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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ADM 02/23 DB hdl 42.89 -2.12 46.68 53.95 7.3M 10M 44.38
Current. Market continued lower into some rough selling just like we expected and took ADM with it for some above average volume downsides. Tough session but held its trendline. Left it, however, as the market looks good to bounce soon and need to see ADM do the same.
AGU 02/27 Test BO 65.13 -6.42 71.11 81.95 4.2M 5M 70.22
Buy Not Issued. Sold hard with the market past key support and on rising, above average volume. Dropped it here. Selling was out of control.
AKS 03/03 Test BO 48.96 -5.68 55.11 61.38 4.8M 4.5M 52.68
Current. Too much for one day; they were taking all of the stocks out and shooting them so we did not bail out but are looking for the bounce. High volume in the selling as well with AKS closing near the 50 day EMA(48.00) Monday.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 48.96 -5.68 49.55 58.95 4.8M 4M 52.68
Current.
APC 03/01 DB hdl 62.72 -1.00 65.72 74.85 3.9M 7.4M 63.68
Current. Held up well against the market selling to continue its test of the DB hdl high back to support at the 18 day EMA Monday. Not much trade here at either and with APC at support and the market set to bounce out of the selling soon APC is looking strong early this week.
ATW 02/13 Test 50 83.37 -4.08 91.18 104.65 962K 700K 96.32
Current. Gapped lower and sold hard with the market Monday on high trade. Too much downside in a short period. Looking for it to bounce up off of this level that is right at the Q4 2007 support to give us the exit point.
BABY 02/19 DB hdl 18.11 -0.83 19.15 22.95 246K 325K 18.68
Current. Sold but volume remained contained and it held support at the October peaks. Worst part of the selling looks about done here with the market set to bounce soon. Just keeping a close eye on it this week to see that it rebounds.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 74.18 -1.59 70.12 79.95 866K 875K 75.28
Current. Gapped lower on above average volume and posted some light selling with the rest of the market in selling maelstrom. Ultimately held up well against the downsides and closed at support from the 18 day EMA. Looks solid and expecting BVN to resume the Asc Bse higher again soon.
CCC 03/05 Test 50 14.80 -1.17 17.60 21.65 586K 700K 16.88
Current. Sold hard over the past three sessions so looking for a bounce off of support at 14 to give us the exit point. Picked up some volume in the selling Monday as well.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 23.67 -0.69 21.89 25.95 3.8M 1.2M 23.98
Current. Weathered modest selling in the market trend Monday with high volume for CHT early this week. Held the 18 day EMA at the close however. Nice job holding support against the market downsides and CHT in great shape as it tests its late February high.
COIN 02/27 Test BO 10.79 -3.83 13.73 16.45 3.5M 2M 15.89
Exited. COIN hit a surge of selling in the market trend Monday with rising, high trade. Just could not get control of the downsides Monday and with volume picking up we had to pull the plug.
COIN 02/04 Test 18 10.79 -3.83 10.38 12.95 3.5M 978K 15.89
Trailing Stop.
CRZO 03/01 Test BO 56.39 -0.94 58.88 69.95 478K 600K 57.98
Current. Started uphill initially but fell from there with the market to post some light selling. Great job holding support from the 18 day EMA and December highs on just above average volume. Expecting a market bounce soon after the predicted selling here and CRZO looking to have a decent week here.
CRZO 02/20 DB hdl 56.39 -0.94 56.68 63.88 478K 475K 59.98
DBC 02/12 Asc Bse 37.90 +0.70 33.83 37.95 1.7M 900K 36.35
Current. DBC actually on the upside Monday against some rough selling in the market early this week. Huge volume with a deep reach lower back near 36.0 but bounced from there for light gains. Awesome.
DNR 03/04 Cup hdl 30.15 -1.09 33.11 39.75 2.3M 3M 31.24
Buy Not Hit. DNR continuing its pullback from the Cup high to build the Cup hdl base here. Got some help from the market to push even lower in this early March pullback and just waiting for DNR to bottom in this pullback to start giving us some entry options.
DO 02/21 Dbl btm 118.32 -1.94 123.76 138.95 2.1M 4M 119.89
Current. Gapped lower on light trade Monday. Just took a step lower with the market selling through Monday and close beneath key support from the 90 day SMA. Has to bounce soon and take this Dbl btm uphill again.
DRS 03/05 Cup hdl 56.02 -0.77 58.08 66.85 504K 700K 56.22
Buy Not Issued. DRS in some more selling here but held up well against the heavy market downsides. Closed at the 18 day EMA holding support and overall DRS is still in good shape. Expecting some upsides once the market bounces and watching for the buy from there.
