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Begin part 2 of 3
NOTE: Dates in the write-ups are earnings dates.
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 09/22 PreAnn 170.42 -3.08 148.22 169.75 46M 4.8M 169.88
Current. AAPL gave a short pullback on above average volume Friday to take the day off. Nothing to worry about for AAPL here at the top of its DB hdl, looking to resume upside again early on next week. 10/22/2007
AAPL 08/21 PreAnn 170.42 -3.08 131.45 149.95 46M 45M 169.88
Current.
ALGN 10/17 Rev HS 27.05 -1.04 28.11 34.38 993K 1.3M 26.14
Buy Not Hit. Sold back to the 18 day EMA on rising, below average volume in the market trend Friday. Nice test late this week of the Rev HS with ALGN in decent shape, looking to enter after this pullback once it starts upside again if it gets some higher volume. 10/24/07
AMSC 10/17 Cup hdl 25.81 -0.04 26.05 31.32 656K 1.1M 24.23
Buy Not Issued. Nice doji to hold at the top of its Cup hdl on above average volume. Like that it held its ground against the market trend, looking strong and will enter if it makes its way higher on the above average volume. 11/1/2007
AMX 10/06 Rev HS 65.69 -3.21 65.77 75.95 9.7M 7.5M 66.48
Current. Saw some high volumes selling back to the 18 day EMA Friday as AMX managed to hold at the average as key support at the close. Just ran with the market selling for the session and looks to resume the Rev HS again next week. 7/24/2007
BBBB 10/16 Test BO 45.55 -0.90 46.39 54.85 263K 425K 45.45
Buy Not Hit. Continues its test this week as Friday saw a modest rise in selling volume with BBBB selling below the 18 day EMA. Looks to start the recovery move early on next week after this pullback and will enter if BBBB gets the volume it needs. 11/1/2007
BCON 10/09 Cup hdl 2.00 -0.07 2.21 3.09 2.2M 3.9M 2.15
Current. Held some minor selling through Friday on a pickup in trade at below average. Held the 18 day EMA as support to end the selling and keep BCON in decent shape to head upside again next week. 8/8/2007
BCSI 10/09 Asc Bse 47.60 -2.95 42.99 49.48 1.6M 1.2M 49.44
Current. Modest pullback on low volume back to the 10 day EMA to give a short test of the Asc Bse high. Looks to resume the Asc Bse again shortly after this intraday pullback. 8/22/2007
BEAV 10/18 Cup hdl 44.25 -0.50 45.25 53.00 971K 1.7M 43.11
Buy Not Hit. Average volume Friday for BEAV as it gave the close flat as it makes its way back up from the weeks test. Nice Cup hdl behind the move here and looking to enter once it shows some solid upside movement. 10/30/2007
BHP 10/04 Test BO 82.64 -3.03 79.31 94.75 6.1M 4M 82.28
Current. Just gave a short pullback in the test of its Rev HS Friday as BHP landed back at the 10 day EMA on some above average volume selling. Nice job holding its ground in the test against some serious market selling Friday. BHP in decent shape here. 2/6/2007
BHP 09/06 Asc Bse 82.64 -3.03 65.44 78.95 6.1M 5.9M 82.28
Current.
