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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABMD 02/12 Rev HS 14.74 -0.09 15.81 18.95 100K 358K 14.85
Buy Not Hit. Doji in the short step lower to tap the 50 day EMA at the intraday low and hold the average as support. Still low volume so not much harm done here in the light selling. Just needs to pickup some stronger trade and take the Rev HS higher for the buy.
ACI 02/19 Test 18 54.64 +1.82 53.88 63.95 5.5M 5.5M 50.89
Entered today. Market jumped higher and took ACI with it as it continued its breakout off the Friday low for some great gains on above average volume Wednesday. Set up a nice buy point after the test lower from last week and expecting ACI to keep climbing from here.
AGU 02/19 DB hdl 70.42 +2.46 69.15 79.88 3.5M 4M 65.48
Entered today. Climbed even higher after some modest gains from Tuesday and still holding solid volume as we jumped in Wednesday. Great DB hdl base here with AGU heading into the 70s midweek. Awesome.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 51.30 +2.67 49.55 58.95 4M 4M 49.21
Entered today. Surged even higher after some great gains from Tuesday and even higher volume Wednesday for AKS as it resumes the DB hdl. Entered on a strong move higher that looks to lead AKS higher through the 50s from here.
ATW 02/13 Test 50 95.36 +1.96 91.18 104.65 765K 700K 93.11
Current. Strong move higher with the market on rising above average volume with ATW showing no signs of making a pit stop this week. Looking great.
BTU 02/13 Dbl btm 59.71 +0.74 59.10 67.95 5M 7M 57.88
Current. Great Dbl btm base and some more modest gains Wednesday on just below average volume. BTU still in decent shape and slowly but surely climbing this week. Not bad.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 73.00 +2.82 70.12 79.95 608K 875K 68.91
Current. Surged higher on some light trade levels as BVN made the next bounce in its Asc bse into the low 70s. Strong move higher and expecting some more gains from here as BVN resumes the Asc bse.
CCC 02/16 Test BO 17.71 -0.20 17.91 21.45 379K 700K 16.97
Buy Not Issued.
CCC 01/26 Asc Bse 17.71 -0.20 16.89 20.55 379K 1.1M 16.97
Current. Doji in the short step low with fading below average volume as CCC just takes its time here in its test lower. Fading volume looks to take CCC out of its test soon with downside momentum fading and just need to see it bounce out of this test on strong trade for the buy.
CEDC 01/26 PreAnn 55.33 +0.60 56.05 63.95 584K 650K 54.77
Current. Rising above average volume here with CEDC posting a move laterally as it sold early Wednesday but recovered with the market to stay positive. Still holding support in the mid 50s for February and in good shape to resume the move higher with trade picking up here.
CHNR 02/04 Dbl btm 21.63 -1.23 23.32 29.97 150K 550K 21.69
Buy Not Issued. Big rally in commodities of late but did not participate and decided to drop after the negative action Wednesday.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 22.06 +0.20 21.89 25.95 1.4M 1.2M 21.11
Current. Consolidating a bit longer in the low 20s on rising now average trade for CHT as it stalls at the late January high. In decent shape just resting for now and expecting some upsides once trade picks up.
CLF 02/09 PreAnn 122.08 -0.18 109.22 124.95 2.1M 1.6M 118.48
Need to be careful here with a pair of dojis that closed well off the high. Time to book some gains on the short term plays.
CMED 02/04 Test BO 52.25 +0.38 51.68 59.45 249K 935K 51.45
Current. Nice Dbl btm base here for CMED in early 08 as it gave a quiet move laterally Wednesday on fading low volume. Just stuck in the low 50s and taking it easy until trade picks up to take the base higher.
CTRP 02/16 Rev HS 52.13 +1.27 52.65 62.95 548K 1.2M 49.11
Buy Not Issued. Steadily working its way higher into the low 50s out of the Rev HS from late January but cant get the volume it needs to get a solid move higher in the base.
DBC 02/12 Asc Bse 35.01 +0.18 33.83 37.95 706K 900K 33.48
Current. Quiet move higher after an excellent session of gains from Tuesday. Sprinted through Tuesday and now just making a steady pace higher into the mid 30s. Nice, above average volume and DBC still in decent shape here midweek.
