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Begin part 2 of 3
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 144.16 +5.68 131.45 149.95 47M 45M 139.94
Target Hit. Took part of the solid option gain (55%, $850/contract)
as AAPL continued to surge higher on strong volume
ahead of its product release announcement on Wednesday.
AFSI 09/01 DB hdl 16.76 +0.39 16.75 20.95 313K 1M 15.58
Buy Not Issued. Started out September well, picking up a bit of volume and continuing the Db hdl reversal from mid-August back above the 50 day MVA on Tuesday. Looks to continue the steady climb from here and will enter if AFSI holds the move past the 50 day MVA with some higher volume.
AGU 07/13 Test BO 46.54 +1.00 45.33 53.95 1.5M 1.6M 44.95
Current. AGU continued higher on rising though still below avg volume. It tapped the July high (the all-time high) & faded back some. We took the October options off the table as they were flat, leaving the stock to work for us.
AMX 08/27 Rev HS 61.63 +1.17 61.25 70.45 4.6M 9M 59.11
Buy Not Issued. Closed the first September session back above the 50 day MVA on below-average volume, holding the Rev HS August base move higher. Just waiting for some higher volume to enter.
ARTC 08/28 Test BO 58.78 +2.76 56.25 64.95 437K 750K 56.55
Buy Not Issued. Got way too cautious on this one. It was up but on
very light early trade. Then the volume came in late
but it never gave a test to move in on. Will see if
we can get a quick test here for a new entry.
BCSI 08/18 Asc Bse 78.86 -4.55 57.81 68.45 2.6M 675K 81.25
Trailing Stop. Took the rest of the stock positions off the table because of high volume reversal from August high.
BCSI 07/28 Test 50 78.86 -4.55 52.97 62.95 2.6M 600K 81.25
Trailing Stop.
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 216.95 +8.75 210.50 254.90 5.7M 4M 207.65
Current. Exactly what we wanted from BIDU as Tuesday brought a high volume pass of the July highs/resistance. Looks to continue up from here and post some nice gains for the start of Setember.
BLUD 08/16 Cup hdl 32.90 -0.45 34.04 39.95 557K 1.4M 32.12
Current. Still testing the August high, BLUD fell back to the 10 day MVA on below-average volume. However, BLUD in a progressive uptrend from the Cup hdl from August and looks to continue the steady move higher soon.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 65.85 +1.64 61.10 69.95 4.4M 5.5M 63.22
Current. CELG with a solid intraday surge higher Tuesday to near the May high, Celgene's all-time high. Looks to post a new high here with the Tuesday above-average volume, doing very well from the Rev HS base of August.
CIEN 08/29 Rev HS 38.01 +0.13 38.75 44.75 2.6M 5M 36.25
Buy Not Hit. Posted a second, consecutive doji in a quiet move higher Tuesday on below-average volume. Expecting some modest selling here after the second doji on fading volume. Will consider buy points after the selling ends and CIEN resets for some moves higher.
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 34.27 -0.02 34.17 42.45 550K 1.2M 31.88
Current. CMED still resting into September on below-average volume after testing the Dbl btm high for August. In good shape to push higher from here soon as it sits on July supports.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 34.27 -0.02 35.26 41.95 550K 896K 33.54
Current.
CPHD 08/16 Test BO 20.17 +1.49 18.72 22.48 971K 1.2M 18.39
Current. Gained a boost from volume and broke high out of the Ascending Base of August. Expecting the move to last a bit from here with the return of some above-average volume.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 20.17 +1.49 14.48 17.65 971K 785K 18.39
Current.
CROX 08/30 Cup hdl 59.46 +0.42 60.11 72.00 3.1M 7.5M 57.05
Buy Not Hit.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 59.46 +0.42 53.97 65.95 3.1M 7.5M 54.22
Current. Taking its time in the Test of the 50, filling the gap of the August high and setting up for the next move higher. CROX in good shape to take the move higher once volume picks up, at below-average for now.
CSCO 08/01 FlyPlat 32.32 +0.40 30.18 36.25 54M 70M 31.31
Current. CSCO gaining some volume in the Tuesday push higher, closing at a new high for 2007. Anticipating CSCO to hold the move higher with volume building.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 42.59 +0.10 42.88 49.98 448K 425K 39.45
Current. Closed the Tuesday session on a decent move higher with below-average volume. Next session critical with CTRP now along serious resistance from July-August.
