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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 03/19 Cup 139.53 +6.26 132.43 149.95 38M 60M 135.77
Current. Nice move higher with the market bounce and without much trade. Looks good here resuming some upsides in March after resting at its pullback low near 120 through early 08.
ABFS 03/18 Flat 35.20 +1.74 32.92 39.65 658K 1.2M 33.18
Current. Continued the Friday surge higher but without the explosive trade from late last week. Nice job running uphill with the market and expecting some more upsides from here.
AIRM 03/21 Test 20 47.81 +0.86 47.31 56.95 298K 300K 45.05
Buy Not Issued. Almost took some positions after gap higher to the 90 day SMA Monday, but decided to give it another day to make it over the key average here. Still a buy on a continued upside move.
AKS 03/03 Test BO 53.38 +1.90 55.11 61.38 2.6M 4.5M 52.68
Current. Gave back a lot of a nice gap and run intraday to start the week off, but gave some decent gains nonetheless. Still holding in the middle of the March range and do not want to see it fade back below the 18 day EMA on the close.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 53.38 +1.90 49.55 58.95 2.6M 4M 52.68
Current.
APC 03/01 DB hdl 62.56 +1.89 65.72 74.85 4.9M 7.4M 63.68
Exited. Low volume bounce from the hard selling gave us just the move we needed to save some gains and get out of this one.
BLK 03/21 Dbl btm 224.53 +18.43 206.88 230.00 1.5M 998K 201.39
Buy Not Issued. Flashed through the buy point a few minutes after the open. Waited for it to come back and test but it never did as it hit the target on the session as well. Too late to try and take any positions until it sets up again and dropping for now until we see a test.
BNI 03/12 DB hdl 93.24 +1.63 92.08 99.95 2.9M 4.5M 92.31
Current. Modes move higher on fading, below average volume. Not much trade overall in the market Monday as it pushed uphill as BNI ran right alongside it. Nice DB hdl base, looks good to continue the base move higher after this kick start higher from Monday.
BRKR 03/18 FlyPlat 15.23 +0.23 15.57 18.95 1.7M 1.1M 14.48
Buy Not Issued. Short step higher on huge trade Monday. Needed to see a much stronger move uphill in the 15s here for the buy and if it can continue higher from here with a bit more pace we're in.
CAT 03/18 Rev HS 76.03 +2.21 77.32 86.95 5.4M 11M 74.55
Buy Not Hit. Nice move higher but not much trade. Continuing its volatile consolidation through the last half of March between 74 and 76 and if it can continue higher from here we're in.
CHT 03/18 FlyPlat 26.64 +1.57 25.42 29.45 2.8M 3M 23.98
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and sat there. Decided not to enter as volume was running lower and it couldn't do anything with the gap.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 26.64 +1.57 21.89 25.95 2.8M 1.2M 24.98
Current.
CPST 03/12 Test BO 1.90 +0.06 2.11 3.55 1.4M 5M 1.96
Buy Not Hit. Modest move higher at what looks to be the bottom of its test at support from the early January highs. Need to see it climb higher on stronger trade for the buy.
CRK 03/12 DB hdl 34.97 +0.58 38.20 43.95 533K 845K 37.22
Exited. One of the energy stocks that bounced off last week's selling but it was giving up the gains so closed it and banked some of the bounce from Monday.
CRZO 03/01 Test BO 54.47 +1.95 58.88 69.95 481K 600K 57.98
Exited. Nice bounce off the 90 day SMA to recover most of the heavy Friday selling. Used this move higher with the market to exit.
CRZO 02/20 DB hdl 54.47 +1.95 56.68 63.88 481K 475K 59.98
CSX 03/17 DB hdl 56.06 +1.47 53.85 61.45 7.5M 7.5M 53.92
Current. Great move higher with strong trade while the rest of the market was a bit short on volume. CSX in good shape to take this DB hdl move even higher from here.
DNA 03/10 Test BO 78.84 -0.42 81.39 91.39 2.5M 6M 78.32
Current. Light selling back to the 10 day EMA to hold the average as support on low trade. Just setting up to make the move higher out of this test back to support in the high 70s. Needs to bounce soon.
ECA 02/23 DB hdl 72.23 +0.38 73.15 86.88 2M 3.8M 77.02
Exited. Modest move higher on low trade with the market Monday and used the bounce to exit here after the rough selling from late last week.
ESV 03/04 Cup hdl 61.01 +0.78 62.30 70.95 2.1M 3.8M 61.78
Current. Short step higher on low trade. If it cannot move on through 62 on another try we close it and if it doesn't even make another try we close it.
FDP 03/08 Asc Tri 37.71 +1.95 36.24 41.95 846K 1M 33.98
Buy Not Issued. Trade was lower today in the move higher with the market than Friday on that selling. May have been expiration volume on Friday, but if it can show some more solid trade we will enter.
