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Begin Part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGU 01/12 Test BO 70.14 +1.06 70.89 83.95 4.5M 3.3M 67.88
Entered today. Started upside Monday out of last weeks pullback back below support at the 18 day EMA as AGU gave a nice gap higher on high volume Monday for the buy. In good shape to ride this market bounce higher from here especially with the high volume.
APA 01/09 Test 50 108.56 +3.64 108.35 121.95 3M 3.5M 104.32
Entered today. Jumped in on APA Monday as volume got a nice boost from its low levels of Friday and pushed APA up and out of its testing low near 104. Gapped and climbed through the session to hold the 10 day EMA intraday and post some nice gains. Just the move we were looking to enter on.
APC 12/18 PreAnn 64.88 +2.68 62.44 71.95 5.4M 4.5M 65.38
Current. APC doing a nice job of rebounding out of its testing low early this week on a boost of high volume to jump out of its testing low from late last week. In good shape to take this bounce higher through the week on the market relief bounce. Nice.
BG 12/26 Test 18 133.00 +3.65 121.82 139.95 1.6M 1.4M 126.22
Target Hit. Took part of 49% option gain, 8.3% stock gain Monday with BG on above average volume again as it gapped and climbed through the session. Letting the rest ride higher through the week before the relief bounce ends.
BG 11/29 Cup 133.00 +3.65 116.55 133.85 1.6M 1.6M 126.22
BIDU 12/29 Asc Bse 340.40 +11.15 395.24 454.00 6.6M 10M 383.44
Current. BIDU with a bit of a bounce at the bottom of its test from Friday as it holds the 90 day SMA for a second consecutive session and picked up volume for some nice gains. Did a great job of finishing its test back to key support last week and now looks good to recover from the low this week. Awesome.
BX 01/10 Asc Bse 20.39 +0.33 20.32 24.00 2.7M 4.5M 18.88
Buy Not Issued. BG on below average volume for some light gains as it climbed a bit and held the 10 day EMA as intraday support. Waiting for the next bounce higher in this recovery move from the January low near 18 for the buy.
CAM 12/27 PreSplt 49.94 +1.21 49.90 56.75 2M 2.5M 50.39
Current. Modest rebound from the Friday low as CAM bounced off the 50 day EMA with low volume Monday. Just setting up to recover the early January test back to the 50 day EMA and needs stronger volume to really make the move. Otherwise doing a nice job of holding support here.
CEO 01/09 Dbl btm 178.25 -0.92 180.92 209.95 206K 600K 175.11
Buy Not Issued. CEO coming back some more this week as it showed some light selling on very low volume to returned to the 10 day EMA. Expecting a bounce soon off this low volume, quick pullback from CEO.
CERN 01/10 Dbl btm 57.44 -0.27 60.38 69.95 392K 826K 57.55
Buy Not Hit. CERN with below average volume as it sold past key support from late December and the 50 day EMA. Not too fond of this negative action as it continued lower in the test of the Dbl btm high past key support so had to drop it.
CF 01/03 Test BO 119.85 +7.25 115.66 129.95 3.6M 3M 112.31
Current. Exploded higher Monday on high volume as it gapped and climbed early this week. Nice, easy pullback from late December up until now as it came back to test the 18 day EMA and led into this strong breakout. Very nice.
CF 12/19 Asc Bse 119.85 +7.25 100.66 119.95 3.6M 3M 113.32
Current.
CHL 01/03 Asc Bse 84.21 -0.86 88.55 102.95 2.7M 4.9M 85.09
Current. Gapped lower with a doji at the 90 day SMA to close Monday holding key support from the November-January closing lows along 84. In good shape to bounce from here with the market in its relief bounce and CHL on fading, already below average volume.
CHTT 01/08 PreAnn 77.07 +0.23 77.38 88.75 488K 408K 72.98
Current. Rested a bit for Monday as CHTT gave a doji at the Friday high to close flat. Still has nice, high volume and in good shape to continue upside with the market relief bounce.
