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us stock market, trade stock
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGP 01/15 Test BO 37.39 -0.25 40.45 48.48 696K 1M 38.45
Current. Not a great week but not a bad week as the health stocks, more of a bear market play, took a back seat to the rebounding growth stocks. Held the 50 day EMA and after the bounce ends it should assert itself once more.
AMZN 01/19 Test 20 77.60 -0.07 80.39 92.90 10M 14M 77.55
Buy Not Issued. Surged higher through the 200 day SMA but it could not hold and reversed to close below it. Don't like this action so dropping the play.
BAX 01/19 Test BO 61.00 -1.03 61.62 72.65 3.7M 5.1M 59.65
Buy Not Issued. Another health care stock that struggled on the week as the growth stocks bounced. Closed lower Friday but still in position to continue its breakout move.
BLK 01/22 Test 50 208.05 -5.45 206.32 222.45 439K 788K 209.91
Current. Took some of the gain Thursday, and Friday BLK gapped higher but faded to the 10 and 18 day EMA on low, low volume. Decided to let it hold over to Monday given the light trade.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 20.29 -1.26 21.89 25.95 3.5M 1.2M 20.88
Current. Tough close to the week, giving back a good upside break. Above support at 20 so decided to let it hold over until the new week.
CMED 01/17 Test BO 48.22 +1.14 47.88 57.88 507K 700K 44.87
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher on low volume, its second upside gap in a row. Didn't really give us a chance to enter. If it can hold 47.50ish this week and starts higher, it is still a buy.
CPHD 01/07 Cup hdl 30.80 -1.43 28.64 34.35 1.3M 1M 30.32
Target Hit. Gapped higher and we took some 13% stock & 44% option gain. It closed the session and week at the 10 day EMA, still in a nice upside trend for the rest of our positions.
CSX 01/23 Cup 45.45 -1.38 46.31 51.95 8.3M 6.5M 44.89
Current. Gapped higher and then gave back the nice Thursday move on some rising volume. Making a test of the December peak at 45 and want to see that hold.
DIA 01/23 Trnd Rv 122.19 -1.24 118.12 125.95 20M 18M 122.11
Target Hit. Took the rest of the gain off the table after DIA gapped higher near the 125 level and stalled.
DIA 01/17 Trnd Rv 122.19 -1.24 119.44 125.95 20M 18M 122.11
Target Hit.
ELN 01/17 Test BO 22.63 -0.65 24.24 28.95 2.6M 4.3M 22.54
Buy Not Hit. Tough week but held together at the 90 day SMA and bounced. Then Friday it fell right back down to that level. Low volume so letting the play hold over into next week to see if we get a bounce off of the 90 day as it did early in the month.
FDP 01/16 Asc Bse 32.44 -0.06 35.45 42.65 603K 1.2M 33.11
Current. Started the week great as the market was under pressure, but as the market rebounded FDP faded to the 50 day EMA where it closed the week. Once this rebound is over FDP will resume its upside move.
FWLT 01/17 Test 20 65.57 -0.87 64.72 73.50 3.4M 2.2M 62.77
Current. Gapped up to the 18 day EMA and slid back to close negative. Low volume and holding support at 65 so let it hold over into next week, but want to see it hold at that support.
HLEX 01/22 Cup hdl 28.42 -0.21 29.45 35.95 339K 440K 27.75
Buy Not Hit. Still testing back, tapping the 50 day EMA on the low and bouncing to close at the 200 day SMA. Moved the buy point to accommodate that move as it still looks ready to move higher when this overall market bounce ends.
HUM 12/12 Cup hdl 77.96 +0.70 77.91 89.95 2.6M 2.4M 84.38
Current. Surged higher early but then gave most of it back to again close near the 50 day SMA. Another health care stock we are looking to bounce when this market bounce ends.
IMA 01/07 Dbl btm 52.23 -0.90 59.21 69.95 491K 1.2M 59.92
Buy Not Issued. Tough week, gapping lower Tuesday but holding the 200 day SMA on an intraday test. Looking for it to rebound when the market bounce ends as it is a healthcare stock.
LKQX 01/24 Test 50 19.07 -0.71 21.33 25.95 1.1M 2M 19.84
Buy Not Hit. Sold back to support at 18 on the Friday close. Low trade and just waiting for LKQX to show us the break higher once more.
MA 01/22 Test 20 193.43 +1.65 190.31 210.95 3.2M 5M 189.97
Current. Doji at the 50 day EMA, but holding that level on the close. Will see if it can squeeze out anymore upside but tightened the stop in case the market weakens once more.
MBT 01/19 Test 50 85.21 -1.39 86.38 96.95 2.1M 2.4M 84.77
Buy Not Issued. Not showing the action we want to see and indeed after its failure to bounce well we are looking at it as a downside play as the rebound runs out of gas.
