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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABMD 02/12 Rev HS 14.83 -0.02 15.81 18.95 197K 358K 14.85
Buy Not Hit. Moved laterally Tuesday and held the 50 day SMA at the close with below average volume. Just resting some more in the 15ish area through February and need to see ABMD bounce off support with strong volume for the buy.
ATW 02/13 Test 50 93.40 +3.03 91.18 104.65 701K 700K 89.91
Current. Sold lower from the Friday doji at the 200 day SMA and broke key support Monday in the downside movement so gave it the axe.
BTU 02/13 Dbl btm 58.97 +3.34 59.10 67.95 7.1M 7M 57.88
Entered today. Jumped in on BTU Tuesday with its high volume breakout off the Friday doji at the 50 day EMA. Bounced off key support to finally get the Dbl btm headed uphill again and on strong volume. Awesome.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 70.18 +2.33 70.12 79.95 611K 875K 68.12
Current. Doji in the gap higher for some modest gains on a boost of volume Tuesday. Nice Asc bse so far through early 08 and with the pickup in volume here is still looking pretty good.
CCC 02/16 Test BO 17.91 +0.17 17.91 21.45 482K 700K 16.97
Buy Not Issued.
CCC 01/26 Asc Bse 17.91 +0.17 16.89 20.55 482K 1.1M 16.97
Current. Short step higher on fading below average volume as CCC sets up to recover the Friday testing low. Just needs the volume to really get the next bounce in the Asc bse going but still in decent shape early this week above price support near 17.
CEDC 01/26 PreAnn 54.73 +0.20 56.05 63.95 485K 650K 54.77
Current. Deep reach lower intraday on above average volume near 52.7 below the 50 day EMA in the move laterally as CEDC held the 50 day SMA at the close. Nice job holding support and looks good to head uphill with volume picking up here.
CHNR 02/04 Dbl btm 22.86 +0.19 23.32 29.97 164K 550K 21.69
Buy Not Issued. Still resting at the pullback low from Friday of last week with low volume here at the key 50 day SMA. Just needs to see some stronger volume return to take this solid Dbl btm base higher and give us the buy.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 21.86 +0.02 21.89 25.95 849K 1.2M 21.11
Current. Stalling some more at the late January high on fading low volume and just resting for now in the low 20s. Waiting for stronger trade to push it uphill again after this quick breather.
CLF 02/09 PreAnn 122.26 +4.70 109.22 124.95 3.1M 1.6M 118.48
Gapped and climbed through the session on explosive volume to take the Cup hdl into the low 120s finally and no signs of slowing from here. Very impressive.
CMED 02/04 Test BO 51.87 +0.26 51.68 59.45 343K 935K 51.45
Current. Climbed early on but sold late to the close with the market on low volume to hold the Friday low. Just lacking some solid trade levels to resume this Asc bse through the 50s, otherwise still looking alright just resting for now.
CTRP 02/16 Rev HS 50.86 -0.85 52.65 62.95 500K 1.2M 49.11
Buy Not Issued. Hit the 50 day SMA at the Tuesday high and sold from there to close with a short step lower from the Friday bounce. Waiting for a solid move higher from here in the Rev HS and some stronger volume for the buy.
DBC 02/12 Asc Bse 34.83 +1.10 33.83 37.95 920K 900K 33.48
Current. Huge gap higher on above average volume for some impressive gains for DBC Tuesday and with the strong volume looks to push even higher from here. Not bad at all.
FLO 02/07 Cup hdl 24.00 -0.31 24.87 28.48 371K 750K 23.91
Current. Sold lower in this test of the Cup hdl high on fading low volume back to support from the 18 day EMA. In good shape to resume the strong Cup hdl base higher once volume picks up with FLO off support here.
FMX 02/07 Rev HS 42.85 +1.90 39.86 45.85 2.6M 1.9M 40.98
Current. Gapped and climbed through the session but came back a bit off the intraday high and managed to still post some great gains. Strong volume all session looking to carry FMX to the mid 40s this week in the Rev HS base.
GES 02/14 Test 50 39.49 -0.81 40.21 45.25 1.1M 3M 38.89
Buy Not Issued. Sold back to support from the 50 day EMA and still resting at the Friday low early this week. Waiting for stronger trade to resume the early February breakout in the Dbl btm for the buy.
GIGM 02/16 DB hdl 19.50 -0.49 20.78 24.95 566K 1.6M 19.33
Buy Not Hit. Sold back to support from the 10 day EMA on low volume Tuesday. Quick pullback of the DB hdl high here near support from the 90 day SMA so no huge worries so far. Just need a bounce off support with stronger trade to give us the buy.
HES 02/16 DB hdl 94.09 +3.44 93.55 105.45 3.5M 7M 88.65
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher on low volume for some nice gains Tuesday. If it can continue it is a buy, but needs more volume. Nice DB hdl base too.
ILMN 02/16 Test BO 73.32 +1.37 72.32 82.95 1.5M 1.8M 69.11
Buy Not Issued. Gapped and traded up and down to close with a doji Tuesday. If can continue it is a buy and love this above average volume.
