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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 09/22 PreAnn 152.77 -0.41 148.22 169.75 35M 4.8M 148.65
Current. Gapped higher as did most of the big techs that have
performed well of late, but then could not hold the
gains. Managed to rebound off its lows to close basically
flat on lower volume. Ready to take a rest here.
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 152.77 -0.41 131.45 149.95 35M 45M 148.65
Current.
ACH 09/20 PreAnn 69.54 +1.29 63.11 75.32 1.7M 2.8M 60.32
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher once more, sold intraday then rebounded
to close flat. Very low volume, as has been the case
the past two weeks, and that is kept us from entering.
AMX 09/13 Rev HS 64.10 +0.74 63.30 72.35 3.8M 9M 62.44
Current. Continues its lateral, tight flat move after the strong break higher two weeks back. A very the nice low-volume consolidation that is setting up the next break higher. The 10 day EMA has almost caught it & that should send it higher.
ANST 09/06 Cup hdl 32.91 +0.05 30.68 35.35 211K 450K 31.89
Continues its lateral move above the 10-day EMA on
low volume, looking for some buying to send it higher
out of its nicely formed base. Not a bad test, but
it sure needs some volume.
APH 09/25 Test BO 40.11 +0.89 39.98 45.95 819K 1.2M 38.45
Entered today. Continued the nice break higher off the 10 day EMA. Volume was still below average but it was moving higher. It has shown some good volume on the upside sessions the past two weeks so this was good enough to enter.
ATW 09/10 Test BO 78.28 +0.05 78.44 91.95 580K 800K 78.35
Exited. We got too worked up over the early selling below the 18 day EMA and moved out of the position. Of course it rebounded in the afternoon as energy recovered along with oil prices. We'll look for another opportunity to enter.
BCSI 09/08 Test 18 82.05 -1.92 80.21 95.75 499K 1.8M 83.88
Current. Still hanging on, but closing at just below the 10
day EMA Tuesday. Fortunately, volume was extremely
low, indicating no selling. A tight lateral consolidation
over near support, but it needs to show us the move soon.
BG 09/10 Cup hdl 103.07 -0.01 96.54 109.75 961K 1.4M 99.77
Current. As with many of the recent leaders, BG gapped higher,
ran even higher, but then rolled over to give back
the gains. A flat close, low volume, & still in the
uptrend, so letting it run higher for us.
BHP 09/06 Asc Bse 75.71 -1.29 65.44 78.95 4.7M 5.9M 73.78
Current. As with most metals, BHP was basically flat on the
session. It is holding the big gap gains from earlier
in the week on word of the large gold discovery.
BIDU 09/08 Test BO 287.93 -12.00 216.98 254.90 6.3M 5.5M 291.22
Trailing Stop. Started selling back. So we took the 206% option gain
($5,390/contract).
BIDU 08/25 DB hdl 287.93 -12.00 210.50 254.90 6.3M 4M 291.22
Trailing Stop. As we expected, BIDU started to fade testing the tremendous
run of the past two weeks. Given we were trading with
options we took the massive 216% option gain ($6,100/contract).
We will let it test & see if it sets up in new buy.
BIIB 08/02 Test BO 68.15 +0.15 58.08 66.75 2.6M 8.5M 65.97
Current. Tapped 10-day EMA on the low and rebounded to close
flat. Low-volume and steady as a rock as it continues
its trend up the 10-day EMA.
BRCM 09/18 DB hdl 36.58 -0.34 36.95 43.95 7.4M 11M 34.78
Buy Not Issued. Just cannot get on track even though it is trending higher up the 10 day EMA. Surged above the prior highs to open the session then rolled over to close negative. Trending higher but no definitive break on high-volume to get us into it.
CELG 07/28 Rev HS 71.51 +1.75 61.10 69.95 3.8M 5.5M 69.88
Current. Good recovery from the Tuesday slump to the 10 day
EMA. Rebounded to recapture all of that loss and continue
the trend higher.
CMED 08/25 Dbl btm 41.59 +1.50 34.17 42.45 1M 1.2M 39.05
Current. Very nice action, gapping higher and running up to
the prior September high before backing off to close.
Held on to most of its gains, and on a nice surge
in above average volume.
