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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABFS 03/18 Flat 30.83 -1.04 32.08 38.75 662K 1.2M 30.68
Buy Not Hit. Modest pullback with the market to the 200 day SMA as the market took a step lower as expected. Not much trade here and that is not bad at all given the market selling.
ACV 03/10 PreAnn 27.37 -0.16 28.26 38.32 601K 850K 27.11
Current. Light selling back to the 18 day EMA. Great job holding up against the market downsides and ACV looking good so far this week as it takes a nice breather back at support.
AKS 03/03 Test BO 49.96 -5.51 55.11 61.38 3M 4.5M 52.68
Current. A steel stock that was hit but not on explosive volume. Still above the 50 day EMA that it held two weeks back and needs to hold here again as this is a key support level.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 49.96 -5.51 49.55 58.95 3M 4M 52.68
Current.
ANSS 03/18 Dbl btm 36.37 -1.44 38.11 43.95 891K 850K 36.77
Buy Not Hit. Back at the 50 day EMA on above average volume after some selling Wednesday with the market. Critical to see it hold support here and resume the Dbl btm higher for the buy.
APC 03/01 DB hdl 60.96 -3.79 65.72 74.85 7.4M 7.4M 63.68
Current. Natural gas was hit along with oil, but Nat gas producers are still getting high dollar for product. Needs to see it hold support here back at the 50 day SMA after the above average volume pullback from Wednesday.
BKE 03/13 PreAnn 45.83 -0.98 46.38 53.68 237K 500K 44.11
Buy Not Issued. Moderate selling for BKE Wednesday on low volume. Still just resting in the 45ish range through March after a surge higher from late February and once it starts uphill again on stronger trade we will enter.
BNI 03/12 DB hdl 90.70 -4.28 92.08 99.95 5.7M 4.5M 92.31
Current. Sold off hard along with everything that was strong of late, but held at the 10 day EMA and February highs. Though it undid the Tuesday move, that is all it did, and it is still in good shape.
CAT 03/18 Rev HS 73.73 -3.14 77.32 86.95 7.4M 11M 74.55
Buy Not Hit. Pullback wit the market Wednesday on below average volume back to the 10 day EMA and February highs. Nice Rev HS base here, just need to see it resumes the Tuesday move higher again soon. Not in too bad of shape here at support.
CHK 03/17 Test 18 44.21 -3.70 47.24 53.95 11M 12M 46.12
Exited. Sold hard in the market pullback Tuesday on above average volume back below key support and only looks to head lower from here so closed it out.
CHT 03/18 FlyPlat 24.40 -0.51 25.42 29.45 4.9M 3M 23.98
Buy Not Hit. Gave back the Tuesday move higher on high volume Wednesday in the market selling. Still just consolidating near the mid 20s through March and need to see CHT on stronger volume in a move out of this consolidation for the buy.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 24.40 -0.51 21.89 25.95 4.9M 1.2M 23.98
Current.
CLF 03/11 PreSplt 107.70 -10.39 116.63 125.00 2.1M 2M 116.55
Exited. Sold hard back to key support from the 50 day SMA on above average volume to the prior March low. Key to see it hold here. At support from the early February and late December highs as well.
CRZO 03/01 Test BO 55.79 -2.79 58.88 69.95 555K 600K 57.98
Current. Sold a bit in the market trend Wednesday on above average volume, but closed at support from the mid February consolidation. In decent shape here with the key 50 day EMA as key support just above 54 and expecting a bounce soon. Closing it if it can't make the move.
CSX 03/17 DB hdl 53.05 -1.61 53.85 61.45 8.6M 7.5M 51.94
Current. Moderate selling on above average volume Wednesday for a bit of a test of the Monday and Tuesday surge. Ultimately CSX still looking great as it holds the February high as support and no worries on this one just yet.
