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us stock market, trade stock
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGP 01/15 Test BO 38.13 +0.14 40.45 48.48 914K 1M 38.45
Current. Not bad at all as AGP hugs some support at 38, working laterally the past few sessions after bouncing off the 90 day MA last week. Good upside trade Thursday as it held support. In position to resume the bounce but it is getting to the point it needs to actually do that.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 67.20 +3.90 68.11 78.45 1M 875K 64.21
Buy Not Issued. Very strong volume as BVN broke higher. Looks ready to make the breakout move.
BZP 02/06 Test BO 13.98 +0.01 14.12 16.95 491K 850K 13.13
Buy Not Issued. Tried the move but no volume to back it and it closed flat. Still coming off a nice test of the 10 day EMA and still a buy if it can make the upside move.
CCC 01/26 Asc Bse 15.52 +0.12 16.21 19.75 417K 1.1M 15.17
Buy Not Issued. Not doing much but still in a nice pattern, marking its time until it makes the break. Will keep watching it and when we see the volume spike on some upside moves that is the sign we need.
CHNR 02/04 Dbl btm 21.41 +0.45 23.32 29.97 691K 550K 21.69
Buy Not Issued. Still looking very nice to make the break higher. Volume is creeping back up, a positive for the break higher.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 20.41 +0.28 21.89 25.95 1.3M 1.2M 20.88
Current. Holding the 50 day EMA (20.12) on low volume after that Tuesday gap lower, bouncing on rising trade Thursday. Still in the game, just needs to get some hits.
CHU 01/26 Asc Tri 23.60 +0.69 23.77 28.75 998K 2.5M 22.11
Buy Not Issued. All over the map of late, but now it looks as if it is setting up a pattern we can buy. It held the 18 day EMA on the test this week and is bouncing. Some volume as it does will be a buy signal.
CMED 02/04 Test BO 47.86 -0.38 50.55 58.45 386K 935K 48.15
Buy Not Hit. Tapped at the 50 day EMA on the low and reversed to close basically flat. In excellent position, just needs to show us an excellent break higher.
COIN 02/04 Test 18 9.48 +0.21 10.38 12.95 474K 978K 9.48
Current. It got a bit ahead of itself on Tuesday and came back, but it held the 18 day EMA and looks very nice to make a strong break higher.
CREE 02/02 Cup hdl 31.80 +2.20 31.47 36.75 5.4M 3M 29.91
Current. Outstanding surge in volume as CREE broke higher off the 18 day EMA test. A move over 32 on continued volume is a new buy point.
DXD 01/28 Test 18 58.00 -0.45 56.12 65.00 9.4M 5.9M 55.48
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher as the market started weak then fell back near the 10 day EMA as it recovered, then rebounded to close just about flat as the market faded in the afternoon. DJ30 is toying w/the 10 day EMA.
ECLP 01/31 DB hdl 24.81 +0.28 25.28 30.45 380K 600K 24.21
Buy Not Hit. Holding the 50 day EMA and bouncing on some rising volume Thursday. Still in the pattern, and still waiting, waiting, waiting, for the breakout move.
FLIR 02/02 Cup 31.93 +0.08 33.21 39.85 2M 1.6M 30.89
Buy Not Issued. Very nice looking with a hold at the 50 day EMA and rising, above average volume as it trades in a narrow range. Just waiting for the break higher.
HD 01/29 Trnd Rv 28.40 +0.75 30.57 34.00 21M 22M 29.11
Current. Decent session on its same store sales results but it could not punch through the 90 day SMA at 29.15, falling back from that level. This is where it needs to show us something.
ILMN 02/02 Test BO 66.60 -2.15 68.11 78.45 2.3M 1.2M 64.57
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower but held the 18 day EMA on the low and bounced. Still in the test and still can make the next break higher.
