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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACV 03/10 PreAnn 27.63 -0.12 28.26 38.32 469K 850K 27.11
Current. Short step lower on fading low trade early this week and closed just below the 18 day EMA Monday. Holding support still from February lows and in decent shape.
AKS 03/03 Test BO 51.97 -2.79 55.11 61.38 2.1M 4.5M 52.68
Current. Gapped lower and sold a bit with some light volume Monday. Managed to rebound nicely and the trade suggests no heavy selling. Needs to hold support here and bounce strong.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 51.97 -2.79 49.55 58.95 2.1M 4M 52.68
Current.
APC 03/01 DB hdl 61.62 -2.88 65.72 74.85 6.8M 7.4M 63.68
Current. Gapped lower but managed to hold near the 90 day MA on the low and rebounded to close near the 50 day EMA so did not bail. High volume in the selling here and need to see it bounce off support. If it stalls or makes a weak rebound move we will close it out.
BIDU 03/13 Cup 247.10 -20.95 275.21 345.00 7.9M 10M 265.78
Buy Not Issued. Gapped and sold with the market past key support at the 18 day EMA on rising below average volume. Dropped it here.
BKE 03/13 PreAnn 44.90 -0.37 46.38 53.68 427K 500K 44.11
Buy Not Issued. Still holding along the 18 day EMA in this rest through March on above average volume Monday after a short step lower. In decent shape and doing a nice job avoiding any serious issues with the market selling as it continues consolidating in the mid 40s. Need a bounce on strong trade for the buy, but for now it has to hold the line here.
BNI 03/12 DB hdl 91.19 +0.39 92.08 99.95 4.5M 4.5M 88.89
Current. Sold initially but bounced from the intraday low at support from the late February lows to post a lateral move through Monday. Nice DB hdl base here and looks good to continue higher soon after holding up well against the Monday selling.
BVN 01/31 PreAnn 80.82 -3.09 70.12 79.95 1M 875K 81.88
Current. A victim of the dumping of commodity stocks, selling on a sharp bump in volume. Still in the uptrend above the 10 day EMA (78.72) and want to see it hold that though not sweating any bullets on this one just yet.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 24.19 -0.22 21.89 25.95 1.8M 1.2M 23.98
Current. Moderate selling on low trade back to the prior March low. Not too worried what with the low trade, just needs to hold here and bounce soon.
CLF 03/11 PreSplt 111.20 -7.62 116.63 125.00 1.5M 2M 116.55
Current. Commodities also had trouble and CLF gapped lower but it also held the 50 day SMA(106.98) on the low and bounced to hold the 50 day EMA on the close. Low volume continued and it made a higher low for the session. More of a throw out everything type of selling.
CRZO 03/01 Test BO 55.29 -3.97 58.88 69.95 487K 600K 57.98
Current. Gapped lower but managed to hold the 50 day EMA with a majority of the energy plays Monday. Not a great session but with the gap it did what it needed to do to hang on for now. Holding the 50 day EMA and mid February consolidation levels at 55ish so not bad.
DBC 02/12 Asc Bse 37.34 -1.56 33.83 37.95 3.1M 900K 37.64
Current. Commodity tracking index. Gapped lower on huge trade but held the 18 day EMA so we left it. Has to hold here, however, and if a bounce fails we close it.
DNA 03/10 Test BO 77.27 -1.56 81.39 91.39 4.4M 6M 78.32
Current. Gapped lower on above average volume with the step lower in the market Monday. Continuing its test of the early March high here but if it continues lower from here we're out.
DNR 03/04 Cup hdl 29.05 -2.47 33.11 39.75 3.8M 3M 31.24
Buy Not Hit. Took a bit of a beating Monday. Huge trade and harsh selling past the key 50 day EMA and after that there just wasn't much left to stick around for so we dropped it.
DO 03/13 DB hdl 119.15 -5.30 125.78 138.95 1.9M 4M 119.68
Buy Not Issued.
DO 02/21 Dbl btm 119.15 -5.30 123.76 138.95 1.9M 4M 122.88
Current. Moderate selling in the market Monday took DO a bit lower. Not much trade in the downside movement however. Holding the 50 day SMA as support as it continues its rest through March in the 120ish range and needs to hold the line here.
DRS 03/05 Cup hdl 55.70 -0.68 58.08 66.85 434K 700K 56.22
Buy Not Issued. Short step lower in this pullback from the Cup hdl high Monday. Below average volume as well with DRS looking to head uphill again soon off key support from the 90 day SMA after Monday. Waiting for a bounce for the buy.
