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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMZN 01/03 Rev HS 88.79 -6.42 96.65 111.45 10M 8.6M 93.68
Buy Not Issued. AMZN with a huge gap lower and then fell from there Friday to close below the key 50 day EMA and support from the late October consolidation. Couldn't hold its own against the market selling at the close of the week and had to let this one go.
APA 12/27 Test BO 107.39 -3.20 108.56 122.75 3.3M 4.4M 107.54
Current. APA with a gap lower in the market trend Friday but managed to hold the 10 day EMA and support from November/December highs. Good to see it stand up against the pre-recession madness in the market.
APA 12/18 PreAnn 107.39 -3.20 105.89 121.45 3.3M 5.3M 107.54
APC 12/18 PreAnn 63.96 -2.79 62.44 71.95 4.2M 4.5M 65.38
Current. A nice energy stock so gave it the benefit of the doubt as most energy's held up well Friday. Down on natural gas inventories, but that kind of news is as vaporous as the gas APC produces. In other words, it impacts stocks on the day of the announcement but usually does not hold over for long. Still in a great uptrend early this month.
BG 12/26 Test 18 121.00 -3.23 121.82 139.95 1.2M 1.4M 119.54
Current. BG with a bit of a gap lower back to test the 10 day EMA intraday at 120 and bounce back to 121. Low volume in the selling to stop the bleeding early and keep BG looking alright compared to the rest of the market mayhem. Looking to see BG resume the Asc bse next week out of this pre-recession selling.
BG 11/29 Cup 121.00 -3.23 116.55 133.85 1.2M 1.6M 121.48
BIDU 12/29 Asc Bse 360.99 -14.09 395.24 454.00 5.9M 10M 383.44
Current. Gapped lower but held the 50 day EMA; a natural support point. The key here is if it can bounce off the key support next week. China said it was trying to slow its economy more so the China stocks got some trouble, but this news comes out every quarter, has a short term impact, and then the stocks shake it off.
BLK 12/29 Cup hdl 210.98 -14.82 222.31 255.95 660K 668K 216.00
BLK with some high volume selling in the market selling Friday as it sold back below the 18 day EMA to test support from the mid December lows near 205 intraday. If anything positive is to be said here BLK at least held the key support from that 205 low from December. Gets the axe if it can't cut the selling next week.
BTJ 01/03 PreSplt 40.77 -2.33 43.32 5495.0 239K 350K 41.38
Buy Not Hit. BTJ with some above average volume selling Friday as it returned just below the 200 day SMA after a solid breakout from Thursday. Bummer, was just looking to enter had it not been caught in this selling from the market Friday after the explosive Thursday move. Managed to hold up somewhat against the selling Friday however and looking to see if it can try for another move next week for the buy.
CF 01/03 Test BO 111.26 -4.58 115.66 129.95 2.1M 3M 109.78
Current. CF in some market selling Friday but nothing too horrible as it still held the 10 day EMA on below average volume. CF just back at the bottom of its test near 110 again and setting up to start the recovery move next week.
CF 12/19 Asc Bse 111.26 -4.58 100.66 119.95 2.1M 3M 113.32
Current.
CHL 01/03 Asc Bse 83.88 -1.56 87.88 102.95 2.3M 4.9M 84.25
Buy Not Hit. CHL still just walking lower and lower through this week as it descends into the lower 80s. Got some help from the Friday selling to land near the mid December low support. Need to see CHL hold above key support from the November/December lows near the 90 day SMA(81.80) next week or its gone.
CHU 12/27 DB hdl 20.42 -0.70 21.04 27.95 1.3M 2.6M 20.08
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower to close just under the 50 day EMA so moved the buy point lower as it sold down to the 90 day SMA, a good bounce point in this pattern. Just need to see it bounce from here off this key support at the 90 day SMA for the buy.
CMED 12/22 Rev HS 46.75 -2.75 44.28 54.95 1.1M 1M 47.88
Current. CMED with some modest selling Friday on high volume, although trade was much lower in the Friday downside than the great Wednesday-Thursday upside sessions. Looking to make a nice, quick test out of this market selling into next week after three solid sessions in this weeks breakout.
CTRP 12/08 Rev HS 56.87 +0.28 58.05 71.88 533K 1.2M 55.68
Buy Not Issued. CTRP just taking it easy still and holding its own against a heavy downside session Friday. Holds along the bottom of its early December pullback to the 50 day EMA as it sticks around the mid 50s. Not getting much trouble from the market selling this week and just needs stronger volume to take the Rev HS upside for the buy.
CVX 12/22 Rev HS 93.35 -1.26 94.98 108.95 13M 10M 92.94
Current. Returned to the 10 day EMA Friday in the market selling with high volume but managed to hold the average as key support at the close. Still trying to take its Rev HS up out of this late December lateral movement and looks to do so soon after the pre-recession symptoms calm down.
