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us stock market, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 136.25 +2.17 131.45 149.95 51M 45M 132.31
Current. Excellent volume as AAPL continued its move higher off the 50 day EMA as it breaks higher from a short 5 week reverse head and shoulders pattern ahead of its 9-5-07 new products announcement. No issues with this action.
AGE 08/16 Test 50 82.39 -0.66 84.04 96.75 877K 2.2M 81.69
Buy Not Issued. Another tight intraday range as AGE continues working laterally over the 50 day EMA. Volume fell well off
after that strong jump Wednesday. Still forming up;
still waiting for the break higher.
AGU 07/13 Test BO 44.27 +0.45 45.33 53.95 908K 1.6M 43.78
Current. A nice break higher once again, matching last week's
peaks on some rising though still below avg volume.
Very good action and AGU still looks as if it is going
to make a serious upside move.
AMX 08/27 Rev HS 58.96 -0.22 61.25 70.45 4.8M 9M 59.11
Buy Not Hit. Still in the pattern, still working laterally below the 50 day EMA (59.28). Just being patient and waiting for the break higher.
AMZN 08/11 Test 50 78.68 -0.37 76.58 88.50 4.6M 15M 76.21
Current. Rallied up to the Monday high at 80ish and then faded
back for a modest loss. Very low volume. Still looking
for AMZN to give us that definitive move over 80 that
sticks.
ARTC 08/28 Test BO 55.73 +0.11 56.25 64.95 297K 750K 53.39
Buy Not Hit. Ran up close to the buy point then backed off as volume remained low and unable to hold a break higher for
now. Still solid, still ready to continue that strong
breakout move from July.
BCSI 08/18 Asc Bse 81.96 -1.44 57.81 68.45 910K 675K 81.25
Current.
BCSI 07/28 Test 50 81.96 -1.44 52.97 62.95 910K 600K 81.25
Current. Lower trade again as the stocks sits above 80, working
laterally as it rests and consolidates after that last
blast higher.
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 205.66 -0.87 210.50 254.90 2.6M 4M 203.88
Current. Nice easy lateral move on low volume after that break
higher Monday. Still very good action as it continues
the handle work on its 7 week base.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 63.87 +2.07 61.10 69.95 5.8M 5.5M 61.98
Current. Volume surged and so did price as CELG cleared the
late July peake near 63. Beautiful move as the base
looks to be finally complete.
CIEN 08/29 Rev HS 37.20 -1.22 38.75 44.75 9.4M 5M 36.25
Buy Not Hit. Announced its earnings and did not get a big pop, but after gapping lower and holding the 50 day EMA it bounced, cutting the loss. Like this action and after a few sessions, maybe less, looking for CIEN to make the break for us.
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 34.76 +0.16 34.17 42.45 775K 1.2M 31.88
Current. Gapped higher but then closed flat on average trade.
Not worrying this move as it is performing quite well.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 34.76 +0.16 35.26 41.95 775K 896K 33.54
Current.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 18.68 +0.25 14.48 17.65 539K 785K 17.38
Current. Still on top of the 10 day EMA, still moving laterally
but looks very ready to make the break to the new 6
year high & to challenge its all-time high.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 58.18 -0.96 53.97 65.95 3.6M 7.5M 54.22
Current. Very tight range on very light volume as CROX continues
to hold just over the 10 day EMA as it works laterally.
Still like the look for another break higher from here.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 40.67 -1.11 42.88 49.98 417K 425K 39.45
Current. After a nice rebound from the Tuesday selling, CTRP
turned right back down Thursday & closed at the 10
day EMA. Low trade and still looks ready to bounce
once more, but it needs to show us the move from here.
CTRP 06/30 Cup hdl 40.67 -1.11 39.63 45.48 417K 450K 39.45
Current.
CVX 08/29 DB hdl 87.19 +0.49 87.68 99.95 7.8M 18M 84.11
Buy Not Hit. Another lateral move on low trade as CVX sets up a
nice handle to break higher from. It has based and
now it is ready to make the break higher.
DO 08/29 DB hdl 102.53 -0.65 103.55 118.95 2.5M 3M 99.90
Buy Not Hit. Tested back to the 50 day SMA after that nice Wednesday break higher. Nice. It is already making the interim
test for us before hitting our buy point. Now we look
for the break higher on volume to give us the entry point.
DRYS 08/25 Dbl btm 67.81 +1.09 66.04 79.35 2.1M 1.9M 64.88
Current. More volume is the tide lifting DRYS to a new high.
Lots of volume moving into this stock and we are just
going to ride that wave higher.
