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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ATK 11/10 Test BO 112.10 -1.26 115.21 132.95 235K 495K 113.57
Buy Not Hit. Tested a bit lower to hold the 50 day EMA and October highs as support at the close Friday. Nice, easy week for ATK nearing the end of its test as volume fades and ATK holds at key support at the weekend. Looking for buy points soon with ATK in good shape to start its bounce higher soon out of the test.
BWA 11/15 PreSplt 99.15 -0.83 101.21 111.45 678K 675K 99.89
Buy Not Hit. Held the 18 day EMA as support Friday as BWA ran along the average this week at the bottom of its pullback from the late October high. Need to see BWA make the move upside from this pullback fo for the buy.
COST 11/13 FlyPlat 66.80 +0.46 68.11 77.95 4.4M 7.2M 64.77
Buy Not Hit. Gave a doji to hold the 10 and 18 day EMAs as support in a quiet move higher to close the week as COST still moves inside its consolidation range for November. Holds average volume and just needs higher trade to get the move started upside and give the buy point.
D 11/15 PreSplt 91.30 +0.62 92.24 99.95 1.5M 2M 80.05
Buy Not Hit. Continued the November consolidation trend Friday on average volume with a doji back above the 10 day EMA. Held the average as support to close the week as it tapped 90.02 intraday. D setting up here to make its move past the 2007 high in April and set a new high for D, just needs stronger volume to get the move going and show the entry point.
EOG 11/08 PreAnn 85.28 +0.18 88.89 101.95 3.9M 3.2M 85.89
Buy Not Issued. Held the 18 day EMA for a second consecutive session with a doji in the close flat Friday. Just holds key support in the pullback here in mid November along the 18 day EMA and watching for a higher volume move upside for the buy.
ESRX 11/07 Test BO 65.38 +0.56 64.28 74.95 2.5M 2.6M 63.92
Current. Showing some upside movement from the early November testing low at the 18 day EMA as ESRX continued higher Friday. ESRX with rising, above average volume to close the week and in good shape to make its way even higher into next week.
ESRX 10/11 Test BO 65.38 +0.56 58.50 69.95 2.5M 2.5M 63.92
Current.
FLO 11/15 Asc Bse 23.02 +0.20 23.14 26.72 993K 706K 21.89
Entered today. Great move higher on explosive volume as FLO starts what looks to be some solid upside movement in the Asc bse. Nice.
FSLR 11/15 Test BO 212.63 +21.68 202.08 235.00 6.5M 5M 206.85
Entered today. A rarity in a downside market, FSLR exploded higher on strong volume Friday to give a great buy point from the bottom of its test. Solid upside movement looking to carry into next week. Nice.
GILD 11/13 Test 50 44.64 +0.99 43.62 49.00 9.5M 10M 41.88
Buy Not Issued. Nice move higher on high volume from its test of the 50 day EMA earlier this week as GILD posts some nice gains to end the week. Ready to enter on a continued move higher.
HMSY 11/12 Test 18 30.47 -0.08 31.15 37.39 203K 375K 29.45
Current. Doji in the close flat Friday to hold the 10 day EMA at the close as support with HMSY continuing its Asc Bse up through November. Looks to make its next bounce higher soon in the base next week off support from the 10 day EMA and November lows.
HOLX 10/29 Test BO 65.21 +0.08 67.85 79.95 2M 3M 64.18
Current. HOLX closed flat Friday with a doji on below average volume, holding the 10 and 18 day EMA as support to end the week. Nice recovery move this week from the testing low at the 50 day SMA, just keeping an eye on HOLX to see how it handles the October highs as possible resistance. Ready to exit and save some gains from this recovery move if HOLX stalls or sells from the October highs near 67 dollars.
HOLX 09/25 Dbl btm 65.21 +0.08 58.58 66.95 2M 1.6M 64.18
Current.
HRS 11/13 Test 50 62.47 -0.43 62.21 69.95 908K 1.2M 59.95
Buy Not Issued. Sold back to the 18 day EMA(61.77) intraday but recovered for a short step lower Friday on above average volume. Needs some stronger volume in the move higher from here for the buy.
ICE 11/05 Test BO 175.04 +2.54 177.57 199.95 1.3M 2.5M 172.65
Current. Made a great move higher on rising, below average volume Friday to meet the late October and early November highs. Critical to see ICE make it past the prior highs without resistance problems, watching closely to see how it handles the highs next week.
IDXX 11/13 PreSplt 127.52 -0.93 126.33 136.45 215K 273K 123.77
Short pullback Friday with a doji on above average volume as IDXX gave a quick test of the Thursday high. Solid uptrend working its way higher from early October as IDXX looks to continue higher into next week.
KCI 11/06 Asc Tri 59.67 -0.23 63.15 72.95 441K 1.1M 60.97
Buy Not Hit. Tapped the 90 day SMA on the reach lower Friday to hold key support at the average and late October lows. KCI just needing higher volume to get the move going upside again and keep us interested.
MA 11/10 Test BO 184.87 -0.01 191.68 219.95 2.6M 5M 186.22
Buy Not Issued. Doji at the 10 day EMA Friday to close flat on rising, below average volume as MA tapped the 18 day EMA intraday. Looks to bottom soon in the test at key support and keeping an eye out for the buy point once MA starts the recovery move.
NKE 11/12 Test 50 62.64 -0.41 63.55 71.95 3.5M 5M 61.89
Current. Posted some light selling Friday, but held the 50 day EMA as key support for a third time this month. NKE looking solid and in good shape to take the test of the 50 day EMA upside next week.