BRCD 10/15 Test BO 8.70 -0.30 9.05 11.32 6.2M 11M 8.65
Buy Not Hit. Continued its test into Friday down to the 18 day EMA with some help from the market as BRCD held at the average to close the session. Looks to find its bottom along the 18 day EMA and watching for buy points once it begins the move higher after the test. 8/23/2007
BRCM 09/18 DB hdl 40.55 -1.85 38.32 44.85 9.8M 11M 40.89
BRCM weathered some hard selling Friday on above average volume but managed to hold at the key 10 day EMA at the close. Nice save late in the game for BRCM Friday and we left this one alone to see how it works into next week. 10/23/2007
CAT 10/02 Dbl btm 73.57 -4.09 80.55 90.75 20M 10M 80.32
Exited. Used up its nine lives Friday on high volume selling back to the 200 day SMA. Set the tone with a really lousy view of the rest of the year and into 08 after reporting decent earnings but then saying it was head downside from here. Had to get out of this one with the negative forecast. 10/19/2007
CBEY 10/17 Test BO 40.10 -1.43 42.05 50.95 268K 400K 40.55
Buy Not Hit. Saw some above average volume selling Friday back below the 18 day EMA and nearing the Monday low at the key 50 day EMA. CBEY still in decent shape here but needing a rebound higher off support to keep us interested. 11/1/2007
CIEN 10/13 Test BO 43.54 -1.66 44.22 54.45 2.3M 3.3M 43.21
Buy Not Issued. Closed the week on a low note just below the 18 day EMA as CIEN weathered the market selling in a pickup of below average volume. Left this one on the table to see how it reacts to the Friday selling next week, needing a recovery move from the selling to keep us interested. 8/30/2007
CMC 10/18 Cup hdl 34.09 -1.72 34.88 42.95 1.7M 1.5M 33.22
Buy Not Hit. CMC with the modest pullback on above average volume Friday back to the 10 day EMA. Nice, quick test of the Cup hdl and looks to resume the move after this pullback. Needing some stronger upside movement from here for the buy. 10/30/2007
CMED 10/10 Test 18 40.17 -1.78 41.87 47.95 588K 900K 40.15
Exited. Weathered the Friday market selling but managed to hold the 18 day EMA. Got out as a precaution and looking to see if CMED can pull up some more entry points from here. 8/28/2007
COG 10/06 DB hdl 37.50 -1.66 38.38 44.45 689K 1.3M 37.98
Current. Weathered some tough selling Friday on below average volume to land beneath the 10 day EMA. Just a deep pullback intraday Friday from the Thursday DB hdl with COG looking to resume the move again shortly. 10/25/2007
CROX 10/13 Test BO 66.30 -3.55 71.12 82.95 3.8M 6.5M 66.42
Exited. Continued its test with a little too much downside pace Friday as it sold below the key 18 day EMA on rising, below average volume. Clear sign for us to let this one go for now. 7/26/2007
CROX 09/24 Asc Bse 66.30 -3.55 62.51 74.95 3.8M 6.6M 66.42
Trailing Stop. Fell through the 10 and 18 day EMA on some selling in the market Friday to hit the stop loss mark so we had to take this one off the table. 7/26/2007
CSUN 10/09 Test BO 10.58 -1.75 13.34 15.95 3.9M 2.4M 12.71
Exited. Let this one go after a tough session Friday, selling down through the 10 and 18 day EMA on rising, above average volume. 8/24/2007
CSX 10/18 Rev HS 44.62 -1.34 45.11 52.95 5.8M 7.2M 44.11
Buy Not Hit. Gave a below average volume pullback from its Thursday high to take a day off and run in the market trend. Expecting CSX to resume the Rev HS early next week and will enter if it gets the volume it needs. 1/24/2008
CTRP 10/17 Test BO 52.56 -0.79 52.65 62.95 766K 1M 50.78
Current. CTRP saw a rise to average volume in the minor selling Friday with the market trend. Nice, stable pullback to take a rest Friday and CTRP looking to start upside again shortly. 8/6/2007
DSX 10/15 Test BO 37.42 -0.76 34.10 40.95 6.6M 2.5M 36.11
Current. Short pullback Friday on high volume to have a nice intraday test of the Thursday high. Nice close to the week with DSX taking a breather. 8/2/2007
EDU 10/10 Test BO 71.11 -3.85 68.61 78.95 439K 475K 73.21
Current. Made the pullback through Friday on above average volume to close at the 10 day EMA. Nice fade lower in the test with the markets help and looks to give another good buy point after this pullback. 10/15/2007
ESRX 10/11 Test BO 59.65 -0.08 58.50 69.95 2.7M 2.5M 57.77
Current. Doji in the move lateral on above average volume Friday against some crazy market selling on the 20 year anniversary of Black Monday. Nice job holding its ground Friday with the intraday rest and looks to start next week off positive. 10/24/2007
FCX 10/13 Test BO 109.74 -4.01 117.92 134.95 11M 12M 111.77
Current. Held its ground against a tough selling trend from the market Friday. Saw some light selling to hold at the 18 day EMA in the close Friday with FCX in fairly solid shape, testing the Rev HS. 7/25/2007
FFIV 10/11 Cup hdl 42.63 -0.37 42.38 51.75 2.5M 3M 40.88
Gave a doji Friday on above average volume to take the day off after some great gains Thursday out of the Cup hdl test. Looking great here to work its way higher again early next week. 10/24/2007
FREE 10/16 Test BO 9.58 -0.09 9.39 11.48 158K 200K 8.89
Current. Intraday pullback in the market trend as FREE took a short step lower for a quick breather on the session. Saw above average volume in the short pullback with FREE set to resume the move higher again next week.
