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us stock market, trade stock
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABT 01/16 PreAnn 59.43 -0.32 60.78 68.95 9.9M 9.4M 58.57
Buy Not Issued. Still in solid shape, closing the week out at the 10 day EMA as it hangs onto its break higher from early January, testing that move. Excellent strength in this market, and the sector is right for a bit of defense.
APOL 01/14 PreAnn 77.12 -0.77 80.88 92.95 5.1M 4M 78.55
Buy Not Issued. Still looks ready to make the break higher, showing a doji Friday at the 10 day EMA.
BEC 01/14 PreAnn 71.38 -1.88 74.62 85.95 595K 656K 72.32
Buy Not Hit. After great strength it gave way Friday. Will continue to watch it to see if it can reverse quickly, but dropping it for now.
CHTT 01/08 PreAnn 74.25 +1.17 77.38 88.75 1M 408K 72.98
Current. Bounced off the 50 day EMA test on a surge in volume. Did what it had to do to hang onto its pattern.
CMED 01/17 Test BO 47.03 -0.29 48.22 57.88 428K 700K 44.84
Buy Not Issued. Still in solid shape on this breakout test, closing basically flat Friday on low, low volume. Just waiting for the break higher. Another key stock that held up remarkably well in the selling last week.
CPHD 01/07 Cup hdl 30.31 -0.21 28.64 34.35 1.2M 1M 29.97
Current. Nice easy test of the breakout, tapping the 10 day EMA on the Friday low and rebounding. Excellent action and ready for the next move higher as CPHD ignores the selling.
DIA 01/17 Trnd Rv 120.57 -1.05 121.83 127.95 36M 18M 119.91
Buy Not Issued. Didn't get the cathartic sell off early and DIA slipped lower still. Moved the buy point, however, in the event the week starts with a plunge on Tuesday.
FDP 01/16 Asc Bse 34.52 -1.23 35.45 42.65 929K 1.2M 33.11
Current. Sold back to tap the 10 day EMA on the low before a modest rebound to the close. Gave back most of the Thursday move but still the right kind of stock for the market and a good pattern to go with it.
FWLT 01/17 Test 20 129.94 +1.36 131.48 147.00 2.8M 2.2M 127.55
Buy Not Issued. Doji at support at 130. Still watching this one for a break higher next week after the catharsis takes place.
GENZ 01/15 PreAnn 76.83 -4.30 79.82 91.45 5.8M 3M 77.32
Current. Quick downdraft after that solid move higher the three prior sessions. Checked up above support at 76 where it needs to hold to continue the pattern.
GILD 01/07 Asc Bse 46.17 -1.06 48.38 55.95 14M 10M 47.21
Current. Sold through the 50 day EMA intraday but then recovered to hold above that key level on the close. It has used the 50 day as support since November.
GMCR 12/18 Cup hdl 39.43 -0.57 41.50 49.95 796K 300K 39.69
Current. Anogher session moving laterally at the 18 day EMA as GMCR continues forming a new handle over the 50 day EMA.
HOLX 12/29 Test BO 64.18 -1.20 70.36 80.95 3.5M 3.2M 69.02
Current. Sold off below the 90 day SMA but recovered decently so let HOLX holdover to next week to see what direction it takes at the start of a new expiration month.
HOLX 12/15 Asc Bse 64.18 -1.20 67.88 77.65 3.5M 3.6M 69.39
HUM 12/12 Cup hdl 84.35 +0.08 77.91 89.95 2.9M 2.4M 84.38
Current. Excellent action, fading to the 10 day EMA to test the breakout. Setting up for the next run after the breakout. Considering some new positions on it as it makes the break higher.
IDXX 01/12 Dbl btm 57.43 -1.11 61.21 70.45 401K 469K 59.22
Buy Not Issued. Broke lower and closed below the 90 day SMA. Dropping it for now but will continue watching to see if it sets up again.
IMA 01/07 Dbl btm 55.24 -0.36 59.21 69.95 848K 1.2M 59.92
Current. Managed to hold support at 55 after the Thursday dump lower, and given the sector and it being expiration, we let it hold over to the new week to see if it can get some traction here.
IRIS 01/14 Test BO 19.88 -0.35 21.11 26.95 209K 220K 19.63
Buy Not Hit. Not bad action to end the week, tapping at the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounding for a modest loss. Good test, and if it breaks higher on some trade it is in position to rally well. Like the idea of playing it off the first test of the breakout as that shows buyers still want it after the breakout.
IVGN 01/14 Cup hdl 94.60 -1.69 97.32 111.95 1.1M 1.2M 94.39
Buy Not Hit. Up Thursday, gave it back Friday as IVGN continues in its solid pattern. It looks good, but it needs to show a strong breakout to get our money, and the way this market is going, the test of the breakout might be the best time to enter.