CMED 12/22 Rev HS 53.71 +1.52 44.28 54.95 588K 1M 51.44
Current. CMED picking up some volume into this week as it climbs higher here in early 08 in a solid Rev HS base. In good shape to continue higher with volume rising and the market continuing its relief bounce this week.
CPHD 01/07 Cup hdl 32.05 +1.22 28.64 34.35 3.3M 1M 29.97
Current. CPHD looking excellent as it carries the breakout from last week into Monday. Still holding great, high volume on the breakout and looking to continue higher from here.
CVX 12/22 Rev HS 90.91 +0.24 94.98 108.95 10M 10M 92.94
Current. CVX holding at the Friday testing glow on fading volume as it gave a doji Monday at the 50 day EMA. Nice job holding support here and with the fading volume CVX looks good to star the recover move up from this testing bottom with the market relief bounce this week.
EDU 01/05 Asc Bse 80.91 +1.30 83.32 99.95 858K 750K 86.11
Gave a short rebound off the Friday low at the 50 day SMA on high volume Monday as EDU starts its next bounce higher in the Asc bse. In good shape to climb from here on the high volume with the market this week.
EJ 01/12 Cup 27.17 +0.94 28.05 34.95 481K 1.2M 26.18
Buy Not Hit. EJ holding off on last week's breakout high as volume fell back well below the average level. Just stalling at the breakout high without any volume to continue the move and once higher trade picks in to resume higher we will enter.
FTI 01/07 Cup hdl 62.21 +2.28 63.55 75.95 1.5M 1.9M 60.38
Buy Not Issued. Great rebound off the Friday low as FTI bounced with the market Monday on a short pickup in volume with above average volume. Nice, full test of the early January high back to key support at the 18 day EMA and now FTI starting its recovery move. If it continues the move higher from here we will enter.
GILD 01/07 Asc Bse 48.16 -0.52 48.38 55.95 8M 10M 47.21
Current. Short step lower from the Friday high as GILD gave a doji Monday on fading, above average volume. Held the November and December highs as support at the close and looks to bounce higher from here after this quick pullback.
GMCR 12/18 Cup hdl 39.78 -0.92 41.50 49.95 257K 300K 39.69
Current. Sold on below average volume back to hold the 18 day EMA at the close Monday as GMCR continues from late December in its consolidation range along 40. In decent shape as it holds support from the 18 day EMA, just needs stronger volume to break out of this lateral movement.
GOOG 12/03 Cup hdl 653.82 +15.57 687.88 742.00 4.4M 8M 713.32
Current. Nice rebound from the Friday low but with fading, below average volume. Tapped the underside of the 10 day EMA intraday and fell from there to post a doji in the modest gain Monday. Will let it run as far as it will then close it out.
GOOG 11/17 Test 50 653.82 +15.57 659.65 724.95 4.4M 8.6M 713.32
Current.
HAL 01/03 Dbl btm 36.49 +0.57 39.39 45.85 9.4M 15M 37.65
Current. HAL trying to bounce off the 200 day SMA and will let it bounce as far as it will go then close it if it does not gain a lot of strength on the rebound. Had below average volume Monday in the short bounce higher so watching to see how it handles the market relief bounce this week.
HK 01/07 DB hdl 18.44 +0.67 18.48 22.32 2.8M 2.5M 17.32
Buy Not Issued. HK gapped and climbed Monday on high volume for an excellent breakout move from the Friday low. Finally broke out of the consolidation range from late December and if it continues higher from here it's a buy.
HOLX 12/29 Test BO 69.00 -1.36 70.36 80.95 3.6M 3.2M 69.02
Current. Sold a bit through Monday on above average volume back to test support at the 18 day EMA. Still inside the consolidation range from late December as HOLX tests the Rev HS high into early 08. In decent shape still holding support from the key 18 day EMA and waiting for HOLX to bounce with the market soon or will have to exit.
HOLX 12/15 Asc Bse 69.00 -1.36 67.88 77.65 3.6M 3.6M 69.39
HUM 12/12 Cup hdl 86.98 +2.70 77.91 89.95 3.1M 2.4M 84.38
Current. HUM doing a great job of resuming the breakout from early January this week as it picked up high volume again and surged. Looking good as it starts off this week in a strong push higher with high volume.
