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us stock market, trade stock
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGP 01/15 Test BO 38.78 +1.26 40.45 48.48 846K 1M 38.45
Current. After touching down at the 90 day SMA early in the week, AGP is bouncing nicely, moving on rising, above average volume Friday as it moved past the November and December peaks. Nice recovery underway.
BAX 01/19 Test BO 61.51 +0.95 62.11 72.65 4.1M 5.1M 60.08
Buy Not Issued. Bouncing off the 50 day EMA and moving past the October and December peaks. Looks very interesting here for a break higher.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 65.57 -1.46 68.11 78.45 702K 875K 64.21
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but then faded back below the buy point on lower, average volume. Still at the 10 day EMA, still in good shape, and ready to move in when it shows us the move.
CCC 01/26 Asc Bse 15.63 +0.31 16.21 19.75 375K 1.1M 15.17
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher but on very low volume. Still in the pattern, still looking for a strong break higher.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 21.21 +0.21 21.89 25.95 2.9M 1.2M 20.88
Current. Nice volume surge Friday as CHT picked up the pace in its move higher along the 18 day EMA. Slow week, recovering from the prior week's selling, but doing the job for now.
CHU 01/26 Asc Tri 25.07 +1.40 23.77 28.75 1.5M 2.5M 22.11
Buy Not Issued. Low volume assent had us second guessing about entering. We held off, anticipating it may show a bit of weakness early this coming week and we can use that to move in as it rebounds from that.
CLHB 01/29 DB hdl 57.19 +1.71 55.75 63.95 384K 400K 55.75
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and ran away from us on Friday. We will be patient, not chase the bus, and let it come back and test. We can move in as it holds that test and bounces.
CPHD 01/07 Cup hdl 31.02 +0.48 28.64 34.35 838K 1M 30.32
Current. Spent the week testing, coming back to the 18 day EMA (30.09) where it is making a higher low. That is what we want to see as it continues its advance up this support level.
CSX 01/23 Cup 49.93 +1.47 46.31 51.95 6.2M 6.5M 48.44
Current. Nice week for the rails and CSX was leading with a strong break higher off the 10 day EMA. Heading toward the July peak at 51.88, but looking strong as it heads toward a test with that prior peak.
DRYS 01/31 Rev HS 74.29 -0.14 75.11 89.95 4.9M 4.8M 72.15
Buy Not Issued. Jumped out of the blocks again but could not do anything with it as volume dried up and the initial move sputtered and faded to flat. Still in good shape, but a few days moving laterally over the 50 day EMA (72.46) and it is ready to take off.
DXD 01/28 Test 18 53.70 -1.20 56.12 65.00 5.2M 5.9M 55.48
Buy Not Issued. DJ30 inverse ETF. Tough week. Held the 18 day EMA nicely Wednesday on the market reversal post-FOMC, but then after gapping higher Thursday, it sold that session and on Friday, back to just over the 50 day EMA. DJ30 is at 12,750 resistance and we anticipate a test back down soon. Needs it.
ECLP 01/31 DB hdl 25.43 -0.31 26.39 30.45 1.1M 600K 24.88
Buy Not Hit. Big volume as ECLP took the day off, fading back after gapping higher. Still working on the handle and still forming up nicely.
FDP 01/16 Asc Bse 33.24 +1.27 35.45 42.65 454K 1.2M 33.11
Current. Back from the comatose, FDP bounced back up through the 50 day EMA after giving it up to start the week. Good start to a recovery.
FWLT 01/17 Test 20 71.80 +3.33 64.72 73.50 2.7M 2.2M 69.92
Current. Nice surge Friday though on low volume as FWLT continues its recovery from the test of the 200 day SMA two weeks back. It is now up to the 90 day SMA (72.62), and there is resistance from there up to 77.50ish. Any inroads it can make into that, great; we will let it do just that but we will be ready to lock it up and take the gain if it stalls.
GG 01/30 Test BO 36.75 -0.48 39.31 45.45 8.4M 10M 36.65
Buy Not Hit. Faded Thursday and Friday, but just to the 18 day EMA where it is holding the line and still in the short reverse head and shoulders, in great position to break higher.
HD 01/29 Trnd Rv 30.45 -0.19 30.57 34.00 17M 22M 29.11
Current. After a strong break higher Thursday, HD took the day off on low, below average volume as it tests one if its trendlines off the August peak (at 30.65). It may take another day or two to rest but it is still in great position to rally on up to the 200 day SMA.
HMSY 01/26 Test 50 31.51 -0.09 33.45 38.95 293K 456K 31.78
Buy Not Hit. Still hugging the 50 day EMA on low volume after the pullback to test a nice run. Taking its rest and readying to move higher again.
HUM 12/12 Cup hdl 81.84 +2.32 77.91 89.95 1.6M 2.4M 80.22
Current. Nice break higher off the 50 day EMA test as HUM, after a couple of weeks, gets its feet back under it, clearing the December peak in the process. Good start, but it needs more trade to push past the gap down point at 84.
JPM 01/31 Trnd Rv 48.25 +0.85 48.55 55.55 49M 45M 46.32
Entered today. Volume backed off a hair but was still strong and well above average as JPM continued higher off its test of the 200 day SMA after breaking through that level on Tuesday. The move took it past the August, September, and December peaks, leaving it in good position to further its rally after this test.