CY 12/04 Cup 34.64 -1.38 35.90 41.65 5.2M 7M 37.21
Current. Not too much trouble from the market selling Friday for CY as it just returned to the 50 day SMA and held the average as support again. Can use this short step lower from Friday to reset and try again for another bounce higher from this low at the 50 day SMA once volume picks up again. CY still in pretty good shape here.
CYBS 12/22 Cup 17.55 -0.51 18.03 21.65 1.2M 1.1M 17.77
Current. CYBS with a short gap lower Friday on above average volume as it gave a doji to hold the 18 day EMA as support at the close of the week. Looks to be testing the Cup high for a bit here with this above average volume and expecting a short test with CYBS already showing a doji at support near the 18 day EMA.
DVN 12/26 Rev HS 90.30 -2.64 92.24 105.95 3.1M 4.4M 89.91
Buy Not Issued. Sold back to the 10 day EMA after a great Wednesday-Thursday session of gains for DVN. Managed to hold the 10 day EMA as support here and expecting DVN to try for the breakout again soon once volume returns for the buy.
ESLR 01/03 Test BO 16.76 -1.28 17.71 21.75 5.6M 5M 16.88
Current. Solar was hit as it was a big winner, but it did not mortally wound this stock or the sector. Just sold a bit below the 10 day EMA with below average volume to continue its test of the late October breakout. Nearing key support at the 18 day EMA(16.31) where we expect ESLR to bottom in this test.
FCX 12/29 Asc Bse 99.71 -4.40 105.88 122.95 10M 15M 102.95
Buy Not Issued. Sold past the key 50 day EMA and 90 day SMA on rising, below average volume. Still in a nice Asc Bse pattern even after this selling so let it stick around a bit longer. Need to see it bounce early next week to stay out of trouble though.
FWLT 01/02 Asc Bse 159.69 -9.48 165.06 188.89 2M 1.8M 162.32
Current. Sold big as it makes big moves up and down, but not entirely a disaster. Still looks to be a buy if this 18 day EMA test from Friday holds.
GIGM 12/26 Asc Bse 17.98 -1.03 20.91 25.22 1M 2M 19.45
Buy Not Hit. Solid chunk of selling Friday on rising, below average volume past the 90 day SMA for GIGM. Hasn't been able to find a bottom in this pullback from late December so far and decided to let this one off the hook.
GMCR 12/18 Cup hdl 39.64 -1.99 41.50 49.95 347K 300K 39.69
Current. Gave back the great breakout from Thursday as it sold with the market on above average volume Friday. Still holding above key support at the 18 day EMA at the weekend here and looks to resume the Thursday breakout once it shakes off this market selling from Friday.
GME 12/15 Test 50 57.04 -3.07 60.98 72.65 4M 4M 60.77
Exited. Gapped and sold for some pretty sizeable loss Friday with above average volume as it closed beneath key support from the 50 day EMA and December lows. Was time to get out of this one as it looks to head even lower from here.
GOOG 12/29 Asc Bse 657.00 -28.33 692.57 785.00 5.4M 8M 684.77
Buy Not Hit.
GOOG 12/03 Cup hdl 657.00 -28.33 687.88 742.00 5.4M 8M 713.32
Current. Was slaughtered after gapping lower but it held above the December intraday low and there is support at that level that we are looking to bounce it back to test near 675 and the 50 day EMA. Needs to do so next week otherwise could be some serious trouble for GOOG.
GOOG 11/17 Test 50 657.00 -28.33 659.65 724.95 5.4M 8.6M 713.32
Current.
HAL 01/03 Dbl btm 38.01 -1.11 39.39 45.85 11M 15M 37.65
Current. Returned this weeks gains into the 39s as Friday brought HAL back to the 50 day SMA on above average volume selling. A little frustrating after such a nice breakout late this week but HAL still in decent position at key support here to make another bounce higher next week.
HOLX 12/29 Test BO 71.12 +0.79 70.36 80.95 5.1M 3.2M 69.02
Current. HOLX with some wild intraday movement on high volume as it managed to close with a short step higher, a rarity in the market selling from Friday. Great job of holding onto the breakout from Thursday and expecting HOLX to continue higher into next week. Awesome.
HOLX 12/15 Asc Bse 71.12 +0.79 67.88 77.65 5.1M 3.6M 69.39
HUM 12/12 Cup hdl 79.47 -1.15 77.91 89.95 1.6M 2.4M 78.88
Current. Light selling on average volume with a majority of the market in a tailspin through the floor. HUM doing a pretty good job of just making a quick test of its Cup hdl high from Thursday with this Friday step lower. Expecting HUM to resume the Cup hdl higher next week.
