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us stock market, stock picking
Begin part 2 of 3
NOTE: Part 2 precedes part 1 this evening.
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACI 02/19 Test 18 52.11 +1.02 53.88 63.95 5M 5.5M 52.11
Current. Holding the 18 day EMA (51.32) where it sold to Friday. Strong volume Monday after light volume Friday with a nice doji. Set up well to continue higher.
ADM 02/23 DB hdl 45.74 +0.64 46.68 53.95 4.2M 10M 44.38
Current. Bouncing off the 18 day EMA (44.68) after a test of near support. Looks good but need some volume as it pushed through the late December peak at 47.33.
AGU 02/27 Test BO 73.30 -0.47 71.11 81.95 2.8M 5M 70.22
Buy Not Issued. Has tested back to the 10 day EMA (72.16) and showed a doji there Monday, rebounding off the lows. Now it needs to make the next break higher for us to add to positions.
AGU 02/19 DB hdl 73.30 -0.47 69.15 79.88 2.8M 4M 71.28
Current.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 52.72 +0.10 49.55 58.95 2.5M 4M 52.45
Current. Nice test of the 10 day EMA on low volume. Looks ready to move back up and we are looking to buy some more positions as it makes the move back up.
AMX 02/26 Rev HS 61.15 +0.69 62.75 74.25 5.4M 7.5M 59.11
Buy Not Issued. Held a test of the 50 day SMA on the low and bouncing. Has to show us something here after backsliding late last week but on overall low volume.
ANSS 02/26 Cup hdl 37.18 -0.19 39.08 44.95 865K 900K 37.68
Buy Not Issued. Flat session, holding the 50 day EMA on the low and bouncing back to close at the 10 day. Being patient to see if it will make the breakout for us.
APC 03/01 DB hdl 64.20 +0.46 64.21 73.95 4.3M 7.4M 62.65
Buy Not Issued. Bounced off an intraday tap at the 10 day EMA (63) on rising but still below average volume. Still in a good pattern & ready to break higher.
ATW 02/13 Test 50 91.84 -1.25 91.18 104.65 682K 700K 96.32
Current. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low (95) and rebounded to the 50 day SMA on the close. Given the rebound we left it for another session.
BTU 02/13 Dbl btm 56.99 +0.37 59.10 67.95 6.3M 7M 57.88
Current. Holding at the 50 day EMA on the low and posting a modest bounce on rising volume. Still in very good position to resume the bounce from here.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 76.88 +0.85 70.12 79.95 797K 875K 74.94
Current. Pausing after a run higher, but refusing to give up gains as the precious metals enjoy the decline in the dollar.
CCC 02/16 Test BO 16.30 -0.04 17.38 21.45 888K 700K 16.45
Buy Not Issued. Big hammer doji at the 50 day EMA (16.22) after falling to that level last Friday. Needs to show the move now.
CCC 01/26 Asc Bse 16.30 -0.04 16.89 20.55 888K 1.1M 16.97
Current.
CEDC 01/26 PreAnn 52.44 -5.74 56.05 63.95 3M 650K 58.11
Exited. Gapped lower and could not hold a recovery attempt.
CHNR 03/01 Rev HS 24.17 -2.13 26.48 32.75 457K 625K 24.63
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but after the strong price and volume move Friday it could not hold the gains and closed at the 10 day EMA on lower volume. Still in position to make the break higher and make it stick.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 24.51 -0.03 21.89 25.95 2.9M 1.2M 23.98
Current. Still testing, moving laterally in a narrow range after that break higher a week back.
COIN 02/27 Test BO 14.74 +1.94 13.73 16.45 3.6M 2M 13.25
Entered today. Surging higher on strong volume. Good convert.
CRZO 03/01 Test BO 59.32 +1.57 58.88 69.95 777K 600K 56.44
Entered today. Reached below the 10 day EMA intraday and then rebounded for a nice gain on another day of rising, above average volume.
CRZO 02/20 DB hdl 59.32 +1.57 56.68 63.88 777K 475K 59.98
CSX 02/20 DB hdl 48.90 +0.38 51.22 59.39 5.1M 9M 50.32
Current. After that gap lower to some support at 48 on Friday, CSX did bounce but it was just a pittance after gapping modestly lower once more. Needs to show us a bounce higher now.
DBC 02/12 Asc Bse 36.63 +0.53 33.83 37.95 1.3M 900K 35.88
Current. Gapped higher but gave most of it up, but no mistaking the uptrend in commodities and DBC as the dollar continues to fade.
DE 02/25 Asc Bse 87.57 +2.36 90.65 103.95 4.4M 8.2M 85.91
Buy Not Hit. Very interesting with a nice bounce up off the 50 day EMA. No volume yet but holding nicely, measuring its move.
DO 02/21 Dbl btm 120.95 +0.12 123.76 138.95 2M 4M 119.89
Current. Got a bit shaky but never threatened a breakdown, as it forms a nice handle above the 90 day SMA.
