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us stock market, trend trading stock
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 140.31 -0.46 131.45 149.95 24M 45M 139.94
Current. AAPL move slightly lower, showing a doji above the 10 day EMA. It continues its slow recovery off of the early September gapped lower, but is finding it harder to make headway here at 140. Not in danger, so giving it some time to make the next move.
AGU 07/13 Test BO 49.87 -0.03 45.33 53.95 1.6M 1.6M 48.68
Current. Still struggling to get through 51 after gapping higher.
But then fading back to flat on the close. Waiting
for the 10 day EMA (48.86) to catch up with it, and
that will likely started on its next move higher.
AMX 09/13 Rev HS 63.11 -0.14 63.30 72.35 3.5M 9M 62.44
Current. Very low volume and a modest loss as AMX forms and
handle to its 11 week cup base. Good action that will
give us another by a point after a couple more days
of lateral movement.
AMZN 08/11 Test 50 89.65 +0.65 76.58 88.50 5.7M 15M 87.39
Current. Things have slowed a bit, but Amazon is still making
its solid, steady move up to 10 day EMA (87.02). Low
volume, a letting it work higher for us as long as it will.
ATW 09/10 Test BO 79.58 +0.12 78.44 91.95 368K 800K 76.98
Current. Tried to move through 80 once more, but lack of volume
prevented the break over this resistance that has held
ATW in check the past three weeks. Still looking for
a big break through this level by this strong leader.
BCSI 09/08 Test 18 81.91 -1.50 80.21 95.75 785K 1.8M 83.88
Current. Faded back to close at 10-day EMA on lower, low average
volume. Pretty decent test of the strong two-week
of run into the FOMC decision. Looking for a bounce
here to continue the break higher.
BG 09/10 Cup hdl 99.18 -0.90 96.54 109.75 772K 1.4M 97.44
Current. Taking a breather after the strong September run, BG faded, modestly Thursday on very low trade. It has a habit of bouncing up off the 10-day EMA (97.10). But we think there is more upside on this move before it makes that test again.
BHP 09/06 Asc Bse 71.34 +0.94 65.44 78.95 3.1M 5.9M 68.11
Target Hit. BHP continued its strong move higher with another gap
and run up to 72.24 on the high. Took some solid interim
gain off the table, 10% stock & 57% option ($380/contract).
May come back after this move, but still in great shape.
BIDU 09/08 Test BO 276.08 +0.13 216.98 254.90 5.7M 5.5M 268.78
Current. Held as steady as a rock, showing a doji after that
tremendous run higher over the past two weeks. The
action still suggests that it may pull back. More
significantly, at this juncture, no one is selling it.
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 276.08 +0.13 210.50 254.90 5.7M 4M 268.78
Current.
BRCM 09/18 DB hdl 36.40 +0.31 36.95 43.95 6M 11M 34.78
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower, but then reversed to close modestly higher
on the session. Volume was very low, so we held off
entering, but BRCM is still good for the break higher.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 69.31 +0.01 61.10 69.95 3M 5.5M 67.48
Current. Held steady on the session after the nice bounce off
the 10 day EMA test to start the week. Still very
solid, and just letting a work hire for us.
CI 09/17 Rev HS 51.87 -1.54 54.78 62.95 2.5M 3M 52.45
Buy Not Hit. Not the action we were looking for from CIGNA, as it
fell on a rising volume. Dropping it for now.
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 38.72 -2.26 34.17 42.45 2.1M 1.2M 38.82
Current. After we took some game off the table following the solid surge higher, CMED plunked down to tap at the 10-day EMA on the session low. Despite the rising volume, we are looking at this to provide us a solid new entry point for this top-flight stock.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 38.72 -2.26 35.26 41.95 2.1M 896K 38.82
Current.
CNH 09/15 Cup hdl 56.21 -0.64 56.67 66.95 139K 605K 53.22
Current. Gapped modestly higher, but closed lower on the session
on extremely low volume. After a solid two-day move,
CNH took the day off, & may test some more near 55
to set up the next move higher.
