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Begin part 2 of 3
NOTE: PART 2 PRECEDS PART 1 THIS EVENING
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 137.20 +0.35 131.45 149.95 23M 45M 139.94
Current. Gapped higher but closed basically flat as AAPL continues
its recovery from the selling following its post-Labor
Day new products announcement. Needs to clear 140 w/some
authority to stay in the short term positions.
ANSS 08/18 Test BO 34.51 +0.51 33.25 39.44 627K 865K 33.65
Current. Volume picked up as ANSS tested the early September
peak and backed off into the close. Still a nice trend
higher so letting it continue on.
ANST 09/06 Cup hdl 32.04 +0.97 30.68 35.35 370K 450K 30.55
Finally getting some volume and that pushed ANST further
out of the handle of its base. The initial break was
on low trade but volume has started to pick up though
not in the market overall.
APH 09/11 Cup hdl 37.09 -0.25 37.89 43.95 609K 1.4M 36.65
Buy Not Issued. Low volume as APH continues the work on its handle,
closing just over the 10 day EMA Thursday. Looks as
if APH has a few more days of handle formation ahead
of it before it is ready.
ARTC 08/28 Test BO 56.32 -1.52 57.95 66.75 455K 750K 57.38
Exited. Fell thru the 10 day EMA on rising volume so we closed
it. It ended the session below the 18 day EMA.
ATW 09/10 Test BO 78.74 -0.33 78.44 91.95 384K 800K 76.54
Current. One of the energy stocks that held steady on the session,
but still in excellent shape to move higher and continue
the breakout run for us.
BCSI 09/08 Test 18 80.68 +0.49 80.21 95.75 613K 1.8M 78.11
Current. Was surging quite well up to 82.34 on the high but
slid back in the late selling. Held a gain but not
the great one it had.
BG 09/10 Cup hdl 97.21 -0.80 96.54 109.75 904K 1.4M 95.87
Current. Took a breather on low volume after the strong run
for the week. It deserved a rest and we are not too
worried about this action.
BHP 09/06 Asc Bse 66.17 +1.43 65.44 78.95 2.9M 5.9M 64.05
Current. Gapped higher to continue its move but no volume on
the day. Nothing wrong with the pattern, however.
BIDU 09/08 Test BO 232.47 +2.35 216.98 254.90 2.3M 5.5M 226.32
Current. Gapped higher on very low trade, holding a doji on
the candlestick chart. That can signal a pullback in
a stock, but with BIDU we have banked some gain & are
letting it run higher, so a bit of testing is normal.
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 232.47 +2.35 210.50 254.90 2.3M 4M 226.32
Current.
BIIB 08/02 Test BO 65.40 +0.69 58.08 66.75 5M 8.5M 65.55
Current. Gapped lower but a nice recovery as buyers moved in
and pushed it positive on solid, above average volume.
Still in the uptrend and looking at some new positions
after this test that showed the trend is intact.
BLUD 08/16 Cup hdl 35.10 +0.83 34.04 39.95 1.3M 1.4M 33.88
Current. Volume hit its best level of this 3-dayrun as BLUD
tests the April peak. It faded from the session high
& it may be ready to take a pause, but it should be
a pause that refreshes and sets up the next run.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 69.01 -0.28 61.10 69.95 3.6M 5.5M 66.55
Current. Took a low volume breather from a nice breakout from
a nice base this week. Will let it test and then move
back up for us.
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 36.10 +1.07 34.17 42.45 655K 1.2M 34.22
Current. Excellent surge to a new 52-week closing high on a
rise in volume. Looks like a very good move is underway.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 36.10 +1.07 35.26 41.95 655K 896K 34.22
Current.
CNQ 09/08 PreAnn 74.90 +2.17 71.11 81.95 2.5M 2.4M 72.48
Current. Another session of excellent volume as CNQ added to
its Tuesday and Wednesday breakout moves. The sweet
smell of Canadian oil and gas.