DNA 03/10 Test BO 78.05 -0.39 81.39 91.39 3.4M 6M 78.32
Current. Doji in the short step lower with DNA doing a great job of holding up against the negative market trend Wednesday and minding its own business. Just resting a bit longer at the 18 day EMA and set to start its recovery move up from the testing low here once trade picks up.
DO 03/13 DB hdl 115.04 -9.64 125.78 138.95 2.2M 4M 119.68
Buy Not Issued.
DO 02/21 Dbl btm 115.04 -9.64 123.76 138.95 2.2M 4M 122.88
Exited. Sold hard on a boost of volume, although still below average, past critical support levels from the 50 day EMA and 90 day SMA with ease Wednesday so cut the cord.
DRS 03/05 Cup hdl 55.16 -1.18 58.08 66.85 410K 700K 56.22
Buy Not Issued. Moderate selling Wednesday but closed at the 50 day EMA so left it. Key support here and has to hold the line.
EAC 02/23 DB hdl 36.88 -2.12 37.00 42.95 1.1M 875K 37.32
Current. Sold with the market on above average volume back to the Monday low at support from the 18 day EMA. Held the 18 day EMA there and needs to do it again.
ECA 02/23 DB hdl 71.97 -5.17 73.15 86.88 4.7M 3.8M 77.02
Current. Fast crash to the 50 day EMA on high volume. There is also some support from early January and mid February highs so has to show a bounce from here. If it does and stalls, have to take it off the table.
ESV 03/04 Cup hdl 60.84 -3.50 62.30 70.95 4.3M 3.8M 61.78
Current. Above average volume in the selling Wednesday with ESV back at the key 18 day EMA. Setting up a nice Cup hdl base, just has to hold support here and show us the move higher soon.
FDP 03/08 Asc Tri 36.90 0.00 36.24 41.95 1.9M 1M 33.98
Buy Not Issued. Sold initially but recovered to close with a 0.0 move laterally. Huge trade in the session and great job holding up against the market selling. Just needs to take the Asc Tri higher to give us the buy.
FTI 03/18 Rev HS 55.88 -4.01 60.62 69.95 3.2M 3M 56.38
Buy Not Hit. Sold hard on high volume past key support from the 18 day EMA and 90 day SMA so decided to drop.
GGB 03/08 PreAnn 31.00 -2.95 32.88 39.45 3.6M 4.8M 30.58
Buy Not Issued. Had to pull the cable on this one after the return of average volume in a rough session of selling for GGB. Back below support levels it needed to hold all week and only looks to head lower from here.
GILD 03/07 Dbl btm 47.56 -0.53 47.22 55.45 8.4M 11M 46.78
Buy Not Issued. Short step lower on light trade with GILD looking strong Wednesday as it held up against a pretty tough session of selling in the market. Holding the 10 day EMA as support here and if it can make the Dbl btm move higher we're in.
HAL 02/25 Dbl btm 35.88 -1.75 39.21 44.45 18M 15M 37.94
Exited. Above average volume for HAL Wednesday in a rough selling session as it sold past the key 200 day SMA with no problem. Not too fond of this negative action here as it only looks to take HAL even lower so we exited.
HCBK 03/17 DB hdl 17.70 -0.16 17.53 21.42 12M 9M 16.95
Current. HCBK in great shape Wednesday after completely ignoring the market selling and taking a nice breather. Still above average volume here and looking good to resume the DB hdl higher again soon.
HES 02/16 DB hdl 90.34 -7.92 94.35 106.45 6.4M 7M 98.44
Exited. HES selling through the floor on high volume Wednesday as it broke key support at the 50 day EMA like a twig. Was time to let this one go.
IBM 03/05 DB hdl 116.94 -1.47 117.55 133.95 9.3M 12M 115.11
Current. Light selling for IBM Wednesday on below average volume. Still looking solid after holding up well against the market selling and set to resume the DB hdl uphill again soon.