CTRP 05/26 Test BO 42.59 +0.10 38.19 44.98 448K 425K 39.45
Current.
CVX 08/29 DB hdl 88.73 +0.97 88.19 99.95 9.5M 18M 86.39
Current. CVX continuing to push higher from the Dbl hdl of August on rising, below-average volume. Looks to hold the move higher from here with the building volume and solid, August base backing it up.
DE 08/18 Dbl btm 138.64 +2.58 129.88 149.95 3.2M 4M 136.32
Target Hit. Another great gain posted Tuesday on the move higher from the August Dbl btm. Gaining some volume, now above-average, and looking strong to push the move much higher.
DO 08/29 DB hdl 108.22 +3.06 105.35 120.95 2.7M 3M 105.11
Current. Holding a nice move higher from the Dbl hdl in August and looking to push higher for the July top on the current rising volume.
DRYS 08/25 Dbl btm 70.48 -0.88 66.04 79.35 3.1M 1.9M 68.45
Target Hit. Took part of the gain (10.3% stock, 40% option gain)
as DRYS surged early on strong volume. Came back negative
to close but will let it test for us and then continue
the move higher.
EMC 08/13 Dbl btm 19.85 +0.19 19.32 22.65 26M 55M 19.11
Current. EMC starting September out with a quiet gain and an intraday reach to the August high. Picked up a bit of volume Tuesday, still at below-average however, and expecting EMC to meet the prior high soon if volume continues to build.
EXM 08/21 Dbl btm 43.92 +0.89 40.54 47.95 1.8M 775K 41.77
EXM posting a second, consecutive long range move higher on explosive volume. Doing well in pushing higher from the Dbl btm of August and trading at highs EXM hasn't seen since the end of 2004.
FNDT 08/13 DB hdl 15.85 +0.38 15.88 18.98 21K 100K 14.94
Buy Not Issued. FNDT showing some decent gains from the Dbl hdl of August as the September open gave a nice move higher on a small boost of volume. Critical for FNDT to hold the current move past May and August consolidation levels. Will enter if it holds and gains some higher volume.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 49.47 +2.12 47.18 54.22 1.7M 800K 45.89
Target Hit. Posted a new, all-time high for FTI on Tuesday as September brought a strong, above-average volume move higher. Heck of a stock after the great, 78% gain for August. Expecting some more of that for September.
GMCR 08/27 Test BO 33.57 -0.50 35.78 42.95 589K 680K 33.65
Buy Not Hit. Started September with some above-average volume selling from the long consolidation of late August. Expecting GMCR to sell near the 50 day MVA before getting a chance to reset. Will consider buy points from there.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 104.45 +2.62 104.40 120.95 5.5M 4M 100.65
Entered today. Got in on some more of this one to start September as it picked up some volume and posted a new closing high. Runs higher on a solid, August Rev HS base and expecting some great moves in Sept.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 104.45 +2.62 90.35 111.95 5.5M 4.2M 100.88
Current.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 23.76 +0.21 24.21 29.45 215K 444K 21.11
Buy Not Issued. Gained some near-average volume Tuesday as it continues to coast along the 10 day MVA. Has held around the 23-24.5 range since mid-August and need to see a move higher on stronger volume to give the entry point.
HPQ 07/11 Test 50 50.14 +0.79 46.35 53.35 21M 20M 48.21
Current. Continues some strong, upward movement from the Test at the 50 day MVA in August. Revisits some highs is hasn't been around since 2000, HPQ making some nice gains and starting September out well with the move higher on rising, above-average volume.
HRS 08/30 Asc Bse 61.59 +0.91 60.75 69.95 980K 1.4M 59.11
Current. The Tuesday session brought back some above-average volume as HRS posted a great move higher in the Asc Bse from August. Expecting some more moves like Tuesday's with volume building.
HSIC 08/11 Test BO 58.20 +0.01 58.74 67.45 303K 700K 57.11
Current. Continuing lateral movement started in mid-August as it began the new month on Tuesday. Ready to break higher from the consolidation soon, just needing to see higher volume to get the move started.
HUN 08/21 Test 50 25.84 -0.11 25.88 29.95 2.3M 3.7M 24.88
Buy Not Issued. HUN continuing to consolidate around $25.5, but with rising volume as Tuesday it posted a doji on the low. Need to see a move higher from here on solid volume to give the entry point.