ILMN 02/02 Test BO 73.32 +1.37 69.86 79.95 1.5M 1.2M 69.11
Current.
ISRG 02/09 Test 50 290.50 -12.77 307.88 349.00 1.2M 1.9M 299.88
Current. Sold hard on below average volume through Tuesday back to hold support at the 90 day SMA at the close. Needs to hold the line here.
JEC 02/13 Dbl btm 77.31 +1.49 79.75 95.75 1.2M 2.5M 75.68
Buy Not Hit. Modest gains Tuesday on low volume to jump above the 18 day EMA and hold the average at the close. Set in a nice Dbl btm base and just needs to take the base higher to give us the buy point.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 34.09 +1.49 30.78 36.45 1.8M 3.4M 32.22
Current. Great move higher on fading below average volume and showing no signs of slowing down early this week with KWK in a solid Rev HS base.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 204.20 -1.80 208.22 239.00 1.8M 5M 201.11
Current. Started uphill early Tuesday but turned with the market to post a short step lower on low volume. Held the 10 day EMA at the close and tapped the 50 day SMA(201.75) intraday. Quick pullback intraday with the market here and expecting MA to resume the Rev HS base higher from here again soon.
MM 02/07 PreAnn 56.43 +1.24 52.78 61.45 332K 450K 54.77
Current. Great move higher with volume picking up although still below average. Solid upside movement from late January continuing into mid February and in good shape to climb some more this week.
NOK 02/12 Rev HS 36.07 -0.04 37.88 43.65 12M 23M 35.98
Buy Not Hit. Climbed near 37 intraday but fell back from there on rising below average volume to post some lateral movement from the Friday low. Still holding key support from the 50 day EMA and waiting for a bounce off support here for the buy. Like the Rev HS base too.
OTEX 02/16 Cup hdl 33.13 -0.81 34.31 39.95 687K 1M 32.91
Buy Not Issued. Sold back to the 10 day EMA and held the average as support at the close. Quick pullback from the Cup hdl high here and in good shape to bounce from here off support soon. Watching for the buy once OTEX resumes the Cup hdl higher.
OTEX 01/30 Test 50 33.13 -0.81 31.62 37.44 687K 825K 33.88
Current.
POT 02/16 Rev HS 152.50 +4.62 152.59 172.95 8.5M 7.8M 146.88
Entered today. Nice gap higher as OTEX climbed from there but came back intraday to post a doji at the close. Great high volume and a nice Rev HS looking to take POT even higher from here. Awesome.
POT 01/12 Test 50 152.50 +4.62 143.11 164.32 8.5M 5.5M 149.38
Current.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 92.89 -2.30 92.30 105.95 17M 32M 94.44
Current. Sold a bit lower after tapping the 50 day EMA as resistance intraday. Still holding support from the 18 day EMA and need to see it make a third try and pass the 50 day EMA for the buy.
RIO 02/11 Test 20 33.50 +1.47 32.32 37.77 32M 28M 30.21
Buy Not Issued. RIO with an impressive gap higher Tuesday on high volume up and over the 90 day SMA but the gap made it hard to get into. Look for a test of the 90 day SMA(33.06) to set up the buy point.
RTN 02/07 Test BO 65.87 +0.22 67.15 76.95 1.8M 3M 65.77
Current. Resting here in the mid to upper 60s in mid February as it held support from the 10 day EMA Tuesday. Just on a short vacation after some great gains from late January and once trade picks up again RTN looks good to head uphill.
SPN 02/11 Dbl btm 43.77 +1.48 43.75 49.95 1M 1.2M 41.68
Entered today. Set up a great buy point with a strong gap higher on rising near average volume off the Friday pullback. Solid Dbl btm base here looking to carry SPN even higher through the week. Awesome.
STLD 02/14 Dbl btm 57.85 +3.47 55.97 65.95 2.1M 3M 52.89
Buy Not Issued. Big gap higher on above average volume for some impressive gains and now just waiting to see the test to jump in.
SVNT 02/06 Test 50 20.87 +0.28 21.33 25.95 603K 2M 20.22
Buy Not Issued. Resting some more in the low 20s on low volume with a short step higher to post a doji at the Tuesday close. Just needs a pickup in trade to get moving upside again and show a buy point.
TJX 01/31 DB hdl 29.73 -0.31 32.07 36.95 4.1M 6.5M 30.31
Current. Bottomed here at the 50 day SMA in the pullback from the early February high. Finally found its testing low and in good shape to bounce off key support soon once TJX gets some stronger trade.
VIP 02/12 Dbl btm 37.92 +1.14 38.36 45.65 3.9M 6M 35.77
Entered today. Gapped higher and climbed past the 50 day SMA for some excellent gains as we entered Tuesday. Good to see volume back to the average level with VIP taking a solid Dbl btm uphill here.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 77.63 +1.68 81.09 95.95 4.4M 7M 78.21
Current. Doji in the nice gap higher Tuesday on low volume with WFR setting up to take the Rev HS even higher this week. Hit some intraday resistance from the 50 day SMA(78.45) but in good shape to pass this temporary resistance with ease.
