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Begin part 2 of 3
NOTE: Part 2 precedes part 1 this evening.
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMZN 01/03 Rev HS 95.21 -1.04 96.65 111.45 9.1M 8.6M 93.68
Buy Not Issued. Tried to move but slid back on some lighter average trade. Still sitting op top of the December highs & just waiting for it to make the upside break. Bought some stuff on AMZN today, those button batteries that cost $1.96 apiece in the stores but were $0.18 (shipping included) on AMZN. It's not just for the holidays anymore.
APA 12/27 Test BO 110.59 +0.28 108.56 122.75 2.9M 4.4M 107.54
Current. Another upside session though a bit tamer Thursday with lower volume. Just letting it ride higher up the 10 day EMA after the breakout.
APA 12/18 PreAnn 110.59 +0.28 105.89 121.45 2.9M 5.3M 107.54
APC 12/18 PreAnn 66.75 +0.08 62.44 71.95 3.6M 4.5M 65.38
Current. If you look really hard you can see a modest bump higher. Basically still working laterally in that flat lateral consolidation, preparing to make the next break higher when it gets some more gas.
BG 12/26 Test 18 124.23 +2.13 121.82 139.95 2.4M 1.4M 119.54
Current. Gapped higher, fell to the 10 day EMA but then recovered to hold the gap. Volatile but like the end results as BG posts a new closing high.
BG 11/29 Cup 124.23 +2.13 116.55 133.85 2.4M 1.6M 121.48
BIDU 12/29 Asc Bse 375.09 -6.79 395.24 454.00 4.7M 10M 383.44
Current. Still struggling after losing the CFO to an untimely demise, but it tapped the 50 day SMA on the low and rebounded to recoup some losses. Letting it make that low volume test and this looks like the bottom of the pullback.
BLK 12/29 Cup hdl 225.80 +10.49 222.31 255.95 824K 668K 216.00
Surged higher on volume, clearing the late December highs. After this kid of move we are likely to get a bit of a giveback early on Friday, particularly if jobs are disappointing, and that will let us take some more positions on this stock that runs like a deer, not a rock.
CF 01/03 Test BO 115.84 +5.23 115.66 129.95 2.1M 3M 109.78
Entered today. Volume moved higher as CF did the same, bouncing off the 10 day EMA. That is what we wanted to move in to continue riding this fertilizer.
CF 12/19 Asc Bse 115.84 +5.23 100.66 119.95 2.1M 3M 113.32
Current.
CHU 12/27 DB hdl 21.12 -0.22 23.15 27.95 1.1M 2.6M 21.89
Buy Not Hit. Tested back lower, showing a doji over the 50 day SMA. Likely just a shakeout so we will give it into next week to see if it can use this support as a bounce point.
CMED 12/22 Rev HS 49.50 +2.64 44.28 54.95 1.8M 1M 47.88
Current. We kept saying China was looking better and better heading into the new year and CMED has been the flagship with a tremendous 3-day move on volume that keeps surging.
CTRP 12/08 Rev HS 56.59 -0.38 58.05 71.88 436K 1.2M 55.68
Buy Not Issued. Of course, we are still waiting for one of our old favorites to make the move. CTRP has tried to move off the 50 day EMA the past two sessions, but it keeps tripping and flopping back down. Still holding support, still in the pattern, still patiently waiting to take the next trip.
CVX 12/22 Rev HS 94.61 +1.15 94.98 108.95 10M 10M 92.94
Current. Solid above average volume shot as Chevron bounces off the 10 day EMA test.
CY 12/04 Cup 36.02 +0.95 35.90 41.65 4.7M 7M 37.21
Current. Getting a bit interesting here, bouncing off the 50 day EMA test on some solid trade. If it can clear 36.50 on solid trade it is on its way and a new buy.
CYBS 12/22 Cup 18.06 -0.44 18.03 21.65 982K 1.1M 17.77
Current. Stop and go, stop and go for the past week as it bounces off the 10 day EMA then lands back on it. Thursday it was back on it. Looks great, just needs to shake the gum off its shoe that is sticking it to this near support.
DVN 12/26 Rev HS 92.94 +1.26 92.24 105.95 3.3M 4.4M 89.91
Buy Not Issued. Hemmed and hawed over this one all day. The volume was a bit lower and we held off given the stronger moves in some other energy stocks.
ESLR 01/03 Test BO 18.04 +0.60 17.71 21.75 7.5M 5M 16.88
Entered today. Solid shot of volume as ESLR jumped off the 10 day EMA and continued the breakout move. We moved right back in as it did.
FCX 12/29 Asc Bse 104.11 +0.82 105.88 122.95 8.1M 15M 102.95
Buy Not Issued. Getting there, getting there. Jumped up but could not hold the move. Still a sweet set up to hammer out a new breakout and run higher.