FNDT 08/13 DB hdl 15.36 -0.15 15.88 18.98 24K 100K 14.94
Buy Not Issued. Still working laterally on low, below average volume, holding the 10 day EMA as it forms a great handle to
this pattern. Nice picture. Would like to see a nice
breakout on top of it.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 92.45 +0.85 94.35 108.45 436K 800K 89.98
Current. Another upside session for FTI even though trade fell out the floor. Good volume Wednesday and last Friday shows volume entering on the upside. Next key level is 94 to 95. The good upside trade helps it with that level.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 102.54 +1.58 105.22 120.95 3.8M 4M 99.88
Buy Not Hit. Good recover off the Tuesday test of the 18 day EMA.
Really like how the volume jumped up on this Thursday
recovery. Still looking for a new breakout to buy some
more positions.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 102.54 +1.58 90.35 111.95 3.8M 4.2M 100.88
Current.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 23.72 +0.14 24.21 29.45 137K 444K 21.11
Buy Not Issued. Has tested the 18 day EMA and has held. Now looking for the break higher on some solid trade to start taking
positions.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 48.44 +0.02 46.35 53.35 11M 20M 47.98
Current. Tapped at 49 on the high, the level it needs to clear
as that is the July peak, and a potential left shoulder
to a potential H&S pattern. Thus it needs to clear
that level on strong trade.
HSIC 08/06 Cup hdl 58.05 +0.12 57.21 63.95 298K 450K 58.65
Still working laterally over the 18 day EMA in a tightening
range. Volume picked up some Thursday and looking for
that as a precursor to a new breakout.
IBM 08/28 Test 50 115.37 +0.80 114.77 130.00 7.8M 10M 111.88
Current. Gapped lower but then recovered for a positive close
on rising though below avg volume. Still very solid
and like the action.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 217.06 +1.48 202.89 243.00 936K 1.2M 214.87
Current. Jumped up to 220 but as with most stocks it could not
hold all of the move. Like the lower open and higher
close and you have to like the rising volume as ISRG
outperforms the rest of the market.
MON 08/07 Test 50 68.85 +1.08 67.60 75.95 4.1M 5M 67.77
Current. Nice volume, rising close to average as MON broke past
last weeks highs and is now bearing down on 70 to 71
that marks the top of the pattern and, of course, a
new all-time high.
MORN 08/27 Test BO 63.80 +1.30 64.68 74.50 132K 240K 61.96
Buy Not Hit. May be ready to finally rise and face the morning.
Good price action Thursday and volume has perked up a bit.
MOS 08/27 DB hdl 39.92 -0.08 41.65 49.95 1.2M 4M 38.88
Buy Not Hit. Tested the 50 day EMA intraday and rallied back as stock hits some resistance at 40 on low volume. Stock needs to push through 40. Still forming the handle.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 48.68 -0.28 48.45 55.45 7.8M 14M 46.78
Current. Was running once more but after hitting 50ish (the
Monday high) it faded to flat on the close. Not taking
much issue with the action as NVDA continues to show
excellent relative strength and good price/volume action.
NVDA 07/28 Test 18 48.68 -0.28 47.47 56.75 7.8M 12M 46.78
Current.
OIH 08/27 Rev HS 175.55 -0.92 174.92 190.00 4.9M 11M 172.11
Buy Not Issued. As with most of the oil sector this index started weaker but then came back. What this does is set us a better
buy after that nice bounce higher Wednesday.
RADS 08/23 Test BO 14.94 -0.19 15.81 18.95 313K 400K 14.95
Buy Not Issued. Slid a bit further but showed a big doji on the session. After this pullback we are looking for this signal
to give us a new run higher, and that is what we buy into.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 82.87 +1.05 79.76 99.95 22M 30M 77.45
Current. Solid volume Thursday as RIMM surged up to 85 but then
faded, losing 2/3 of its gain. Hard to argue with the
move; it is volatile as the March wind so no complaints
here.
RVBD 08/22 Test 50 44.25 -0.32 44.25 53.95 1.1M 1.4M 42.24
Buy Not Issued. Surged on rising trade (though closed below average then closed modestly lower. Still in excellent shape
to give us a buy and make us a lot of money.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 95.00 -0.72 92.72 110.00 6.5M 12M 92.89
Current. After the strong Wednesday session SLB took the day
off on some lower volume. Looking for a quick pick
up to the move that started Wednesday given it has
already tested ahead of the Wednesday break higher.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 54.66 +1.12 57.30 66.75 9.5M 12M 54.95
Current. Volume was u, the best in two weeks, as SNDK continued
the Wednesday bounce off the 50 day EMA. Very promising.