MLNM 01/16 Asc Bse 15.36 +0.19 16.86 20.45 5.8M 7M 15.68
Current. Volume was up Friday as MLNM broke off the 50 day EMA where it has worked laterally for the past two weeks. Not a huge surge, not flashy, as MLNM continues working in its 2 month base.
NUVA 01/28 Flat 40.25 +0.84 42.55 49.32 439K 395K 39.65
Buy Not Hit. Still working through its base, coming back Thursday and Friday after an early week dip toward the bottom of the 13 week pattern. Rising volume as it came back and have to like that.
OTEX 01/30 Test 50 31.59 +0.71 31.62 37.44 590K 825K 30.12
Entered today. Not huge volume, but there was strong trade Thursday and OTEX was continuing that move Friday so we moved into some positions on a nice price move.
PFCB 01/28 Trnd Rv 29.22 +0.78 28.77 32.75 874K 1.5M 27.11
Current. Continued higher off the strong price and volume move Thursday. Excellent action ready to take it up to the next level.
PPDI 01/23 Test BO 43.29 -0.07 44.68 51.95 1M 1.4M 43.60
Buy Not Hit. Nice second doji on the candlestick chart at the 50 day EMA as it continues its test right above the top of its prior base. Looks ready; just needs to show the move.
QID 01/30 Test 18 47.02 -1.95 50.96 57.32 36M 39M 48.48
Current. Gapped lower on the MSFT/YHOO deal. Managed to hold near the 18 day EMA. NASDAQ has lagged and looking for it to turn here. It needs to turn in short order, and with the rally getting long in the tooth that should start this week.
QID 01/26 Test 18 47.02 -1.95 51.57 57.32 36M 39M 48.48
Current.
SDS 01/30 Test 18 59.10 -2.40 61.45 72.45 25M 25M 62.94
Buy Not Hit.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 59.10 -2.40 63.18 72.45 25M 30M 62.94
Current. Tough week for the downside on SP500, at least on Thursday and Friday. Gapped higher Thursday but reversed as the market reversed, then gapped lower Friday on the YHOO deal and could not recover. As with QID, getting close to resistance and that means this selling here is close to turning back, and we can use that to move in again as the next selloff gets underway.
TJX 01/31 DB hdl 32.10 +0.49 32.07 36.95 7.4M 6.5M 30.31
Entered today. Volatile week, but all the while working laterally in the handle to its base. Strong volume Thursday as JPM started toward the breakout, and though trade slowed some Friday, it was still strong as it made the breakout.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 76.08 -4.58 85.77 97.95 8.1M 10M 82.05
Current. Small caps had quite a week and after looking ready to roll back over Thursday on the gap higher they rallied and pushed TWM down. Friday they gapped higher pushing TWM to the 50 day SMA on the close. It should bounce here, but it has a lot of work to do.
VIP 01/23 Test 20 35.80 +1.40 34.13 40.95 3.8M 5.5M 33.89
Current. Spent the week fighting back. Slow action, but it was steady as VIP recovered up to tap the 50 day EMA on the Friday high. Low trade so it may have some trouble here, and if it does we have to be ready to shut it down.
VIVO 01/16 Test BO 32.56 +1.15 34.68 40.95 472K 425K 32.66
Current. Great volume Friday after a low volume test of the 90 day SMA for the week. Volume jumped and so did price. Very nice action.
VVUS 01/26 Test BO 5.57 -0.49 6.37 7.98 1.3M 750K 5.92
Current. Tough session, selling fast early and thumping down below the 50 day EMA intraday but then rebounding to close at the 50 day SMA. Given it rebounded to hold the 50 day we left it to see if it will rebound next week to ward 5.80.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CMI 01/26 HdShldr 46.94 -1.41 47.97 42.15 7.5M 4.5M 48.45
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the high and then faded to close just below the 10 day EMA as volume jumped. On a further fade this week the downside buy is on.
CNH 01/30 HdShldr 49.99 +0.69 49.45 43.21 820K 850K 51.77
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher, tapped the 10 day EMA (51.27) on the high, and then faded and showed a doji on the candlestick chart. Perfect set up for the downside move in the coming week.
DIA 01/30 Put 127.43 +1.43 124.12 113.55 18M 26M 125.32
Current. Continued the move higher, rallying right up to next resistance at 127.50 and on low volume just as with the Dow. Key test point and after the Dow has rallied 1180 points off the low and is at resistance. Cannot keep this pace up indefinitely, and it will need that test of that last low.
DIA 01/24 Put 127.43 +1.43 122.65 113.55 18M 26M 123.98
Current.
FLR 01/26 Put 126.17 +4.68 120.77 110.25 1.5M 2.3M 122.69
Current. Some more upside ground on Friday, coming close to the 200 day SMA (127.11) on the close. Very low, below average volume, and anticipating another turn lower that we are looking to exploit to the downside again.
IWM 01/24 Put 72.63 +1.69 69.57 65.85 101M 15M 70.88
Current. Gapped higher and tapped at the November low, the next resistance point. Small caps continue to run higher on the Fed cut. Now at resistance on some low Friday volume we will see if that will push it back.
XLF 01/28 Put 29.68 +0.54 28.54 25.00 132M 110M 29.57
Buy Not Hit. Continued higher, holding the break over the 50 day EMA for the second session. We will continue to watch it but dropping for now.
End part 2 of 3
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