IDXX 01/12 Dbl btm 60.45 +0.63 61.21 70.45 283K 469K 59.22
Buy Not Hit. Minor gains Monday on below average volume as IDXX sets up to take the Dbl btm upside out of this pullback to the 90 day SMA here in early 08. Met some intraday resistance from the 50 day SMA and needs stronger volume to push past this possible resistance for the buy.
IMA 01/07 Dbl btm 60.46 +0.44 59.21 69.95 849K 1.2M 59.92
Current. Nice test of the 10 day EMA(59.17) intraday on low volume. Forming something of a handle here and looks good to continue the move with volume picking up.
IMO 12/22 Rev HS 52.99 +0.87 55.15 65.95 173K 325K 54.57
Current. Not too bad as IMO holds the 50 day EMA on lower and lower volume, making a higher low. Sold Rev HS behind this pullback to the 50 day EMA looking to take IMO upside soon once volume kicks in again.
MO 01/05 Test 50 78.69 -0.33 76.65 85.95 10M 12M 77.15
Current. Nice intraday test of the 10 day EMA(77.84) and support from early December consolidated highs Monday with MO on below average volume. Just taking a breather here into this week with the low volume and looking to resume higher once trade picks up.
OII 01/03 PreAnn 72.50 +0.47 75.55 90.95 810K 785K 71.35
Buy Not Issued. Continued its nice, easy test back to the 18 day EMA early this week on above average volume as it gave a doji at the close. Holding support here from the 18 day EMA and early December highs and in good shape to bounce with volume rising and the market picking up the relief bounce.
ONXX 12/26 Asc Bse 51.77 -1.75 59.15 70.95 2M 1.8M 56.45
Buy Not Issued. ONXX with some tough selling intraday back to test near the 90 day SMA at 48 on high volume. Did manage to finally fill the gap from early November to pull something positive out of the selling past the key 50 day EMA. Needs to hold the line here.
SDS 01/10 Test BO 57.97 -0.78 58.88 63.45 13M 25M 56.68
Current. Low volume doji Monday in the short step lower as SDS looks to have bottomed in its pullback here at the 10 day EMA and late November high. Ready to bounce once volume picks up again.
SLT 01/05 Asc Bse 26.18 +0.42 26.68 32.95 850K 2.4M 25.45
Current. Continues to quietly move along the 10 day EMA into this week on low volume, holding support from the 10 and 18 day EMAs and November highs. Just hasn't been able to get the volume it needs here in January to take the Asc bse higher. Otherwise just in a nice vacation for now.
SOHU 12/15 Cup hdl 51.36 +3.17 56.68 69.95 1.1M 2.6M 54.69
Current. SOHU now starting to bounce from its testing low of last week as Monday saw a slight pickup in volume in a strong push higher to the 50 day EMA. In good shape if it can push past the 50 day EMA here on this rising volume.
STE 01/08 DB hdl 29.76 -0.68 30.45 35.00 409K 700K 29.48
Current. Weathered a bit of selling Monday on fading, below average volume as STE sold back to hold the 10 day EMA as support at the close. Looks to resume the DB hdl higher soon after this quick pullback early this week.
TRA 01/09 Test 18 52.98 +3.74 48.48 57.95 4.7M 4.5M 49.88
Current. Gapped and climbed Monday on high volume for a nice continuation of the Friday breakout. TRA looking pretty good here in January as it pushes upside with the help of the market bounce. Awesome.
UPL 01/10 Test BO 73.89 +3.31 73.63 83.95 1.7M 1.5M 71.77
Entered today. Exploded higher on some high, strong volume for the buy Monday after the pullback to the 18 day EMA last week. No signs of slowing after the Monday surge higher and UPL in good shape to continue the breakout higher from here.
VIP 01/03 Test 18 41.16 +0.28 41.88 52.95 3.1M 3.4M 39.95
Buy Not Issued.
