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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AKS 03/03 Test BO 54.76 -0.67 55.11 61.38 2.5M 4.5M 52.68
Current. Gapped higher closed basically flat, coming back from an intraday test of the 10 day EMA on the low. Steady, and a great comeback from the Monday dump lower that impacted most stocks. The strong came back.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 54.76 -0.67 49.55 58.95 2.5M 4M 52.68
Current.
APC 03/01 DB hdl 64.50 -1.49 65.72 74.85 5.1M 7.4M 63.68
Current. Up and down to finish the week, still holding the 10 day EMA on the close, setting up a good springboard for the next break higher.
BIDU 03/13 Cup 268.05 -0.04 275.21 345.00 7.2M 10M 265.78
Buy Not Issued. Tried the move over the 50 day EMA (274.47) but faded to close at the 200 day SMA. Still in excellent position to make the move.
BNI 03/12 DB hdl 90.80 -1.04 92.08 99.95 6M 4.5M 88.89
Current. Gapped higher, strong volume, but closed a bit lower after testing the 18 day EMA intraday. Still solid, still ready to run to 100.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 83.91 +3.56 70.12 79.95 819K 875K 81.88
Current. Gapped higher as gold continues its incredible run, now past 1000. May be starting a climax run with this gap higher after a steady solid move up the 10 day EMA. Watching volume and if it surges as BVN surges another couple of sessions we need to book some gain at least on the options.
CHK 03/10 Test BO 47.90 -1.10 45.85 51.85 16M 13M 46.88
Current. Gapped higher and rolled over for a loss on strong volume. Still in good shape but don't like the high volume. Glad we banked some gain after those strong three sessions upside.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 24.41 -0.10 21.89 25.95 1.9M 1.2M 23.98
Current. Still working laterally in a tight range, refusing to give up ground.
CLF 03/11 PreSplt 118.82 -1.34 116.63 125.00 1.5M 2M 116.55
Current. Lost a bit of ground, but a good comeback from the intraday test to hold above near support.
CPST 03/12 Test BO 2.00 -0.05 2.11 3.55 2.5M 5M 1.96
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher, closed flat on lower trade. Still in position to continue the run higher.
CRK 03/12 DB hdl 36.88 -1.23 38.20 43.95 726K 845K 37.22
Current. Belly flopped a bit after a strong breakout Thursday. Volume was lower and it did bounce up off the 10 day EMA. Still okay, expecting a jump back up this week.
CRZO 03/01 Test BO 59.26 -1.15 58.88 69.95 301K 600K 57.98
Current. Strong Thursday, lost some ground Friday, but still in position to break higher from this lateral consolidation and bounce off the 18 day EMA.
CRZO 02/20 DB hdl 59.26 -1.15 56.68 63.88 301K 475K 59.98
DBC 02/12 Asc Bse 38.90 -0.05 33.83 37.95 1.1M 900K 37.64
Current. Stalling the past two sessions, showing dojis on the candlestick chart, an indication it is slowing. Is not giving up and ground, however, and may move into a lateral consolidation to set up for the next move.
DNA 03/10 Test BO 78.83 -2.60 81.39 91.39 7.4M 6M 78.32
Current. Tough session at its conference, but it came smartly off an intraday test of the 18 day EMA, holding its range.
DNR 03/04 Cup hdl 31.52 -1.05 33.11 39.75 2M 3M 31.24
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally over the 18 day EMA. Just waiting for the break higher to give us the entry point.
DO 03/13 DB hdl 124.45 -0.67 125.78 138.95 1.5M 4M 119.68
Buy Not Issued.
DO 02/21 Dbl btm 124.45 -0.67 123.76 138.95 1.5M 4M 122.88
Current. Low volume persists as DO moves laterally. Still looks as if it is aching to make the break higher.
DRS 03/05 Cup hdl 56.38 -1.12 58.08 66.85 418K 700K 56.22
Buy Not Issued. Sold back to the 18 day EMA but on low trade. Still in the pattern and we will just let it continue its set up and see if it delivers us a buy.
ECA 02/23 DB hdl 79.59 +0.68 73.15 86.88 5.2M 3.8M 77.02
Current. Excellent strength to end the week, surging Thursday and even adding some ground Friday when most stocks were lower. Excellent.
ESV 03/04 Cup hdl 63.33 +0.08 62.30 70.95 3.4M 3.8M 60.91
Current. Strong Thursday and tried to extend Friday but faded to flat. Still excellent positioning for a continued move higher.
