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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 11/20 Test 50 178.86 -3.36 175.11 198.95 34M 40M 180.94
Current. Faded a bit more after we took some gain Friday and it reversed a gap higher on that session. Very light trade as it comes back toward the 10 day EMA (176.61). We are looking to take another position as it holds and bounces back on a second leg of the rally.
ANSS 12/01 DB hdl 38.70 -0.16 39.76 45.95 496K 1.1M 37.84
Buy Not Hit.
APH 11/27 Test 50 43.70 +0.35 42.88 49.45 1.3M 1.2M 40.88
Buy Not Issued. Better volume, but no real movement as it gave back its gain to 44.41 to close flat.
BG 11/29 Cup 118.92 +6.58 116.55 133.85 2M 1.6M 114.95
Volume was up and so was BG as the ag sector enjoyed a strong session.
BLK 12/01 DB hdl 203.46 +5.09 202.88 228.95 399K 600K 197.02
Entered today. Volume was not blowout, but it was up nicely as BLK continued the move that started last Wednesday on a very strong volume move.
BTU 11/26 Cup hdl 55.03 -0.61 54.15 62.25 3.2M 550K 53.95
Current. Low volume as BTU eased back modestly on very low, below average trade. Nice easy test setting up some further upside if the market is willing.
CHL 11/28 Test 50 89.81 -1.85 91.12 103.95 2.3M 4.5M 87.55
Buy Not Issued. Chinese stocks struggled and CHL was one of them, fading back to close just over the 50 day SMA, still setting up the next move as it now forms a halde.
COST 11/13 FlyPlat 66.94 -0.46 68.11 77.95 3.6M 7.2M 64.77
Buy Not Issued. And still working laterally in its 6 week flat range. Just waiting for the break higher.
DRQ 11/19 Test BO 56.50 +0.08 58.91 67.95 535K 795K 56.94
Buy Not Issued. Very nice and orderly pullback continues, and just waiting for DRQ to show us the next break higher.
EDU 11/29 Test 50 83.99 +3.92 80.15 95.95 1.1M 650K 81.32
Current. Gapped higher to show a doji on continued strong volume. Volatile session but given the market overall, not going to complain about this gain.
ENR 11/20 Test 50 114.49 +0.86 112.06 127.95 594K 650K 111.88
Current. Gapped lower but an excellent recovery to positive on rising, above average volume. In excellent shape to continue the move higher.
FLIR 12/01 PreSplt 69.39 +0.66 69.68 80.35 638K 1M 66.88
Buy Not Issued. Rallied again to 71ish and then faded back toward flat. Still rapping at the breakout, still watching for stronger volume as it does so the move will stick.
FLO 11/15 Asc Bse 23.17 -0.06 23.14 26.72 571K 706K 22.68
Current. Stronger volume as it holds flat and above the November closes. Still set but waiting for the breakaway move.
FSLR 11/28 FlyPlat 229.22 -7.93 222.55 254.95 4.7M 5.2M 233.32
Current. Lower volume though still above average as FSLR tests back a bit further after we took some nice gain to end last week. A test back to 225ish sets up a new buy point.
GILD 11/27 Dbl btm 45.94 -0.60 44.51 50.75 6M 10M 45.21
Current. Lost some ground, but very low volume and still in very good shape to continue the break higher.
GOOG 11/17 Test 50 681.53 -11.47 659.65 724.95 4.3M 8.6M 692.88
Current. Low, low volume as GOOG tested back further. Looking for it to bottom near the 10 day EMA (677) and then move in as it rebounds for the next leg.
HMSY 11/12 Test 18 30.26 -0.79 31.15 37.39 200K 375K 30.44
Current. Sold back to the 18 day EMA on the close, but light, below average volume. Still solid but now it needs to show some more strong upside volume.
HOLX 10/29 Test BO 64.80 -1.59 67.85 79.95 1.4M 3M 65.22
Current. Plunked back to the 10 day EMA on the close, unable to make anything out of last week's nice upside success after a higher low at the 50 day EMA. Very low trade, however, so looking for a bounce from here.
HOLX 09/25 Dbl btm 64.80 -1.59 58.58 66.95 1.4M 1.6M 65.22
Current.
HRS 11/29 PreAnn 61.73 -1.04 63.55 70.95 948K 1.2M 61.48
Buy Not Hit.
ICE 11/05 Test BO 162.73 -4.23 177.57 199.95 1.2M 2.5M 176.38
Exited.
ISRG 11/20 Test 50 328.20 +0.52 295.00 341.95 1.2M 1.8M 322.42
Current. Holding the gains nicely as volume backs off Monday at the late October highs. Could sell some here, but like how it held up as the market pulled back.