ECA 02/23 DB hdl 76.05 -0.86 73.15 86.88 2.8M 3.8M 76.38
Current. Another strong energy stock here. Held up very well against the market downsides in this pullback from the DB hdl high and set to resume upside once the selling clears.
ESV 03/04 Cup hdl 60.13 -0.86 62.30 70.95 3.1M 3.8M 59.92
Current. Held the 10 day EMA for a second consecutive session. Energy play here holding up well against the market downsides. In good shape to bounce soon and finish its Cup hdl base.
FCX 02/25 Dbl btm 93.97 -5.91 104.32 119.95 14M 15M 103.11
Current. Struggled with all of the metals but held close to support near the 200 day SMA(94.58) and volume was lower. A bit overdone to the downside here in early March and with the market expected to bounce higher soon FCX is looking pretty good. Just watching to see that it holds the line here.
FDP 03/08 Asc Tri 33.81 -0.42 36.24 41.95 736K 1M 33.98
Buy Not Hit. Did a great job of holding up against the market selling and just resting some more at its new low in the Asc Bse. FDP just needs to take the next bounce higher in its base on some strong trade for the buy.
GGB 03/08 PreAnn 30.17 -0.75 32.88 39.45 2.5M 4.8M 30.58
Buy Not Hit. Continuing its pullback through early March on fading, low trade this week. Held the December and January highs at the close Monday and with key support at the 50 day EMA GGB looks half decent. Just waiting for the bottom in this test to start opening some doors for us.
GIGM 03/08 DB hdl 18.50 -0.62 20.05 24.22 809K 1.4M 18.65
Buy Not Hit. GIGM held up well against some tough selling in the market. Has rising, above average volume as it holds at the bottom of its test of the DB hdl high at support from the 50 day SMA. Has to hold the line here and ready to jump in once it resumes the base higher.
GILD 03/07 Dbl btm 46.13 -2.57 47.22 55.45 15M 11M 46.78
Buy Not Hit. Sold hard after a nice bounce higher Friday but it couldn't hold up against the heavy market selling early this week. Closed at support from the February highs and need to see it hold the line here and bounce on the market heads uphill again shortly.
HAL 02/25 Dbl btm 36.98 -1.01 39.21 44.45 17M 15M 37.94
Current. Moderate selling on above average volume Monday with the market. Held the 90 day SMA as support at the close however and no huge worries yet for HAL as it also has solid support from the 200 day SMA near 36.50.
HES 02/16 DB hdl 91.92 +0.23 94.35 106.45 4.2M 7M 96.32
Current. Doji as HES held the 50 day SMA as support and rests some more at the bottom of its test of the DB hdl high. Above average volume Monday for HES and looking good to start some upsides soon with the market expected to bounce out of the selling here and HES picking up strong trade.
HOS 03/08 DB hdl 44.20 -1.19 46.88 53.95 841K 800K 44.52
Buy Not Hit. Above average volume Monday with HOS on modest selling with some help from the market. Key support at the 50 day EMA just above 43.1 and just waiting for HOS to bottom in this pullback from the DB hdl high before we can find some buy points.
IBM 03/05 DB hdl 114.01 +0.07 116.88 133.95 9.7M 12M 112.55
Buy Not Hit. Great job of holding support at the 10 day EMA here against some rough market selling. Held just above average volume Monday and managed to post very light gains. IBM still in decent shape, just waiting to see it resume the DB hdl base higher for the buy.
ILMN 02/16 Test BO 62.13 -5.02 73.32 83.95 1.6M 1.8M 71.48
Buy Not Issued. Thumped to the 90 day SMA on the close but held there where it has held on this entire run. Too overdone to the downside here and ready to bounce. Watching for the buy once it starts uphill again.
ILMN 02/02 Test BO 62.13 -5.02 69.86 79.95 1.6M 1.2M 73.44
Current.
IMCL 03/05 Cup hdl 43.55 -1.16 46.61 54.94 2.5M 1.5M 44.08
Buy Not Hit. Moderate selling Monday on huge volume. Held close to support at the 18 day EMA as it tapped the 50 day SMA near 42.0 intraday. Setting up a nice Cup hdl and need to see it bounce soon for the buy.
IMO 03/04 DB hdl 54.80 -1.29 58.00 66.75 393K 500K 56.12
Current. Posted modest losses after selling a bit with the market Monday. Below average volume as it took a step lower in this test of the DB hdl high. Nice test here and with trade already below average IMO looks good to bottom in the pullback soon.
