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us stock market, trend trading stock
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACI 02/19 Test 18 49.70 -2.45 53.88 63.95 4M 5.5M 52.11
Exited. There was good news in the coal sector with the JOYG earnings, but ACI did not respond and sold down so we closed it. Will see if it can hold next support and set up after this selling dissipates.
ADM 02/23 DB hdl 46.27 -0.31 46.68 53.95 6M 10M 44.38
Current. Modest loss on lower volume as ADM continues its trend up the 10 day EMA, ignoring the selling. That is a good endorsement.
AGU 02/27 Test BO 72.58 -1.65 71.11 81.95 2.1M 5M 70.22
Buy Not Issued. Lower on the session but on very low volume as AGU held the 10 day EMA on the close and maintains its pattern. That does not mean we are ready to jump in right now, but if it emerges as a strong upside mover despite the market, yes.
AKS 03/03 Test BO 54.30 -1.60 55.11 61.38 2.3M 4.5M 52.68
Current. Faded back after the solid bounce off the 10 day EMA but on low, below average volume as it continues its climb up the 10 day EMA despite the low volume Thursday losses.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 54.30 -1.60 49.55 58.95 2.3M 4M 52.68
Current.
AMX 02/26 Rev HS 57.84 -1.74 62.75 74.25 4.8M 7.5M 59.11
Buy Not Issued. Broke below the 50 day EMA. Dropping for now.
APC 03/01 DB hdl 64.19 -1.85 65.72 74.85 9M 7.4M 63.68
Current. Surged higher on strong volume on the natural gas numbers, but it succumbed to the selling as well. Held the 10 day EMA on the close and still nicely in its pattern.
ATW 02/13 Test 50 89.94 -3.05 91.18 104.65 484K 700K 96.32
Current. Fell back to support at 90 after the 2-day bounce off that level. Low volume persists so we were not sellers Thursday as it held support on low volume.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 78.29 +1.19 70.12 79.95 957K 875K 75.28
Current. Gold was down on the session but gold stocks were higher and BVN bounced off its 10 day EMA once more on strong volume. Continues its move up. Like it.
CCC 03/05 Test 50 16.30 -1.27 17.60 21.65 702K 700K 16.88
Current. Burned us, turning down from that strong Wednesday surge on strong volume Wednesday. Managed to close at the 50 day EMA on lower, below average volume so decided to let it hold over to Friday.
CHNR 03/01 Rev HS 22.37 -1.34 23.68 29.95 134K 625K 22.03
Buy Not Issued. Sold down to the 50 day EMA on the close on very low volume. Moved the buy point lower to accommodate this further test. Still in a good pattern.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 24.83 +0.04 21.89 25.95 3.2M 1.2M 23.98
Current. Holding up very well as it continues to consolidate laterally after that strong move higher.
COIN 02/27 Test BO 16.59 +0.69 13.73 16.45 2.6M 2M 15.89
Target Hit. Continued higher with a gap but a wide intraday range. We took part of a very nice gain (21.7%) off the table as COIN continues to make us some very nice coin.
COIN 02/04 Test 18 16.59 +0.69 10.38 12.95 2.6M 978K 15.89
Target Hit. Took some nice 60% gain.
CPRT 03/03 DB hdl 39.43 -2.40 42.92 49.75 1M 750K 40.38
Buy Not Hit. Dropping with the high volume selloff but will keep watching it.
CRZO 03/01 Test BO 59.29 -1.14 58.88 69.95 385K 600K 57.98
Current. Lost some ground but on very low volume and easily holding above its 10 day EMA. No issues.
CRZO 02/20 DB hdl 59.29 -1.14 56.68 63.88 385K 475K 59.98
DBC 02/12 Asc Bse 37.58 +0.28 33.83 37.95 1.7M 900K 36.35
Target Hit. Gapped higher on volume and after a good move we decided to take part of the gain off the table, 10.9% stock and 69% option. Still moving higher in its trend so letting the rest move higher for us.
DE 02/25 Asc Bse 87.85 -1.43 90.65 103.95 5M 8.2M 85.91
Buy Not Hit. Lost some ground but did no damage to its pattern and still shaping up for a breakout move.
DNR 03/04 Cup hdl 31.97 -0.58 33.11 39.75 1.9M 3M 31.24
Buy Not Hit. Modest loss in its lateral tight move setting it up for a breakout to come.
DO 02/21 Dbl btm 122.15 -1.22 123.76 138.95 1.7M 4M 119.89
Current. Tapped the 90 day MA on the low and rebounded for a modest loss on low volume. Very solid action in a very weak market.
DRS 03/05 Cup hdl 58.49 +0.64 58.08 66.85 973K 700K 56.22
Buy Not Issued. Strong volume and a move higher, but it closed well off of its high and in this market we decided to wait and see how it performs on Friday. Right sector, however (defense), and if it continues higher we will move in.