EAC 02/23 DB hdl 37.10 -1.64 37.00 42.95 1.4M 875K 37.32
Current. High volume in the gap lower back to hold the early March consolidation in the upper 30s and the 18 day EMA Monday. Nice job holding support, needs to keep up the good work.
ECA 02/23 DB hdl 76.34 -3.25 73.15 86.88 3.4M 3.8M 77.02
Current. Weathered some modest selling on above average volume Monday with the market as ECA held just above the 18 day EMA at the close. Still just stalling in the upper 70s after a huge run higher through February. Not bad, just watching to see that it can hold support here.
ESV 03/04 Cup hdl 61.05 -2.28 62.30 70.95 3.1M 3.8M 60.91
Current. Gapped lower with the market but without much trade. Closed just below the 10 day EMA but with the 18 day EMA just near 60.0 ESV still looks pretty decent. Resting some more through March at its Cup hdl high.
FCX 02/25 Dbl btm 94.61 -7.00 104.32 119.95 20M 15M 103.11
Current. Gapped to the 200 day SMA and sold a bit, but held the 50 day SMA on the close. Not a pretty session but it held the early March low and we will see if it can bounce from here. If so, great, if not we close it.
FDP 03/08 Asc Tri 34.75 -1.27 36.24 41.95 774K 1M 33.98
Buy Not Issued. Big gap lower to close just under the 10 day EMA. Very volatile stock here as it progressively works its way higher in an Asc Tri from early February. Waiting to see a solid move up through the 30s to give us our a buy, but first it needs to hold support here to keep us interested.
GGB 03/08 PreAnn 32.24 -0.84 32.88 39.45 3.6M 4.8M 30.58
Buy Not Issued. Starting to work its way uphill from the early March testing low in the Cup hdl base. Came back a bit late last week and early this week as it sold with the market to the 18 day EMA. Nice to see it holding support here and needs to keep it up and head uphill for the buy.
GILD 03/07 Dbl btm 46.76 -0.79 47.22 55.45 8.2M 11M 46.78
Buy Not Issued. Continued lower in the test of the Dbl bt high on fading below average volume Monday. Just below the 18 day EMA here and not throwing a fit yet with key support at the 50 day EMA at 46. Need to see a bounce.
HAL 02/25 Dbl btm 36.60 -1.80 39.21 44.45 22M 15M 37.94
Current. Gapped lower on high volume to hold at the 200 day SMA in this pullback from the Dbl btm high. Needs to hold here. Critical session tomorrow.
HES 02/16 DB hdl 95.67 -3.37 94.35 106.45 3.5M 7M 98.44
Current. Sold a bit Monday on below average volume as the market took a short step lower (but it sure seemed big with all of the negatives). Held support at the 18 day EMA after the selling however with a deep reach back near 93 intraday. Another energy play that has to show us it can hold support and resume its base higher, but not a bad session.
HK 03/11 DB hdl 17.66 -0.81 19.05 21.95 2.4M 4M 17.72
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower for some moderate losses and held the prior March lows at this level in 17ish. Below average volume in the gap as it tapped the 50 day EMA(17.34) intraday. Waiting for this one to resume the DB hdl higher for the buy, just need to see it hold support near here to keep us interested.
HOS 03/08 DB hdl 42.08 -2.22 46.88 53.95 847K 800K 44.52
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower and sold hard through Monday on above average volume past the key 90 day SMA with ease. Dropped it here. Tough session for HOS.
IBM 03/05 DB hdl 115.55 +0.31 117.55 133.95 9.1M 12M 114.21
Current. Sold hard initially but bounced from the intraday low near 113 and posted a short step higher. Great job holding up against the market selling and still just resting in the 110 to 115 range through March at the February high.
IMO 03/04 DB hdl 51.88 -2.34 58.00 66.75 795K 500K 56.12
Exited. Gapped and sold hard Monday on huge trade past key support from the 50 day SMA and 90 day SMA and let us know it was time to pack up and get out.
JOYG 03/13 PreAnn 66.52 -2.28 71.21 81.95 2.9M 3.1M 67.05
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower on above average volume back to tap the 50 day EMA near 65 intraday. Still holding the February and March lows so no worries just yet. Waiting for this one to make its move higher from here and finish its Dbl btm for the buy.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 33.43 -2.57 34.98 39.95 2.1M 3M 35.97
Current. Gapped hard lower with a majority of the energy plays but bounced modestly off the 50 day EMA. Nice job holding support so left it to see if it can continue with a rebound that takes it back above 35. If it stalls along the rebound path we will have to consider selling it.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 33.43 -2.57 30.78 36.45 2.1M 3.4M 35.97
Current.
