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us stock market, stock picking
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGN 01/28 Rolling 64.37 -0.67 64.55 69.50 5.6M 2.5M 62.87
Buy Not Issued. Sold a bit harder Wednesday out of the Tuesday downside as AGN broke support from the 200 day SMA here midweek on explosive volume. Still managing to hold keep the early January low and late November low as support but has to hold here.
BLK 01/22 Test 50 216.00 -3.45 206.32 222.45 1.1M 788K 216.32
Target Hit. Took some nice 45.9% option gain ($740/contract) as BLK took a short step lower on high volume with a high reach intraday.
CCC 01/26 Asc Bse 14.90 -0.44 16.21 19.75 554K 1.1M 15.17
Buy Not Hit. Faded back a bit Wednesday in this Asc bse as CCC shows rising, below average volume here midweek. Setting up for the next bounce higher in the base as it closed at key support from the 50 day EMA. Watching for the buy from there.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 20.65 -0.15 21.89 25.95 2.7M 1.2M 20.88
Current. Continued its test a bit lower here with the market selling some on Wednesday. High volume for CHT here midweek as it rests at support from the 18 day EMA and looks to make its next bounce higher in the Asc Bse soon.
CHU 01/26 Asc Tri 23.48 +0.10 23.77 28.75 1.9M 2.5M 22.11
Buy Not Issued. Fading, above average volume as CHU posted a quiet step higher with a doji Wednesday. Looks to be running out of gas here in the move higher late this month. Stalling here at the prior January high and late November high and need to see it break this point and push higher for the buy.
CLHB 01/29 DB hdl 54.01 -0.64 55.75 63.95 254K 400K 52.65
Buy Not Hit. Took a bit of a rest Wednesday on below average volume to test the 50 day SMA near 53 intraday and hold the 10 day EMA at the close. Nice DB hdl base here and just needs stronger volume to resume the Tuesday push higher and give us the buy.
CPHD 01/07 Cup hdl 30.31 -0.92 28.64 34.35 1M 1M 30.32
Current. Still resting from the early January high on rising, below average volume as it held the 18 day EMA at the close Wednesday. Staying inside the low 30s/29s in this rest and looks good to resume the Cup hdl move higher once volume picks up.
CSX 01/23 Cup 47.85 +0.14 46.31 51.95 6.1M 6.5M 46.31
Current. CSX resting at the top of the late January high a bit this week on rising, below average volume and ready to resume the Cup base higher once strong volume returns. Otherwise looking pretty good in this short breather.
DXD 01/28 Test 18 56.99 +0.79 57.55 65.00 6.8M 5.9M 55.94
Buy Not Issued. Looks ready after this reversal here in late January. Held the 18 day EMA at the close with a deep reach intraday near 54 and ready to jump one out of the bottom of this pullback soon.
FDP 01/16 Asc Bse 31.25 -0.07 35.45 42.65 970K 1.2M 33.11
Current. Needs to hold the line here as it closed flat with a doji Wednesday on above average volume. Holding the mid December low and watching closely to see if it sells any lower out of this late January pullback.
FWLT 01/17 Test 20 68.14 -0.91 64.72 73.50 2.7M 2.2M 67.31
Current. Looks a bit heavy here, i.e. it could roll back from here after this low volume for a third consecutive session and the doji at under the 18 day EMA Wednesday. Watching closely as FWLT stays above the late November lows as support here, needs to stay above this level.
HD 01/29 Trnd Rv 29.38 -0.33 30.21 34.00 20M 22M 28.89
Buy Not Hit. Quiet session for HD Wednesday with rising, now above average volume as it closed flat, resting from the late January breakout. Just need it to wake up here and head uphill again on this rising volume for the buy.
HLEX 01/22 Cup hdl 27.84 -0.51 29.45 35.95 227K 440K 27.75
Buy Not Hit. HLEX still in its pullback here midweek on below average volume as it sold a bit lower past support from the 50 day EMA. Not too fond of HLEX breakout support here as it just couldn't find a bottom and decided to drop.