FLO 02/07 Cup hdl 24.09 +0.22 24.87 28.48 361K 750K 23.91
Current. Bounced off the 18 day EMA after some selling through early Wednesday until FLO bounced with the market. At the bottom of its February pullback here from the Cup hdl high and looks good to bounce off support and resume the Cup hdl move higher once trade picks up.
FLS 02/19 Rev HS 101.45 +3.44 100.55 1115.7 873K 1.2M 95.48
Buy Not Issued. Decided to wait this one out a day longer after seeing a solid move higher on just average volume. Still strong and worth some positions on a further move higher.
FMX 02/07 Rev HS 42.02 -0.83 39.86 45.85 1.9M 1.9M 40.98
Current. Light selling on much lower in the selling Wednesday than the strong upsides from Tuesday. Looks to be just a quick test here and ready to resume the Rev HS higher again soon.
GES 02/14 Test 50 40.63 +1.14 40.21 45.25 1.9M 3M 38.89
Buy Not Issued. Looks ready after a nice rebound off the 50 day EMA; just needs to bounce again on some more solid volume and we will enter.
GIGM 02/16 DB hdl 19.75 +0.25 20.78 24.95 669K 1.6M 19.33
Buy Not Hit. Tapped the 90 day SMA near 19.0 intraday on low volume as GIGM continues to hold the 10 day EMA as support this week. Just need to see a bounce here out of this test of the DB hdl high for the buy.
HES 02/16 DB hdl 94.41 +0.32 94.35 106.45 3.7M 7M 90.91
Entered today. Jumped in on HES after a deep intraday reach lower to the 10 day EMA near 90.0 before bouncing to post a doji in the quiet step higher. Nice rising below average trade and HES in good shape to take the DB hdl higher here.
ILMN 02/16 Test BO 72.84 -0.48 72.32 82.95 1.1M 1.8M 69.11
Buy Not Hit.
ILMN 02/02 Test BO 72.84 -0.48 69.86 79.95 1.1M 1.2M 69.11
Current. Doji with a tap lower intraday at the 10 day EMA(70.60) but recovered the move there with the market to close on some light selling. Fading, below average volume and ILMN still in good shape holding support from the key 10 day EMA.
ISRG 02/09 Test 50 291.43 +0.93 307.88 349.00 861K 1.9M 299.88
Current. Doji to hold the 50 day EMA as key support for a second consecutive session this week. Low volume in the lateral move from the Tuesday low, need to see it hold the line here.
JEC 02/13 Dbl btm 77.84 +0.53 79.75 95.75 1.9M 2.5M 75.68
Buy Not Hit. Still consolidating along the upper 70s here in mid February but picked up some nice average volume that it hasn't seen since February first. Need to see it use this pickup in trade to take the Dbl btm higher and give us the buy.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 35.01 +0.92 30.78 36.45 2.4M 3.4M 32.91
Current. Need to start looking to taking some gain off the table if it puts in another good session early or starts to waffle after another strong move higher Wednesday.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 208.22 +4.02 208.22 239.00 2.4M 5M 201.11
Current. Started out selling past the 50 day SMA and straight to 200.0 but recovered with the market to post some modest gains in this Rev HS base. Rising low volume midweek for MA and in good shape after holding support from the 10 day EMA and climbing.
MM 02/07 PreAnn 57.67 +1.24 52.78 61.45 322K 450K 55.89
Current. Need to start thinking of taking some gain here with MM continuing even higher. Volume also fading and below average so watching to see if MM gets shaky at the high of its Cup breakout from late January.
MON 02/19 DB hdl 119.05 +1.18 120.21 137.95 6M 7.5M 115.95
Buy Not Hit. Nice DB hdl base here in mid February but lacking some trade it needs to get going uphill. Tapped the 10 day EMA near 115 at the intraday low Wednesday and recovered to post some modest gains with the market. Just need to see it continue this positive action on stronger trade for the buy.
NOK 02/12 Rev HS 36.71 +0.64 37.88 43.65 10M 23M 35.98
Buy Not Hit. Great move off the 50 day EMA and Tuesday low for some modest gains Wednesday. Still low volume, however, and needing to see some stronger trade from NOK in this Rev HS move higher before we can enter.