JOYG 03/13 PreAnn 64.37 -5.03 71.21 81.95 2.9M 3.1M 67.05
Buy Not Issued. Sold hard with the market on above average volume Wednesday but closed at the key 50 day EMA and prior March lows. Dropped it here, but keeping a close eye on it to see how it handles support.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 32.29 -2.70 34.98 39.95 1.7M 3M 35.97
Current. Sold pretty decently Wednesday but on light trade to close just below the 50 day EMA. Only the low volume kept us here as it tests its 50 day EMA again and need KWK to bounce.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 32.29 -2.70 30.78 36.45 1.7M 3.4M 35.97
Current.
LSTR 03/07 Cup hdl 49.16 -0.24 49.05 56.45 808K 1M 46.78
Buy Not Issued. Doji in the short step lower. Below average volume for LSTR Wednesday as it held up very well against the market downsides and if it can continue the Cup hdl move higher from here we're in.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 209.19 -1.06 208.22 239.00 9.4M 5M 205.88
Current. Visa had its IPO today and did well. MA had to deal with it and it did an okay job as it held huge volume in a short step lower. Holding the mid February consolidation and no reason to start sweating bullets here.
NBR 03/11 DB hdl 30.60 -1.15 32.57 37.95 5.4M 8M 31.05
Buy Not Hit. Below average volume Wednesday in selling with the market. NBR holding the 50 day EMA and March and late February lows so key to see it bounce now.
ODFL 03/10 Cup hdl 28.50 -2.47 30.36 35.95 899K 840K 29.48
Current. Running off the road a bit on rising, above average volume. Needs to hold the line here in this 28 range and then show a rebound with some strength. If not, we close it.
POT 02/16 Rev HS 144.47 -16.27 152.59 172.95 11M 7.8M 158.91
Current. Clubbed lower but started getting out of hand late when it undercut the 50 day EMA. It did this earlier in March and rebounded immediately. Has to do the same thing here or we close it.
POT 01/12 Test 50 144.47 -16.27 143.11 164.32 11M 5.5M 158.91
Current.
PRGO 03/15 Asc Tri 36.99 +0.18 36.55 42.75 1.7M 2M 33.99
Buy Not Issued. Continued higher early Wednesday but then gave it up to end the session with a doji in a short step higher. Will see if it comes back some before moving in.
RIG 02/23 Cup hdl 132.18 -7.01 142.88 163.85 7.1M 11M 139.88
Current. Sold hard back to the 90 day SMA with the market selling Wednesday and with RIG back at key support it has to show it can hold it once again.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 101.12 -3.88 92.30 105.95 17M 32M 105.22
Current. Took a step lower with the market back to the 50 day EMA on low volume and need a bounce here off support. Looks good to do so with the low volume selling back to key support.
SDA 03/08 Cup 18.27 -1.21 18.73 22.48 590K 450K 18.08
Current. Sold hard on above average volume back to the 18 day EMA Wednesday. Not too worried just yet with the key 90 day SMA just above 17.5 where it bounced Monday.
SIAL 03/18 FlyPlat 57.40 -0.08 57.69 66.35 2.8M 1.2M 55.68
Buy Not Issued. Exploded higher initially Wednesday but came back from there with the market to post an miniscule, 8 cent loss. Huge trade here and need to see it resume the Tuesday move higher for the buy. This is why you wait for the initial moves of the day to shake out.
STLD 03/17 Test BO 64.16 -6.37 70.11 78.95 2.4M 3M 66.92
Current. Big point losses as all steel and commodities sold, but the volume was still light on STLD. At support from the early March high and 18 day EMA and need a bounce here.
STLD 03/05 Cup hdl 64.16 -6.37 63.58 71.55 2.4M 3M 66.91
Current.
SWN 03/13 PreSplt 60.51 -5.45 62.55 68.45 3.4M 3.8M 60.39
Buy Not Issued. Sold back to the 50 day EMA on above average volume and critical to see it hold here. If it bounces and stalls we will have close it.