COH 09/19 Trnd Rv 48.73 -1.34 49.35 59.55 3.9M 4.8M 47.28
Buy Not Hit. After the strong wins the gap higher, CEO H. faded
to test, moving lower on very low trade. It may come
back to test 48, but we are still looking for a bounce
higher. Adjusted the buy .accordingly.
COP 09/06 Cup 88.41 +0.12 84.44 96.95 7.2M 15M 86.42
Current. Lower volume as COP posted a modest gain closing basically
flat on the session. Strong breakout, and now this
taking a breather, and and we are going to let it continue
to work higher for us.
CPHD 06/26 DB hdl 20.60 -1.05 14.48 17.65 819K 785K 20.22
Current. After the strong to-day a run, CPHD fell right back
to the 10-day EMA. This has acted as support on this
trend higher, & we look for it to hold here as well.
CVX 08/29 DB hdl 94.17 +0.06 88.19 99.95 7.9M 18M 91.97
Current. After the excellent run higher to 95 and the July high,
CVX took the day off on lower volume. May test a bit
here, but no issues with this move.
DE 09/08 Test BO 144.48 -0.62 137.51 157.50 1.8M 4M 142.68
Current. Held up and pretty well Thursday after that gap higher in reversal, the prior session. A bit of weakness after that huge move, but we still like the strong leader and we are looking for a move higher after this brief test.
DO 09/08 Cup hdl 112.74 +0.40 107.04 124.95 1.5M 4M 109.98
Current.
DO 08/29 DB hdl 112.74 +0.40 105.35 120.95 1.5M 3M 109.98
Current. Volatile session, but scratched out a modest gain after
the two nice moves on the prior sessions. It is at
the July high, and may stall some here, but with this
base we expect a breakout above that level (114.72).
DRYS 09/13 Test 18 75.97 +0.84 73.55 87.88 1.2M 2.2M 70.32
Current. Moved modestly higher on the session, continuing the Tuesday and Wednesday break higher, but no volume to really carry it. Took the day off after a nice bounce, and still anticipating a moving higher and breaking through the recent high (70.74).
DRYS 08/25 Dbl btm 75.97 +0.84 66.04 79.35 1.2M 1.9M 73.11
Current.
DWSN 09/01 Asc Bse 82.57 -1.94 71.78 84.45 182K 410K 82.21
Current. At a low volume breather after a very nice run higher
that started with the breakout at the first of the
month. Deserves a day off and we're not overly concerned
about this.
ENR 09/05 Rev HS 111.40 -2.25 109.61 125.95 249K 870K 111.55
Current. Gave back all the Wednesday move though volume was
much lower as it did so. Still easily above the 10
day EMA and looking for ENR to hold over that near
support and continue to break higher.
EXM 09/15 Test BO 46.24 -0.85 46.35 55.95 479K 750K 43.32
Current. Gapped lower, but held the 10 day EMA on very low volume.
He XM remains in excellent shape to continue the breakout
move once this lateral consolidation concludes.
FCX 09/06 Rev HS 107.57 +2.07 92.85 107.00 10M 12M 105.38
Current. Another incredible run in progress, FCX gapped higher
and added another two sticks to the recent strong surge.
All we are doing at this point is letting it run.
FNDT 08/13 DB hdl 17.36 +0.11 15.97 19.25 30K 100K 17.09
Current. Jest of very nice run in progress. Volume was lower
Thursday, but FNDT continued its run higher. Hard
to complain, but would like another big day or two
to push it near the target so we can take some gain.
FTK 09/10 Test BO 44.21 -0.29 38.32 45.45 354K 550K 42.24
Current. Gapped higher but could not move past the Wednesday
high (45.25) and faded from modest loss. Volume was
lower in this looks just like an ordinary test or pause
and a great breakout run.
FWLT 09/11 Rev HS 130.17 -1.55 121.21 144.50 1.3M 3.5M 129.57
Current. After that strong surge that we took some gain off
of, FWLT is pulling back some on low trade. Huge move,
and this is an ordinary test. Indeed, we will look
for a new by opportunity once the test is completed.