IBM 08/28 Test 50 118.19 +1.50 114.77 130.00 7.4M 10M 114.92
Current. Still climbing from the mid-August test of the 50 day MVA. Volume returning to the average line and IBM set to post some nice gains in early-September.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 226.68 +5.40 202.89 243.00 719K 1.2M 222.21
Target Hit. Tuesday ISRG posted a great move higher on below-average volume, hitting its target for a sweet start to September. Gaining some nice upside volume and expecting a nice run higher through early-September.
MM 09/01 Cup 46.83 -0.08 47.25 54.45 249K 400K 45.88
Buy Not Issued. MM testing the Cup high as it posted some minor selling Tuesday on below-average volume. Expecting a quick test with volume dropping out. Will consider some buy points after the test, needing some high volume and a strong upside move past July resistance for the buy.
MON 08/07 Test 50 71.44 +1.70 67.60 75.95 3.5M 5M 69.32
Current. Continuing to run high from the test of the 50 day MVA in mid-August. On below-average volume, MON starting out September with a strong upside move and looks to continue higher from here.
MORN 08/27 Test BO 63.13 -1.39 64.68 74.50 79K 240K 61.96
Buy Not Issued. Returned to the early-August high for third time, stalling at the level, and has been dropped.
MTL 08/30 Rev HS 44.17 +0.64 42.55 50.95 589K 525K 39.97
Buy Not Issued. MTL showing some good upside moves from the Rev HS base of August, still holding above-average volume. Need some stability assurance from MTL here after the prior session's gap higher into July consolidation territory. Will enter if it holds above the consolidation levels and keeps the solid volume.
MTW 09/01 Rev HS 79.55 +0.06 80.05 92.00 625K 1.5M 77.04
Buy Not Issued. MTW moving nicely out of the Rev HS of August as it continued to post some gains into the new month Tuesday. Need to see some higher volume and the continuation of the current, upside move to give us the buy.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 52.74 +1.58 48.45 55.45 11M 14M 49.88
Current. Continues to run higher from the Dbl btm of August, holding above-average volume into September on the upside move. Set to continue the move through early Sept.
NVDA 07/25 Test 18 52.74 +1.58 47.47 56.75 11M 12M 49.88
Current.
OIH 08/27 Rev HS 183.24 +4.53 179.78 194.95 8.7M 11M 179.89
Current. OIH continues its upside move from the Rev HS of August, gaining volume into the start of September. With volume rising OIH looks to meet the July top(188.26) before the end of the week.
POT 09/01 Rev HS 90.00 +1.44 89.11 106.95 2.3M 4.9M 85.05
Buy Not Issued. Posted a doji in the Tuesday gap higher with rising, below-average volume. Gave a new closing high to start the month and in risky territory just above the August highs. Will enter once/if it shows some stability at the new high with solid volume.
RADS 08/23 Test BO 15.69 +0.64 15.81 18.95 495K 400K 14.95
Entered today. Jumped in on RADS as it picked up some high volume in the rebound off the 18 day MVA in testing the August high. Has given a nice, full test through late-August and looks to push much higher from here.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 85.34 -0.07 79.76 99.95 14M 30M 81.11
Current. RIMM on a second day of below-average volume, testing the high of the mid-August reversal beneath the 50 day MVA. Looks to sell a bit here in the test as volume picks up and RIMM gains some downside momentum.
RVBD 08/22 Test 50 45.98 +1.58 45.86 55.65 1.1M 1.4M 43.88
Entered today. Picked up on volume and continued the great reversal from the 39's in mid-August, posting a strong move Tuesday. Looks to continue the solid upside movement into early-September.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 100.14 +3.64 92.72 110.00 9.1M 12M 97.75
Current. Pushed higher from the prior session's gap up as SLB reached into the 100's Tuesday. So far showing some great gains from the mid-August test of the 50 day MVA and expecting to continue for a bit here on the rising volume.
SNDK 07/28 Test 18 58.10 +2.04 57.30 66.75 9.7M 12M 56.05
Current. SNDK nearing critical resistance levels on below-average volume. Stalling here could mean exiting if SNDK show signs of a caving in with the wild market.
TRAK 08/18 Asc Bse 39.10 +0.90 40.55 47.65 144K 462K 27.87
Buy Not Hit. TRAK still in the Asc Bse started in late-July as it gave a nice, high move to start September. Just needing some stronger volume and the pass of the July-August high's/resistance to give us the buy.