LSTR 03/07 Cup hdl 48.00 +0.50 49.05 56.45 809K 1M 46.78
Buy Not Issued. Great action in this trucking stock as it sold off to the 50 day SMA at 45, but closed with a gain on rising trade. This says some good things about the economy. LSTR still resting in the upper 40s from early February and watching closely for a buy here after the strong Monday session with rising, now just below average volume.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 201.52 -7.13 208.22 239.00 4.3M 5M 205.88
Current. Not pretty with the gap lower Monday with above average volume. Closed at support from the 10 day EMA and in the longer term the pattern looks very nice. Watching closely to see that it can continue at support and bounce to resume the Rev HS higher.
MM 03/11 PreAnn 54.90 0.00 57.64 65.95 3.6M 500K 54.89
Buy Not Issued. It is gone as it completed its merger. Huge trade in the lateral move Monday and dropping.
NBR 03/11 DB hdl 31.22 -0.91 32.57 37.95 11M 8M 31.05
Buy Not Hit. Sold a bit to close just under the 18 day EMA on high volume, but still holding its consolidation range from early February in the low 30s. Looks half decent as it just takes a nice vacation here. Waiting for a bounce higher in the DB hdl for the buy.
NTES 03/12 DB hdl 18.55 -1.63 21.05 25.31 2.8M 1.5M 19.65
Buy Not Hit. Huge selling on high volume past two key support levels: 50 day EMA(19.55) and 90 day SMA(19.44). Adios.
ODFL 03/10 Cup hdl 30.07 -0.41 30.36 35.95 700K 840K 29.11
Current. Gapped lower and sold a bit on above average volume Monday with the market. Just a quiet pullback to support here before resume the Cup hdl higher and ODFL not looking half bad. That still speaks to us with respect to the economy.
POT 02/16 Rev HS 155.05 -5.41 152.59 172.95 7.8M 7.8M 158.91
Current. Moderate selling on average trade with the market Monday. Slowly working its way lower to the 150s in this test of the Rev HS high and no huge worries on this one yet after the light selling from Monday.
POT 01/12 Test 50 155.05 -5.41 143.11 164.32 7.8M 5.5M 158.91
Current.
PRGO 03/15 Asc Tri 34.55 -0.29 36.55 42.75 1.5M 2M 33.99
Buy Not Hit. Light selling on just above average volume Monday to continue this pullback from Friday a bit lower this week. At support from the 10 day EMA here and in decent shape as it held up well against the market selling from Monday. If it can work its way higher from here on stronger trade we will enter.
RIG 02/23 Cup hdl 132.34 -5.21 142.88 163.85 6.1M 11M 139.88
Current. Gapped lower on below average volume to close holding the 90 day SMA as support Monday. Setting up a nice Cup hdl base here and need to see it hold the line at the 90 day SMA.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 98.12 -3.57 92.30 105.95 21M 32M 105.22
Current. Gapped lower on fading below average volume to hold the 50 day SMA as support with the early February highs. In decent shape at support here, just need to see it hold the line.
SDA 03/08 Cup 18.60 -0.04 18.73 22.48 688K 450K 18.08
Current. Sold hard early Monday but rebounded to post a move laterally along the Friday low. Great rebound off the 90 day SMA as support intraday as SDA is looking strong early this week.
STLD 03/05 Cup hdl 67.12 -0.51 63.58 71.55 2.7M 3M 66.11
Current. Very strong in a weak sector on the session as STLD held up well against the market selling to take a short step lower on above average volume. Impressive, just need to see it resume the Cup hdl moves higher from last week again soon.
SU 03/15 PreSplt 101.74 -4.12 108.55 119.95 3.4M 3.2M 104.11
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower and sold hard from there on rising above average volume so decided to drop it as it only looks to head downhill from here.
SWN 03/13 PreSplt 62.10 -3.75 62.55 68.45 3M 3.8M 60.39
Buy Not Hit. Making a trade out of this one, moving the buy point and the target to play its range. Gapped lower on below average volume to hold the prior March low at the close. With key support at the 50 day EMA just above 60.0 SWN looks alright as long as it can keep above support.
TEX 03/15 Rev HS 63.55 -3.03 68.32 79.95 2.8M 3.5M 65.11
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower on above average volume to post some modest losses Monday. Held the 50 day EMA at the close, however, as TEX sets up to head uphill out of the testing low here in early March in the low 60s. Tried last week to make the move higher but didn't have the volume it needed and for now just need to see it hold support here at the 50 day EMA.
TISI 03/15 Cup hdl 31.81 -1.35 33.89 39.95 160K 224K 31.72
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower on below average volume to continue the Friday selling through the low 30s. Held the 50 day EMA at the close and needs to hold the line here and resume its Cup hdl higher for the buy.