FWLT 01/02 Asc Bse 169.17 +7.64 165.06 188.89 2.4M 1.8M 162.32
Entered today. Volume was even better as FWLT surged higher for a second session, clearing the December twin peaks. Nice break to a new high.
GIGM 12/26 Asc Bse 19.01 +0.38 20.91 25.22 549K 2M 19.45
Buy Not Hit. Tried to bounce off the 90 day SMA test but no volume and we are thus still waiting for the break higher.
GMCR 12/18 Cup hdl 41.63 +2.01 41.50 49.95 258K 300K 39.69
Current. volume bounced back up to average as GMCR jumped off the 18 day EMA test. Now it is percolating.
GME 12/15 Test 50 60.11 -0.19 60.98 72.65 2.5M 4M 60.77
Current. Doji at the 18 day EMA after falling to that level to close Wednesday. This is the licklog for GME, i.e. this is where it needs to hold and make the bounce.
GOOG 12/29 Asc Bse 685.33 +0.14 692.57 785.00 3.3M 8M 684.77
Buy Not Hit. Tested the 50 day EMA once more on the intraday low and rebounded to close at the other 50 day MA, showing a nice tight doji in its nice tight ascending base. Moved the buy point lower to accommodate the developing pattern that I still really like for a massive breakout move.
GOOG 12/03 Cup hdl 685.33 +0.14 687.88 742.00 3.3M 8M 713.32
Current.
GOOG 11/17 Test 50 685.33 +0.14 659.65 724.95 3.3M 8.6M 713.32
Current.
HAL 01/03 Dbl btm 39.12 +0.43 39.39 45.85 10M 15M 37.65
Entered today. Gapped and rallied though it did close off its intraday high. Volume was decent, not huge, but with energy on the run and HAL a leader, we moved in.
HOLX 12/29 Test BO 70.33 +2.82 70.36 80.95 2.9M 3.2M 67.68
Entered today. Excellent break higher off the 18 day EMA on solid trade as HOLX continues its breakout after the test.
HOLX 12/15 Asc Bse 70.33 +2.82 67.88 77.65 2.9M 3.6M 69.39
HUM 12/12 Cup hdl 80.62 +2.50 77.91 89.95 2.4M 2.4M 78.88
Current. Humming along as HUM surged on stronger and stronger volume as it posts a new all-time closing high.
ICE 12/17 Test BO 179.90 -5.60 185.36 209.95 1.7M 2.2M 188.11
Current. Melting down to the November peak where it needs to hold the line.
IMO 12/22 Rev HS 54.94 +0.02 55.15 65.95 350K 325K 54.57
Current. Nice tight doji at the 10 day EMA on very strong, above average volume. Coiling before the surge higher.
ININ 12/19 Test 50 25.29 -0.77 26.98 32.38 169K 300K 25.77
Buy Not Issued. Dropping as it falls to close below the 50 day EMA.
ISRG 12/27 Asc Bse 321.75 -2.20 335.35 395.00 710K 2.1M 323.11
Buy Not Hit. Still extending laterally along the 18 day EMA on very low volume and we are viewing this as the quiet before the next storm higher.
MA 12/17 Test 18 212.12 -2.56 211.98 244.95 2.9M 4.8M 204.22
Current. A bit rougher road, falling below the 18 day EMA but then rebounding to close at the 10 day EMA. This is an important rough patch for MA as it consolidates that early December run.
MOS 12/17 FlyPlat 97.71 +2.97 86.10 99.95 4.6M 5M 95.88
Target Hit. Took part of the solid 15%ish stock and 74% option gain ($830/contract) as MOS gapped higher and rallied right up to our target. It faded back to close but still held a decent gain.
NDAQ 12/13 Cup hdl 47.33 -0.90 48.32 56.00 1.4M 4M 47.98
Current. Sold back and landed on the 18 day EMA. Still on low volume but needs to make the stand here.
NYX 11/01 Test BO 83.62 -1.03 91.29 99.95 2M 7M 87.08
Current. Slipping back on very low trade as NYSE has lost traction. Will need to see a mid-December like bounce yet again.
NYX 10/23 Cup 83.62 -1.03 88.85 99.95 2M 5M 87.08
Current.
ONXX 12/26 Asc Bse 57.98 +2.24 59.15 70.95 1.3M 1.8M 56.45
Buy Not Issued. Volume moved up to average as ONXX cleared the late December highs intraday but it could not close the deal. Still in a solid pattern.
PZE 12/13 Cup hdl 14.47 +0.67 12.84 15.55 1.4M 400K 13.88
Current. Excellent session as PZE jumps off the 10 day EMA test on continued solid volume. Cramer said it was a buy after the close.
RIMM 01/03 DB hdl 112.82 -0.89 115.32 136.95 15M 30M 111.12
Buy Not Hit. Faded a bit further but just snugging up against the 50 day SMA. Just being patient and waiting for the break higher.
