20 Put 12.30 +0.64 11.85 10.78 25M 30M 11.89
Current. Pushed high past the 10 day MVA as buyers stepped in and trade rose substantially. Will be in danger if it carries the move past the 18 day MVA which it has not broken since late-July.
BWA 08/23 Dbl Top 83.62 +3.06 81.25 77.05 367K 450K 81.98
Buy Not Issued. BWA working its way back up from the Dbl Top selling of July-August. Volume already back below-average in the high rebound Wednesday and looks to sell again soon. Will be there waiting once the selling picks up again and need to see better volume to enter.
CAT 08/25 Put 75.04 +0.88 74.65 71.44 4.4M 7M 75.55
Current. Continues a nice downtrend from mid-July after the short rebound near the 10 day MVA Wednesday. Expecting this one to head back downhill shortly after it breaks out of the market rebound.
DIA 08/20 Put 132.74 +2.25 130.92 126.35 11M 20M 131.55
Buy Not Issued. Hit heavy resistance from June-August on low volume in what looks to be a turnaround coming soon. Will be ready to enter if DIA shows some signs of high-trade selling.
ETFC 08/18 Put 14.55 +0.21 14.88 12.54 7.7M 20M 15.54
Buy Not Issued. Ready to enter once ETFC gains some higher trade and shows some stable, downwards movement. Wednesday got some help from the market to post a minuscule gain on below-average volume and looks to move low soon.
FRPT 08/14 Put 17.12 -0.22 15.74 13.55 1.4M 3.2M 15.64
Current. Sold back from key resistance at the 50 day EMA and it closed at the 18 day EMA after undercutting it intraday. If it bounces from here the best, safest course is to close it.
GRA 08/04 Put 21.98 +0.86 18.94 17.00 258K 1.2M 20.55
Current. Rebounded high on low volume with the help of the market to post a modest gain. Set to selling again soon with volume already dropping out in the minuscule upside move.
JNS 08/23 Put 27.40 +1.32 27.38 24.78 1.7M 3.4M 28.11
Buy Not Issued. Continuing a slow, but steady downtrend from the HS base of July-August. Testing the new low for now and once selling resumes may be a buy if volume picks up.
SPY 08/18 Put 146.54 +2.82 145.37 140.22 203M 235M 145.55
Current. Showing a Rev HS base for August after completing the shoulder on the Wednesday rebound on below-average volume. This pattern, tending to be an upside movement indicator, could be trouble, and will keep an eye on it.
End part 2 of 3
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trading system
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