TEX 03/15 Rev HS 59.90 -4.92 68.32 79.95 3M 3.5M 65.11
Buy Not Hit. Sold hard on above average volume with the market pullback Wednesday but closed at the key 50 day EMA where it tapped as support Tuesday. Dropped it here but watching to see if it can bounce off support again.
TISI 03/15 Cup hdl 31.70 -0.20 33.89 39.95 122K 224K 31.72
Buy Not Hit. Short step lower to the 50 day EMA on low trade. Key support here and with the low volume TISI doesn't look to be in too much trouble yet. Still, needs to hold the line.
UPL 03/10 Test 50 72.32 -4.46 78.78 87.95 2.4M 1.6M 76.77
Exited. Sold hard on huge trade Wednesday past key support from the 50 day EMA(74.13) and 50 day SMA(73.31) and had no choice but to close it.
USO 02/25 Test BO 82.29 -3.51 80.16 91.95 11M 4.5M 85.88
Trailing Stop. Moderate selling past the key 18 day EMA. Held there Monday with no problem but just couldn't do the same Wednesday so closed it with a trailing stop.
WFR 03/13 Asc Bse 80.32 -5.80 85.31 95.75 5.3M 6M 92.32
Current. Moderate selling with the market Wednesday. Rising, below average volume here with WFR now back at the 10 day EMA holding support from the average and February highs. Has to hold the line here.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 80.32 -5.80 81.09 95.95 5.3M 7M 82.32
Current.
WFT 03/07 PreAnn 63.67 -5.07 66.88 74.95 5.1M 6.5M 64.88
Buy Not Issued. Fell through the floor on some rough selling with WFT on rising, above average volume Wednesday. Dropped it as it only looks to descend from here.
WMS 03/08 PreAnn 38.03 -1.22 40.22 47.75 564K 1.1M 38.21
Current. Weathered some moderate selling on light trade back near the 50 day EMA(37.52). In good shape after the low volume selling and with WMS just above key support from the 50 day EMA and March lows it is looking pretty decent here in late March.
XTO 03/07 Test BO 57.96 -3.89 61.63 70.95 7M 6.2M 59.77
Current. Modest selling on above average volume Wednesday in the market step lower. Still above the 50 day EMA as key support so no worries just yet. Keeping an eye on the rising, now above average volume.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AET 03/15 Put 42.30 +0.10 43.48 40.25 7.9M 5.8M 45.72
Buy Not Issued. Moved laterally along the Tuesday low on above average volume as AET ran higher initially but fell with the market. Nice rising above average volume here and just need to see this one turn lower for the buy.
ANN 03/15 Put 22.33 -0.11 21.85 19.65 2.3M 2M 22.55
Buy Not Issued. Looks ready to roll over after this upside test through this week after ANN tested the 18 day EMA(23.42) intraday with a reach higher.
CPRT 03/15 Dbl Top 37.89 -0.11 37.74 34.85 1.4M 1.2M 39.11
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the 18 day EMA intraday just under 39 and sold from there to post a lateral move along the Tuesday low. Resting a bit here after the early March rebound off the 200 day SMA and once it turns lower on this strong trade we will enter.
DIA 03/12 Put 121.44 -2.61 119.80 115.85 18M 17M 121.55
Current. Nice selling with the market off resistance at the 50 day EMA as DIA sold back below the 10 day EMA on fading, now below average volume. In good shape to continue even lower from here, just watching the fading volume.
IWM 03/12 Put 66.17 -1.88 65.69 63.45 132M 100M 67.38
Current. Tapped resistance at the 50 day SMA intraday at 69.15 and sold from there. Now back below the 10 day EMA and set to sell from here on above average volume.
SDS 03/12 Test 18 66.99 +3.16 66.12 72.50 37M 30M 65.92
Current. Well, we were looking for a bounce from these downside plays after the big Tuesday market gains, but not like this. QQQQ sold as SDS surged and will let it run as far as it will.
End part 2 of 3
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