EAC 02/23 DB hdl 36.31 -0.49 37.00 42.95 943K 875K 36.22
Current. Basically flat as it tapped the November high on the low and bounced. Low volume pause after the break higher.
FCSX 02/25 DB hdl 44.00 -2.64 48.91 54.95 542K 600K 46.68
Current. Gapped lower and didn't leave us much to work with. Managed to close at the 50 day EMA. Needs to hold the line at this key support.
FCX 02/25 Dbl btm 103.45 +2.59 104.32 119.95 9.5M 15M 103.11
Current. Bounced off the 10 day EMA after falling to that near support on Friday. Still set up very nicely for the break higher.
GIGM 02/16 DB hdl 18.87 -0.72 20.78 24.95 802K 1.6M 19.33
Buy Not Issued. Sold off below the 50 day EMA before closing at that level. Maybe just a shakeout. Dropping for now but will keep watching it and you too.
HAL 02/25 Dbl btm 38.56 +0.26 39.21 44.45 12M 15M 37.94
Current. Modest gain after the Friday test, leaving HAL in excellent shape to make the break higher after two low volume testing sessions.
HES 02/16 DB hdl 93.74 +0.56 94.35 106.45 3.3M 7M 96.32
Current. After fading on low volume to end last week, HES held the 18 day EMA (93.13) and near support. Volume is picking up as it holds this level. A strong bounce is a add-to.
ILMN 02/16 Test BO 72.88 +0.47 73.32 83.95 611K 1.8M 71.48
Buy Not Issued. Has held the 18 day EMA (71.64) on extremely low volume and in excellent position to bounce and give us a new buy as it continues its trend higher.
ILMN 02/02 Test BO 72.88 +0.47 69.86 79.95 611K 1.2M 73.44
Current.
JEC 02/28 DB hdl 81.30 +1.01 85.08 99.90 1.8M 2.8M 81.22
Buy Not Hit. Sold below the 18 day EMA and then rebounded to hold the 50 day EMA on the close. Nice shakeout down to support, still forming the handle on lower volume. Setting up nicely.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 35.52 +1.12 34.98 39.95 2.5M 3M 34.68
Current. Solid rising, above average volume as KWK moved past the Thursday high and is ready to continue higher after this 2-week lateral consolidation range.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 35.52 +1.12 30.78 36.45 2.5M 3.4M 34.68
Current.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 188.56 -1.44 208.22 239.00 2.9M 5M 201.11
Current. Struggling to hang on and showing a hammer doji at the September/August/January trendline. Key level to hold and bounce off of, keeping the rising lows.
MEA 02/28 Cup hdl 11.63 0.00 13.11 15.95 197K 321K 12.19
Buy Not Hit. Still working on the handle and just letting it set up.
MM 02/07 PreAnn 58.75 -1.92 52.78 61.45 338K 450K 61.38
Current. Tapped support at the October high and 18 day EMA on the low (57.60) and bounced. Nice lower volume pullback and now it is setting us up for a new buy as it rebounds.
MON 02/19 DB hdl 118.63 +2.95 120.88 137.95 6.2M 7.5M 115.95
Current. Bounced back up on stronger volume than the late week weakness.
NEOG 02/28 Test BO 27.00 +0.01 28.24 33.95 37K 64K 26.77
Buy Not Hit. Lower, below average volume as NEOG traded flat, holding the breakout and still in good position to break back to the upside and continue that high volume upside breakout from two weeks back.
OTEX 02/16 Cup hdl 32.07 -0.13 33.68 39.95 890K 1M 31.44
Buy Not Issued.
OTEX 01/30 Test 50 32.07 -0.13 31.62 37.44 890K 825K 33.88
Current. Back down to the 50 day EMA (31.69) where it showed a high volume doji on Monday. Looking for a little double bottom bounce here.
PCU 03/01 DB hdl 114.89 +0.78 116.25 138.75 2.3M 3.4M 112.11
Buy Not Issued. Up early then down to negative at the 10 day EMA, only to rebound and go basically nowhere. Still a nice set up, just need something more definitive and something that sticks.
POT 02/16 Rev HS 157.36 -1.54 152.59 172.95 7M 7.8M 158.91
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA (153.32) on the low and rebounded to close at the 10 day EMA on average volume. A test lower in its continuing uptrend and like how it shook out on the low and then rebounded to close support.
POT 01/12 Test 50 157.36 -1.54 143.11 164.32 7M 5.5M 158.91
Current.
Current. Tapped at the 18 day EMA on the low (136.70) and rebounded to hold the 10 day EMA with a modest, low volume loss. Excellent shakeout to near support and looking to add some positions as it rebounds from this test of last week's solid move.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 100.15 -3.65 92.30 105.95 24M 32M 105.22
Current. Gapped lower but managed to hold the 50 day EMA on the close. Has filled the gap and that is a good thing for the next move higher. Needs it.
Buy Not Hit. Down to the 90 day SMA on a second session of low volume. This could be a really sweet entry point if we get a solid upside surge on strong volume.