ICE 12/17 Test BO 170.79 -9.11 185.36 209.95 1.4M 2.2M 188.11
Exited. Gapped and sold through the 50 day EMA to let us know it was time to part ways. Looks to continue lower into next week. Ouch.
IMO 12/22 Rev HS 53.50 -1.44 55.15 65.95 272K 325K 54.57
Current. Sold some more Friday with below average volume as IMO just continues to test its Rev HS high from late December. Nothing really out of the norm here as IMO looks to test a bit lower to key support at the 50 day SMA and mid December lows near 52 before bottoming.
ISRG 12/27 Asc Bse 305.00 -16.75 335.35 395.00 1M 2.1M 323.11
Buy Not Hit. Gapped and sold through the Friday session on rising, below average volume as it closed beneath key support from the 50 day EMA and December closing low. Dropped this one for now after the negative action at the weekend but keeping a close eye on this one next week.
MA 12/17 Test 18 201.19 -10.93 211.98 244.95 3.8M 4.8M 204.22
Current. Almost sold it but it held the mid-December lows and rebounded some intraday to let it stay another session. Need to see MA recover this huge gap into next week if it wants to stay on our good side.
MOS 12/17 FlyPlat 95.41 -2.30 86.10 99.95 3.8M 5M 95.88
Current. Short step lower to post a doji at the close with average volume. MOS so far very quiet in the New Year as it just continues to rest after the great, uptrend into late December from November. Resting and consolidating now at this new high and looks to resume higher once volume picks up again.
MRO 01/03 Asc Bse 59.57 -2.31 59.25 71.95 6M 8.6M 57.88
Buy Not Hit. Sold hard Friday after looking like it was recovering from its testing low at 61 from the 10 day EMA mid week. Now heads for the 50 day EMA and looking for a buy off of a test of the key 50 day EMA.
NDAQ 12/13 Cup hdl 44.64 -2.69 48.32 56.00 1.9M 4M 47.98
Current. Was ready to exit after its gap lower but as it held near the 50 day EMA and on not horrid volume we decided to wait and see what the bounce brings.
NYX 11/01 Test BO 79.77 -3.85 91.29 99.95 5.8M 7M 87.08
Exited. After what looked to be a steady test back to the 200 day SMA NYX plummeted on the poor session Friday with the market and gapped and sold past the 200 day SMA with no problem. No choice but to get out of this one and wait for the dust to clear from this crash.
NYX 10/23 Cup 79.77 -3.85 88.85 99.95 5.8M 5M 87.08
Exited.
OII 01/03 PreAnn 73.37 -1.81 75.55 90.95 613K 785K 71.35
Buy Not Hit. Slight pullback for OII Friday on below average volume after a great upside session from Wednesday and Thursday. Just using this market pullback from Friday for a quick test as OII looks to resume higher next week for the buy.
ONXX 12/26 Asc Bse 57.37 -0.61 59.15 70.95 754K 1.8M 56.45
Buy Not Issued. ONXX minding its own business Friday with a doji in the short step lower on low volume. Still inside its consolidation range from November, ONXX continues to try and take its Asc bse even higher this month with volume finally picking up again. Needs to resume the Thursday bounce higher for the buy.
PZE 12/13 Cup hdl 15.25 +0.78 12.84 15.55 3.1M 400K 14.32
Target Hit. Took part of the 22% gain Friday as PZE actually continued its breakout in a very downside market. High volume in the surge upside as PZE completely ignores the market trend. Looks excellent.
RIMM 01/03 DB hdl 103.35 -9.47 102.25 132.95 28M 30M 98.38
Buy Not Hit.
RIMM 11/27 Test 50 103.35 -9.47 119.22 136.95 28M 32M 116.21
Current. Gapped lower and sold to close at the low, but it is above some strong support at 100 from the November consolidation lows. If it holds there we will go buy for at least a trade on a bounce so moved the buy point accordingly.
SDS 12/12 Rolling 57.85 +2.63 53.96 60.75 21M 21M 56.88
Target Hit. Took some solid gain (35%) off the table as it approached the November peak and it has been a screaming move higher. Left half the position on the table to see just how much SDS has in the tank in this surge from late December. Pretty impressive.
SGR 01/03 Dbl btm 64.04 -3.24 67.57 79.95 2.4M 1.6M 64.97
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower to post a doji on some modest losses Friday with high volume in the selling. Held supports from the early November consolidation levels and looks to just be making a quick test out of this Friday pullback. Needs to resume the explosive Thursday move higher for the buy.
SID 12/15 PreAnn 86.56 -3.69 82.33 99.95 1.7M 1.4M 87.88
Current. SID sold on high volume back to the 18 day EMA. Managed to hold the average as key support intraday and bounce back a bit. Looks to hold here at sturdy support before some stronger volume returns to take the move higher.
