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us stock market, trend trading stock
Begin part 2 of 3
Part 3 will be forwarded later today.
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 138.48 +2.23 131.45 149.95 31M 45M 135.11
Current. AAPL with the nice move higher Friday on below-average volume out of the August Cup hdl. Succeeded in making the pass of the July-August resistance in the 135's. So far so good.
AMX 08/27 Rev HS 60.46 +1.50 61.25 70.45 4.5M 9M 59.11
Buy Not Issued. Closed the week with a gap up near the 50 day MVA critical July-August support. Expecting this one to test lower with the current, fading volume and fill the gap before resetting for the next move. Will consider entry points from there.
ANSS 08/18 Test BO 33.13 +0.18 33.25 39.44 613K 865K 31.97
Entered today. Continued the late week move with decent trade. Took some positions on this move and will look for the next
entry point when it shows us it is going to keep moving
higher.
ARTC 08/28 Test BO 56.02 +0.29 56.25 64.95 154K 750K 53.39
Buy Not Issued. Posted a modest gain on low volume to end the week near the August highs. Holding at some resistance here. Still in the pattern. Will enter once ARTC shows some higher volume on more aggressive upside moves.
ATW 08/28 DB hdl 75.99 +1.85 72.88 83.95 402K 1M 68.89
Buy Not Issued. Gapped away from us on low volume that plagued it all week. Have to let it go and then see if it gives us
a good opportunity on a test. Sometimes you just have
to let them go.
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 208.20 +2.54 210.50 254.90 2.4M 4M 203.88
Current. BIDU holding on to its DB hdl base to push higher Friday on low volume and end the month near the BIDU high set in July. With volume continuing to fade below-average BIDU looks to test near the 10 day MVA to start September unless buyers step in to start the new month. Showing strength and is solid.
BIIB 08/02 Test BO 63.82 -0.77 58.08 66.75 3.1M 8.5M 62.48
Current. Friday gave the quiet intraday pullback from the prior session's high for the month as BIIB holds continues a sweet Ascending base through August. Faded lower on below-average volume in what looks to be a continuance into September of the uptrend.
BLUD 08/16 Cup hdl 33.35 +0.33 34.04 39.95 537K 1.4M 32.12
Current. Nears the mid-August high after closing the week with a low volume gap higher above the 10 day MVA. BLUD doing a nice job so far of holding the 18 day MVA as support in the Cup hdl trend higher and looks to continue to do so into September.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 64.21 +0.34 61.10 69.95 3.4M 5.5M 61.98
Current. Volume pulled back below-average Friday to post a quiet gain following this week's strong move out of the August Rev HS into the 64's. CELG looking to rest for a bit here if volume remains at this level.
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 34.29 -0.47 34.17 42.45 610K 1.2M 31.88
Current. Stalls along mid-July high consolidation in testing the Dbl btm high for August. Looks like it is going to hold the 34 support level and make work laterally and form a handle to the dbl btm and set up for the next move higher.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 34.29 -0.47 35.26 41.95 610K 896K 33.54
Current.
COP 08/30 Cup 81.89 +0.60 82.35 94.95 8.9M 15M 79.77
Buy Not Issued. Beginning to post some modest gains out of the August cup, but not with high enough volume to give the entry point yet. Will enter once trade picks up and COP begins to show the real moves from the Cup base.
CPHD 08/16 Test BO 18.68 0.00 18.72 22.48 287K 1.2M 17.38
Current. Holds near the August high in moving laterally on low volume at the end of the week. The whole week's pull back to the 10 day MVA on the Cup hdl high has managed to build another handle to the base. Looks to carry the move higher from here after the routine pullback.
CROX 08/30 Cup hdl 59.04 +0.86 60.11 72.00 2.9M 7.5M 57.05
Buy Not Hit.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 59.04 +0.86 53.97 65.95 2.9M 7.5M 54.22
Current. Holds above the 10 day MVA in testing the high of the reversal off the 50 day MVA. Closed the week with a modest gain on still fading, below-average volume. Has had a long rest above the 10 day MVA and is ready to push higher from here once volume picks up.
