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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 03/19 Cup 133.27 +3.60 132.43 149.95 32M 60M 128.31
Entered today. Tapped down to the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounded. Not a lot of trade so we took a partial position. If it gives another move on more volume we will look to add to positions as AAPL tries to come off its rounded bottom and assume some leadership.
ABFS 03/18 Flat 33.46 +2.63 32.92 39.65 1.3M 1.2M 30.62
Entered today. What the fat is a trucking stock doing leading the market upside with a strong breakout Thursday? It broke higher and we moved in. Again, these stocks are strong with diesel at $4/gallon. The action suggests they are an early indicator for the economy.
ACV 03/10 PreAnn 27.45 +0.08 28.26 38.32 512K 850K 27.11
Current. Holding the 18 day EMA on volume to end the week, still in excellent shape to break higher.
AKS 03/03 Test BO 51.48 +1.52 55.11 61.38 2.5M 4.5M 52.68
Current. Okay, it held the 50 day EMA (49.37) and bounced. No volume, but steel held up better than most commodities to end the week. Needs to show more upside from here or it is likely in more trouble.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 51.48 +1.52 49.55 58.95 2.5M 4M 52.68
Current.
ANSS 03/18 Dbl btm 37.30 +0.93 38.11 43.95 1.7M 850K 36.77
Buy Not Hit. Strong volume Thursday as ANSS moved up off the 50 day EMA but could not clear the Tuesday and Wednesday highs, tapping them on the session high (37.76). In good shape, just watching for the move.
APC 03/01 DB hdl 60.67 -0.29 65.72 74.85 8.8M 7.4M 63.68
Current. Really ugly intraday, selling down to some support at 57 where it rebounded to close basically flat. Nice reversal, but needs to show us continued move and not just an end of expiration rebound.
BKE 03/13 PreAnn 46.83 +1.00 46.38 53.68 1.4M 500K 44.11
Buy Not Issued. Huge volume as BKE strapped it on Friday, but it could not hold the move, fading well off its intraday high, dropping 2 clicks from that level. Still in shape to move higher and if it does we are in.
BNI 03/12 DB hdl 91.61 +0.91 92.08 99.95 3.9M 4.5M 92.31
Current. Broke out well on Tuesday, but then reversed it Wednesday. Held up at near support to end the week and posted a modest gain. This needs to be the end of this volatility spate.
CAT 03/18 Rev HS 73.82 +0.09 77.32 86.95 9.3M 11M 74.55
Buy Not Hit. Tested further but held the 18 day EMA to close flat. Will just be patient and let it show us the move we can buy into.
CHT 03/18 FlyPlat 25.07 +0.67 25.42 29.45 3.8M 3M 23.98
Buy Not Hit. Nice end to the week, bumping at the breakout point for its next move. Nice.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 25.07 +0.67 21.89 25.95 3.8M 1.2M 23.98
Current.
CRZO 03/01 Test BO 52.52 -3.27 58.88 69.95 1.2M 600K 57.98
Current. Flopped to the 90 day MA on the close, managing a recovery to hold that level. It did fill the gap in early February on the move so we decided to see if it would bounce to start the week.
CSX 03/17 DB hdl 54.59 +1.54 53.85 61.45 8.1M 7.5M 52.42
Current. Excellent recovery to end the week, rallying back to retake the Thursday loss and hold the strong breakout for the week.
DNA 03/10 Test BO 79.26 +1.21 81.39 91.39 4.1M 6M 78.32
Current. Nice bounce off the 18 day EMA to end the week with some better volume. Not huge volume, but better, and it held where it had to hold.
DRS 03/05 Cup hdl 55.11 -0.05 58.08 66.85 295K 700K 56.22
Buy Not Issued. Tested down to the 200 day SMA and held. Going to drop for now but will watch how it acts to start the week.
EAC 02/23 DB hdl 35.67 -1.21 37.00 42.95 1.9M 875K 37.32
Current. Another energy stock with a big reach lower intraday down to the 90 day MA and then a rebound to close below the 50 day EMA (35.25) on the close. Recovered but still in need of a recovery this week. If cannot move through 37.50ish we will likely close it.