TX 03/04 Cup hdl 35.82 -1.34 39.11 44.95 360K 613K 26.97
Buy Not Hit. Gapped hard on rising below average volume past key support at the 50 day SMA so no choice but to pull the plug here. Basically bored us to death as it did not participate in the steel run.
UPL 03/10 Test 50 75.59 -3.51 78.78 87.95 1.7M 1.6M 76.77
Current. Hard gap lower on above average volume with the market posting some selling Monday. Tapped the 50 day EMA intraday at 74 as support along with the prior March low so UPL looking pretty good early this week. Just needs to continue holding above the key 50 day EMA and deliver the recovery bounce.
USO 02/25 Test BO 83.30 -3.21 80.16 91.95 12M 4.5M 85.88
Current. Gapped lower on the oil declines but held the 18 day EMA at the close with a broad doji between 82 and 86 intraday. Has to hold on here as the 10 day EMA was staunch support. On a bounce that peters out we close it.
WFR 03/13 Asc Bse 81.27 +0.22 83.55 93.75 4.4M 6M 79.88
Buy Not Issued. Sold hard early Monday on low trade but rebounded off the 50 day EMA to post a short step higher. Nice job bouncing off key support and if WFR can take the Asc uphill from here we're in.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 81.27 +0.22 81.09 95.95 4.4M 7M 81.22
Current.
WFT 03/07 PreAnn 65.04 -3.22 66.88 74.95 4.3M 6.5M 64.88
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower and sold, but held the 90 day SMA. Moved the buy point and the target, looking for a trade here. Has to hold the line at support from the 90 day SMA.
WMS 03/08 PreAnn 37.69 -1.17 40.22 47.75 870K 1.1M 38.21
Current. Huge gap lower on average volume to hold the 50 day EMA at the close with a doji. In decent shape at support here with the prior March low and has to hold support and bounce.
XTO 03/07 Test BO 59.19 -1.71 61.42 70.95 9.4M 6.2M 60.39
Buy Not Issued. Continuing along the bottom of its test in early March in the upper 50s after a modest gap lower Monday with the market. High volume in the step lower but holding the March lows at this testing bottom and has to bounce soon to stay on our good side.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AET 03/15 Put 42.82 -0.90 43.48 40.25 5.1M 5.8M 45.72
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower on average volume with the market for some light selling Monday. Did not want to play the gap to the downside, particularly after it held and the market held the early drop. Needs stronger trade in a continued move lower from here for the buy.
ANN 03/15 Put 21.71 -0.24 21.85 19.65 3.1M 2M 22.55
Buy Not Issued. Light selling in a gap lower with the market. Much lower volume here than the Friday selling session's. Just waiting for ANN to resume the Friday selling on similar trade to give open up some doors for us.
CPRT 03/15 Dbl Top 38.12 -0.08 37.74 34.85 1.4M 1.2M 39.11
Buy Not Issued. Hit the 10 day EMA at the high of its rebound off the 200 day SMA through early January and has turned and started selling now. After the tap at resistance from Friday CPRT looks good as it sold hard through Monday, just need to see it continue lower on the rising above average volume and we're in.
DIA 03/12 Put 120.09 +0.07 119.80 115.85 27M 17M 121.55
Current. Gapped lower but then closed flat. Held at the early March low. Do not want it over the 10 day EMA(121.11) and 18 day EMA(121.90).
IWM 03/12 Put 65.06 -1.08 65.69 63.45 127M 100M 67.38
Current. Gapped lower, rallied back to the Friday close, but then slid back on the close to post some modest losses. It did hold the early March low, however. Keeping a close eye on it here to see that it can pass the prior low with no support problems.
PRE 03/06 Put 75.10 -0.08 76.55 72.21 508K 625K 77.32
Buy Not Issued. No big break lower as PRE gave a doji on below average volume Monday in a quiet step lower. Needs much stronger trade in a move lower to keep us interested.
QID 03/12 Test 18 56.21 +1.56 53.45 59.65 51M 50M 53.74
Target Hit. Took some 47% option gain as it started to turn off the session lows after QQQQ tried to move off its session lows in the early afternoon Monday. Above average volume Monday for QID in the gap higher.
SDS 03/12 Test 18 69.58 +1.52 66.12 72.50 46M 30M 65.92
Current. Exploded higher with a gap on the negative news but it gave up a lot of ground. Still trending higher but SP500 held the March lows once again on the close. That means need to be careful here if that index tries to bounce from this level again.
End part 2 of 3
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