GLDN 09/05 DB hdl 73.00 -1.74 73.36 83.95 192K 589K 71.89
Current. Faded back off of that tombstone doji on Wednesday,
but volume was low and GLDN is still in very good shape
to make this test and continue to breakout run higher
GOOG 09/15 Cup 552.83 +5.98 534.86 562.95 5.5M 45M 546.42
Current. This is exactly what we were looking for from Google, i.e. a strong burst higher on solid, above-average volume. It closed off the high, and it may rest some as it has reached near the July peak. We are looking for a handle and then another breakout.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 106.90 -0.82 104.40 120.95 2.3M 4M 104.88
Current. A sluggish but constructive session as GRMN show the
nice doji with a tail above the 10 day EMA. A bit
disappointing, it could not hold the Wednesday at higher,
but is still in a solid uptrend.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 106.90 -0.82 90.35 111.95 2.3M 4.2M 104.88
Current.
GTI 09/04 Rev HS 17.90 -0.27 18.38 21.95 898K 2M 17.77
Current. Modest loss on low volume as GTI tests the strong break
higher from earlier this week. This is where it needs
to roughly hold, however, as this is the neckline of
the pattern.
IMA 09/17 Cup 50.30 +0.03 49.38 56.95 292K 750K 47.55
Buy Not Issued. A tough call on Thursday, as I am a open lower, then
bounced to close flat. Volume was light, but it was
stronger the prior sessions. They can move up from
here it is still a buy.
KCI 09/19 Test 50 57.37 -1.02 60.05 68.95 890K 1.4M 57.65
Buy Not Hit.
MM 09/01 Cup 48.81 -0.48 47.25 54.45 272K 400K 45.88
Buy Not Issued. After that close well off of intraday high Wednesday,
M. M. is coming back on lower volume. Reluctant for
it to make a bit further test and then rebound, giving
us a great bar point.
MON 09/08 Test BO 79.04 -1.34 71.15 81.95 4.7M 4.5M 77.78
Current.
MON 08/07 Test 50 79.04 -1.34 67.60 75.95 4.7M 5M 77.78
Current. After a tremendous run in a nice gain, MON had to take
a breather, fading back for models laws on lower volume.
After shots run a test is normal, and we will let
MON make the test and then look for new buyers.
MOS 08/27 DB hdl 47.42 +0.48 42.10 50.45 1.8M 4M 45.41
Current. The move is definitely slowing, as the price gains
shrink on lower, below-average volume, but it's hard
to complain about the uptrend. May test back a bit
here, but it is in great position to move higher.
NILE 09/12 Test 50 98.96 +3.31 85.85 99.95 762K 716K 95.45
Current. Diamonds are a girl's best friend, and the way NILE
he is moving, anyone in this play will be buying diamonds
soon. Broke to a new all-time high on continued strong
volume. Letting it run.
NOV 09/10 PreSplt 140.17 +3.95 133.94 148.95 2.5M 3.5M 135.35
Current. National Oilwell do five the market, opening lower,
but then surging higher once more to a new all-time
high. What can you say about this stock? Nothing.
Just let it run.
NVDA 09/18 Test 18 34.16 -0.20 35.54 43.75 7.9M 16M 33.48
Current. After that gap higher on Wednesday, and then the reversal, NVDA faded bit further, tapping the 10 day EMA on the intraday low. Volume was very low though, and we are looking for a stronger rate higher from here, putting in a higher low.
OIH 08/27 Rev HS 193.18 +1.75 179.78 194.95 6.2M 11M 189.89
Current. Breaking higher yet again after the Wednesday outside
gap. Showing plenty of momentum so going to let the
positions continued to run for us.
OMCL 09/05 Asc Bse 27.09 -0.30 25.95 31.25 366K 600K 26.48
Current. Looked as if it finally made the breakaway move on Wednesday with the gap higher, but today, it turned right back down and filled the gap. Low-volume, and the gap fill is not bad, so, looking for OMCL to continue its breakout run and the trend higher.
PCP 09/19 Asc Bse 144.03 +7.03 143.57 162.95 2M 2M 140.89
Entered today. Powerful move higher as PCP cleared the bar closing
highs on rising, above average volume. Very nice,
very strong.
PDE 09/19 Cup hdl 35.91 -0.30 36.78 42.88 1.5M 3.5M 35.38
Buy Not Hit. Cannot seem to make up its mind, gapping higher, but
then reversing the closed lower. Tapped a 50 day EMA
on the session low (35.59), so we will see if that
axis support and delivers the breakout move.