CMED 07/21 Test BO 41.59 +1.50 35.26 41.95 1M 896K 39.05
Current. Very nice action, gapping higher and running up to
the prior September high before backing off to close.
Held on to most of its gains, and on a nice surge
in above average volume.
CMI 09/22 PreAnn 131.13 -2.72 131.55 151.95 1.7M 2.4M 126.25
Current. Fell back, giving up some of the solid Tuesday gain.
Volume was lower, and it bounced up off of an intraday
test of the 10-day EMA. Still in good shape, and going
to let it make the next rung higher for us.
CMTL 09/15 PreAnn 54.16 +1.01 48.05 55.45 349K 690K 52.25
Current. Gapped higher and added a point to its gains over the
past two weeks, & thus we did not sell any of the positions
today. Still looks as if it may come back for a test,
& if it starts we will take some of the option gain.
CNH 09/15 Cup hdl 61.00 +3.93 56.67 66.95 825K 605K 57.39
Current. An explosive move higher on strong volume is CNH leaves
no doubt it is ready to move higher. The move breaks
into a new six-year high, and it is looking very strong.
CNQ 09/20 Test BO 73.90 -1.05 76.67 86.95 1.7M 2.5M 74.15
Current. A tough session for energy and the Canadian tar sands
stocks in particular. Volume was higher, but remained
below average as CNQ rebounded intraday to cut its
losses. That makes this still a good test for move higher.
CNQ 09/08 PreAnn 73.90 -1.05 71.11 81.95 1.7M 2.4M 75.94
Current.
COP 08/30 Cup 87.30 +0.01 84.44 96.95 10M 15M 86.78
Current. The Chevron stock buyback pumped life into the large integrated oil stocks to start the session, but after oil inventories they could not hold the move. COP did a good job revering from an 18 day EMA test to close above the 10 day EMA.
CPHD 08/16 Test BO 21.96 +0.72 18.72 22.48 1.1M 1.2M 20.22
Current. Volume moved back above average Wednesday as this steady
climber continues its run of new highs as it moves
up to 10 day EMA.
CROX 09/24 Asc Bse 64.27 -0.11 62.51 74.95 5.9M 6.6M 59.98
Current. Similar to many of the good movers of late, CROX gapped
higher, but then slipped to close flat on lower trade.
This is just a rest session after two strong moves.
DE 09/08 Test BO 146.15 +4.48 137.51 157.50 2.6M 4M 144.89
Current. Much more like it, as DE gapped higher and closed near
its session high. Volume was not great, but it was
a good return to the trend higher and a good answer
to the Tuesday selling.
DE 08/18 Dbl btm 146.15 +4.48 129.88 149.95 2.6M 4M 144.89
Current.
DO 09/08 Cup hdl 112.31 +0.45 107.04 124.95 1.5M 4M 112.65
Current. Excellence shakeout action as DOtapped the 18 day EMA
on the session low, then rebounded for a modest gain,
closing above the 10 day EMA. This fully test the
last leg higher, & DO is now ready to run higher once more.
DO 08/29 DB hdl 112.31 +0.45 105.35 120.95 1.5M 3M 112.65
Current.
DRYS 09/13 Test 18 85.01 -2.58 73.55 87.88 2.5M 2.2M 84.89
Current. After that strong surge higher this shipper gapped higher than rolled over to close negative on rising above average volume. A close right at our stop point and we are ready to take some option gain if it continues its weakness.
DVA 09/11 PreAnn 61.62 +0.10 61.65 69.95 565K 800K 59.88
Current. Nice intraday surged up to 62.44, but he could not
hold it, fading bad for a modest gain. Still in good
shape to move higher once the market decides it's ready
to do the same.
ENR 09/05 Rev HS 111.57 +1.15 109.61 125.95 434K 870K 111.55
Current. A bit higher volume with a bounce off of the 10 day
EMA test. Very nice action & set up well to make the
next strong way higher.
EXM 09/15 Test BO 53.57 -4.64 46.35 55.95 1.9M 750K 55.97
Trailing Stop. Gapped higher than rolled over on strong volume, and
we took the rest of the solid gain off of the table
(20.76% stock & 75% option).