ECA 02/23 DB hdl 71.85 -0.12 73.15 86.88 4M 3.8M 77.02
Current. Gapped sharply lower but held the 90 day MA on the low and rebounded to flat on more big volume. Looks like a shakeout, but has to continue higher through 74 early in the week.
ESV 03/04 Cup hdl 60.23 -0.61 62.30 70.95 3.6M 3.8M 61.78
Current. Another energy sector stock that sold off, tested the 50 day EMA on the low, then rebounded to cut most of its losses. Still a very solid pattern and a good hold at key support and solid rebound.
FDP 03/08 Asc Tri 35.76 -1.14 36.24 41.95 1.4M 1M 33.98
Buy Not Issued. After breaking higher Tuesday, FDP froze up and fall back to end the week. Just a nice test of the 10 day EMA (35.50), however, and it is ready to continue higher. That is our buy as it makes that move.
GILD 03/07 Dbl btm 48.43 +0.87 47.22 55.45 10M 11M 46.78
Buy Not Issued. Still nicely positioned to break higher after testing the 18 day EMA on the Thursday low. Volume jumped up to average. Looks very ready to break higher this week.
HCBK 03/17 DB hdl 18.29 +0.59 17.53 21.42 15M 9M 17.42
Current. Surging higher on strong volume as the financials enjoyed a good day, but HCBK has a great pattern and it is exploiting it.
IBM 03/05 DB hdl 118.33 +1.39 117.55 133.95 11M 12M 115.89
Current. Good solid week for IBM, gapping up Tuesday and holding its move into Friday. One of the Tech leaders ready to lead.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 32.42 +0.13 34.98 39.95 3.9M 3M 35.97
Current. Another energy stock that sold off intraday, but it held above the 90 day MA (29.78) on the low and recovered to flat on some huge trade. Looking to see if this is the shakeout that revs KWK back up for more upside. The move tested the Highs in its 3 month base starting in November. Cool.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 32.42 +0.13 30.78 36.45 3.9M 3.4M 35.97
Current.
LSTR 03/07 Cup hdl 51.33 +2.17 49.05 56.45 872K 1M 46.78
Making the breakout on modestly rising, above average volume.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 220.38 +11.99 208.22 239.00 5.8M 5M 215.32
Current. 'Charging' higher Friday after the Visa IPO on the week. Glad we gave MA some credit as it dipped in late February and early March. It is paying back big time now as it moves toward a new high.
NBR 03/11 DB hdl 30.37 -0.23 32.57 37.95 6.7M 8M 31.05
Buy Not Hit. Still holding up well in its base though it gapped lower Friday. It held the 200 day SMA (29.83) on the low and rebounded. Will let it run this week and see if it can hold and show us the break higher.
ODFL 03/10 Cup hdl 30.07 +1.57 30.36 35.95 1.1M 840K 29.48
Current. After getting the dips Wednesday it surged back Friday on the best volume in over a month. That made us feel much better about this play.
POT 02/16 Rev HS 144.26 -0.21 152.59 172.95 16M 7.8M 158.91
Current. Gapped lower, tapped and held the 90 day MA on the low (136.50) and then rebounded to flat on the session. Did this in mid-January and surged back up for 6 weeks. Needs to show us the same action here.
POT 01/12 Test 50 144.26 -0.21 143.11 164.32 16M 5.5M 158.91
Current.
PRGO 03/15 Asc Tri 37.90 +0.91 37.85 43.95 4.1M 2M 35.65
Entered today. Gapped higher on tremendous trade so we took some positions. Like to see this volume on the breakout from the pattern.
RIG 02/23 Cup hdl 131.14 -1.04 142.88 163.85 7.4M 11M 139.88
Current. Sold back a bit more Thursday but held support at 130. Now it needs to make the break higher from here.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 104.94 +3.82 92.30 105.95 18M 32M 105.22
Current. Very nice lateral move in progress, ending the week with a nice gain on continued low volume. Setting up very nicely for the next break higher.
SDA 03/08 Cup 18.55 +0.28 18.73 22.48 387K 450K 18.08
Current. Gapped lower but rebounded for a gain to hold its pattern.
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the 10 day EMA (56.30) on the low and rebounded to flat on more tremendous volume. Still in excellent position to make the move for us and give us the buy.