HMSY 01/26 Test 50 31.56 -0.54 33.45 38.95 208K 456K 31.78
Buy Not Hit. Resting a bit more at the 50 day EMA this week at the testing low of its mid January high. Holding key support on rising, below average volume and looks good to bounce soon. Watching for the buy from there.
HUM 12/12 Cup hdl 79.61 -0.42 77.91 89.95 1.1M 2.4M 84.38
Current. Light selling Wednesday on below average volume to hold the early November high as support at the close. Doji here midweek as HUM sets up to resume the Cup hdl base higher. Just needs stronger volume.
HWAY 01/28 Test BO 55.85 -10.52 67.21 77.31 6.6M 700K 63.25
Buy Not Hit. Insane boost of volume for HWAY Wednesday as it fell through the floor with a huge gap lower here midweek. No point in sticking around here anymore. Dropping.
IMA 01/07 Dbl btm 43.80 -4.30 59.21 69.95 3.3M 1.2M 59.92
Exited. Had to see it hold at the Monday and Tuesday low but just couldn't do it Wednesday as it posted some rough selling on high volume. No choice but to bail on this one.
MA 01/22 Test 20 189.00 -2.46 190.31 210.95 3.7M 5M 189.97
Current. Surged then purged Wednesday on rising, now average volume. Needs to hold in this range as it rests from the mid January rebound off the 200 day SMA and continue the move.
MLNM 01/16 Asc Bse 14.99 +0.09 16.86 20.45 5.1M 7M 15.68
Current. MLNM resting some more here near the 50 day EMA as it held the average intraday and closed flat. Still inside its consolidation range between 14.50 and 16.50 started back in late November and doing a great job of holding support along this area. Just needs stronger volume to get the next bounce higher in the Asc Bse going.
MON 01/17 Trnd Rv 111.56 +1.23 103.57 114.95 7.5M 8.1M 107.48
Current. Doji in the decent move higher for MON Wednesday as it picked up some above average volume. Not looking half bad here, gradually making its way up from the mid January test of the 90 day SMA. In good shape to continue higher with volume picking up here.
NUVA 01/15 Test 50 39.05 -0.81 41.12 49.32 468K 395K 39.65
Current. Sold a bit lower on above average volume Wednesday and broke support from the 50 day EMA in this volatile test of the January high. Needs to turn the tide and do it right away.
OMCL 01/23 DB hdl 26.33 -1.57 28.85 33.95 634K 550K 27.54
Buy Not Issued. Saw a boost in volume as OMCL sold hard Wednesday past key support at the 50 day EMA near 27. Not too fond of this negative action and decided to drop.
PFCB 01/28 Trnd Rv 27.24 -1.02 28.48 32.75 858K 1.5M 26.77
Buy Not Issued. Below average volume here as PFCB stalls at the mid December high some more this week. Need to see a pickup in volume to get PFCB moving higher past this prior high for the buy.
PPDI 01/23 Test BO 44.00 -0.40 45.22 51.95 957K 1.4M 43.68
Buy Not Hit. Holds a bit longer at its testing low along 44 this week with fading, above average volume. Doji Wednesday for PPDI as it looks good to bounce soon once volume returns. Watching for the buy there.
QID 01/26 Test 18 50.21 +0.12 51.57 57.32 42M 39M 48.48
Current. Sold as the market rallied and then stormed back as it sold back off. Doji as it tapped the 18 day EMA intraday at 48 on high volume with QID still in decent shape at the low of its late January pullback.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 63.62 +1.42 63.18 72.45 35M 30M 62.94
Current. Sold as the market pushed upside but then rebounded intraday. Really looks ready to rock and roll and looking at more positions here after this high volume session and modest gains.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 85.06 +3.23 85.77 97.95 13M 10M 82.05
Current. Deep reach lower intraday on high volume but rebounded to hold the 18 day EMA as support and post some pretty decent gains. Looks good to resume the Dbl btm move higher from here on this strong volume. Impressive.