GILD 03/07 Dbl btm 49.61 +1.18 49.48 57.95 8.8M 11M 47.45
Entered today. Jumped in on GILD Monday as it blasted higher on just below average volume. Rest of the market really suffered for some strong trade so it was good to see GILD on modest levels at least and looks set for a good week after the great start Monday.
HCBK 03/17 DB hdl 18.13 -0.16 17.53 21.42 11M 9M 17.42
Current. Looks as if it will take a breather after a strong breakout and initial run through March as it gave a short step lower Monday. Just above average volume as well after high levels from last week.
IBM 03/05 DB hdl 119.06 +0.73 117.55 133.95 8.4M 12M 116.65
Current. Short step higher on low trade. IBM still just doing its own thing here and ready to take the DB hdl even higher once trade picks up. Otherwise in great shape and taking its sweet time after a slow and steady run higher through March.
IMCL 03/05 Cup hdl 43.00 -1.55 44.21 54.94 1.8M 1.5M 41.68
Buy Not Issued. Weathered some mild selling on above average volume back to the 50 day EMA. Nice bounce higher from 41 last week to take IMCL uphill a bit in its Cup hdl and need to see it bounce off key support here and resume the move higher for the buy.
ISRG 03/21 Dbl btm 327.24 +26.55 302.12 348.00 1.5M 1.5M 293.89
Buy Not Issued. Another one that gapped higher and flew right on past the buy point without coming back to test and giving us a shot at it. Just needs to show a test to open up some buy points.
KO 03/19 Cup 61.18 +0.14 60.45 67.45 7M 13M 59.31
Doji on low volume as KO took a short step higher. May come back to test some before continuing, and that is what you wan to see to get a better entry point. A test toward 60 just above the 50 day EMA that holds would be perfect.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 33.48 +1.06 34.98 39.95 1.5M 3M 35.97
Current. Was ready to exit after the low volume bounce and tap at resistance from the 10 day EMA, but gave it another chance to clear the 10 and 18 day EMA here. If it can't make the move we're out.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 33.48 +1.06 30.78 36.45 1.5M 3.4M 35.97
Current.
LKQX 03/21 Cup hdl 23.86 +0.54 23.52 28.31 1.7M 1.9M 21.94
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and surged to 25 but then spent the session giving that post-gap surge back. Held off because it may very well fill that gap before it continues so watching closely from here.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 216.50 -3.88 208.22 239.00 5.5M 5M 215.32
Target Hit. Surged to 230 on strong trade, but then started to waffle so we took part of the option gain off the table.
NBR 03/11 DB hdl 31.35 +0.98 32.57 37.95 4.6M 8M 31.05
Buy Not Hit. Great move higher but not much trade after the pullback to the 50 day EMA from last week. If it continues to climb from here we will enter.
NUE 03/19 Test 18 71.26 +2.30 72.16 81.95 4.6M 8M 68.22
Entered today. Great buy point from NUE Monday on a solid move higher out of its test of the 18 day EMA from Friday. Below average volume in the move and set to climb from here after the jumpstart uphill from Monday.
ODFL 03/10 Cup hdl 32.54 +2.47 30.36 35.95 985K 840K 30.88
Current. Exploded higher on above average volume. Comparatively ODFL had excellent trade as the rest of the market was somewhat suffering on low levels of volume. Strong move higher in the Cup hdl early this week to start the week of right.
PCLN 03/21 Asc Bse 124.73 +6.10 127.64 144.95 3.2M 2.2M 119.92
Entered today. Surged higher over 130 on the peak, putting on a nice gain after we bought in only to turn over and give back a chunk of the gain in the afternoon. Still gave some modest gains on strong trade however and expecting it to only climb from here.
POT 02/09 Rev HS 150.80 +6.54 143.57 162.65 8.7M 7.5M 158.91
Current. Surged uphill on above average volume but came back a bit intraday. Needs to continue higher or we close it.
PQ 03/08 Test BO 15.98 +0.62 16.46 19.95 577K 1.1M 15.31
Current. Modest move higher on light trade with the market Monday. Still inside its consolidation range for late March between 15 and 16.50 and taking its time resume the Cup hdl move higher. Not a problem.
PRGO 03/15 Asc Tri 38.81 +0.91 37.85 43.95 2.6M 2M 36.45
Current. Impressive move higher on huge trade Monday, a rarity in the low volume session at the start of the week. PRGO behind a great Asc Tri base that looks to carry it even higher through the week after this strong start. Awesome.
PTNR 03/15 Asc Tri 23.04 +0.65 22.99 27.55 474K 325K 22.11
Entered today. Jumped in on PTNR with its huge gap through the roof Monday on high trade. Nice Asc Tri base here with PTNR in great shape Monday as it held the March highs intraday as support.