STLD 03/17 Test BO 65.77 +1.61 70.11 78.95 3.4M 3M 66.92
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA (63.41) on the Thursday low as STLD pulled back a bit more but then rebounded on sharply rising trade. That Wednesday selling was on weak volume, and love how STLD held up in a weak commodities market.
STLD 03/05 Cup hdl 65.77 +1.61 63.58 71.55 3.4M 3M 66.91
Current.
SWN 03/13 PreSplt 60.43 -0.08 62.55 68.45 3.8M 3.8M 60.39
Buy Not Issued. Sold down to the 90 day MA (56.82) on the low and rebounded to close flat similar to most energy stocks. Good shakeout when all is said and done so we will see if it can bounce back up this week and continue its uptrend.
TISI 03/15 Cup hdl 31.04 -0.66 33.89 39.95 407K 224K 31.72
Buy Not Hit. High volume selling as it broke below the 50 day EMA. Dropping for now.
WFR 03/13 Asc Bse 81.79 +1.47 85.31 95.75 4.3M 6M 92.32
Current. Nice tap at the 18 day EMA on the Thursday low and WFR is in excellent position to resume its break higher.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 81.79 +1.47 81.09 95.95 4.3M 7M 82.32
Current.
WMS 03/08 PreAnn 38.47 +0.44 40.22 47.75 1.6M 1.1M 38.21
Current. Struggled to end the week, but was never in jeopardy, holding the 50 day EMA (37.55) on the intraday lows and then rebounding Thursday for a gain on strong volume. Still ready to move higher again. This is a continuing leader, and the market needs it.
XTO 03/07 Test BO 57.50 -0.46 61.63 70.95 12M 6.2M 59.77
Current. Gapped lower on Thursday as did many energy stocks, but after selling off intraday a nice rebound to recover most of the loss. As with other energy stocks we are watching closely to see if this is the shakeout that turns XTO back to the upside. Note how it held the January peak on the closes, indicating it still has support and buyers at that level.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AET 03/15 Put 43.09 +0.79 43.48 40.25 4.7M 5.8M 45.72
Buy Not Issued. Looks as if it is going to try and hold 42 and bounce on up to test 44ish. We will let it do that, then catch it as it turns back over.
AGU 03/19 Dbl Top 61.31 -1.79 62.89 57.75 5M 3.8M 65.22
Buy Not Issued. Sold on strong volume right out of the gats, but then found support at 60 and rebounded in the afternoon. We will let it bounce up early next week toward 63 again, and then see if it will roll back over and give us a buy.
ANN 03/15 Put 22.98 +0.65 21.85 19.65 2.9M 2M 22.55
Buy Not Issued. Bounced Thursday to tap the 50 day SMA (23.30) on the high. Still below resistance so will see if it rolls back over here and gives us the downside move.
CMED 03/19 Put 37.16 -1.54 38.47 36.00 491K 775K 39.88
Buy Not Issued. Gapped sharply lower though volume did not make much of a move. It tested the move quickly then fell back, but the low volume kept us out for the day.
CPRT 03/15 Dbl Top 39.13 +1.24 37.74 34.85 906K 1.2M 39.11
Buy Not Issued. Continued higher up to the 50 day EMA (39.24) Thursday on very low, below average volume. Just being patient to see if CPRT runs out of gas after filling the early March gap lower.
CVX 03/19 Put 83.21 +1.32 84.44 79.12 18M 15M 85.88
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower but then rebounded on strong volume. Stalled at 84 on the high where there is resistance from the November test lower. Will see if it rolls over this week to continue the selling. If so we can make the entry.
DIA 03/12 Put 123.11 +1.97 119.80 115.85 16M 17M 121.55
Current. Rallied up to the 50 day SMA (123.40) Thursday on lower, below average volume. This low volume rise suggests a failing move, but its moves depend upon DJ30. Key test for both this week.
IWM 03/12 Put 67.48 -0.57 65.69 63.45 102M 100M 67.38
Current. Bounced up Thursday after the Wednesday, selling, but it faded to close at near resistance at the 18 day EMA. Will see what it can do from here as the new week opens and it tries to make a bottom.
SDS 03/12 Test 18 64.39 -2.60 66.12 72.50 27M 30M 65.92
Current. Sold back, tapping the 50 day EMA and bouncing some as SP500 rallied on the session. Key test for SDS here.
End part 2 of 3
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