FCX 02/25 Dbl btm 101.61 -1.78 104.32 119.95 12M 15M 103.11
Current. Excellent recovery off the dump lower on Monday. Closed the week at the 10 day EMA, in solid position to move higher to start the week.
FDP 03/08 Asc Tri 36.02 +0.11 36.24 41.95 693K 1M 33.98
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher on rising but still below average volume. Still ready to thaw some and make the breakout for us.
GGB 03/08 PreAnn 33.08 -0.26 32.88 39.45 3.3M 4.8M 30.58
Buy Not Issued. GGapped higher then ssold flat. Nice recovery on the week from the early test. Need to see better vvolume as GGB continues the bbreak higher.
GILD 03/07 Dbl btm 47.55 -0.94 47.22 55.45 10M 11M 46.78
Buy Not Issued. Nice test back to the 10 day EMA to close out the week after selling to the 50 day EMA Monday, bouncing from there (but on no volume). Nice test back and set to make the break higher.
HES 02/16 DB hdl 99.04 -1.65 94.35 106.45 3.8M 7M 98.44
Current. Nice break higher midweek on strong volume. Stalled Friday, but what the hes? Most everything was down and it bounced off the 10 day EMA on the low. In excellent shape to make the run higher.
HK 03/11 DB hdl 18.47 -0.40 19.05 21.95 3.7M 4M 17.72
Buy Not Issued. Very choppy week. Almost too choppy for us, but if it shows a strong break higher that will straighten things out for us.
HOS 03/08 DB hdl 44.30 -0.31 46.88 53.95 592K 800K 44.52
Buy Not Hit. Good recovery off the 50 day EMA to end the week, tapping it again on the low and recovering. Low volume. Still nicely positions to make the break higher.
IBM 03/05 DB hdl 115.28 -0.63 117.55 133.95 9.7M 12M 114.21
Current. Tried to sell off but the buyers picked it up at the 18 day EMA and drove it back up as IBM held its range to the close.
IMCL 03/05 Cup hdl 42.51 -0.75 44.21 54.94 930K 1.5M 41.68
Buy Not Hit. Holding at the 50 day EMA on low volume, trying to find the buyers to send it higher.
IMO 03/04 DB hdl 54.22 -1.77 58.00 66.75 622K 500K 56.12
Current. Sold down to the 50 day EMA on some more big volume. Not the move we want to see of course. Now it has to bounce and the 50 day EMA is where the cream gets separated.
JOYG 03/13 PreAnn 68.80 -1.75 71.21 81.95 2.5M 3.1M 67.05
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and then immediately sold back to the 18 day EMA, finishing the session lower but on lower volume as well. Still in position to continue the run.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 36.00 -0.55 34.98 39.95 1.5M 3M 35.97
Current. Lost some ground Friday on low volume but still trending higher up the 18 day EMA.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 36.00 -0.55 30.78 36.45 1.5M 3.4M 35.97
Current.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 208.65 -1.07 208.22 239.00 4.3M 5M 205.88
Current. Gapped higher and was all full of fire, then it sold back for a modest loss on low volume. Good week for MA. Very good week.
MM 03/11 PreAnn 54.90 -0.86 57.64 65.95 3.6M 500K 54.89
Buy Not Issued. Sold to the 50 day EMA last week then showed huge volume Friday but faded to close lower. Trying to find itself at the 50 day EMA.
NBR 03/11 DB hdl 32.13 +0.05 32.57 37.95 6.5M 8M 31.05
Buy Not Hit. Still looking for the breakout. Huge volume Thursday is telling us to get ready for a breakout. Okay we are neighbor. Man, the corn is out tonight.
NTES 03/12 DB hdl 20.18 -0.06 21.05 25.31 542K 1.5M 19.65
Buy Not Hit. Another doji at the 18 day EMA on low, low volume as NTES teases us with a quiet day.
ODFL 03/10 Cup hdl 30.48 -0.60 30.36 35.95 339K 840K 29.11
Current. Gapped higher but sold back on some very low volume. Strong trade Thursday pushed it up, and we like the transports and ODFL in particular.
PCU 03/01 DB hdl 108.86 -2.70 116.25 138.75 1.8M 3.4M 112.11
Buy Not Issued. Back to the 200 day SMA on the close on more below average volume. Still looking for the break higher but it is well off the pace. Dropping for now but will keep watching it.
POT 02/09 Rev HS 160.79 +0.39 143.57 162.65 9.1M 7.5M 158.91
Current. Gapped higher, closed flat, but that was a show of strength Friday. Nice recovery off the 50 day EMA it flopped down to on Monday. Nice recovery indeed.