RIMM 11/27 Test 50 112.82 -0.89 119.22 136.95 15M 32M 116.21
Current.
SDS 12/12 Rolling 55.22 +0.10 53.96 60.75 11M 21M 55.08
Current. Up again but as with mid-December and Wednesday, it could not move through some resistance at 56 as SP500 rebounded a bit late in the session. Moving the stop up behind it.
SID 12/15 PreAnn 90.25 +1.66 82.33 99.95 885K 1.4M 87.88
Current. Continues its tight lateral move as the 10 day EMA rises to kiss it. Looking for that to send it on its next move toward 100.
SII 12/19 Rev HS 75.50 +0.76 72.11 83.32 2.4M 2.8M 73.78
Surged over 76 intraday but then gave it up. Just letting it climb up the 10 day EMA.
SLB 12/29 Dbl btm 102.31 +1.73 100.93 114.95 8.6M 12M 99.78
Current. Another solid session in the second day of the break higher off the 90 day SMA test. Very nice and looking for a run up to the October high.
SOHU 12/15 Cup hdl 53.20 +0.94 56.68 69.95 753K 2.6M 54.69
Current. Still working laterally along the 50 day EMA on low volume with a stop and start day to day action.
SPWR 12/04 DB hdl 131.29 +3.57 130.38 149.95 2.2M 2.8M 137.89
Current. After tapping the 50 day EMA on the Wednesday low SPWR continued the break higher on elevated but still below average volume.
SRCL 12/27 Asc Tri 59.05 +1.21 59.65 69.95 500K 575K 57.42
Buy Not Issued. After dumping to the 50 day EMA it bounced Thursday though volume was lower and back below average. Needs more strength to get it over near resistance.
SRCL 12/20 Asc Tri 59.05 +1.21 60.38 69.45 500K 575K 58.38
Buy Not Issued.
TKC 12/29 Pennant 27.28 -0.19 28.22 33.95 1.4M 2M 26.65
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally along the 10 and 18 day EMA. Volume, however, spiked near average and its best showing in three weeks. Watching that closely as that can signal it is preparing to make its move higher.
VIP 01/03 Test 18 43.76 +0.02 43.95 52.95 3.2M 3.4M 41.65
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but closed flat, but VIP still looks solid as it continues its move higher up the 10 day EMA (42.11).
VIP 12/03 Test BO 43.76 +0.02 36.78 42.85 3.2M 5M 42.38
Current.
VIP 11/08 Test 18 43.76 +0.02 32.52 40.45 3.2M 3.2M 42.38
Current.
WFT 12/05 Trnd Rv 71.00 +0.05 67.58 77.95 3.5M 6.1M 69.95
Current. Gapped higher and rallied to 73ish, but it could not hold the move. With energy strong, not sweating this move and pretty sure Weatherford can weather this pullback off its high today.
XTO 12/12 DB hdl 54.07 +1.93 54.13 61.45 5.3M 5M 52.11
Entered today. X marks the spot as well as volume and price. XTO surged to a new high on strong volume. Nice.
YGE 12/17 Cup hdl 38.02 -0.44 35.48 42.50 3.7M 4.3M 39.88
Current. Still in the nice orderly test of the 10 day EMA with a twist: volume surged Thursday, and that indicates there is some upside coming.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
GRMN 12/20 Put 90.95 -1.15 98.98 92.85 5.3M 6.4M 92.75
Gapped lower and sold some more, blowing out our target and then starting to rebound on rising volume. That indicates it is time to sell.
IWM 12/11 Put 74.33 -0.83 76.21 73.15 78M 90M 74.41
Current. Falling again, heading down toward the December closing low (73.85). It has been one harsh decline, down 5 pts in 5 sessions so it is going to try and bounce soon. We moved the stop lower because we don't want to rise a rebound with our January options.
JAKK 12/29 Put 22.44 -0.82 23.54 22.00 472K 400K 24.05
Buy Not Issued. Continuing lower on stronger volume. Missed this one.
MDY 12/29 Put 152.92 -1.13 155.96 152.00 3.9M 5.5M 153.31
As with the other indices, the mid-cap is moving lower and made a closing low below the December closing low. Some support at 152 but that is the target.
SMH 12/29 Put 30.81 -0.55 31.88 30.45 9.1M 9M 31.04
Current. Undercut the November low on the close after turning sharply lower following the last test of the 50 day EMA that resulted in another failure.
SPY 12/11 Put 144.86 -0.07 147.98 143.65 125M 200M 145.08
Current. Tapped at the December intraday low at 144 again (it did so on Wednesday) and it again rebounded. Trying to hold here but still a very negative pattern. Don't want to ride our January options back up if it bounces so have moved the stop lower.
End part 2 of 3
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