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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
APA 12/27 Test BO 105.63 -1.76 108.56 122.75 3.1M 4.4M 107.54
Current. One of the energy stocks that came back late Monday after some mild selling Monday to hold near the 18 day EMA. Also held key support from the November/December highs near 105. Left this one alone as we expect energy stocks to rebound soon after this pullback with the market.
APA 12/18 PreAnn 105.63 -1.76 105.89 121.45 3.1M 5.3M 107.54
APC 12/18 PreAnn 62.84 -1.12 62.44 71.95 6.2M 4.5M 65.38
Current. Tough session for the natural gas stocks but it too rebounded off its intraday lows this afternoon. Nice job of testing and holding support from the mid December low as well as APC sold on high volume. Still, another energy we expect to rebound from the selling this week.
BG 12/26 Test 18 125.92 +4.92 121.82 139.95 2M 1.4M 120.91
Current. BG with an excellent rebound off the Friday low on high volume. Exploding out of a nice, strong Dbl btm from December to push BG to a new all-time high. No signs of slowing down from here with the high volume. Awesome.
BG 11/29 Cup 125.92 +4.92 116.55 133.85 2M 1.6M 121.48
BIDU 12/29 Asc Bse 344.31 -16.69 395.24 454.00 7.2M 10M 383.44
Current. Sold toward the 90 day SMA but then started to rebound. Will see what kind of rebound strength it has this week, particularly up toward the 50 day EMA where it hit intraday resistance Monday.
BLK 12/29 Cup hdl 206.70 -4.28 222.31 255.95 845K 668K 216.00
Continued selling along with the Financial Sector Monday on high volume to test the 50 day EMA intraday with the December lows. Decided to take this one off the table as it looks to continue breaking down from here on this high selling volume.
BTJ 01/03 PreSplt 38.46 -2.31 43.32 5495.0 219K 350K 41.38
Buy Not Hit. Sold some more back to key support at the 50 day EMA and late December high with fading, above average volume. BTJ so far unable to hold onto its great breakout move from last week as it gave the rest back Monday and returned to the 38s. Needs to hold support here.
CF 01/03 Test BO 109.80 -1.46 115.66 129.95 2.7M 3M 109.78
Current. Impressive rebound for CF as it tested 102ish intraday and recovered off support from the November high and early December peaks. Managed to hold the 10 day EMA at the close and with volume rising CF looks good to make the move higher soon.
CF 12/19 Asc Bse 109.80 -1.46 100.66 119.95 2.7M 3M 113.32
Current.
CHL 01/03 Asc Bse 85.22 +1.34 87.88 102.95 2.7M 4.9M 84.25
Buy Not Hit. CHL resting at the bottom of its pullback here in early 08. Doji Monday on rising, near average volume as CHL sets up to make its bounce from this testing low at key support from the November and December lows. Ready to enter as soon as some stronger volume gets the Asc bse gets going uphill again.
CHU 12/27 DB hdl 20.55 +0.13 21.04 27.95 1.2M 2.6M 20.08
Buy Not Hit. Held at the Friday low as CHU rests at its testing bottom near the 50 day EMA. Nice rebound from the intraday test at the 90 day SMA(19.84). Just waiting for this one to make its recovery move from the testing low here for the buy.
CMED 12/22 Rev HS 46.82 +0.07 44.28 54.95 889K 1M 47.88
Current. Amazing recovery intraday with CMED tapping the 50 day SMA(39.92) and bouncing back to hold the Friday low and close flat. China Stocks did okay overall Monday, CMED a prime example. Good job of holding at the Friday low with the high volume, volatile session here as CMED looks to continue last weeks breakout again soon with volume rising.
CTRP 12/08 Rev HS 53.33 -3.54 58.05 71.88 1M 1.2M 55.68
Buy Not Issued. Heavy selling session for CTRP as we dropped it from the tables. Sold easily past key support from the lat December consolidation at the 50 day EMA near 57. Had above average volume to close testing the 90 day SMA in the low 50s.