MLNM 01/16 Asc Bse 15.90 -0.16 16.86 20.45 5.4M 7M 15.68
Current. Gapped higher Friday but then faded back to flat, tapping the 10 day EMA on the low and bouncing. Very solid still, just needs to continue the move for us.
MO 01/05 Test 50 75.42 -1.38 76.65 85.95 22M 12M 77.15
Current. Recessionary stock (doubled in the last recession), but it had a rough expiration week. It managed to bounce back from the session low and though it missed holding the 50 day EMA we let it hold over because of the skewing from expiration trade.
MON 01/17 Trnd Rv 105.75 +6.14 101.11 114.95 15M 8.1M 96.55
Buy Not Issued. Not a bad bounce Friday, but without the catharsis in the market overall we didn't feel like being a hero. If we get it this week, MON will be on the top of the list as it rebounds back.
MOS 01/17 Test 50 80.02 -0.98 82.89 99.00 10M 6M 79.21
Buy Not Issued. Bounced early with many stocks, but there was no catharsis so we staid out. It closed at the 50 day SMA again so we are watching to see if it bounces this week.
NUVA 01/15 Test 50 40.65 -0.72 41.12 49.32 315K 395K 39.65
Current. Good move through Wednesday, then finished the week testing back on some lower trade. Want it to hold at this level and then break higher again, showing a successful test.
SDS 01/10 Test BO 66.21 +1.36 58.88 63.45 40M 25M 63.31
Target Hit. Market sold off again after the stimulus plan announcement, & when it started to firm again we took the rest of the position off the table, banking 112% on the options.
SPY 01/17 Trnd Rv 132.06 -1.37 134.91 141.94 348M 250M 133.88
Buy Not Issued. This was the upside rebound play we were looking at if the market had its big final selloff. Didn't happen. We will still look at this on a market selloff early in the week.
STE 01/08 DB hdl 29.26 -0.11 30.45 35.00 752K 700K 29.48
Current. Tested the 50 day EMA on the intraday low and rebounded to close flat. Still a good pattern even after giving back much of a good move on the week.
UPL 01/10 Test BO 65.50 -0.31 73.63 83.95 1.7M 1.5M 71.77
Current. Sold off early but recovered to hold support at 65 once more. After that drop & the Friday action we are looking for a bounce up toward 68ish.
VIVO 01/16 Test BO 33.00 -0.83 34.68 40.95 347K 425K 32.68
Buy Not Issued. Not a great week but all things considered, this action of holding near support at the 18 day EMA is solid. Indeed, we like this play a lot more than many upside because it already made the breakout, and if it holds that move and starts back up again, that shows us the big money still wants it and are not just going to drop it after the breakout.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CVS 01/10 Put 36.92 -0.05 36.92 34.75 14M 14M 36.57
Current. Again tapping at the 18 day EMA on the session high and then fading to close below the 10 day EMA. It is running itself out of gas with those kind of moves even if it didn't sell when the market sold off.
GRA 01/15 Put 17.52 +1.02 19.80 18.03 3.1M 1M 16.78
Target Hit. Dove lower and we took the rest of the gain (119%) on the options. Then it rebounded on the session. Will see how it bounces and if it sets up a new buy point.
MA 01/16 Put 174.62 -2.26 173.94 159.00 3.8M 5M 176.44
Buy Not Issued. Started to crack some below the 90 day SMA, but still did not break hard to the downside, managing a modest rebound. Still weak, but it has not sold as the market sold off.
MS 01/14 Put 45.11 -0.14 47.51 44.45 20M 17M 45.45
Target Hit. Sold down after the President and all his men spoke, and we banked a solid 50% gain in just a few sessions. It bounced to show a doji at the close.
NILE 01/12 Put 50.95 +1.94 55.22 48.11 1.6M 926K 47.88
Trailing Stop. Edging higher so we took the rest off the table and will wait for it to get back up to the 10 day EMA and if it starts to stall, put the play on again.
PCLN 01/12 Dbl Top 92.98 +3.62 98.45 90.15 3.8M 1.6M 89.78
Trailing Stop. Gapped higher and was holding up so we closed it out as a precaution, taking what was left off the table. When it sets up again we will look at another quick hitter for another 50+% gain.
SBUX 01/08 Put 18.66 -0.39 19.45 18.00 20M 21M 19.32
Current. Still bumping the 10 day EMA on the highs and slipping lower. Just slipping, however; would really like to see it dumping.
SPY 01/10 Put 132.06 -1.37 140.88 136.85 348M 300M 133.78
Target Hit. Sold off after the President's speech and we took the rest of the 126% gain on the put options. Now we will see if it can bounce for us and make the upside play.
End part 2 of 3
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