MLNM 01/16 Asc Bse 14.65 0.00 16.86 20.45 3.7M 7M 15.68
Current. Again with the close at the 50 day EMA on low volume. Gapped lower to start the week but managed to hold this key level so we are letting it hold and looking for a bounce off this support.
MO 01/05 Test 50 73.95 -0.94 76.65 85.95 15M 12M 77.15
Exited. Gapped higher and tapped the 50 day EMA on the high then rolled over. With volume rising after a bounce we decided to close it since it could not take out key resistance.
MOS 01/17 Test 50 91.40 +0.14 82.38 99.00 9.2M 6M 79.21
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and gave it back. Too many gaps for us to really take part in the move. Dropping it for now and will watch to see if it can set back up for us upside or downside.
OMCL 01/23 DB hdl 28.53 -0.76 29.55 33.95 726K 550K 27.54
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but closed lower on the session. Still in its pattern so just going to sit tight and let it test and see if it can show us another entry point.
PBR 01/22 Trnd Rv 104.62 +2.19 97.94 111.95 9.1M 10M 102.57
Target Hit. Took some gain as PBR gapped higher to the 50 day SMA and showed a doji. Took some 9% stock and 33% option gain, not a bad turn for the week.
PPDI 01/23 Test BO 43.65 -0.41 45.22 51.95 614K 1.4M 43.68
Buy Not Hit. Still in the test, working laterally over the 50 day EMA on low volume, setting up for the next break higher when this overall market bounce ends and medical stocks are sought after once more.
RIG 01/19 Trnd Rv 127.11 -0.91 125.25 138.95 8.9M 10M 122.38
Buy Not Hit. Not sure if we want to chase this one or not. Not in bad shape though it did gap higher and reversed to close lower. Tough pattern to buy at this point, but if the market holds this pullback from Friday it is in good position to continue higher and still within buy range.
RIMM 01/22 Test 20 91.05 -3.95 90.45 103.95 27M 35M 85.05
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher again but then reversed to close negative. Lower volume and still not a bad pattern. A bit more test to start the week and a turn back up would be a decent entry point.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 65.13 +1.93 63.18 72.45 28M 30M 62.94
Entered today. Gapped lower as the market moved higher, and then reversed with a nice bounce off the 18 day EMA as the market sold back (moves inverse to the market). We moved in as it made the bounce as the indices were waffling at near resistance.
SPY 01/17 Trnd Rv 133.04 -1.95 131.34 141.94 270M 250M 133.11
Target Hit. Took the rest of the 30% gain off the table as it gapped and then started to reverse at the 10 day EMA.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 86.22 +1.32 85.77 97.95 10M 10M 82.05
Entered today. Turned up as the Russell 2000 turned and sold off. Nice pullback to test and a nice technical bounce.
UPL 01/10 Test BO 65.66 -1.69 73.63 83.95 966K 1.5M 71.77
Exited. After a nice surge off the 200 day SMA UPL gapped higher Friday over the 50 day EMA, but then it struggled and started to come back. We took the position off the table and it closed below the 90 day SMA.
VIP 01/23 Test 20 33.18 -1.03 34.13 40.95 5.2M 5.5M 32.22
Current. Gapped nicely higher but then reversed and closed negative on rising trade. (managed to hold some support at 32.50, so let it hold over to the next week to see if the market rebounds and it bounces off of this support.
VIVO 01/16 Test BO 32.60 -0.10 34.68 40.95 221K 425K 32.66
Current. Struggled a bit on the week along with most medical stocks but it held up quite well on lower trade to send the week. No issues.
VSEA 01/19 Trnd Rv 32.03 -1.37 34.55 39.45 5.8M 2M 33.08
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower and recovered as the chip sector received downgrades. Didn't make the bounce with the market so we are going to drop it but will keep an eye on it and the chips as the did show some signs of life last week.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
DIA 01/24 Put 122.19 -1.24 122.65 113.55 20M 26M 123.98
Entered today. When the Dow started pussyfooting around the 10 day EMA we closed the upside play and started nibbling at some downside positions. Can still rise higher from here, but the action was sluggish and it was worth looking into some downside.
IWM 01/24 Put 68.47 -0.50 69.33 65.85 95M 15M 70.15
Buy Not Issued. Turned back from the 18 day EMA and sold back. We bought the TWM (the upside ultrashort ETF for the Russell), but if IWM continued lower this week it is still a buy.
NILE 01/24 Put 56.44 +0.01 55.32 47.45 536K 850K 57.31
Buy Not Hit. Tempted up as it showed a doji at the 18 day EMA Friday, an indication the bounce is over, but decided to wait to see if it does turn back to start the coming week.
End part 2 of 3
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