PQ 03/08 Test BO 16.27 -0.28 16.46 19.95 571K 1.1M 15.31
Current. Lost some ground Friday on no volume.
RIG 02/23 Cup hdl 137.55 -1.75 142.88 163.85 6.1M 11M 139.88
Current. Up and down in a range below 140 all week, closing the week lower but low volume as well. Still working laterally, still setting up well for a breakout.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 101.69 -3.96 92.30 105.95 22M 32M 105.22
Current. Solid rebound last week and Thursday was on great volume. Friday it dumped back to test the 50 day EMA on the low, but volume faded as well. Still shaping up a very nice 5 month base so letting it work as long as it holds around the 50 day EMA.
Current. Very strong week for this dynamic steel stock. Gapped higher Friday on strong volume but it closed modestly lower. Strong though it may take another day of a breather before trying to resume its bounce.
TKC 03/11 PreAnn 23.08 -1.32 25.55 29.85 2.4M 2.1M 23.94
Buy Not Hit. Higher volume selling. Dropping for now.
TX 03/04 Cup hdl 37.16 +0.10 39.11 44.95 335K 613K 26.97
Buy Not Hit. Sure looks good as it moves laterally in a tight range at the 50 day EMA, but it did not participate at all in the steel rally last week.
UPL 03/10 Test 50 79.10 -0.92 78.78 87.95 1.1M 1.6M 76.77
Current. Sold to the 10 day EMA on the intraday low and rebounded to cut its losses. Low volume. Strong breakout Thursday and still in excellent position to move higher.
USO 02/25 Test BO 86.51 -0.70 80.16 91.95 8.6M 4.5M 85.88
Current. Lost some ground Friday but still in its strong uptrend above the 10 day EMA and letting it run higher as long as it continues to hold that trend.
WDC 03/04 Test BO 31.27 +0.04 32.05 37.95 7.4M 8M 29.81
Buy Not Issued. Strong volume Friday as WDC broke higher but could not hang on, closing flat at the 10 day EMA. Great recovery week for WDC, however, leaving it in position to rally if it wants.
WFR 03/13 Asc Bse 81.05 -2.19 83.55 93.75 6.6M 6M 79.88
Buy Not Issued. Gapped sharply higher Friday as did many stocks, but it could not hold that move and indeed gave up ground to the close. It held near the February highs so it is in position to turn back up here. If it does and with some strength it is a buy.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 81.05 -2.19 81.09 95.95 6.6M 7M 81.22
Current.
WFT 03/07 PreAnn 68.26 -1.36 70.32 82.45 4.2M 6.5M 67.77
Buy Not Hit. Moving laterally over the 50 day EMA, trying to find the guts to make the breakout.
XIDE 03/08 Test BO 12.21 -0.13 11.77 14.75 1.1M 800K 11.28
Current. Strong move last week for XIDE even if it gave back a fraction on Friday. Nice strong break higher and XIDE looks as if it has some money to make for us.
XTO 03/07 Test BO 60.90 -0.28 61.42 70.95 6.6M 6.2M 60.39
Buy Not Issued. Volume was up to average but XTO could not hold its early break higher. Still remains in excellent shape to make the break higher, and one of the best positioned energy stocks to move higher and give us a new buy point.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
DIA 03/12 Put 120.02 -1.49 119.80 115.85 29M 17M 121.55
Current. Gapped higher to the 18 day EMA and died. Dumped lower on volume though it made that damn bounce late in the session that took some of the luster off. Still looking for DJ30 to make that test of the January lows, and that will give us a nice fat gain on this puppy.
IWM 03/12 Put 66.14 -1.74 65.69 63.45 177M 100M 67.38
Current. Gapped higher and did not look good. Then it dove lower. The small caps are not in dire straights, but if the big boys head lower, they will follow.
PRE 03/06 Put 75.18 -0.88 76.55 72.21 498K 625K 77.32
Buy Not Issued. Just won't jack up the volume for us as it sells back. Still like the look for the downside play, and a further break lower will be hard to pass up.
QID 03/12 Test 18 54.65 +1.97 53.45 59.65 64M 50M 52.82
Current. Huge volume as the QID squirted higher once more. What an up and down week, but still looks as if it can move higher as NASDAQ 100 struggles.
SDS 03/12 Test 18 68.06 +2.14 66.12 72.50 47M 30M 65.92
Current. Jumping right back up Friday after the Thursday reversal session. Big volume and ready to move higher still as SP500 tests the January low.
End part 2 of 3
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