CSCO 07/24 FlyPlat 31.92 +0.49 30.18 36.25 39M 70M 30.88
Current. CSCO posting a doji on the Friday gap up on below-average volume to set a new closing high for August. Expecting a rest or routine pullback soon to test the move.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 42.49 +1.82 42.88 49.98 455K 425K 39.45
Current. Closed the week high out of the week's second test back to the 10 day MVA. With volume rising again CTRP looks in good shape to make the move past the August high.
CTRP 05/26 Test BO 42.49 +1.82 38.19 44.98 455K 425K 39.45
Current.
CVX 08/29 DB hdl 87.76 +0.57 88.19 99.95 8.1M 18M 85.94
Entered today. Gapped higher and we took some positions on the move. Will add more when CVX shows us the next buy point.
Really like this pattern as it sets the foundation
for a nice run higher.
DE 08/18 Dbl btm 136.06 +4.16 129.88 149.95 2.7M 4M 133.89
Current. DE with the gap higher Friday on rising, average volume to post a new high for the stock. Holding a great move off the Dbl btm from August and looks to continue into the upper 130's.
DLTR 08/29 Rev HS 43.45 +2.99 41.74 47.95 2.1M 2M 40.94
Posted an impressive surge higher on great volume to close August with a new high for the month. Now nearing the June-July consolidation highs, DLTR looking to have no trouble in passing them with no resistance worries.
DO 08/29 DB hdl 105.16 +2.63 105.35 120.95 1.8M 3M 101.28
Entered today. Entered as it showed some strong, upside moves out of the Db hdl to move back into the 105's. Gapped high on below-average volume to close the week and looks to start September off well.
EXM 08/21 Dbl btm 43.03 +4.03 40.54 47.95 1.6M 775K 37.88
Surged higher on massive trade from the test of the Dbl btm high. EXM currently trading in levels it hasn't seen since 2004. A major plus.
FMC 08/23 PreSplt 90.00 +1.87 89.12 99.95 227K 355K 97.88
Buy Not Issued. Returned to the 90 dollar range on a nice rebound above the 50 day MVA to close the week near the August high. Will enter if FMC continues the late-August reversal beneath the 50 day MVA on consistent, solid volume.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 94.70 +2.25 94.35 108.45 878K 800K 92.24
Current. FTI with the gap higher on a volume spike above-average to set up a nice transition into the September. Looks to continue the move higher with the fresh volume and use the July-August highs as support for the move.
GMCR 08/27 Test BO 34.07 -0.43 35.78 42.95 298K 680K 33.65
Buy Not Hit. Met the 18 day MVA on fading volume to continue the weeks consolidation in the 34-36's. Setting up for a big move soon on its 4th tap at the 18 day MVA and looks to surge higher once volume picks up.
GPRO 08/28 PreAnn 64.02 +0.79 63.39 72.95 255K 750K 61.55
Buy Not Issued. GPRO continuing to post some modest gains off the reversal from the 50 day MVA in mid-August. Closed the week high back in the 64's and will enter once volume picks up and the move is still trending upwards.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 101.83 -0.71 105.22 120.95 4.6M 4M 99.88
Buy Not Issued.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 101.83 -0.71 90.35 111.95 4.6M 4.2M 100.88
Current. GRMN with some wide-range intraday movement Friday on high volume in the test of the 18 day MVA. Looks to continue the uptrend from the mid-August test at the average on the rising volume.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 23.55 -0.17 24.21 29.45 88K 444K 21.11
Buy Not Issued. HMSY continuing to tighten its consolidation range through August as it nears the 18 day MVA on fading volume. Has managed to fill the mid-August gap and clear the way for a move higher soon off the key, 18 day MVA. Will enter if the move shows some stability and can clear the mid-August consolidation with no worries.
HPQ 07/26 Test BO 49.35 +0.91 48.11 53.95 16M 15M 47.98
Current. HPQ continuing a long, progressive uptrend started at the test of the 50 day MVA back in mid-July. Has held several higher lows in the long run and now close August with a nice gap up on above-average volume.
HRS 08/30 Asc Bse 60.83 +1.61 60.75 69.95 828K 1.4M 57.97
Entered today. HRS posting a great move in continuing the Ascending base into the 60's on average volume. Looks to carry the move much higher with the solid volume and support from the strong base.