CVX 12/22 Rev HS 92.13 -1.22 94.98 108.95 13M 10M 92.94
Current. Weathered some modest selling Monday on above average volume as CVX sold past support from the October-December highs along 93 and 94. Closed beneath the 18 day EMA but held support from the mid December lows and 50 day EMA and is still in good shape, making a quick test of the Rev HS high.
CY 12/04 Cup 32.19 -2.45 35.90 41.65 10M 7M 37.21
Current. Sold on high volume below key support through the 50 day EMA and December lows. Almost exited this one but managed to hold the 90 day SMA late Monday where it held in November. Will see if it can bounce.
CYBS 12/22 Cup 17.65 +0.10 18.03 21.65 857K 1.1M 17.77
Current. Doji to close flat as CYBS held the highs from mid December as it tested the 50 day EMA intraday and bounced back. CYBS still in good shape as it bottoms at the 18 day EMA in this pullback from the Cup high. Looks good to start the recovery move higher soon once volume picks up to set up a solid Cup hdl here in early 08.
DO 01/05 Test 18 136.12 +0.83 136.32 156.95 2.6M 3M 132.57
Buy Not Issued. Modest bounce from the Friday testing low as DO starts to come up from its bottom at the 18 day EMA near 135. Holds above average volume and looks to start the recovery move for the buy once volume picks up.
DVN 12/26 Rev HS 89.80 -0.50 92.24 105.95 3.4M 4.4M 89.91
Buy Not Issued. Continued a bit lower to hold the 18 day EMA and early December and mid October highs as support. Another energy that bounced intraday from a deep reach lower as we expect this one to start upside this week out of this selling.
EDU 01/05 Asc Bse 85.85 +4.03 83.32 99.95 770K 750K 78.77
Nice move on solid trade for EDU Monday. It's a buy on a continued move higher from here.
ESLR 01/03 Test BO 16.97 +0.21 17.71 21.75 8.5M 5M 16.88
Current. Quiet move higher on above average volume as ESLR did a great job of holding the 10 day EMA as key support Monday with a deep reach back to 16.01 intraday. Looks good to start the recovery move here and resume the Asc bse with volume picking up again.
FCX 12/29 Asc Bse 95.46 -4.25 105.88 122.95 12M 15M 102.95
Buy Not Issued. Continued even lower on rising, now above average volume with the selling gaining speed so we took this one off the table Monday.
FWLT 01/02 Asc Bse 149.94 -9.75 165.06 188.89 3.1M 1.8M 162.32
Current. High volume on some rough selling with the Heavy Constructions Sector Monday. Still, FWLT managed to hold near the 50 day EMA on the close so despite the higher volume decided to see if it can bounce from here.
GMCR 12/18 Cup hdl 40.95 +1.31 41.50 49.95 471K 300K 39.69
Current. Nice bounce off the Friday low near the 18 day EMA as GMCR picked up some strong, high volume to post some modest gains as well as recover a deep intraday test near 37. Looks good to push upside from here and take the Cup hdl even higher.
GOOG 12/29 Asc Bse 649.25 -7.75 692.57 785.00 6.4M 8M 684.77
Buy Not Hit.
GOOG 12/03 Cup hdl 649.25 -7.75 687.88 742.00 6.4M 8M 713.32
Current. Tapped the 90 day on the low and rebounded to post a doji. Will see how it bounces from here and if it can move past resistance at 674.
GOOG 11/17 Test 50 649.25 -7.75 659.65 724.95 6.4M 8.6M 713.32
Current.
HAL 01/03 Dbl btm 37.35 -0.66 39.39 45.85 15M 15M 37.65
Current. Sold off near the 200 day SMA but then recovered so we left it on the burner. Had high volume in this second consecutive session of heavy selling. Needs to hold here and looks to have no problem doing just that after the great rebound from the Monday intraday low.
HOLX 12/29 Test BO 70.51 -0.61 70.36 80.95 4M 3.2M 69.02
Current. Closed flat Monday on above average volume as HOLX pulled a pretty volatile day, tapping all the way back to the 18 day EMA and bouncing from there. Nice job of holding the Friday high and looks good to push higher from here, just need to see some stronger volume to make it over the late December high at this price.