OTEX 02/16 Cup hdl 33.06 -0.07 34.31 39.95 561K 1M 32.91
Buy Not Issued.
OTEX 01/30 Test 50 33.06 -0.07 31.62 37.44 561K 825K 33.88
Current. Doji Wednesday on fading low volume as OTEX tapped the 18 day EMA(32.41) at the low but recovered to hold at support from the 10 day EMA. In decent shape here near key support from the 18 day EMA and late December highs.
POT 02/16 Rev HS 156.00 +3.50 152.59 172.95 6.9M 7.8M 153.55
Current. March options here and need to think of banking some gain soon if it surges more after a great upside session for POT Wednesday. Surged higher in the Rev HS and still on above average volume so looks good to continue upside a bit longer.
POT 01/12 Test 50 156.00 +3.50 143.11 164.32 6.9M 5.5M 153.55
Current.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 97.91 +5.02 92.30 105.95 21M 32M 94.44
Current. Great move higher on rising below average volume in a solid Dbl btm base here with RIMM in great shape midweek. Looking great to continue even higher in this solid base move higher.
RIO 02/11 Test 20 35.05 +1.55 32.32 37.77 30M 28M 30.21
Buy Not Issued. Needed to see a test after that gap from Tuesday and this surge higher from Tuesday only made it worse for RIO. Going to drop and let it test but if you are in it, ride it.
RTN 02/07 Test BO 65.75 -0.12 67.15 76.95 2.2M 3M 65.77
Current. Sold a bit lower to hold the 18 day EMA intraday on rising below average volume in this test of the Cup high. RTN still in decent shape here just need to see it hold support from the 18 day EMA near 65 in this test.
SPN 02/11 Dbl btm 43.92 +0.15 43.75 49.95 1.1M 1.2M 42.11
Current. Short step higher on rising now average volume for SPN. Good to see it continuing its Dbl btm move higher into mid February and with trade picking up SPN looks good to climb some more this week. Just watching this doji here Wednesday.
STLD 02/14 Dbl btm 59.81 +1.96 57.68 67.45 2.2M 3M 56.42
Entered today. STLD with some solid volume in the surge higher following a great session from Tuesday as well. Strong move here in the Dbl btm and STLD only looking to climb some more.
SVNT 02/06 Test 50 20.62 -0.25 21.33 25.95 686K 2M 20.22
Buy Not Issued. Doji again Wednesday with SVNT still consolidating along the low 20s from late January. No volume yet either. Just in a deep slumber here, needing stronger trade to wake it up.
TJX 01/31 DB hdl 31.18 +1.45 32.07 36.95 10M 6.5M 30.31
Current. Great bounce on some good earnings with explosive volume Wednesday as TJX surged off the 50 day EMA and gave some awesome gains. Resuming the DB hdl here and got some help with the market rebound Wednesday. Awesome.
VIP 02/12 Dbl btm 38.08 +0.16 38.36 45.65 3.3M 6M 35.77
Current. Moved laterally along the gapping high from Tuesday as VIP had below average volume Wednesday and holds the 50 day SMA as support. Nice Dbl btm base taking it higher here and looks to resume the move through the upper 30s again soon once volume returns.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 78.41 +0.78 81.09 95.95 5.3M 7M 78.21
Current. Progressively working its way higher from the January low at the 200 day SMA as WFR bounced off the 90 day SMA Wednesday for some modest gains. Nice, rising below average volume here and hit resistance from the 50 day SMA at the close. Still in decent shape here, just watching to see how it handles this light resistance.
XTO 02/14 Test BO 58.60 +0.88 55.21 62.97 7.7M 7M 56.38
Current. XTO showing no signs of slowing down after another session of nice gains on fading above average volume. Great Dbl btm base taking it into the upper 50s and XTO in great shape this week.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CNH 01/30 HdShldr 49.69 +0.44 47.65 41.54 560K 850K 4615.0
Current. Broke resistance from the 18 day EMA by a hair Wednesday on below average volume so left it alone. Need to see it faile here at the early February high.
DIA 01/30 Put 124.09 +0.41 124.12 113.55 16M 26M 123.44
Current. Mirroring the DJ30, bouncing up to the 18 day EMA on better trade. Range continues to narrow. Getting to the point now that we need to see it fail and stay down on the close if it is going to fall near term.