COP 08/30 Cup 85.11 +0.26 84.44 96.95 7.9M 15M 82.95
Current. Gapped higher but no volume and the gains were basically
given back. Not as good a session as other oils, but
as with Wednesday, the sector went up sporadically
and today it was not the large integrated oil day.
CPHD 08/16 Test BO 20.32 +0.28 18.72 22.48 698K 1.2M 19.45
Current. So steady, rallying further up the 10 day EMA as CPHD continues its run toward a new all-time high. It is at a new closing high but still has to clear some intraday highs from way back in 200 when it came public. Yes, those don't matter now.
CROX 08/30 Cup hdl 57.59 -0.78 60.11 72.00 3.7M 7.5M 56.22
Current.
CROX 08/15 Test 50 57.59 -0.78 53.97 65.95 3.7M 7.5M 54.92
Current. Gapped higher then gave it back on low volume. Closed
over the 18 day EMA again. No change but it is under
accumulation still by the big boys.
CTRP 07/11 Test BO 45.13 +1.02 42.88 49.98 666K 425K 43.64
Current. Another strong surge on the new breakout though volume was lower. If it cannot continue higher from here we take the short term options off the table, let it test this breakout, and then move in with some more positions after it tests.
CTRP 05/26 Test BO 45.13 +1.02 38.19 44.98 666K 425K 43.64
Current.
CVX 08/29 DB hdl 90.09 +0.90 88.19 99.95 9M 18M 88.11
Current. Gapped higher and put in another solid session though
it did close off of the session high. Not too worried
about that; just going to let the stock move higher
for us after the breakout.
DE 09/08 Test BO 137.95 +0.12 137.51 157.50 2.1M 4M 134.68
Current. After trying to sprint higher again Wednesday but coming
back, DE sat the session out, holding steady on very
low trade. Taking a breather but still set to make
another run it its breakout move.
DE 08/18 Dbl btm 137.95 +0.12 129.88 149.95 2.1M 4M 135.89
Current.
DLTR 08/29 Rev HS 41.96 +0.60 42.24 48.45 1M 2M 40.55
Perked up Thursday as it bounced modestly off the 90
day MA that has acted as support the past week. Looks
ready and we suspect DLTR is just about to make the
break higher.
DO 09/08 Cup hdl 109.06 +1.81 107.04 124.95 1.6M 4M 106.21
Current. Struggled a bit and then posted a nice bounce higher on the session though volume was lower and still below average. No real concerns here as it is a great pattern and DO is well positioned to bring in another good well of gains.
DO 08/29 DB hdl 109.06 +1.81 105.35 120.95 1.6M 3M 106.21
Current.
DVA 09/11 PreAnn 62.00 -0.15 61.65 69.95 787K 800K 59.88
Current. Big doji after two strong upside moves as DVA took
the day off and may take another session or so to test,
but a strong breakout.
ENR 09/05 Rev HS 108.91 +3.29 109.61 125.95 731K 870K 105.65
Entered today. Strong volume and a nice price surge broke ENR out
of its nice handle/right shoulder. Solid action.
ESRX 09/01 DB hdl 54.25 +0.13 55.82 64.45 1.1M 3.9M 53.88
Current. Very nice tight doji on low volume at the 10 day EMA
as ESRX sets up the next break higher.
EXM 08/21 Dbl btm 45.10 -1.75 40.54 47.95 804K 775K 45.88
Sold off on higher volume and undercut the 10 day EMA
intraday but closed at that level, piercing the trailing
stop point on the low.
FCX 09/06 Rev HS 96.10 +4.60 92.85 107.00 12M 12M 93.05
Current. Volume jumped above average as FCX took off on its
breakout from its reverse H&S base. Very nice, untarnished
move.
FLIR 09/04 Asc Bse 49.55 -0.54 50.35 59.95 402K 1.2M 47.98
Current. Low volume persisted as FLIR faded back to the 10 day
EMA. Need to see it make a higher low here and blast
back upside.