FCX 09/06 Rev HS 103.91 -1.30 92.85 107.00 10M 12M 106.55
Current. Tested down to the 10 day EMA on the low and then rebounded
modestly to cut some of its losses. Volume remained
below average. Still in good shape to continue the
run higher after this test.
FLIR 09/24 Test BO 55.66 +1.90 55.84 63.45 769K 1.3M 53.12
Entered today. Nice volume uptick as FLIR broke higher and surged
to 57.45 on the high before backing off to close. Even
with the fade back it was a nice move and looks solid
to continue higher.
FTK 09/10 Test BO 44.30 +0.41 38.32 45.45 276K 550K 44.11
Current. Holding above the 10 day EMA for the 2nd session, showing
a doji on the candlestick chart. Just taking a pause
and preparing for the next move higher.
GEO 09/18 Asc Bse 30.01 -0.31 31.95 37.75 593K 1M 30.33
Current. Tested the 50 day SMA on the low and rebounded but
still sported a loss. Has to make its move higher from
here.
GILD 09/20 Rev HS 40.80 +0.08 40.02 46.55 6.4M 9.5M 39.89
Current. Gapped higher then closed flat on the session on lower
trade. Strong move the past two weeks & may take a
pause here, but just letting it work higher for us.
GLDN 09/05 DB hdl 80.22 +1.07 73.36 83.95 256K 589K 77.97
Current. Gapped higher once more but could not do anything with
it. Solid move higher so just letting it run higher
for us in its excellent uptrend over the 10 day EMA.
GRMN 08/25 Rev HS 117.25 -1.84 104.40 120.95 3.3M 4M 116.94
Current.
GRMN 08/15 Test 18 117.25 -1.84 90.35 111.95 3.3M 4.2M 116.94
Current. Gapped higher then sold back. After 2 strong moves
it faded back & we like that volume was lower and below
average as it did compared to the strong volume on
the prior 2 strong sessions.
HOLX 09/25 Dbl btm 58.02 +0.16 58.58 66.95 2.9M 1.6M 55.95
Entered today. A good surge but it could not hold it as the market
turned lower after that strong open. Strong volume.
Not worried about it as it was a strong break higher
& in good postion to run higher.
IBM 09/25 Cup hdl 117.30 +0.79 118.24 133.45 6.7M 13M 115.65
Buy Not Hit. Tried to move higher but again no volume and it faded
back for a more modest gain. Still in a solid pattern
and looking for a breakout.
MBT 09/22 Test BO 71.90 +2.66 70.22 83.95 1M 2M 66.69
Buy Not Issued. Another stock that is giving us that low volume drift
higher. Thought hard about it but since that once strong
session over a week back the volume has fallen off
dramatically. Going to watch it & see what it shows us.
MON 09/08 Test BO 83.75 +2.91 71.15 81.95 5.4M 4.5M 81.31
Current. Gapped higher yet again on more strong volume as MON is talked up at an analyst conference. Just letting it move higher for us.
MON 08/07 Test 50 83.75 +2.91 67.60 75.95 5.4M 5M 81.31
Current.
NE 09/20 Dbl btm 48.69 -0.46 50.76 60.85 3.8M 9M 49.32
Current. Do or die time for NE as it spends a 2nd session at
the 50 and 90 day EMA.
NOV 09/10 PreSplt 146.71 +4.51 133.94 148.95 3.1M 3.5M 141.22
Current. Shed the weaker energy sector like water off a duck's
back, moving higher on stronger volume after a 10 day
EMA test. Nice. What strength.
NVDA 09/18 Test 18 36.67 +0.85 35.54 43.75 13M 16M 34.68
Current. Picking up a little steam here as it clears the prior Sept twin peaks on rising volume. Looking for another one of those NVDA runs as we move toward a holiday season that will be big on electronic games & thus their components.
OIH 08/27 Rev HS 190.63 -1.02 179.78 194.95 9.6M 11M 193.44
Current. Reached below the 10 day EMA on the low and then recovered
to hold the 10 day EMA on the close. Volume jumped
up to average. Looks as if OIH is ready to make the
next move higher.
PCP 09/19 Asc Bse 147.13 -1.96 143.57 162.95 1M 2M 146.88
Current. Gapped higher then rolled over to close with a loss
on low volume. Rather normal action so letting it pause
in its move higher up the 10 day EMA.