DXD 03/03 Dbl btm 59.75 +1.97 59.11 64.95 5.9M 7.5M 57.95
Current. Breaking higher as DJ30 sells, clearing the early February highs as DJ30 moved below those levels.
ECA 02/23 DB hdl 77.50 -0.27 73.15 86.88 3.8M 3.8M 76.38
Current. Modest loss on the day after gapping higher on the session. Still in its uptrend, barely phased by the selling.
ESV 03/04 Cup hdl 61.02 -1.79 62.30 70.95 2.7M 3.8M 59.92
Current. After that surge Tuesday and Wednesday, ESV faded back Thursday on very low volume, still in its uptrend and breakout.
FCX 02/25 Dbl btm 104.34 +0.26 104.32 119.95 16M 15M 103.11
Current. Ignored the selling, trading basically flat on solid volume, holding its pattern.
GTIV 03/01 Cup hdl 21.06 -0.92 22.66 27.25 259K 357K 21.22
Buy Not Hit. Dropping.
HAL 02/25 Dbl btm 38.64 -0.62 39.21 44.45 16M 15M 37.94
Current. Modest pullback on slightly lower volume as HAL tested back some in the selling.
HES 02/16 DB hdl 92.99 -3.07 94.35 106.45 2.4M 7M 96.32
Current. Sold back to the 50 day SMA on the Thursday low but on very low volume, showing no selling as it holds its pattern.
IBM 03/05 DB hdl 112.52 -2.87 116.88 133.95 8M 12M 112.55
Buy Not Hit. Faded back pretty sharply but on lower, below average volume. Still in the handle and still setting up so going to keep watching it.
ILMN 02/16 Test BO 67.65 -3.75 73.32 83.95 1.1M 1.8M 71.48
Buy Not Issued.
ILMN 02/02 Test BO 67.65 -3.75 69.86 79.95 1.1M 1.2M 73.44
Current. Dove lower down to the 50 day EMA on the close on continued below average volume. Needs to make its stand here and bounce. No volume so not a lot of selling pressure.
IMCL 03/05 Cup hdl 45.38 -0.94 46.61 54.94 1M 1.5M 44.08
Buy Not Hit. Faded back some but low volume and holding right at the top of the handle, still set to make the move higher.
IMO 03/04 DB hdl 57.98 -0.08 58.00 66.75 401K 500K 56.12
Current. Gapped higher but then finished flat after the good move last week. Still nicely in the trend.
JEC 02/28 DB hdl 78.47 -1.34 81.32 95.95 2M 2.8M 78.11
Buy Not Hit. Hanging on with some low volume so waiting to see if it can set the next break higher, adjusting the buy point lower.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 35.37 -2.78 34.98 39.95 3.5M 3M 35.97
Current. Turned down hard but closed at near support on the 10 day EMA. Volume was above average but still lower than the Wednesday break higher so let it run onto Friday to see if it can bounce.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 35.37 -2.78 30.78 36.45 3.5M 3.4M 35.97
Current.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 189.99 -1.01 208.22 239.00 2.4M 5M 201.11
Current. Gapped lower but showed a doji on low volume as it holds its recent lateral range.
MEA 02/28 Cup hdl 11.40 -0.30 11.95 15.95 129K 321K 11.11
Buy Not Hit. Tested the 50 day EMA on the low and then rebounded to cut the loss, still in position to make the break higher.
MON 02/19 DB hdl 114.42 -0.83 120.88 137.95 6.3M 7.5M 115.95
Current. Held steady above the 50 day EMA on lower volume, still trying to hold the line and set up the next bounce.
MUR 03/05 DB hdl 81.80 -2.13 84.32 96.95 2.1M 2.3M 80.78
Buy Not Hit. Rallied higher intraday but reversed to close lower on the highest volume in a month. Even with that it is still in its pattern and still in solid shape to continue higher.
OTEX 02/16 Cup hdl 30.98 -0.44 33.68 39.95 420K 1M 31.44
Buy Not Issued.
OTEX 01/30 Test 50 30.98 -0.44 31.62 37.44 420K 825K 33.88
Current. Low volume trying to hang on at 31 as it makes the test. Needs to hold the line here.
PCU 03/01 DB hdl 113.00 +0.64 116.25 138.75 2.2M 3.4M 112.11
Buy Not Issued. Holding up very well after testing the 50 day EMA on the low Tuesday. Still looks nice.
POT 02/09 Rev HS 159.15 -1.88 143.57 162.65 5.6M 7.5M 158.91
Current. Ignoring the selling, working laterally along the 10 day EMA on low volume, still in great shape.
RIG 02/23 Cup hdl 138.43 -2.73 142.88 163.85 5M 11M 139.88
Current. Low volume test that keeps it nicely in its pattern.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 97.92 -3.81 92.30 105.95 24M 32M 105.22
Current. Sold below the 50 day SMA (98.95) on below average volume. Needs to hold here above the January and February interim peaks that market the gap up point.