SVNT 02/06 Test 50 23.10 +0.42 22.77 27.39 1M 2M 22.88
Current. After a drop Friday on high volume that tapped and bounced off the 10 day EMA, SVNT mounted a modest gain. Still looks good.
TJX 01/31 DB hdl 32.68 +0.68 32.07 36.95 6.3M 6.5M 31.92
Current. Nice tap at the 18 day EMA on the low and then a solid bounce on rising, average volume, moving it back over the peaks at 32.
TKC 02/23 DB hdl 25.31 +0.08 26.21 30.89 1.5M 2.2M 25.78
Current. After that break higher last Tuesday TKC has faded back on lower and lower trade. Gapped lower Monday but rebounded to close flat on rising trade. This is a solid stock & looking to move in as it makes a break higher on rising volume.
TRA 02/23 DB hdl 44.83 -0.38 50.65 60.85 3.4M 5.7M 47.10
Current. Doji with tail at the 50 day EMA. Tapped the August/February up trendline on the Monday low, and looks to make a higher low there.
USO 02/25 Test BO 81.32 +0.90 80.16 91.95 5M 4.5M 79.89
Current. Modest gain as oil continued its climb, but showing a doji after a good run. May test back some after the next break higher, but a solid breakout and we anticipate the trend will hold.
VIP 02/12 Dbl btm 34.68 -0.05 38.36 45.65 2.2M 6M 36.57
Current. Struggled again, falling down to some support at 32.50 and then rebounded to flat on low volume. Some Russian election jitters we are hearing, but it needs to get back on the horse here.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 78.75 +2.47 81.09 95.95 4.5M 7M 78.21
Current. Held the 50 day EMA (76.55) it sold to on Friday and bounced nicely on some solid, rising volume.
XTO 02/14 Test BO 63.13 +1.42 55.21 62.97 9.3M 7M 61.31
Current. After a low volume fade Friday XTO was back in action, recovering to the upside on a strong shot of above average volume.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMZN 02/22 Put 62.43 -2.04 71.21 64.55 14M 10M 65.68
AMZN has clobbered the price target with yet another gap lower. Sorry I am not in this one as it gapped lower & it never came back. If you are in then look at taking some off the table.
APOL 03/01 Put 56.95 -4.43 61.08 56.05 8.3M 3.3M 62.11
Buy Not Issued. Gapped sharply lower and did come back, but not that much before it rolled over again. It was set up and it sure tanked, but the gap lower is a hard play to enter.
CNH 01/30 HdShldr 51.83 +0.33 47.65 41.54 566K 850K 4615.0
Current. Rallied to the 50 day EMA (53.35) on the high and then gave it all back as volume did not move with it. Need to see a break lower and a close below 50 to reignite the sellers.
GRA 03/01 Put 20.32 -0.91 20.20 17.35 1.6M 1.1M 22.05
Entered today. Tanked early then rebounded but started to waffle again. When it did we moved in.
GRMN 02/09 Put 56.83 -1.88 65.58 59.54 5.1M 5.5M 62.68
Target Hit. Took some solid gain on our March options as GRMN put in its sixth downside session in a row and bounced up of the January low. That was time to take some of that 44+% gain off the table.
IWM 02/14 Put 68.20 -0.66 69.88 67.35 84M 98M 71.11
Buy Not Issued.
IWM 02/09 Put 68.20 -0.66 69.09 66.04 84M 15M 69.36
Current. Sold off nicely but as the market rebounded so did IWM. Still weak, still ready to fall further.
PCLN 02/05 Put 113.69 -0.33 95.45 86.05 1.6M 1.8M 94.11
Current. Gapped lower, closed about flat, holding over the 50 day EMA (110.34). Need to see it fall through that level or it has to be closed.
PCP 03/01 Put 109.18 -1.21 109.68 103.55 1.5M 1.8M 111.21
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower, sold some, then rebounded, showing a doji. It could still sell off from here so we want to be ready.
QID 01/30 Test 18 53.80 +1.14 50.96 57.32 39M 39M 52.21
Current. Gapped higher on the weakness in techs, and as the large caps lagged, QID held its gains on the session (trades inverse to the QQQQ).
QID 01/26 Test 18 53.80 +1.14 51.57 57.32 39M 39M 52.21
Current.
SDS 01/30 Test 18 64.41 -0.06 63.28 72.45 27M 25M 63.38
Current. Jumped higher following that Friday surge, but as SP500 recovered it could not hold the line on the session (trades inverse to SP500). Some resistance at 65-66.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 64.41 -0.06 63.18 72.45 27M 30M 63.38
Current.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 85.60 +1.32 85.77 97.95 12M 10M 83.88
Current. Gapped higher as the small caps suffered but it closed well off its high as the NYSE indices came back late after that afternoon selloff.
XRAY 02/22 Put 39.39 +0.35 39.04 37.00 1M 1.4M 40.15
Buy Not Issued. Bounced back some after that Friday selling. Will see if it rebounds or folds the tent.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
stock picking
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