XTO 02/14 Test BO 57.72 +2.43 55.21 62.97 9.3M 7M 55.46
Current. XTO looking great early this week as it gapped high and climbed even higher through Tuesday on strong volume. Great Dbl btm base taking XTO into the upper 50s and looking good to climb some more from here.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CAM 02/12 Put 43.08 +1.72 41.44 37.32 3.7M 4.8M 43.08
Buy Not Issued. Couldn't hold resistance from the 18 day EMA and blasted higher on rising below average volume past the 18 day EMA and key 200 day SMA and knew it was time to drop.
CNH 01/30 HdShldr 49.25 +0.88 47.65 41.54 544K 850K 4615.0
Current. Holding resistance a bit long from the 18 day EMA Tuesday on rising below average volume and still in pretty good shape here. Expecting some selling soon once trade picks up and CNH can resume the early February downsides.
DIA 01/30 Put 123.68 +0.35 124.12 113.55 9.4M 26M 123.44
Current. Gapped through the 10 and 18 day EMA (123.69, 124.06) but reversed and closed back at the 10 day EMA on low volume. Still working laterally overall as the major indices try to consolidate the bounce off the January lows. Will see how it responds to the CPI; the HPQ news is going to give the Dow some strength and it is up to the CPI to dampen that.
DIA 01/24 Put 123.68 +0.35 122.65 113.55 9.4M 26M 123.44
Current.
GRMN 02/09 Put 69.50 +3.15 65.58 59.54 6.8M 5.5M 67.82
Current. Gapped higher and there was volume, but it was fading back with market so we will see if comes back to the 18 day EMA(68.12) or 10 day EMA(66.92)to test. If holds there we will close it, giving it has filled the tap. The gap lower then gap higher is not a good downside scenario (island reversal).
IBM 02/05 Put 105.00 -1.16 103.92 99.15 7.4M 9.5M 103.38
Current. Climbed early on Tuesday but fell from the intraday high with the market to post some more decent selling past support from the 50 day SMA. Looking good here in mid February to continue even lower with volume picking up in the selling.
INTC 02/14 Put 20.16 +0.05 20.32 18.75 66M 85M 20.98
Buy Not Issued. Holding support from the early February and late January low a bit longer here with a doji as INTC moved laterally Tuesday. Need to see INTC pickup some stronger selling volume to really take the move lower for the buy.
IWM 02/14 Put 70.73 +0.86 69.88 67.35 51M 98M 71.11
Buy Not Issued.
IWM 02/09 Put 70.73 +0.86 69.09 66.04 51M 15M 70.44
Current. Doji in the gap higher for some light gains Tuesday but pretty low volume in the session and expecting IWM to turn downside again soon.
LTD 02/16 Put 17.32 -0.23 17.68 16.05 3.1M 6M 18.16
Buy Not Issued. Ran higher early intraday before turning over with the market to close with a short step lower. Fading low volume here however and need to see LTD pickup the selling volume in the downsides for the buy.
PCLN 02/05 Put 122.61 -1.25 95.45 86.05 2.6M 1.8M 94.11
Current. Still looking to see if it will test back further after the nasty gap higher from Friday. 120 is the key level to see PCLN break this week.
QID 01/30 Test 18 51.48 +0.63 50.96 57.32 27M 39M 51.88
Current. Gapped lower intraday but bounced off support from the 18 day EMA there to post some light gains. Want to see QQQQ run downside from here as it is the inverse of QID. QQQQ was rallying some after hours on the HPQ earnings and will have to see if the bounce at the open holds.
QID 01/26 Test 18 51.48 +0.63 51.57 57.32 27M 39M 51.88
Current.
SDS 01/30 Test 18 62.78 -0.24 63.28 72.45 19M 25M 63.38
Current. Rallied but could not hold a move above the 10 day EMA. Working laterally as does the SP500 and waiting to see if it breaks higher or lower.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 62.78 -0.24 63.18 72.45 19M 30M 63.38
Current.
SU 02/06 Dbl Top 97.78 +1.42 90.08 85.11 2.5M 2.6M 93.11
Current. Doji in the short step higher at key resistance from the 50 day EMA to hold the average at the close. Just above average volume Tuesday and need to see SU hold this key resistance this week.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 81.02 -0.93 85.77 97.95 5.9M 10M 82.05
Current. The RUT-X is trying to recover from that short double top and the TWM is making a double bottom: they mirror each other. Looks solid but SP500 has yet to resolve its lateral move.
VLO 02/05 Put 60.66 +2.29 56.58 51.66 7.4M 9M 57.88
Current. Gapped higher as did many refiners. Stalled at the 50 day EMA on lower trade.. Will see if falls here.
XLF 02/05 Put 26.79 -0.04 27.19 25.05 95M 115M 27.08
Current. Gapped higher to test the 50 day EMA at the intraday high and posted some modest gains here. Critical to see XLF hold the 50 day EMA this week.
XOM 02/02 Put 87.01 +1.64 83.78 79.45 23M 27M 82.05
Current. Gapped higher to the 200 day SMA (87.34) but faded off the highs to close right at 50 day EMA. Gap gave little to work with and the close off the high suggests we get a test to fill the gap.
End part 2 of 3
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