VIP 12/03 Test BO 41.16 +0.28 36.78 42.85 3.1M 5M 42.38
Current. Continues its pullback along the 18 day EMA into this week but saw a nice boost of volume out of the low levels from Friday. If volume can continue to pick up the volume levels from here this week it looks good to finally break out of this rest along support from the 18 day EMA.
VIP 11/08 Test 18 41.16 +0.28 32.52 40.45 3.1M 3.2M 42.38
Current.
WFT 12/05 Trnd Rv 70.98 +2.07 67.58 77.95 3.8M 6.1M 69.95
Current. Doji in the gap higher on below average volume Monday as WFT continued the Friday breakout. Met some intraday resistance from the prior December/January highs, and with volume already at below average WFT looks to rest a bit here after the doji.
XTO 12/12 DB hdl 56.73 +1.92 54.13 61.45 4.6M 5M 54.45
Current. XTO in great shape early this week on a surge higher with above average volume as it continues the DB hdl breakout in early 08. Expecting some more gains from here.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
$DJX 01/10 Put 127.78 +1.72 128.41 125.00 1.4M 2.2M 127.11
Buy Not Issued. Rebounding to the 10 day EMA. Looking for a test of the 10 day to turn into more selling and will enter from there if $DJX can get the volume it needs.
AG 01/08 Put 68.05 +4.25 63.31 58.55 1.8M 2M 64.65
Buy Not Issued. AG continuing its rebound from last weeks selling low beneath the 50 day EMA. Had rising, near average volume as AG surged through the session and let us know it was time to drop this one.
CVS 01/10 Put 36.33 -0.44 36.92 34.75 17M 14M 37.25
Current. CVS continuing some sold selling into this week after getting turned down by the 200 day SMA last week. Has nice, rising above average volume in the selling and looks good to continue descending this week.
FWLT 01/12 Put 141.17 -0.41 140.21 130.45 1.7M 1.8M 143.88
Buy Not Issued. Stalling near the 90 day SMA with some help from the market relief bounce. Waiting for the relief bounce to end to see FWLT start downhill again on some stronger volume for the buy.
IWM 01/10 Put 70.80 +0.58 72.88 69.75 71M 150M 73.21
Buy Not Issued. Still looking for more of a rebound on the downside play, but it may not give it as the small caps showed relative weakness Monday. Had low volume early this week as IWM holds near 70 at this testing low.
NILE 01/12 Put 52.57 -4.54 55.22 48.11 2.6M 926K 53.22
Entered today. Just the move we wanted to jump in on as NILE continued the Friday selling on some explosive volume Monday. Set to run much lower from here. Nice.
NOV 01/12 Put 72.60 +2.77 69.22 65.11 3.6M 5.6M 71.75
Buy Not Hit. Couldn't continue the Friday selling to the 90 day SMA early this week as NOV bounced off the key average on below average volume. No choice but to drop.
NVDA 01/12 Put 28.85 +1.80 28.62 24.03 13M 15M 29.88
Buy Not Hit. Rebounded from the Friday low on fading, above average volume with NVDA just getting some help from the market relief bounce. Set to sell once the aid from the market ends where we will watch for the buy point.
PCLN 01/12 Dbl Top 100.52 +4.28 98.91 90.15 1.1M 1.6M 102.65
Buy Not Hit. Bounced off the 90 day SMA with some help from the market as PCLN showed below average volume Monday at this testing low. Need to see PCLN control the bounce here and hold resistance from the 50 day EMA near 105.
SBUX 01/08 Put 19.55 -0.24 19.45 18.00 12M 21M 20.33
Current. Stalling along the 10 day EMA on fading, low volume as Monday gave another lateral move along the average. In good shape to resume the selling from late 07 once volume picks up again as SBUX holds the gapping high from early January.
SPY 01/10 Put 141.28 +1.13 140.88 136.85 201M 300M 142.38
Current. Doji below the 10 day EMA. Looks ready to fall again after the low volume doji here. Will look at new positions as it does.
End part 2 of 3
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