JBHT 03/08 Cup hdl 26.96 -1.64 29.65 35.55 3.3M 3.5M 28.11
Buy Not Hit. Sold hard on above average volume past key support from the 90 day SMA and 200 day SMA with ease as it ran with the market selling. Dropped it here.
JEC 02/28 DB hdl 70.75 -5.27 81.32 95.95 3M 2.8M 78.11
Buy Not Hit. JEC weathered harsh selling on high trade with the market taking a step lower and taking JEC down with it. Only looks to head even lower from here so dropped it.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 34.23 -0.42 34.98 39.95 1.5M 3M 35.97
Current. Took a short step lower to the 18 day EMA to hold the average as support. Not much trade in the selling and in good shape to head uphill soon off support.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 34.23 -0.42 30.78 36.45 1.5M 3.4M 35.97
Current.
LIFC 03/07 Test 50 38.57 -1.98 41.88 48.31 433K 900K 39.89
Buy Not Hit. Tough session for LIFC Monday. Below average volume as it sold hard with the market and left it to see how it reacts to the expect market bounce soon.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 191.50 -1.01 208.22 239.00 3.3M 5M 201.11
Current. Moved laterally along the 190s some more into this week at the bottom of its Rev HS. Holding up well against the market selling Monday and MA in good shape to make its way higher again soon once trade picks up.
MEA 02/28 Cup hdl 9.94 -1.06 11.95 15.95 391K 321K 11.11
Buy Not Hit. MEA on high volume and selling hard through Monday with the market. Broke support at the 90 day SMA with no problem so decided to drop. Keeping an eye on it, however, to see how it handles an expected bounce with the market soon.
MON 02/19 DB hdl 101.21 -5.25 120.88 137.95 11M 7.5M 115.95
Current. Sold down to price support at 100 on rising above average volume Monday. Looking for it to hold here and bounce with the market this week.
OTEX 02/16 Cup hdl 29.72 -0.18 33.68 39.95 620K 1M 31.44
Buy Not Issued.
OTEX 01/30 Test 50 29.72 -0.18 31.62 37.44 620K 825K 33.88
Current. Doji in the short step lower with OTEX having a strong session standing up against the market selling. Looks to have bottomed in its pullback from the mid February high.
PCU 03/01 DB hdl 106.39 -6.28 116.25 138.75 2M 3.4M 112.11
Buy Not Issued. Moderate selling in this test of the DB hdl back to the 50 day EMA. Has fading below average volume early this week and has to hold the line at support here to stay on our good side.
POT 02/09 Rev HS 143.03 -12.31 143.57 162.65 10M 7.5M 158.91
Current. Tempting to say it went to pot, but it is at support as everything was thrown out on Monday with some high trade levels. Needs to hold the line in this general area and start to try a bounce.
PQ 03/08 Test BO 15.37 -0.18 16.12 19.65 1M 1.1M 15.05
Buy Not Hit. Held up well against the market selling Monday. Above average volume in the short step lower with PQ in good shape, just continuing its test of the early March high and waiting for this one to start uphill again for the buy.
RIG 02/23 Cup hdl 132.00 -4.31 142.88 163.85 7.1M 11M 139.88
Current. RIG on tough selling Monday. Slight boost in volume as well to just below average. Has key support at the 90 day SMA near 130.0 and has to hold the line there.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 93.59 -4.45 92.30 105.95 18M 32M 105.22
Current. Light volume as it tests toward the 200 day SMA just above 90.0. It will likely hold there and continue building its base. Not bad.
STLD 03/05 Cup hdl 57.84 -2.68 63.58 71.55 2.4M 3M 60.32
Current. Sold with all of the metals and recent leaders. Still in decent shape though it is undergoing some distribution. Want to see it hold the line in this vicinity of the upper 50s.
TX 03/04 Cup hdl 35.79 -1.01 39.11 44.95 287K 613K 26.97
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower and sold a bit on below average volume to close just below average volume the key 90 day SMA. Expecting a market bounce soon out of the Monday selling and TX needs to do the same.
USO 02/25 Test BO 85.63 +1.90 80.16 91.95 6.1M 4.5M 83.66
Current. USO posting some incredible upsides on huge trade against an overall negative session in the market Monday. In great shape out of a solid Dbl btm base and expecting a great week given the impressive move here.
VIVO 03/05 Cup hdl 30.49 -1.38 33.36 40.95 563K 550K 31.65
Buy Not Hit. VIVO continuing to sell into this week and only gaining downside momentum as it fell through the floor Monday. Dropped it.