FTK 09/26 Test BO 45.00 -3.99 47.29 54.95 387K 550K 47.44
Exited. Sold below the key 18 day EMA in the test Friday as FTK picked up some selling volume. Had to exit this one as it looks to continue downside from here. 9/2/2007
FTK 09/10 Test BO 45.00 -3.99 38.32 45.45 387K 550K 47.44
Trailing Stop. Saw rising, selling volume to descend through Friday and tap the stop loss mark to get taken off the table.
FWLT 09/24 Test BO 142.59 -8.07 130.65 149.95 2.1M 2.4M 146.42
Current. Sold harder than we liked, but met the 18 day EMA on the close with some above average volume selling Friday. Held at the key average and needs to start upside again shortly after this intraday pullback in the market trend. 8/8/2007
FWLT 09/11 Rev HS 142.59 -8.07 121.21 144.50 2.1M 3.5M 146.42
Current.
GIVN 10/13 Cup hdl 30.03 -0.05 30.35 34.95 363K 217K 28.89
Buy Not Issued. Continues to consolidate at the top of its Cup hdl, posting a doji on high volume Friday as GIVN continues to take a nice, long vacation. Need some kind of upside movement before we can find any buy points. 10/31/2007
GLDN 09/05 DB hdl 92.09 -2.35 73.36 83.95 293K 589K 92.14
Current. Short pullback for an intraday test of the Thursday high as GLDN had some rising, above average volume Friday. Looks to resume the Asc Bse again shortly. 8/9/2007
GMKT 10/10 Test BO 24.72 -1.78 27.77 33.45 392K 750K 25.89
Exited. GMKT ran in the market downtrend Friday on a pickup of volume to sell below the key 18 day EMA to let us know it was time to get out. 8/1/2007
GOOG 09/15 Cup 644.71 +5.09 534.86 562.95 16M 45M 639.95
Current. Completely ignore the Friday downtrend and posted higher on explosive, high volume. GOOG going against the flow. Nice. 10/18/2007
HLIT 10/08 DB hdl 11.33 -0.19 11.55 14.11 1.8M 2M 11.22
Current. Saw some light selling into Friday on above average volume. No big deal here and HLIT set to start upside again soon. 10/23/2007
KNDL 10/01 Test BO 42.95 +0.18 44.84 50.95 705K 385K 43.74
Current. One of the few, proud stocks that managed to post any kind of gains against the intense market selling Friday. KNDL on explosive volume gave a doji in the modest gain to hold along the bottom of its test. KNDL in solid shape this week and looking to start upside again from the test next week. Nice. 10/31/2007
LZ 10/08 Rev HS 65.76 -2.63 69.68 79.95 568K 818K 67.48
Exited. Got out of LZ as it sold past key support Friday on above average volume to close well below the 18 day EMA. 10/26/2007
MTW 10/15 Test BO 42.85 -2.81 46.75 55.85 2.1M 2.1M 45.04
Buy Not Issued. Sold well through Friday as volume continued to rise to above average and MTW closed below the 50 day EMA. Had to take this one off the table after the low note ending to the week. 10/31/2007
NM 10/03 Cup hdl 15.71 -1.04 14.45 17.65 2.4M 1.7M 15.89
Current. Sold back near the 10 day EMA in the market trend Friday on high volume. Looking to see how it handles next week in terms of the Friday selling and expecting a modest rebound from the low. 3/8/2007
NOV 09/10 PreSplt 69.81 -7.02 66.97 74.48 9.7M 3.5M 77.27
Trailing Stop. High volume selling back below the 18 day EMA and nearing the 50 day EMA as NOV was taken off the table Friday after hitting the stop loss mark. 10/24/2007
NTCT 10/11 Test BO 12.76 -1.08 11.67 13.95 827K 500K 12.98
Weathered some moderate selling Friday on high volume to test the Thursday top early. Just ran with the market in the session and looks to start upside again soon after this deep intraday test. 10/25/2007
OII 10/16 Test 18 75.13 -5.35 80.35 96.55 1.1M 985K 77.32
Buy Not Issued. Sold well below the 18 day EMA oh high volume and was a clear sign for us to take this one off the table. 11/1/2007
OII 09/29 PreAnn 75.13 -5.35 76.15 90.95 1.1M 900K 82.08
It was time to get out of this one after the Friday session took OII well below the 18 day EMA on high selling volume. 11/1/2007
PCU 10/16 Test BO 131.20 -2.95 134.65 156.75 2M 2.5M 131.38
Buy Not Issued. PCU just minding its own business and posting some light selling back to the 10 day EMA in its test of the Rev HS. Looks to be the bottom at the 10 day EMA here and expecting PCU to head upside again where we will look for the entry point. 10/27/2007