HOLX 12/15 Asc Bse 70.51 -0.61 67.88 77.65 4M 3.6M 69.39
HUM 12/12 Cup hdl 81.56 +2.09 77.91 89.95 2M 2.4M 78.88
Current. HUM with a nice, continued breakout from last week as it holds its above average volume and pushes even higher. No slowing this one down here as HUM explodes upside early this week. Nice.
IMO 12/22 Rev HS 53.60 +0.10 55.15 65.95 376K 325K 54.57
Current. IMO now bottoming in its test Monday with above average volume as it tapped the 50 day EMA near 52 intraday and rebounded to hold the 18 day EMA as support. IMO looking to resume its nice Rev HS base from here as volume picks up at IMO sets up to recover from this testing low.
MA 12/17 Test 18 200.51 -0.68 211.98 244.95 4.4M 4.8M 204.22
Current. Took a quiet step lower as the selling loses steam in this test for MA. Deep intraday reach back to the upper 180s as MA managed to bounce from here and hold the December lows and early November highs as support.
MO 01/05 Test 50 77.23 +2.33 76.65 85.95 14M 12M 74.68
Entered today. Huge surge higher from the testing low at the 50 day EMA in the mid 70s as MO saw high volume and exploded through Monday. Impressive breakout move here that looks to take MO even higher from here.
MOS 12/17 FlyPlat 94.00 -1.41 86.10 99.95 5.9M 5M 95.88
Current. MOS still holding at the late December high and using the 10 day EMA as support as it takes a nice vacation in early January. Had some high volume Monday as it posted some light selling to continue its lateral movement along near the mid 90s.
MRO 01/03 Asc Bse 58.95 -0.62 59.25 71.95 7.5M 8.6M 57.88
Buy Not Issued. Doing what we wanted as it continued testing the 50 day EMA and then rebounding early this week. Now we see if it can rally and give us the buy.
NDAQ 12/13 Cup hdl 45.57 +0.93 48.32 56.00 3M 4M 47.98
Current. Made a good recovery so decided to hang onto it as NDAQ had above average volume in a deep reach near 42.60 Monday to hold support from the late November consolidation. Needs to hold here and start upside soon to stay out of trouble.
OII 01/03 PreAnn 73.82 +0.45 75.55 90.95 756K 785K 71.35
Buy Not Issued. OII with average volume Monday as it held the Friday high and posted a short step higher. Just resting a bit from last weeks surge higher and if it can resume the move here we will enter.
ONXX 12/26 Asc Bse 56.21 -1.16 59.15 70.95 1M 1.8M 56.45
Buy Not Issued. ONXX still inside its consolidation range from early December as it sold back to the 18 day EMA Monday on below average volume. Just need stronger volume to take the move out of this consolidation trend for the buy.
PZE 12/13 Cup hdl 15.75 +0.50 12.84 15.55 2.7M 400K 14.77
Current. PZE still in a nice, strong breakout from last week as it holds onto its high volume this week to kick Monday off with another decent move higher. In good shape to climb some more from here this week. Solid energy stock working against the rest of its sector here. Awesome.
RIMM 01/03 DB hdl 99.83 -3.52 102.25 132.95 41M 30M 98.38
Buy Not Hit. RIMM unable to cut the selling out into this week as it sold past the key 90 day SMA on high volume. No choice but to let this one go after this negative start to the week.
RIMM 11/27 Test 50 99.83 -3.52 119.22 136.95 41M 32M 116.21
Exited. Had to get out of this one as it continued selling into this week past key support from the 90 day SMA and December lows with rising, high volume.
SDS 12/12 Rolling 58.20 +0.35 53.96 60.75 24M 21M 57.04
Current. Tried to clear the November high but with the SP500 showing a potential bottom for a bounce, SDS would top out here if it does. Thus moved up the stop and if it fades we will at least take the options and look to play options again as it bottoms.
SGR 01/03 Dbl btm 60.62 -3.42 67.57 79.95 2.6M 1.6M 64.97
Buy Not Hit. Rising, high volume to kick the week off as SGR sold past the key 90 day SMA to get the axe from us.
SID 12/15 PreAnn 84.27 -2.29 82.33 99.95 1.7M 1.4M 87.88
Trailing Stop. SID with some more high volume selling Monday to hit the stop loss mark and had to be taken off the table.