SGR 03/01 Cup hdl 62.11 -1.78 65.78 78.95 1.6M 3M 62.22
Buy Not Hit. Sold back to the 90 day MA on the close on some rising but still below average volume. Just being patient to see if it holds support and then delivers a breakout.
STLD 03/05 Cup hdl 62.20 -1.43 63.58 71.55 2M 3M 60.32
Current. Faded back some on low volume after the nice break higher Wednesday. Still solidly in the pattern.
SVNT 02/06 Test 50 21.90 -1.11 22.77 27.39 909K 2M 22.88
Exited. Started to crack near support so we closed it.
TJX 01/31 DB hdl 31.46 -1.60 32.07 36.95 5.8M 6.5M 31.92
Exited. Cracked on the same store sales so we sold.
TKC 02/23 DB hdl 23.09 -1.80 26.21 30.89 2.2M 2.2M 25.78
Exited. Volume was up and it gapped lower so we sold it.
TRA 02/23 DB hdl 44.39 -0.36 50.65 60.85 3.8M 5.7M 47.10
Current. Trying to break through the 50 day EMA (44.64) but failed on the close. Still in the larger overall pattern that has held the 90 day MA on the rising lows as support. Bounced off of it Tuesday and looking for it to continue.
TX 03/04 Cup hdl 37.35 -0.55 39.11 44.95 278K 613K 26.97
Buy Not Hit. Still working in the pattern nicely on low volume, still setting up for a breakout.
USO 02/25 Test BO 83.89 +0.59 80.16 91.95 5.7M 4.5M 82.98
Current. Continuing higher on more solid volume as oil ended up on the session once more.
VIP 02/12 Dbl btm 33.89 -1.09 38.36 45.65 2.1M 6M 36.57
Exited. Turned lower from the 50 day EMA so we closed it out.
VIVO 03/05 Cup hdl 33.06 -0.77 34.58 40.95 313K 550K 32.48
Buy Not Hit. Still making the test on low volume so still being patient to see if it will make the break higher.
WDC 02/20 Cup hdl 31.38 -0.58 32.00 37.95 4.7M 5M 32.21
Current. Held up very well in this selling on some very light volume. Very solid for a tech.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 75.02 -3.03 81.09 95.95 3M 7M 78.21
Current. Sold off to test support at 75 on very low trade. Needs to make the stand here.
YTEC 02/13 Test BO 15.52 -1.46 18.48 23.55 163K 700K 16.67
Current. Plopped back to the 50 day EMA on the low on very low trade. After the nice bounce Wednesday we decided to leave it along to see if it can bounce back as it looked as if it was just a victim of the selling as it is still holding support.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ARG 03/05 Put 46.60 -0.46 46.24 43.15 406K 750K 47.69
Buy Not Hit. Tapped the 50 day SMA on the high once more and ready to make the decline.
CAM 03/05 Put 40.62 -1.63 40.54 37.75 5.4M 4.5M 41.55
Entered today. Started lower on stronger trade so we moved into some downside positions.
CNH 01/30 HdShldr 50.46 -0.85 47.65 41.54 540K 850K 4615.0
Current. Tapped higher toward the 50 day EMA Thursday then turned back down for a modest loss. Needs to make the break lower now.
GRA 03/01 Put 20.20 -0.81 20.20 17.35 604K 1.1M 21.38
Current. Turned back down on a modest rise in the volume.
IWM 02/09 Put 66.17 -2.28 69.09 66.04 105M 15M 66.88
Current. Sharp dive low on strong volume as it blew through the March lows and heading toward the January lows.
PCLN 02/05 Put 115.88 -2.49 95.45 86.05 1.1M 1.8M 94.11
Current. Turned lower but held at some support at 115. Still needs to break lower.
PRE 03/06 Put 75.64 +0.05 75.38 72.21 553K 625K 76.65
Buy Not Issued. Tested lower but did not breakdown. Want to see volume jump as it does.
QID 01/30 Test 18 55.22 +2.53 50.96 57.32 39M 39M 53.89
Current. Surging off the 10 day EMA test as QQQQ sold through the February lows.
QID 01/26 Test 18 55.22 +2.53 51.57 57.32 39M 39M 53.89
Current.
SDS 01/30 Test 18 67.12 +2.89 63.28 72.45 27M 25M 65.21
Current. Breaking higher as SP500 breaks lower, clearing both the February and March highs as it makes the continuing move.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 67.12 +2.89 63.18 72.45 27M 30M 65.21
Current.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 91.02 +5.88 85.77 97.95 11M 10M 88.97
Current. Strong surge as the Russell 2000 sold off sharply.
XRAY 02/22 Put 38.67 -0.35 39.04 37.00 742K 1.4M 40.15
Buy Not Issued. Starting to break lower but no downside volume so we were not moving after it. If it continues we will look at moving in.
End part 2 of 3
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