POT 09/01 Rev HS 98.00 +4.42 92.77 109.75 3.8M 4.9M 95.88
Current. Now that is the POT we have come to know & love over the past 2 years. While the market was lower, POT surged higher on strong rising volume. Some people pan the fertilizer makers, but this move shows that view is just a bunch of fertilizer itself.
QDEL 09/05 Cup hdl 18.80 -0.17 18.32 21.91 422K 685K 17.57
After the strong breakout, EQ DEL softened a bit, something
you would expect after the break higher. Would afford
to come back and test a bit more towards 18ish and
give us a good entry point on the initial test.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 90.23 -1.57 79.76 99.95 12M 30M 87.88
Current. It has been a hell of a run, and RIMM needed a breather, so it took it. Expecting a bit more softness here to test the last leg higher in this run, but letting it work for us.
SID 09/11 Rev HS 62.43 -1.77 60.32 70.95 1.2M 1.5M 60.21
Faded back home low-volume after the excellent bounce
off the 10 day EMA starting Tuesday. Excess back to
the 10 day EMA (60.54) provides a solid additional
entry point.
SLB 09/08 Test BO 107.27 +0.30 99.11 113.95 7M 12M 105.11
Current. Pushed modestly higher but no real volume on the session. SLB is taking a modest breather but is still ready to run higher.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 107.27 +0.30 92.72 110.00 7M 12M 105.11
Current.
SNDA 09/12 DB hdl 32.95 -0.38 32.10 38.45 3.6M 1M 34.78
Current.
SNP 09/17 Cup hdl 109.66 -0.92 110.25 129.95 575K 900K 106.75
Buy Not Issued. Gapped sharply higher, but then rolled over for a loss
on rising volume. May come back a bit further, though
a strong break back above 110 we will look to enter
the play.
SOHU 09/12 Asc Bse 38.76 -0.46 36.92 42.98 550K 1M 37.11
Current. Took today off, posting a modest loss a low-volume
after the tremendous surged past two weeks. Even the
Chinese stocks take a day off now and then.
SU 09/11 Cup hdl 94.20 -0.99 94.45 107.95 5.4M 3.6M 97.32
Current. Continued to sell back, tapping the 18 day EMA on the
low end rebounding to recoup some losses. Looking
to use this test as an opportunity to enter some new
positions as it rebounds back over 95.
TNE 09/15 Rev HS 20.75 -0.92 22.45 26.95 1.7M 2.8M 20.97
Buy Not Hit. Thumped back down, closing at the 50 day EMA on rising, average volume. Not exactly the move we were looking for in the pattern, but it did not break the pattern up with this selling. We'll give it a chance to show it still wants to make to break out.
TRAK 09/19 Asc Bse 39.50 -0.30 40.22 46.45 399K 325K 38.38
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher, but cannot hold the move and sold off
from lost loss. Still right at the breakout point,
and in very good shape to do so.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 62.81 -2.42 67.24 76.95 1.5M 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Issued.
UA 08/16 Test BO 62.81 -2.42 63.76 76.95 1.5M 1.8M 63.88
Current. Tough day for UA, falling through the 18 day EMA on
rising, average volume. Still in its trading range,
but it needs to check up in this range and make another
low and start the rebound back up.
VDSI 09/01 Asc Bse 34.26 -3.02 33.00 39.75 2.5M 1.4M 35.88
Current. After that great break higher, VDSI broke back down. It managed to hold above the 10 day EMA, tapping that level on the session low and rebounding modestly. Still in a great uptrend, so leading it test near support, & then looking for a rebound.
VIP 09/05 Test BO 27.28 +0.11 25.50 30.45 3.3M 4M 25.95
Current. Checked up at 10 day EMA after gapping higher and rolling
over on Wednesday. This keeps it in its lateral move
of the past week, still ready to break hiring continue
to breakout run.
WHQ 09/10 Cup hdl 74.67 +0.09 69.61 79.45 193K 450K 72.44
Current. Gapped lower, but rebounded to close flat on very low
volume. After the strong move higher the past two
weeks a bit of a rest is no issue.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
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