SLB 12/29 Dbl btm 96.81 -1.19 100.93 114.95 10M 12M 99.78
Current. Sold a bit more into this week on rising, above average volume to close at the 50 day EMA Monday. Still holding key support from the December highs as it tests the Dbl btm high.
SLT 01/05 Asc Bse 26.83 +0.51 26.68 32.95 2M 2.4M 25.45
Buy Not Issued. Has some great, rising below average volume as upside momentum picks up with SLT starting its next bounce higher in the Asc Bse. If it can continue this move higher from here we will enter.
SOHU 12/15 Cup hdl 48.86 -1.60 56.68 69.95 1.1M 2.6M 54.69
Current. Trying to bounce off the tapping the 90 day MA as it continues selling a bit lower into this week. Selling volume fades Monday as SOHU looks good to bounce soon from key support at the 90 day SMA and late November low.
SPWR 12/04 DB hdl 117.77 -8.35 130.38 149.95 4.4M 2.8M 137.89
Exited. Had to get out of this one Monday as it picked up explosive volume in the selling early this week to break key support from the December lows and 50 day EMA. Ouch.
SU 01/05 PreAnn 107.95 -1.45 111.55 128.65 2.7M 3M 108.55
Buy Not Hit. Saw some more moderate selling from SU Monday on high volume as it tests the Cup high. Just need SU to have a nice full test here to set up the Cup hdl for the buy.
TKC 12/29 Pennant 25.66 -0.44 27.41 33.95 2M 2M 25.77
Buy Not Hit. Doji in the short step lower Monday on high volume as TKC continues to sell here in early January. Still looking at this one to see if it can rebound from this mostly low volume test. Big volume Monday with a doji so we will see.
VIP 01/03 Test 18 40.71 -0.02 41.88 52.95 3.7M 3.4M 39.95
Buy Not Issued.
VIP 12/03 Test BO 40.71 -0.02 36.78 42.85 3.7M 5M 42.38
Current. Doji in the close flat Monday with average volume as VIP held the 18 day EMA as support for a second consecutive session. VIP still in decent shape here as it looks to be slowing down the selling in this test of the DB hdl high.
VIP 11/08 Test 18 40.71 -0.02 32.52 40.45 3.7M 3.2M 42.38
Current.
WFT 12/05 Trnd Rv 67.18 -1.59 67.58 77.95 5M 6.1M 69.95
Current. High volume Monday on some more selling this week as WFT tests the Rev HS high from late December. Tapped support at the 50 day EMA and early December consolidation and rebounded intraday to hold support. Needs to hold above the 50 day EMA this week.
XTO 12/12 DB hdl 53.98 +0.79 54.13 61.45 6.7M 5M 52.11
Current. Modest rebound from the Friday low as XTO looks to be resuming the DB hdl breakout from last week here. Has some nice, rising high volume early on this week as XTO looks to climb from here. Very nice.
YGE 12/17 Cup hdl 32.24 -2.63 35.48 42.50 4.9M 4.3M 39.88
Exited. YGE taking a bigger beating the OSU in the BCS Championship Monday as it sold on high volume past key support at the 50 day EMA. No choice but to get out of this one.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
BARE 01/05 Put 21.91 -0.91 22.65 20.61 1.6M 1M 22.55
BARE resuming the selling into this week on above average volume. In a nice run of selling here in early 08 and looks to continue lower through the week on this above average selling volume.
FRG 01/05 Put 10.59 +0.80 9.68 8.05 732K 320K 10.22
Buy Not Issued. FRG with a bounce up from the Friday low on huge volume as it starts to rally higher early this week. Needed to see FRG sell some more from last week but it couldn't make the move so we let it go.
MDY 12/29 Put 147.74 -0.91 155.96 152.00 8.6M 5.5M 153.31
Sold down toward the August low and started to bounce Monday on high volume. Worth taking positions off the table if still have any.
SMH 12/29 Put 29.41 +0.16 31.88 30.45 15M 9M 29.65
Current. Doji Monday after hard selling from last week put SMH into the 29s. Need to watch this one as it could make a bounce from here.
End part 2 of 3
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