DIA 01/24 Put 124.09 +0.41 122.65 113.55 16M 26M 123.44
Current.
GRMN 02/09 Put 64.47 -5.03 65.58 59.54 26M 5.5M 67.82
Current. Gapped higher on its earnings then the conference call really disappointed investors and they flattened it with a 9 point intraday swing. Posted some explosive volume Wednesday in some harsh selling and looks to be heading downhill from here.
IBM 02/05 Put 107.85 +2.85 103.92 99.15 7.7M 9.5M 103.38
Current. Down one day, up the next. Back at the 90 day SMA on low volume. Needs to stall here again or it has made a lower high, a show of growing strength.
INTC 02/14 Put 20.38 +0.22 20.32 18.75 72M 85M 20.98
Buy Not Issued. Still playing footsy with the 10 day EMA and just waiting for it to fall to jump in. On below average volume as well and needs stronger volume for the buy point.
IWM 02/14 Put 70.77 +0.04 69.88 67.35 71M 98M 71.11
Buy Not Issued. Up with the Russell 2000 (RUT-X) as that index continues to move laterally with the rest of the market. Still hanging around the 18 day EMA here through February and need some stronger volume for the buy.
IWM 02/09 Put 70.77 +0.04 69.09 66.04 71M 15M 70.44
Current.
LTD 02/16 Put 17.75 +0.43 17.68 16.05 3.2M 6M 18.16
Buy Not Issued. Cant seem to make up its mind here as it bounces under resistance from the 18 day EMA and 50 day EMA near 18. Well go ahead and break down already.
PCLN 02/05 Put 127.51 +4.90 95.45 86.05 2.8M 1.8M 94.11
Current. Climbed a bit higher after the uphill surge from late Friday but again left it alone given the gap killed the position. All we can look for now is a dump lower after this news wears off.
QID 01/30 Test 18 50.67 -0.81 50.96 57.32 35M 39M 51.88
Current. Started uphill initially but sold at its intraday high back to the 10 day EMA. Was starting to look good but as its inverse(QQQQ) rebounded with the market QID sold. Still, not looking to bad as it holds support some more here in mid February.
QID 01/26 Test 18 50.67 -0.81 51.57 57.32 35M 39M 51.88
Current.
SDS 01/30 Test 18 62.08 -0.70 63.28 72.45 23M 25M 63.38
Current. Ran uphill initially Wednesday with the SP500 down but the SP500 rebounded with the market intraday and SDS turned lower. Has key support at the 50 day EMA near 60 so no huge worries yet with SDS in decent shape.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 62.08 -0.70 63.18 72.45 23M 30M 63.38
Current.
SU 02/06 Dbl Top 99.24 +1.46 90.08 85.11 2.4M 2.6M 93.11
Current. Still climbing as the market bounced midday to close positive and SU suffered a bit. Has key resistance at the 50 day EMA near 100 and needs hold there.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 79.70 -1.32 85.77 97.95 9M 10M 82.05
Current. Resting some more near the 50 day EMA(78.45) and in good shape just setting up to make a strong move off support to start uphill again. Sold with the Russel bouncing higher with the market. Like the return of above average volume Wednesday for TWM and in decent shape holding support here in mid February.
VLO 02/05 Put 61.44 +0.78 56.58 51.66 7.4M 9M 57.88
Current. Continued the low volume rise to tap the 50 day SMA at 62.0 on the high and back off. Energy stocks rising on the oil rise over $100/bbl; cannot keep that up and likely to come back a bit here to test after this run in oil and energy stocks in general. We will see how far and what kind of exit we can get after those gaps higher last week.
XLF 02/05 Put 27.10 +0.31 27.19 25.05 118M 115M 27.08
Current. Closed at resistance from the 10 day EMA after a bounce from the short selling from Tuesday. XLF setting up to head downhill soon and with volume back above average volume Wednesday and rising it looks good to do so.
XOM 02/02 Put 88.10 +1.09 83.78 79.45 25M 27M 82.05
Current. One of the energy stocks taking a strong move higher Wednesday with oil rise over $100/bbl as XOM climbed through Wednesday on average volume. Has resistance at the 50 day SMA(88.49) and watching to see if it holds the line there.
End part 2 of 3
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