HSIC 08/06 Cup hdl 58.19 +0.14 57.21 63.95 244K 450K 58.65
Current. Testing the early-August high, HSIC showing low volume in closing the week on another quiet move in the upper 50's. Need to see some higher trade to break it out of its consolidation from the prior two weeks and move back for the August high.
IBM 08/25 Test 50 116.69 +1.32 114.77 130.00 6.9M 10M 113.32
Current. IBM continuing a strong move higher off the test of the 50 day MVA on below-average volume. Now nears the July peak in the 118's and looks to be in good shape to pass it with a run like the current.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 221.28 +4.22 202.89 243.00 777K 1.2M 217.65
Target Hit. Took some interim gain after ISRG showed 3 solid sessions in a row. Took some solid 64% option gain ($1210/contract).
Letting the rest run as doesn't look back for ISRG.
MON 08/07 Test 50 69.74 +0.89 67.60 75.95 3.4M 5M 67.77
Current. Gave a doji Friday on below-average volume in the gap higher back to the July and August closing highs. Critical to see MON push higher from the Doji and break past the prior tops.
MORN 08/27 Test BO 64.52 +0.72 64.68 74.50 103K 240K 61.96
Buy Not Issued. MORN posting a doji on below-average volume Friday in its gap up in the 64's. Currently sitting along the prior August closing high, MORN looks to test back near the 10 day MVA from here after the Doji. Will consider some buy points in September once MORN resets and shows some higher trade.
MTL 08/30 Rev HS 43.53 +1.20 42.55 50.95 883K 525K 39.97
Buy Not Issued. More good volume, but the gap higher made us wait, and then MTL closed well off its high. After 3 upside sessions that close indicates it may come back a bit before it is ready to continue the move. That will give us an entry.
NOV 08/28 DB hdl 128.00 +4.66 122.75 138.45 3.9M 5M 123.11
Current. Gapped high in continuing the uptrend from the mid-August reversal beneath the 50 day MVA. Also holding a great move out of the DB hdl in August and both factors looking to push NOV high into September.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 51.16 +2.48 48.45 55.45 12M 14M 47.89
Current. NVDA with a great move higher on above-average volume to push the Dbl btm run even further. Expecting this one to go into the mid-50's out of the strong base and solid trade.
NVDA 07/25 Test 18 51.16 +2.48 47.47 56.75 12M 12M 47.89
Current.
OIH 08/27 Rev HS 178.71 +3.20 179.78 194.95 6.1M 11M 175.44
Entered today. Gapped higher and then started to come back and we
moved in. It continued to fall in the last few minutes
of the session. Will look for more positions as it
gives the opportunity.
PAYX 08/04 Rev HS 44.43 +0.16 43.62 49.95 2.5M 3.6M 44.88
Current. PAYX with a second, consecutive doji above Thursday's, posting a modest gain on low volume. Continues to consolidate along the 10 and 18 day MVA's and expecting the move higher soon once volume picks up.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 85.41 +2.54 79.76 99.95 13M 30M 80.11
Current. Posted a doji on low volume in the gap higher Friday to begin what looks to be a nice rest for RIMM in the new high off the mid-August test of the 50 day MVA.
SII 08/18 PreAnn 67.01 +1.76 60.12 69.45 2.3M 4.5M 57.94
Buy Not Issued. Gapped away from us on low volume this week. Will
see how it tests and if that gives us a new entry point.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 96.50 +1.68 92.72 110.00 6.2M 12M 94.94
Current. Working a nice, ascending base from the mid-August reversal beneath the 50 day MVA. However, posted a doji Friday in the gap higher on low volume to what could be a test lower from here.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 56.06 +1.40 57.30 66.75 8M 12M 54.95
Current. Pushes high from the late-August Dbl btm off the 50 day MVA as it gapped higher Friday on low volume with a majority of the market. Now sitting just above the mid-point of the August high, SNDK looking to start September off well.
TJX 08/23 Asc Bse 30.49 +0.62 30.61 35.00 3.2M 6.6M 29.57
Current. Gapped higher on rising volume as it closes in on the Monday high. TJX with a solid Asc Bse enforcing the uptrend greatly as it sets up to post a new high soon in September.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 65.01 +1.13 67.24 76.95 512K 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Hit.