QDEL 09/05 Cup hdl 18.74 -1.25 18.32 21.91 221K 685K 19.65
Weathered some intense selling Friday on below average volume to fade below the 18 day EMA. Was just time to exit QDEL after the harsh Friday session on the 20 year anniversary of Black Monday. 7/26/2007
RIG 09/25 Cup hdl 110.70 -6.10 113.85 126.95 9.4M 8M 114.68
Current. Weathered some tough selling Friday on high volume to test the Cup hdl some more. Left this one alone to see how it reacts to next weeks open after holding at supports near 110 Friday. 10//31/07
RIMM 08/25 Test BO 114.97 -2.14 79.76 99.95 23M 30M 113.88
Current. Short pullback on above average volume against some tough market selling but you wouldnt know by the looks of RIMM. Nice day of rest for RIMM Friday and looks to resume higher into next week. 12/20/2007
RRC 10/18 PreAnn 43.89 -1.58 44.88 54.75 1.3M 1.5M 43.22
Buy Not Hit. Modest pullback to the 10 day EMA in the downtrend Friday as RRC made a quick, intraday test of the Thursday high. Anticipate some upside movement again next week from here and will enter if the move is strong enough. 10/24/2007
RVBD 10/10 Cup 48.05 -1.85 50.40 57.95 790K 1.4M 47.44
Current. Continued to test the Cup back to the 10 day EMA to hold at the average for the close. Nice pullback to set up and compliment the Cup with a hdl from here with RVBD in pretty good shape. 10/23/2007
SLB 09/26 Test BO 99.32 -12.30 106.19 121.95 38M 11M 109.11
Current. Gapped low and weathered some selling through Friday on high volume, but left this one alone to see how it responds to the start of next week. May turn right back up but any bounce that stalls and we will exit. 12/19/2007
SNPS 10/17 Test BO 27.48 -1.11 28.79 34.50 881K 1.4M 27.89
Buy Not Issued. Fell below the 18 day EMA in the selling trend Friday with SNPS picking up some volume. Not exactly the move we were looking to enter on and had to be taken off the table. 8/22/2007
SOHU 10/02 Test BO 40.53 -2.77 41.15 47.55 1.1M 1M 42.11
Exited. Sold below the key 18 day EMA on above average volume in the market trend for Friday. Had to exit SOHU after this negative close and looks to head downhill from here. 8/1/2007
TEX 09/22 PreAnn 81.52 -4.10 85.32 99.90 1.8M 2.4M 87.68
Exited. Had to drop TEX Friday as the market pulled it back to the 50 day SMA on some above average volume selling. 10/24/2007
TKC 10/13 Test BO 21.07 -1.31 22.88 27.45 1M 1.2M 21.65
Buy Not Issued. Continued its October downtrend and got some help from the market Friday to post some solid, average volume selling through the session. Sold well past the 18 day EMA and has been dropped. 8/8/2007
TRMB 09/20 Cup hdl 41.34 -0.97 36.99 42.88 776K 900K 41.31
Trailing Stop. TRMB sold back below the 10 day EMA on above average volume Friday as the market selling dragged a majority of stocks lower in the session. Hit the stop loss point and had to be exited, but still on the lookout to see how it starts next week and if it can resume the Asc Bse from here. 10/23/2007
VIP 10/06 Test BO 29.28 -1.83 29.50 35.35 2.6M 3.4M 29.92
Trailing Stop. Made the pullback with the market to meet the stop loss mark and had to be taken off the table Friday. 8/30/2007
XTO 09/29 PreAnn 63.89 -2.07 64.42 77.75 4.5M 6.3M 64.77
Current. Sold on above average volume to the 18 day EMA to hold at the average at the close. Managed to stay out of too much trouble and continue a nice, full test with XTO in decent shape. 8/30/2007
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMR 10/15 Put 23.16 -0.86 23.88 21.85 6.3M 8M 23.57
Current. Got some help from the market Friday to sell back below the 50 day SMA on below average volume. Nice selling through the session with AMR looking to continue lower into next week. 10/17/2007
WB 10/16 Put 46.40 -1.74 48.51 46.78 20M 14M 48.66
Target Hit. Loving the downside action in the market Friday on the 20 year anniversary of Black Monday to post some prime selling in our downside plays. WB gapped on the low and then posted some selling through the session. Took some excellent 50% gain in 3 sessions. Nice. 10/19/2007
End part 2 of 3
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