TRAK 08/18 Asc Bse 37.49 -0.02 40.55 47.65 124K 462K 27.87
Buy Not Hit. Boring us to tears, but that is when things tend to
happen. Will wipe our eyes and keep watching it as
TRAK makes a nice, quiet lateral move, & a higher low,
at the 50 day EMA.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 63.88 -0.85 67.24 76.95 995K 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Hit.
UA 08/16 Test BO 63.88 -0.85 63.76 76.95 995K 1.8M 63.88
Current. Faded back from the Wednesday recovery move, but held
the 18 day EMA on the low, showing a nice tight doji
at that level. Time to show its moves.
UTHR 08/28 Asc Bse 68.46 0.00 68.28 78.65 244K 1M 66.32
Buy Not Issued. Tried to move again on Thursday but then faded back to flat as just no volume. There has to be some trade to push it in the first place, and volume indicates more staying power when it does make the move. Thus being patient here.
VIP 08/29 DB hdl 24.73 +1.57 23.91 28.75 7.5M 4M 22.24
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher on the earnings and then it tested as we wanted. Then we got greedy and decided to wait and get another test. It didn't. Bad move. Now we are looking for a test back from this initial gap higher to give us a buy.
XLE 08/28 Rev HS 68.92 -0.04 69.65 77.50 17M 2.4M 66.65
Buy Not Hit. Started lower, tapped right at the Wednesday high intraday and faded to flat. Still looking for a new upside break in this pattern as we flipped the play given the renewed energy strength. Need to see strong volume on the break higher.
ZUMZ 08/29 Test BO 47.97 +1.28 47.85 55.45 859K 1M 45.89
Entered today. Volume picked up speed, coming in well above average as ZUMZ zoomed higher once more, just eclipsing the
high hit on the earnings release. Good move to buy into.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMD 08/20 Put 12.42 +0.12 11.85 10.78 30M 30M 11.89
Current. Rallied sharply on rising, average volume but then turned over to close just below the 18 day EMA. We will see if this is a reversal to the downside that continues the downtrend or just a bit of pre-Dell earnings jitters late in the session.
BBY 08/21 Put 43.69 -0.28 43.64 41.55 4.8M 7M 44.52
Buy Not Issued. Bounced up off 43 where it closed 2 weeks back but
again has stalled below the 10 and 18 day EMA. Looking
for BBY to continue the downtrend with another break
lower, but would like to see volume tick up as it sells.
BWA 08/23 Dbl Top 83.20 -0.42 81.78 77.05 238K 450K 82.95
Buy Not Issued. Reached up to the 90 day MA on the high and closed
just over the 10 day EMA. Still looks toppy, and on
a move lower on some rising trade we are looking to
play the downside on this one.
CAT 08/25 Put 74.66 -0.38 74.65 71.44 3.6M 7M 75.55
Current. Rallied but after tapping toward the 18 day EMA (76.03)
and then faded to close lower. Still looks like a stall
out on this stock and ready for another run lower toward
70ish.
DIA 08/20 Put 132.57 -0.17 131.88 127.55 13M 20M 132.65
Buy Not Issued. Bounced again, testing up toward the 50 day EMA on
the peak and then fading to close flat. Still making
lower highs so we are still watching in the event it
breaks down again. Good set up to make us money if it does.
ETFC 08/18 Put 14.77 +0.22 14.88 12.54 7.3M 20M 15.54
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the 10 day EMA (14.97) on the high after holding 14 this week. This is where it needs to make the break lower. It certainly looks ready to do so. Need to see volume pick up from this low trade as it does; that shows us the sellers are back.
FRPT 08/14 Put 17.14 +0.02 15.74 13.55 965K 3.2M 15.64
Current. Gapped lower but fought back, ending up flat after
trading on both sides of the ledger. This is where
it either fails and we ride it lower to the target
or it holds and tries to bounce again and we sell it.
GRA 08/04 Put 21.71 -0.27 18.94 17.00 438K 1.2M 20.55
Current. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the high and faded for a modest
loss, holding the 10 day EMA (21.57). This is where
we need to see it fall and close below the 10 day on
some rising trade.
JNS 08/23 Put 26.19 -1.21 27.38 24.78 2.4M 3.4M 28.11
Buy Not Issued. Still not enough option volume ot really get into this one and ride it lower so dropping it.
SPY 08/18 Put 146.15 -0.39 145.37 140.22 192M 235M 145.55
Current. Gapped lower then rallied up to wave at the 50 day
EMA and then it reversed. Managed to hold above the
200 day MA (145.87). How it holds here is key as it
tries, w/this last move, to set a reverse H&S.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
trading system
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