PCU 09/13 Rev HS 121.99 -0.51 113.35 131.95 1.5M 3M 120.45
Current. Gapped higher, closed flat as PCU takes a couple of
days off on lower voume, resting and setting up for
the next run. May take 2-3 more sessions for the 10
day EMA (117.38) to catch up with it.
POT 09/01 Rev HS 102.75 +0.55 92.77 109.75 2.4M 4.9M 99.77
Current. Gapped higher but finished with just a modest gain.
Basically working laterally after that nice surge higher.
Looking at this one for a new buy but it likely needs
a 2 - 3 more sessions to 'get right.'
RESP 09/18 Asc Bse 49.02 +0.28 49.38 56.85 233K 553K 47.11
Buy Not Hit. Still ready to make the break. Just needs some more
volume to push it on through. When it happens it is
going to be an explosive move.
RIG 09/25 Cup hdl 111.52 -1.17 113.25 126.95 4.7M 8M 110.28
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but then was down on the session. It
managed to rebound to close above the 10 day EMA. Low
volume. Still set up to make the break higher for more
positions.
RIG 09/11 PreAnn 111.52 -1.17 109.95 126.95 4.7M 10M 112.05
Current.
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 99.00 +2.18 79.76 99.95 22M 30M 96.77
Current. Another gap higher took RIMM to 100. That level is a magnet & then a barrier. Stronger above avg volume on the move (the first in over a month) Good place to take some gain & let it test then see if it gives us a new buy point.
RIO 09/11 PreAnn 32.98 +0.94 27.55 32.75 24M 1.5M 31.12
Target Hit. Gapped higher and hit the target so we used that to
take part of the 18.5% stock and 100% option ($420/contract)
gain. Letting the rest of the position run higher for us.
SLB 09/08 Test BO 103.00 -1.62 99.11 113.95 11M 12M 105.11
Trailing Stop. Black and blue butt over this one. Let ourselves get rattled on the oil data & SLB's selling. Took the rest of some nice gain. Then it rebounded as we new it would. Okay Ready to move in as it continues off this test with new buy.
SLB 08/20 Test 50 103.00 -1.62 92.72 110.00 11M 12M 105.11
Trailing Stop.
SU 09/11 Cup hdl 93.29 -1.39 94.45 107.95 3.2M 3.6M 97.32
Current. Tough session after the oil inventory data & an announcement
of more potential taxes. Rebounded after at tap at
the 50 day EMA on the low. Need to see it rebound from
here on continued volume to give us the buy.
TEX 09/22 PreAnn 87.73 +1.23 85.32 99.90 1.6M 2.4M 84.95
Current. Gapped higher after that solid Tuesday move. volume
was lower, but we like what TEX looks like it can do
for us. Not bad being up $140/contract after just entering.
TKC 09/17 Rev HS 21.87 +1.11 19.18 22.82 873K 1.4M 20.68
Current. Another solid session, gapping higher on rising volume
to a new 6 year high. Nice surge in progress and letting
it run.
TRMB 09/20 Cup hdl 39.95 +0.92 36.99 42.88 1.6M 900K 37.92
Current. Huge volume as TRMB surged higher to 41.33 but then
faded back. Not too worried about that close given
the nice action.
UA 08/25 Rev HS 60.10 -3.95 67.24 76.95 5.2M 2.2M 64.22
Buy Not Issued.
UA 08/16 Test BO 60.10 -3.95 63.76 76.95 5.2M 1.8M 63.88
Current. Gapped lower on us and left us little to work with. Managed to rebound to hold some support at 60. This one keeps biting us on the behind. Going to see if it can rebound some toward 63ish and the decide what to do with it.
VIP 09/25 Test BO 27.28 +0.18 27.75 33.31 2.6M 3.4M 26.39
Buy Not Hit.
VIP 09/05 Test BO 27.28 +0.18 25.50 30.45 2.6M 4M 25.95
Current. Still at the 10 day EMA making the test. Waiting for
that break higher from here.
WYNN 08/16 Test BO 157.27 +2.27 120.89 139.95 2.2M 2.9M 152.88
Shook off the urge to sell and continued higher so
it was okay to let it run a bit higher. Still watching
for a possible peak here but thus far it is fighting
them off.
End part 2 of 3
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