TRMB 09/01 Test 50 35.80 +0.49 36.22 41.95 672K 1.2M 34.44
Buy Not Issued. TRMB slowly making its way back above the 10 day MVA on below-average volume in its test of the 50 day MVA. Waiting to see some higher, consistent volume in a solid upside move to give the buy.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 65.33 +0.32 67.24 76.95 733K 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Hit.
UA 08/16 Test BO 65.33 +0.32 63.76 76.95 733K 1.8M 63.88
Current. Started out September by picking up some volume as it continue its Asc Bse from late-June. Holds above the 10 day MVA at the early-August consolidation levels and looks set to make the move higher form here, just needing some stronger volume.
UTHR 08/28 Asc Bse 69.88 +1.39 68.28 78.65 328K 1M 66.32
Buy Not Issued. Met the July-highs as consolidation on Tuesday with below-average volume. Critical move here for UTHR. Need to see it push past the prior high on some stronger volume for the buy.
VDSI 09/01 Asc Bse 33.90 +2.58 33.00 39.75 1.7M 1.4M 31.89
Entered today. Got in on VDSI as it began September with a gap higher near the 34's on high volume. Expecting some great moves through early-September.
VIP 08/29 DB hdl 25.26 +0.86 23.91 28.75 3.4M 4M 22.24
Buy Not Issued. Didn't give much of a test before starting back up
on Tuesday. Will have to let it make a test. Dropping
for now.
VSEA 08/30 Test BO 57.24 +1.61 55.96 66.75 1M 2.5M 53.69
Current. VSEA giving a new high Tuesday as it continued its way up into the 57's. Has pulled out some great moves since the reversal off the 50 day MVA in mid-August and expecting to see some more gains for a bit longer.
WYNN 08/16 Test BO 126.65 +2.92 120.89 139.95 1.6M 2.9M 121.88
Continued on its way higher Tuesday on growing, below-average volume as it posted a new closing high for WYNN. Looks to hold the upside move a bit longer into September with volume picking up.
XLE 08/28 Rev HS 71.10 +1.27 69.65 77.50 16M 2.4M 66.65
Buy Not Issued. Moved higher from the doji of the prior session in the Rev HS base from August. Will enter once we see volume pick up if XLE is still in its current upside move.
ZUMZ 08/25 Test BO 48.16 -0.37 45.92 53.95 618K 1M 46.11
Current. ZUMZ testing the Asc Bse high in late-August and looking to end soon with volume already dropping out. Expecting ZUMZ to post some nice gains through September as it carries the strong end to August into the new month.
ZUMZ 08/15 Test 50 48.16 -0.37 42.17 50.75 618K 1M 46.11
Current.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMD 08/20 Put 13.17 +0.17 11.85 10.78 29M 30M 11.89
Current. Gapped upside again, but showed a tight doji at the
50 day EMA (13.28) and we are seeing if that will push
AMD down for a session or two toward the 18 day EMA
(12.58).
BBY 08/21 Put 43.94 -0.01 43.64 41.55 5M 7M 44.52
Buy Not Issued. Posted a doji on the move lower Tuesday in what looks to be a slight rebound from here in the new month. Will wait to see if BBY makes some positive moves from here, otherwise needing some stronger selling volume to give us the entry point.
BWA 08/23 Dbl Top 84.35 -0.15 83.11 77.45 330K 450K 84.85
Buy Not Issued. BWA on below-average volume as it slowly descends at the 18 day MVA. Waiting for some solid downside movement to enter and some higher selling volume.
CAT 08/25 Put 76.85 +1.08 74.65 71.44 4.4M 7M 75.55
Exited. Continuing to show some consistent, upside movement from the test at the 200 day MVA in mid-August so we got out.
FRPT 08/14 Put 17.38 +0.15 15.74 13.55 833K 3.2M 15.64
Current. FRPT posting a second, consecutive doji in a minor intraday gain in what looks to be the return of some selling soon. Still moves on below-average volume.
GRA 08/04 Put 23.27 +0.93 18.94 17.00 871K 1.2M 20.55
Current. Rallied thorugh the 200 day EMA but then closed below
that level. Volume was up. This is where it has stalled
the past three times & looking for it to do the same here.
SPY 08/18 Put 149.08 +1.49 145.37 140.22 118M 235M 145.55
Current. Rallied to the 90 day MA where hit stalled in earl
August.. Faded from there to close. Will see if this
continues w/a test near 147.80.
End part 2 of 3
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