NYX 11/01 Test BO 85.01 +1.09 91.29 99.95 4.3M 7M 89.32
Current. Continued its test of the late October high back to the 50 day EMA this week where it closed with a doji in a quiet step higher Friday. Looks to have bottomed in the test here along the 50 day EMA, especially after tapping the 200 day SMA Thursday and recovering. Expecting some upsides from here next week.
NYX 10/23 Cup 85.01 +1.09 88.85 99.95 4.3M 5M 91.94
Current.
SCSC 11/05 Test BO 34.32 -0.32 34.89 41.95 134K 375K 33.35
Buy Not Issued. Posted some very light selling Friday on fading, below average volume to hold the 18 day EMA as support at the weeks close. Holds at the bottom of its test, needing higher volume to start the recovery move and give us the buy.
SIAL 10/30 Test BO 51.02 -0.47 52.11 59.95 1.3M 1.2M 51.18
Broke the 18 day EMA and closed below the average on rising, high trade. Was time to get out as SIAL sold past key support after a solid uptrend.
TEVA 11/14 Asc Bse 44.62 +0.29 45.32 51.95 5.2M 7M 43.92
Buy Not Hit. Doji in the close flat Friday to hold the 10 day EMA as support with TEVA tapping the 50 day SMA(44.32) intraday. Had high volume in the session and needs to continue this strong Asc bse through 2007 with above average trade for the buy.
TISI 11/10 Test BO 30.75 +0.03 32.11 39.45 104K 200K 31.22
Buy Not Issued. Held at the testing low along the October lows as support. Has fading, low volume and looks to start the recovery move soon. Ready to enter if TISI gets strong trade in the move higher.
VIP 11/08 Test 18 30.74 +1.01 31.48 39.85 2.8M 3.2M 29.97
Buy Not Issued. Rests along key support at the 50 day EMA this week in the test of the October high. Has fading, below average volume and needs higher trade to take the move upside again and give the buy point.
XRAY 11/08 Test 18 42.30 +0.26 43.11 51.95 925K 885K 41.48
Buy Not Hit. Holds at the testing low along the key 50 day EMA and October lows as support. Nice, rising above average volume to close the week with XRAY looking to make its move higher soon. Watching for a solid upside move on this rising volume for the buy.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMZN 11/10 Put 78.60 +0.75 78.15 73.52 7.1M 12M 78.94
Current. AMZN bottomed in its pullback this week with the help of the market relief bounce with Friday closing the week on a quiet move higher. Has fading, below average volume and looks to head downhill again starting next week.
C 11/13 Put 34.00 -0.58 35.36 32.04 80M 100M 34.88
Current. Ended the week with some solid, above average volume selling after C hit the underside of the 18 day EMA Wednesday and finished its upside movement with the market relief bounce. C now in great position to continue selling into next week.
CAT 11/14 Put 69.44 -0.29 69.55 66.11 7.6M 7.5M 70.57
Current. Nice, above average volume selling late this week with CAT gaining downside momentum as Wednesday saw its final push upside to tap the underside of the 10 day EMA before starting downhill again. Looks good to carry the downside movement into next week.
CMI 11/10 Put 112.62 0.00 118.24 111.55 2M 2M 114.32
Target Hit. Took some nice gain off the table because we were playing a quick, strong move lower, using December options to make the play. Hit the target and beyond so took some great 50+% gain ($450/contract). CMI then bounced back to close flat Friday, but still looking for a further downside play after this rebound bounce.
EBAY 11/12 Put 32.74 +0.61 32.66 31.05 16M 19M 33.32
Buy Not Issued. Short bounce higher Friday in a rebound from some nice selling through this week for EBAY. Saw lower volume in the upside Friday than the downside Thursday, a good indicator of just a quick rebound here before some more selling next week. Needs higher trade in movement downside for the buy.
GYMB 11/12 Put 34.28 +0.20 34.83 31.35 710K 1.1M 34.88
Current. Doji in the close flat Friday with GYMB in some nice selling from the tap at the underside of the 50 day SMA Wednesday before heading downhill. GYMB in a solid downtrend from August and critical to see it continue selling past this point at the 18 day EMA and October lows without holding, rebounding high.
MS 11/14 Put 52.90 -0.37 53.78 49.75 12M 14M 54.04
Current. Held some selling late this week but nearing the prior November low with fading, now below average volume. Looks to take the move a bit lower before hitting the prior low and keeping a close eye on MS from there to see how it handles the low.
QQQQ 11/14 Put 50.28 +0.46 49.88 47.85 263M 200M 50.56
Current. Still looks ready to move lower. Rebounded late from some selling Friday to close flat with a doji. Still below the 90 day SMA and key July high and expecting QQQQ to continue downside into next week.
SBUX 11/13 Put 23.17 -0.93 24.08 22.55 66M 15M 22.75
Target Hit. Gapped lower Friday on weak earnings and we took some solid 93% gain on the downside play; not bad for less than 2 days in the market for the play. High volume selling from Friday looks to continue into next week.
SPY 11/13 Put 145.79 +0.25 147.95 144.00 307M 200M 146.28
Current. Rested at supports from the August and September lows this week on rising, above average volume as SPY rests after a solid gap lower. Looks to head downhill some more from here with volume picking up.
TIF 11/13 Put 47.12 -0.22 48.44 45.50 2M 3.8M 48.31
Current. Continued a solid, downside pattern this week as TIF hit the underside of the 200 day SMA and sold from there. Tried again Friday to pass the 10 day EMA but failed and continued selling. TIF looking pretty decent here.
TXN 11/14 Put 31.74 +0.85 30.85 29.02 15M 18M 31.54
Current. Rebounded Friday to tap the 10 day in the short move higher as TXN hit support from the late October low. Still below the key August low however, needing TXN to head downhill from here.
End part 2 of 3
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