JPM 01/31 Trnd Rv 45.11 +1.39 48.55 55.55 37M 45M 46.32
Current. Good recovery, coming off the 50 day EMA on rising, above average volume. Still recovering from that gap lower from 46, and that makes 46 the key level to move through along with the 200 day SMA at 46.50.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 28.68 +0.08 30.11 34.95 1.3M 3.4M 28.22
Buy Not Hit. Completed the test down to the 50 day EMA and bounced. Now we see if volume can ramp up as it makes the break over the highs in the pattern off of what looks to be a higher low in the making.
OTEX 01/30 Test 50 31.50 -0.20 31.62 37.44 1.3M 825K 30.77
Current. Nice tap at the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounding for a modest loss. Still in a very nice pattern, making a higher low over key support. That sets it up for a nice run higher.
PFCB 01/28 Trnd Rv 26.73 +0.78 28.77 32.75 1.2M 1.5M 27.11
Current. One of the retailers that broke higher and reversing its trend, then falling back to test. Bounced Thursday on rising, above average volume, so we see if this reversal of the trend can continue.
QID 01/30 Test 18 52.25 -1.39 50.96 57.32 57M 39M 51.88
Current. Gapped higher on the lower open then reversed as the market recovered after Chambers' 'never mind' interview on CNBC.
QID 01/26 Test 18 52.25 -1.39 51.57 57.32 57M 39M 51.88
Current.
SDS 01/30 Test 18 64.22 -0.75 63.28 72.45 35M 25M 63.38
Current. Gapped higher as well on that lower open, then faded to the 10 day EMA as the market recovered. On the close it was off the lows. SP500 is trying to bounce but is still below the 10 day EMA near resistance.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 64.22 -0.75 63.18 72.45 35M 30M 63.38
Current.
SVNT 02/06 Test 50 20.70 -0.40 21.33 25.95 1.2M 2M 20.22
Buy Not Issued. Bounced, trying to continue the Wednesday move, but volume fell way back below average and SVNT sagged to the close. Still over the 10 and 18 day EMA and still in excellent position to continued higher. Nice.
TJX 01/31 DB hdl 31.27 +0.39 32.07 36.95 7.6M 6.5M 30.31
Current. Gapped lower but held the 18 day EMA and bounced to position on strong above average volume. Excellent position to continue the pattern and deliver the breakout.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 81.01 -2.59 85.77 97.95 9.8M 10M 82.05
Current. Gapped higher on the early downside but then sold off to the 18 day EMA again as the small caps were the market leaders. Even with that, the small cap index stalled at the 10 day EMA on the session.
VVUS 01/26 Test BO 5.97 +0.07 6.37 7.98 593K 750K 5.92
Current. Holding at the 10 day EMA on its test, still in very good shape.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 02/04 Put 121.24 -0.76 131.12 124.00 74M 46M 122.88
Dumped lower once more down near 117 and then started to bounce. Time to take some off the table after such a thrashing.
CMI 01/26 HdShldr 48.14 +1.12 47.97 42.15 2.7M 4.5M 48.45
Buy Not Issued. Still sliding laterally and slightly lower along the 18 day EMA. Waiting to see if it will show us the break lower.
CNH 01/30 HdShldr 45.41 -0.79 47.65 41.54 759K 850K 47.25
Current. Not a massively harsh break lower, but finished lower on rising, average volume. Didn't participate in the rebound, an indication it is going to break lower again. 45 is a key level that is some support trying to hold.
DIA 01/30 Put 122.73 +0.47 124.12 113.55 21M 26M 123.44
Current. Bounced toward the 10 day EMA (123.91), tapping toward that level again on the high before selling off again. Managed a late bounce to post a gain on rising trade. Still expecting a decline without breaching the near resistance on any short bounce here.
DIA 01/24 Put 122.73 +0.47 122.65 113.55 21M 26M 123.44
Current.
ESRX 02/04 HdShldr 62.70 +0.57 63.48 67.45 2.9M 3.5M 63.04
Current. Sold off to 60.47 but then bounced on rising volume, though still well below average. This action set up something of a short double bottom, so watching this closely. There is still that gap higher down at 57 and another one below that near 51.