FTI 08/07 PreSplt 53.65 +1.33 47.18 54.22 1.5M 800K 50.88
Current. Gapped higher in the renewed breakout on rising volume as FTI rides the oil wave higher. Just going to let it go with this strength it is showing.
FTK 09/10 Test BO 39.33 +0.99 38.32 45.45 377K 550K 37.32
Current. Gapped higher and continued this week's move off the
18 day EMA. Lower trade but FTK looks ready to continue
trending higher as its products remain in strong demand.
FTO 09/12 Cup hdl 44.32 +1.73 43.84 49.95 2.9M 3M 41.95
Entered today. More solid volume as FTO broke out from its solid base.
Excellent action.
GLDN 09/05 DB hdl 69.75 -0.46 70.25 80.95 295K 589K 66.89
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher on rising trade but closed the session
lower. Still in solid position to move higher and just
looking for the breakout move on volume.
GPRO 08/28 PreAnn 63.98 -0.77 64.35 73.95 204K 750K 63.38
Current. Faded to the 10 day EMA on very low trade, but that
does not absolve it from the day. If it cannot bounce
we close it.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 106.77 -0.32 104.40 120.95 2M 4M 104.88
Current. Gapped higher and looked solid but could not hold the
move to the close. Still trending higher and showing
good upside volume so letting it continue to work for us.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 106.77 -0.32 90.35 111.95 2M 4.2M 104.88
Current.
HMSY 08/15 Test BO 26.61 +1.04 25.18 30.45 555K 444K 24.97
Current. Continues its volatile ways, but those are pointing
higher as HMSY jumped higher on stronger volume, the
best of the week. Very nice.
IBM 08/25 Test 50 115.95 -0.05 114.77 130.00 4.8M 10M 115.38
Current. Low volume continues as IBM works on that new handle,
holding the 10 day EMA as its range tightens. Setting
up for a nice break higher.
ISRG 08/13 Test BO 221.14 -1.12 202.89 243.00 520K 1.2M 225.65
Current. Continues hugging the 10 day EMA (220.34) as it
works laterally and sets up for the next run higher.
Like the action and looking at new positions on the
next move.
JKHY 09/12 Rev HS 27.14 +0.22 27.08 31.95 1.1M 650K 25.69
Buy Not Issued. Volume was solid and we really considered entering JKHY, but it was very volatile on the session, and after the strong Wednesday surge we decided to wait and see if it can continue from here. If it does it is a buy.
MM 09/01 Cup 46.01 +0.24 47.25 54.45 159K 400K 45.88
Buy Not Issued. Still looks great in its handle, working laterally
on low volume at the 90 day MA. Has not participated
in the metals move but looks great and we are ready
to move in as it does make the break higher.
MON 09/08 Test BO 72.37 +0.59 71.15 81.95 2.7M 4.5M 70.42
Current.
MON 08/07 Test 50 72.37 +0.59 67.60 75.95 2.7M 5M 70.42
Current. Gapped higher and traded up and down from there on
lower volume. That can suggest a pullback, but just
going to let it make the move higher as it trends upside
after the breakout.
MTL 08/30 Rev HS 47.36 +2.02 44.31 52.78 1M 525K 42.31
Buy Not Issued. Ran away from us after that Tuesday gap higher. Should
have moved in on Wednesday but cannot hit them all.
NOV 09/10 PreSplt 133.49 -2.64 133.94 148.95 3.1M 3.5M 129.88
Current. Faded to tap at the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounding
modestly. Testing the strong Tuesday move and fully
expect it to hold above the 10 day EMA (130.88) on
this test.
NVDA 08/21 Dbl btm 33.23 +0.01 32.30 36.96 11M 14M 33.08
Current. Gapped higher after the test of the 18 day EMA (32.97)
Wednesday but then fell right back to that level. Showing
some wear and tear after a strong run. Of course this
is where it needs to hold to stay in the trend.