UA 08/16 Test BO 65.01 +1.13 63.76 76.95 512K 1.8M 63.88
Current. Testing the mid-August high, UA posts some quiet moves along the 18 and 10 day MVA's on low volume. Expecting a big move soon from the Rev HS base of August to start September off in a move for the August highs.
VIP 08/29 DB hdl 24.40 -0.33 23.91 28.75 4.9M 4M 22.24
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and then reversed to close lower. With that kind of action we have to look for a test this
week that gives us an entry around 23ish.
VSEA 08/30 Test BO 55.63 +1.08 55.96 66.75 1M 2.5M 52.44
Entered today. Gapped higher and we took a few positions on the move to start the play. Will look at more this coming week
when we see what VSEA is going to do to start September.
WYNN 08/16 Test BO 123.73 +2.67 120.89 139.95 1.2M 2.9M 119.78
Continues the Ascending base from the start of August as WYNN closed the week in the 123's. Some good moves for the stock lately after continual bounces higher off the 10 day MVA and expecting this one to reach the 125's.
XLE 08/28 Rev HS 69.83 +0.91 69.65 77.50 13M 2.4M 66.65
Buy Not Issued. Gave a doji in the Friday gap up above the 50 day MVA on low volume. Need to see XLE continue the current uptrend from the mid-August tap at the 200 day MVA with some higher trade to give us the buy.
ZUMZ 08/25 Test BO 48.53 +0.56 45.92 53.95 2.1M 1M 45.89
Current. ZUMZ continuing to post a series of higher lows since the start of August as Friday showed a spike from volume to push into the upper 40's. Loving the moves so far from ZUMZ as it looks to move into September smoothly.
ZUMZ 08/15 Test 50 48.53 +0.56 42.17 50.75 2.1M 1M 45.89
Current.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMD 08/20 Put 13.00 +0.58 11.85 10.78 28M 30M 11.89
Current. Gapped higher w/market and held its move to the close.
Below the 50 day EMA (13.28) & at the May low. Given
the gap there was not much we could do with it so we
decided to see how the start of Sept. treats it.
BWA 08/23 Dbl Top 84.50 +1.30 83.11 77.45 318K 450K 84.85
Buy Not Issued. BWA beginning to show a series of positive moves from the mid-August reach for the 200 day MVA. Will be dropped soon if it continues this pattern.
CAT 08/25 Put 75.77 +1.11 74.65 71.44 3.3M 7M 75.55
Current. Gapped higher, tried to clear the 18 day EMA (76) but faded on the close. No volume. It has failed to clear the 18 day EMA on 2 tries. Still looks like another run downside here to form a double bottom, and that gives us a nice gain.
DIA 08/20 Put 133.40 +0.83 131.88 127.55 11M 20M 132.65
Buy Not Issued. DIA gapping higher Friday and continuing to show some solid upside movement from the test of the 200 day MVA. Has been dropped.
ETFC 08/18 Put 15.58 +0.81 14.88 12.54 11M 20M 15.54
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher on rising volume to meet the 18 day MVA and showing stronger upside volume after a higher low. Will keep an eye on it in the event that sellers return to start the new month Monday.
FRPT 08/14 Put 17.23 +0.09 15.74 13.55 703K 3.2M 15.64
Current. Sold back this week but held the 18 day EMA on the
Friday close. If it does not fall thru 18.50 to start
next week we will close it.
GRA 08/04 Put 22.34 +0.63 18.94 17.00 513K 1.2M 20.55
Current. Gapped higher so we had to see how the session played out. Stalled at the 50 day MA (22.41) on the close on continued low volume. Have to see how the start of the new week treats it. A lower high here is a positive but has to fall below 21.50 soon.
SPY 08/18 Put 147.59 +1.44 145.37 140.22 185M 235M 145.55
Current. Gapped higher with the market but then could not hold
a move over the 50 day EMA (147.77) on the close. This
is where it failed in early August and last week. Key
point for it and likely to test 146 again this week.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
trend trading stock
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