FCX 02/06 HdShldr 87.06 +2.09 84.91 77.55 13M 13M 87.44
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower and looked like refried beans, but it bounced back to close just below the 10 day EMA. Volume jumped up to average. Still looking for a rollover here, and if it does, we have a great buy to the downside.
FLR 01/26 Put 107.00 -5.43 120.77 110.25 3.9M 2.3M 108.21
Target Hit. Took some nice gain off the table as FLR ripped lower on strong volume. There is a gap up from late June at 105.48. If it hits and holds there we will lock in some more gain.
IBM 02/05 Put 102.34 -1.25 103.92 99.15 11M 9.5M 103.38
Current. Gapped lower and hit 100.60 on the low. We were loving it and then it jumped back up to cut its losses on the close. Got a bruise on the butt after kicking myself for not taking some gain on that move, but still looking for more downside on this leg.
IWM 01/24 Put 70.11 +1.15 69.57 65.85 122M 15M 70.54
Current. Small caps were leaders and this play bounced up to tap the 18 day EMA (70.44) on the high & then fade to close below the 10 day EMA (70.15). Want to see it fail here.
NOV 02/02 Put 58.70 +0.85 62.54 56.25 9.3M 6.5M 58.77
Sold off more down to 55.80 on the low, hitting the target. Then it started to rebound. Time to take some gain if you were in it. We will see how it tests the 200 day SMA (62) and if it fails there and rolls over we will look to play it again.
PCLN 02/05 Put 101.13 +7.77 95.45 86.05 2.7M 1.8M 94.11
Current. Painful surge off of that nasty selloff, tapping the 90 day SMA and the 10 and 18 day EMA as they come together near 102.50. Need to see it fail here, and if it does we will look at some more downside positions.
PCP 02/06 Put 110.00 +1.20 108.21 100.15 2.2M 2M 111.88
Buy Not Issued. Bounced back up after selling to 106.33 on the low. Still below the 10 day EMA (111.39) and if it rolls over from there it will be a buy.
PG 02/05 Put 65.77 +0.46 64.88 61.85 16M 12M 66.21
Buy Not Issued. Tried to move lower but held the line and bounced. Moved through the 10 day EMA (65.92) on the high but then gave it up on the close as it faded back. Will be patient and just let PG show us if it is going to make the break lower.
SU 02/06 Dbl Top 92.07 +0.81 90.08 85.11 2.4M 2.6M 93.11
Entered today. Started selling fast and we moved in only to see oil reverse its slide and take SU with it up to tap the 10 day EMA on the high before fading back to close. Unimpressive volume so looking for SU to roll over here. Some weakening in oil prices would help; the dollar was up again so that helped oil and thus SU.
UTX 02/06 HdShldr 71.47 -0.40 71.44 67.38 7.3M 5.5M 78.05
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower and did not snap back as did many stocks. It did recover into the close, however, and we pulled back given that action and the doji it showed on the close. Might try to bounce some toward the 10 or 18 day EMA (72.43) and then we will see if it turns over from there once more.
VLO 02/05 Put 57.13 +0.65 56.58 51.66 7.5M 9M 57.88
Current. Gapped lower ant tapped 55 on the low before rebounding to close positive. Lower, below average volume on the move, so no pop behind it, and thus likely to fail near 58 if it goes that far.
XLF 02/05 Put 27.58 +0.25 27.19 25.05 129M 115M 28.12
Current. Recovered from a gap lower, tapping the 10 and 18 day EMA on the high (27.94) before backing off some. Still as weak as a 90 pound weakling with the flu.
XOM 02/02 Put 81.89 +0.80 83.78 79.45 27M 27M 82.05
Current. Sharp selloff early down to 80.36 and then a bounce to close positive though well off its high. Lower volume so there was no strength on this bounce, just some relief move action.
End part 2 of 3
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