RIG 02/23 Cup hdl 131.06 -0.08 142.88 163.85 4.8M 11M 139.88
Current. Stalled at the 90 day SMA after a low volume step lower against an upside session in the market. Has to make another run and move through the 90 day SMA or we close it.
RIMM 03/21 DB hdl 111.83 +6.89 111.25 126.95 21M 32M 105.85
Entered today. Gapped and climbed for some great gains Monday on rising, below average volume. Solid DB hdl leading RIMM into the 110s this week as we jumped in at the strong start to the week.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 111.83 +6.89 92.30 105.95 21M 32M 105.22
Current.
STLD 03/17 Test BO 67.48 +1.71 70.11 78.95 2M 3M 66.92
Current. Continuing a solid bounce off support from the 18 day EMA from Friday with STLD climbing through the upper 60s on below average volume this week. Looks pretty decent as it gave some modest gains Monday.
STLD 03/05 Cup hdl 67.48 +1.71 63.58 71.55 2M 3M 66.91
Current.
SVR 03/21 Test 50 17.22 +0.21 17.18 20.25 699K 645K 16.15
Buy Not Issued. Gapped and climbed a bit through Monday but came back a bit intraday, still managing to post some modest gains. Average volume here, just need a continued move higher for the buy.
WDC 02/20 Cup hdl 31.52 +2.40 32.00 37.95 8.1M 5M 30.68
Current. WDC with a huge move higher on rising, now high volume. Bounced off the 50 day EMA for a solid session of gains and just needs to pass prior March highs along 32 to give us the entry point.
WFR 03/13 Asc Bse 83.91 +2.12 85.31 95.75 3.8M 6M 92.32
Current. Short step higher on fading, low volume. Modest gains here off the 10 day EMA and WFR still in good shape holding support from the February highs and 10 day EMA. Set to continue the Asc Bse into the mid 80s once trade picks up.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 83.91 +2.12 81.09 95.95 3.8M 7M 82.32
Current.
XIDE 03/08 Test BO 13.15 +0.41 11.77 14.75 876K 800K 12.27
Current. Above average volume Monday as XIDE continued its steady move higher in the DB hdl base. Just walking its way up through 13 to start the week off and looks to steadily continue uphill until volume fades and brings it in for a test/rest.
XTO 03/07 Test BO 58.57 +1.07 61.63 70.95 4.2M 6.2M 59.77
Current. Stalled at the 10 and 18 day EMA after a modest move higher on low trade. If cannot move through this point we close it.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AET 03/15 Put 44.23 +1.14 43.65 40.25 5.7M 5.8M 45.72
Buy Not Issued. Short step higher with the market to resistance at the 10 day EMA on above average volume. If it can turn downhill from resistance here after this breather in late March we will enter.
AGU 03/19 Dbl Top 63.24 +1.93 62.89 57.75 3.1M 3.8M 65.22
Buy Not Issued. Light upsides with the market Monday but on light trade to close just under resistance from the 90 day SMA. Need to see it turn lower from here as this is a key level of resistance for AGU.
ANN 03/15 Put 24.70 +1.72 21.85 19.65 1.8M 2M 22.55
Buy Not Issued. Surged uphill with the market past key resistance from the 18 day EMA and 50 day EMA with no problem so we dropped it.
CMED 03/19 Put 40.50 +3.34 38.47 36.00 581K 775K 39.88
Buy Not Issued. Exploded higher past the key 200 day SMA with the market move higher Monday so we yanked the cable on this one.
CPRT 03/15 Dbl Top 39.52 +0.39 38.55 35.55 664K 1.2M 39.88
Buy Not Issued. Short step higher Monday but that's all CPRT needed to get on our bad side as it broke resistance from the 90 day SMA and 50 day EMA with ease. Dropped it.
CVX 03/19 Put 84.01 +0.80 83.88 79.12 10M 15M 85.11
Buy Not Issued. Quiet move uphill on low trade to tap resistance at the 50 day SMA(84.64) intraday. Short bounce here and from last Friday and once it turns lower to resume the selling from last week we're in.
DIA 03/12 Put 125.34 +2.23 119.80 115.85 15M 17M 121.55
Current. Gapped higher so decided to see if it would test. It didn't, but looking for a tap toward the 50 day EMA before it continues higher. Will use that to exit.
IWM 03/12 Put 69.99 +2.63 65.69 63.45 87M 100M 67.38
Current. Gapped higher and cleared the March peaks. Closed just over the 50 day EMA where it failed three times in Feb. Expect a test of it, and if it holds that is the time to close it.
SDS 03/12 Test 18 61.89 -2.50 66.12 72.50 23M 30M 65.92
Current. Gapped lower as SP500 opened higher. Will give it a chance to test the 50 day EMA as SP500 closed just below its 50 day EMA.
End part 2 of 3
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