VIP 01/23 Test 20 33.80 -0.52 34.13 40.95 4.4M 5.5M 32.22
Current. Looking heavy here at the 90 day SMA with a second consecutive doji on rising, above average volume. Any weakness means cut the cord here as it cannot break support from the key 90 day SMA.
VIVO 01/16 Test BO 31.19 -0.99 34.68 40.95 279K 425K 32.66
Current. Low volume as it gapped and sold a bit through Wednesday and closed near the 90 day SMA. Has to hold here as it did in December and early January.
VVUS 01/26 Test BO 6.05 -0.01 6.37 7.98 438K 750K 5.92
Current. Low volume doji to close flat Wednesday as VVUS continues to hold here near 6 at this January high. Just taking it easy for a bit and waiting for some stronger volume to return and take the Cup hdl higher.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGU 01/24 HdShldr 62.80 -0.36 61.92 53.00 3.3M 4M 57.59
Buy Not Issued. Above average volume for AGU Wednesday with a doji at the 50 day EMA to hold the average as support at the close. Need to see it break support here soon and head downhill for the buy.
CMG 01/29 HdShldr 115.07 -4.21 118.94 107.15 999K 1M 117.22
Continuing some smooth selling through this week on above average volume and looking good to continue even lower with the market relief bounce looking about done as the weekend approaches. Just waiting to see how it handles these prior January lows near 115 as well but expecting it to sell past them with no problem.
CMI 01/26 HdShldr 48.52 +0.21 47.97 42.15 3.2M 4.5M 48.45
Buy Not Issued. Holding a bit here at the 10 day EMA on average volume a CMI looks to have topped in its rebound here in late January. Just waiting for it to break what little support is left at the 10 day EMA and head downhill for the buy.
DIA 01/30 Put 123.78 -0.76 124.12 113.55 25M 26M 125.32
Entered today. Just could not resist the tombstone doji from the Dow showed so we added to our position. High volume with a high reach intraday as it sold from there to post what looks to be the beginning of some nice, downside action.
DIA 01/24 Put 123.78 -0.76 122.65 113.55 25M 26M 123.98
Current.
EDU 01/29 Put 52.25 -2.89 54.77 47.75 1.2M 750K 54.31
Buy Not Issued. Continued its selling Wednesday with a gap lower and early sell off. It got away from us on that move. Sometimes that happens and we were not ready to jump in early given the FOMC meeting and a likely bounce. Turns out it would have worked, but we had to practice a bit of discipline. Rebounded off the low and if it comes back some more we might get another chance to move in.
FLR 01/26 Put 119.91 -4.23 120.77 110.25 2.3M 2.3M 122.69
Entered today. Jumped in on FLR Wednesday as it finally got the volume it needed and turned down from the 10 day EMA. The start of some great selling here of resistance from the 10 day EMA. Awesome.
IWM 01/24 Put 69.22 -0.88 69.57 65.85 126M 15M 70.88
Current. Tombstone doji on the candlestick chart at the 18 day EMA indicates this bounce is history and expecting some strong selling from here. High volume Wednesday as IWM sold past the 10 day EMA with a high intraday reach.
MCRS 01/26 Put 60.00 -0.63 59.88 53.75 300K 500K 61.38
Buy Not Issued. Rallied through the 200 day SMA then gave it up on the close showing a tombstone doji. That indicates it is ready to fall.. High reach intraday for MCRS as it tapped 62 and sold from there to post a short step lower on rising, below average volume. Just need stronger selling volume in a move downhill for the buy and looks good to do just that here shortly.
NILE 01/24 Put 50.79 -2.37 53.22 45.45 544K 850K 53.22
Current. NILE picked up the selling out of the Tuesday doji as it showed below average volume Wednesday and hit the 10 day EMA as resistance from some great selling.
XLF 01/28 Put 28.00 -0.58 27.47 25.00 213M 110M 28.89
Buy Not Hit. Surged through the 50 day EMA then reversed to close lower on some massive volume. Looks about ready to fall soon after the high reach intraday. Watching for the buy once it shows some downside movement.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
stock picking
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