WDC 02/20 Cup hdl 29.64 -0.64 32.00 37.95 5.2M 5M 32.21
Current. Gapped lower but ultimately held up well against the market selling early this week, holding the 50 day EMA as support at the close Monday. Has to hold support here and bounce with the market this week.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 72.42 -1.69 81.09 95.95 4.6M 7M 78.21
Current. Continued a bit lower in this pullback from the Rev HS here in early March. Low volume sag but needs to hold the line here.
WFT 03/07 PreAnn 65.78 -1.48 71.68 82.45 3.1M 6.5M 67.77
Buy Not Hit. Sold lower to the 50 day SMA on fading, below average volume. Not too worried yet as it just continues its test of the late February high and has key support at the 90 day SMA at 64.78. Just need to see it keep support there.
XIDE 03/08 Test BO 10.71 -0.60 11.53 14.45 621K 800K 10.72
Buy Not Hit. Just below average volume in some modest selling Monday. Back at support from the 18 day EMA and needs the hold the line here.
XTO 03/07 Test BO 58.83 -1.34 61.88 70.95 5.4M 6.2M 60.39
Buy Not Hit. Modest selling on below average volume Monday but another energy stock that held up reasonably well against the market downsides. Held support from the mid February high at the close Monday and in good shape to bounce soon with the market.
YTEC 02/13 Test BO 13.85 -1.39 18.48 23.55 335K 700K 16.67
Exited. YTEC sold hard past key support from the 50 day SMA and 90 day SMA with ease Monday. No choice but to pull the plug on this one as it only looks to head even lower from here.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CAM 03/05 Put 37.69 -1.57 40.54 37.75 4.3M 4.5M 38.08
Target Hit. Took part of the 39% gain; still looks like it will head lower. Nice, rising near average volume as well. Just watching closely for an exit point if the market opens sharply lower out of the gates.
CNH 01/30 HdShldr 47.05 -2.13 47.65 41.54 524K 850K 47.68
Current. CNH gapped and sold on below average volume through Monday. Picking up downside momentum here in early March and looks good to continue lower.
DXD 03/03 Dbl btm 62.46 +1.28 59.11 64.95 8.5M 7.5M 61.22
Current. Continued even higher from here as the DOW30 sold hard through Monday. However, expecting the market to bounce soon and need to see DXD head lower from there.
GRA 03/01 Put 19.07 -0.83 20.20 17.35 636K 1.1M 18.44
Current. Nice selling with the market Monday on a slight pickup in trade. Still light trade in the downsides and GRA in good shape to continue even lower from here as it picks up speed, rolling downhill. However, ready to take the gains off the table from this one if it gives a sharp turn lower from here.
IWM 02/09 Put 64.30 -1.66 69.09 66.04 80M 15M 65.08
Current. IWM continuing some great selling through Monday with some help from the market. On below average trade here and watching closely to see how it reacts to the expected market bounce this week.
PCLN 02/05 Put 109.77 -7.15 95.45 86.05 1.5M 1.8M 94.11
Current. Holding at the 90 day MA (105.74) after some nice selling Monday in a pick up of trade. Want to see it break down through this level. Watching closely to see that it doesn't nosedive from here, however, or we will have to exit.
PRE 03/06 Put 75.65 +0.14 75.38 72.21 384K 625K 76.65
Buy Not Issued. Bounced a little on low trade Monday with a high reach to the 10 day EMA just under 77. Just waiting for this one to resume some downside movement on strong volume to give us the buy.
QID 01/30 Test 18 57.63 +2.16 50.96 57.32 43M 39M 55.77
Current. QQQQ headed lower with the market selling Monday and QID gave some gains on above average volume. Still, expecting the market to bounce soon and need to see QID head downhill there.
QID 01/26 Test 18 57.63 +2.16 51.57 57.32 43M 39M 55.77
Current.
SDS 01/30 Test 18 70.27 +2.05 63.28 72.45 32M 25M 68.68
Current. Market sold as SP500 weathered a harsh session early this week. SDS gave upside movement through Monday on above average volume and just waiting to see this one head back downhill once the market heads uphill shortly.
SDS 01/24 Test BO 70.27 +2.05 63.18 72.45 32M 30M 68.68
Current.
TWM 01/24 Test 18 95.53 +3.77 85.77 97.95 10M 10M 93.69
Current. Russell fell with the market so TWM bounced and gave some modest gains on above average volume. Needs to head back downhill shortly and looks good to do so with the market looking to recover this rough beginning to the week.
XRAY 02/22 Put 37.58 -1.16 39.04 37.00 852K 1.4M 40.15
Buy Not Issued. Began some great selling Monday as XRAY got some help from the market as well. Not much trade in the downsides however and ready to jump in once XRAY picks up the volume in the selling.
End part 2 of 3
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