MA 11/10 Test BO 201.88 +1.23 191.89 219.95 2.7M 5M 196.44
Current. Continues to buck the market, rising as the market faded. Outstanding strength.
MON 11/27 Test 50 101.61 +2.24 93.58 105.95 6M 5M 98.89
Target Hit. Strong volume as the break continued. Took part of the strong 9.8% stock, 75% option gain as MON makes a quick strong gain for us.
NKE 11/12 Test 50 67.00 +1.35 63.55 71.95 3.3M 5M 65.94
Current. Outstanding strength, rising on stronger trade, clearing to a new all-time high. Beautiful.
NOV 11/29 Dbl btm 70.73 +2.58 70.56 80.95 4.2M 8M 66.76
Buy Not Issued. Good action and a bit more volume sends it to a buy for us.
NYX 11/01 Test BO 84.42 -2.18 91.29 99.95 4.2M 7M 89.32
Current. Having a hard time holding a gain, falling to the 10 day EMA on the close. Volume remained below average. Really needs to make a stand here for us.
NYX 10/23 Cup 84.42 -2.18 88.85 99.95 4.2M 5M 91.94
Current.
OTEX 11/28 Test 50 33.83 +0.95 34.54 41.65 1.2M 700K 32.42
Entered today. Faded off the high, but held some solid gain on another day of strong volume. Good position to continue higher.
POT 11/27 Test 50 123.84 +3.95 113.91 129.95 4M 4M 118.95
More strength to the upside as POT adds to its Friday gain and on stronger, above average volume.
RESP 11/26 Asc Bse 49.49 +0.23 50.05 57.55 295K 500K 49.11
Buy Not Hit. Still set at the 50 day EMA for the break higher.
RIG 11/20 Test 50 137.55 +0.26 122.05 142.00 5.9M 7M 134.88
Current. Holding the gains very nicely, refusing to come back despite the dojis. It is letting the 10 day EMA rise to meet it.
RIMM 11/27 Test 50 104.75 -9.07 119.22 136.95 35M 32M 119.65
Current. Downgraded and gapped lower below the 50 day EMA (109.53). Given the gap we decided to let it try a bounce to test the 50 day EMA to give us a better exit point.
STLD 12/01 DB hdl 50.38 +0.07 51.57 61.95 1.4M 2.9M 49.55
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower but held a test of the 10 and 18 day EMA on the low, showing a doji on weak volume. Nice further build up of the handle.
STT 12/01 PreAnn 78.02 -1.87 80.42 90.50 3.7M 7M 78.21
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but turned over. Still, it held the 10 day EMA on the low and bounced some. Keeps it in position to make the move.
SWN 11/27 Test 50 49.92 +0.15 50.58 58.45 2M 3.3M 48.97
Buy Not Issued.
TXT 11/29 Test 50 70.13 +1.08 68.71 76.95 2.8M 2.5M 68.69
Current. Continuing higher on solid trade, moving toward a new high.
VIP 11/08 Test 18 34.14 +0.54 32.52 40.45 3.1M 3.2M 34.38
Current. Nice reach to the 18 day EMA on the low and then a rebound for a gain after the Putin election. Looking for some more positions as it continues the break higher after this test.
VIVO 11/28 Test 50 30.77 -0.08 31.11 37.45 278K 450K 29.87
Buy Not Issued.
WLT 11/19 Test BO 34.31 -0.38 35.00 40.95 897K 1.6M 33.44
Current. More low volume testing above the 10 day EMA, forming something of a handle to its short, four week cup.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMR 11/17 Put 20.30 -0.88 22.05 20.00 7.3M 9M 20.31
Current. Heading back down from a test of near resistance. CAL is decreasing its 2008 outlook and that is only going to help with the downside.
BA 11/26 Put 91.79 -0.75 91.69 89.05 5.4M 7.2M 92.54
Buy Not Issued. Flirting with the breakdown, but holding at the 10 day EMA (91.79). We moved the buy point lower to let it crack this near support.
NETL 11/26 Put 28.65 -0.60 27.73 25.15 402K 595K 28.65
Current. Turned back over after testing toward the 18 day EMA last week. Now it needs to roll lower.
NVDA 12/01 Put 32.00 +0.46 31.32 28.76 12M 14M 31.78
Buy Not Hit. Modest gain but showing a low volume doji just below the 18 day EMA (32.23). Looking for a continued break lower to move in.
VLO 12/01 Put 65.44 +0.34 64.66 61.65 6.8M 9M 65.57
Buy Not Hit. Crept a bit higher and above the 10 day EMA (65.15) as energy showed more strength. Still low, below average volume on the move and still in a wicked trend lower. Will see if it rolls back over for the downside play.
End part 2 of 3
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