SII 12/19 Rev HS 72.45 -3.05 72.11 83.32 2.4M 2.8M 73.78
Sold back Friday on average volume back below the 10 day EMA but bounced a bit intraday at support from the 18 day EMA. SII still in acceptable shape, just needs to stay above the 18 day EMA next week to keep out of trouble. If it holds and bounces it is a new buy point for this energy stock.
SLB 12/29 Dbl btm 98.00 -4.31 100.93 114.95 9.9M 12M 99.78
Current. Held the 10 day EMA after a dump lower Friday to find support from early price consolidations and peaks here from October/November. If it can bounce we still like it and will look at more. Another one of the strong energy plays that held up.
SOHU 12/15 Cup hdl 50.46 -2.74 56.68 69.95 1.2M 2.6M 54.69
Current. Left it in place as it is holding some support and volume was still low. Part of the China contingent, and the Chinese announcement it would try and slow growth impacted it near term. Needs to find support from the late November low near 47.50 to stay on good terms with us.
SPWR 12/04 DB hdl 126.12 -5.17 130.38 149.95 2.5M 2.8M 137.89
Current. Modest selling Friday on rising, below average volume for SPWR as it returned to the 50 day SMA and held the average as support at the close along with the December lows. Still doing a great job of smoothly testing its late December high in the DB hdl and looks to finally have bottomed this week.
SRCL 12/27 Asc Tri 57.33 -1.72 59.65 69.95 442K 575K 57.42
Buy Not Issued. Volatile week for SRCL as it gave back yesterdays bounce higher and then some to close back beneath the 50 day EMA. Let this one go for now but keeping an eye on it to see if it can find some support as it looks to head downhill some more from here.
SRCL 12/20 Asc Tri 57.33 -1.72 60.38 69.45 442K 575K 58.38
Buy Not Issued.
TKC 12/29 Pennant 26.10 -1.18 27.41 33.95 941K 2M 25.77
Buy Not Hit. Gapped and sold down to the 50 day EMA Friday on low volume. Looking to play this on a bounce off the 50 day EMA next week where we expect TKC to bounce off key support from the average. Moved the buy point to take into account this move.
VIP 01/03 Test 18 40.73 -3.03 41.88 52.95 3.2M 3.4M 39.95
Buy Not Issued.
VIP 12/03 Test BO 40.73 -3.03 36.78 42.85 3.2M 5M 42.38
Current. Foreign telecom play that sold to the 18 day EMA on below average volume. Still keeps it in the trend and expecting it to give us a new buy off out of this selling so lowered the buy point.
VIP 11/08 Test 18 40.73 -3.03 32.52 40.45 3.2M 3.2M 42.38
Current.
WFT 12/05 Trnd Rv 68.77 -2.23 67.58 77.95 3.5M 6.1M 69.95
Current. One of our solid energy plays as WFT got knocked around a bit Friday, but still in excellent shape, testing the 18 day EMA intraday. Looks good to bounce from here next week after this tap at key support.
XTO 12/12 DB hdl 53.19 -0.88 54.13 61.45 5.8M 5M 52.11
Current. Sold back to post a doji Friday on high volume after some modest losses as XTO fell into the market trend. Great breakout move from Thursday as XTO blasted into the 54s, looks to resume the breakout soon and recover this selling next week out of this doji.
YGE 12/17 Cup hdl 34.87 -3.15 35.48 42.50 3.4M 4.3M 39.88
Current. Was ready to pull the cord on this one but it is a China play and with the report on the slow down in China we decided to see if it will rebound. Volatile so we were not choking on this as it gapped and sold past the 18 day EMA Friday with above average volume.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
IWM 12/11 Put 72.09 -2.24 76.21 73.15 120M 90M 74.41
Target Hit. January options so took the 33% gain as IWM gave a huge gap lower Friday on the market downside session.
MDY 12/29 Put 148.65 -4.27 155.96 152.00 6.4M 5.5M 153.31
Hit the target Friday on a big gap lower with average volume. Managed to hold the August opening low mid-month and started to bounce some, indicating it may try to rebound from here. If it does we will let it and then re-up the position.
SMH 12/29 Put 29.25 -1.56 31.88 30.45 21M 9M 29.65
Target Hit. Took half of the 94% gain as SMH took another step lower Friday on explosive volume. INTC downgrade really helped out with SMH now looking to roll downhill some more from here. Awesome.
SPY 12/11 Put 141.31 -3.55 147.98 143.65 232M 200M 145.08
Target Hit. Took the gain (29%) as we were playing January options with SPY gapping and selling through the Friday session on average volume. Sold near the November low & bounced some. Will let it rebound off this selling and set up another short.
End part 2 of 3
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