NVDA 07/25 Test 18 33.23 +0.01 31.65 37.85 11M 12M 33.08
Current.
OIH 08/27 Rev HS 184.85 +1.00 179.78 194.95 5.2M 11M 181.39
Current. Moved higher to a new high on this move and then faded.
Still solid and still looking for a move up to 190
and the prior high.
PDE 09/08 Cup hdl 36.30 0.00 37.31 42.95 1.6M 3.4M 35.89
Buy Not Hit. Still working on the handle at the 10 day EMA on low
volume. Excellent pattern but still has to show us
it takes pride in its work and delivers a breakout
move. Yep, pretty corny.
POT 09/01 Rev HS 88.56 -1.30 90.55 107.75 2M 4.9M 87.21
Buy Not Issued. Faded back to the 10 day EMA on the close as POT continues
its low volume lateral move at 90. Needs to fish or
cut bait or make fertilizer or something.
RIG 09/11 PreAnn 107.58 +0.89 108.88 124.95 4.1M 10M 105.42
Buy Not Hit. Sweet pattern as RIG works laterally in a very tight
range. Really looking forward to this one showing
us the breakout we can buy into.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 85.74 +0.29 79.76 99.95 17M 30M 83.11
Target Hit. Jumped higher and we took some solid 58% gain ($460/contract)
while letting the rest of the position work higher for us.
RIO 09/11 PreAnn 27.50 +0.98 27.55 32.75 20M 1.5M 25.95
Entered today. Excellent post split action as RIO gapped higher and
continued the run higher with a solid gap. Very nice.
SII 08/18 PreAnn 68.57 -0.28 60.12 69.45 2.5M 4.5M 68.25
Nice low volume tap at the 10 day EMA on the low and
a rebound to flat. Strong Tuesday move and then taking
some time off as the other energy sectors take their turn.
SLB 09/08 Test BO 100.55 +0.73 99.11 113.95 6.5M 12M 97.75
Current.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 100.55 +0.73 92.72 110.00 6.5M 12M 97.75
Current. Pushed modestly higher but no real volume on the session.
SLB is taking a modest breather but is still ready
to run higher.
SU 09/11 Cup hdl 96.72 +3.98 94.45 107.95 3.6M 3.6M 94.65
Entered today. Explosive breakout. That is about all you can say
on this one.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 62.77 -1.06 67.24 76.95 761K 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Hit.
UA 08/16 Test BO 62.77 -1.06 63.76 76.95 761K 1.8M 63.88
Current. Still struggling to hold on in the lateral move of
the past two weeks. Low volume so no dumping. Has to
make a move for us or we close it.
VIP 09/05 Test BO 27.57 +1.18 25.50 30.45 3.6M 4M 25.95
Current. A very important move underway as VIP continues its
surge that resumed Wednesday on strong volume.
WYNN 08/16 Test BO 139.99 +2.43 120.89 139.95 2.2M 2.9M 137.21
After a monster move the past three sessions WYNN has
hit the target. It is worth taking some off the table
after 15 points in that move.
XLE 08/28 Rev HS 72.30 +0.45 69.65 77.50 15M 2.4M 66.65
Buy Not Issued. Just not giving a strong break higher, and with ETF
options you need some strength. Going to focus more
on the individual stocks as we have been doing; more
return.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMD 08/20 Put 12.73 -0.10 11.85 10.78 15M 30M 11.89
Current. Tried higher but faded modestly to the close where
it held the 18 day EMA. This is where it makes a break
lower or holds. If it holds we close it.
FRPT 08/14 Put 16.55 +0.17 15.74 13.55 323K 3.2M 15.64
Current. Extremely low volume persists as FRPT tests the 10
day EMA (16.63) from the downside. This is where it
needs to fail, and the low volume on the bounce indicates
it will do that. If it does not we have to close it out.
End part 2 of 3
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