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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 03/19 Cup 140.25 -4.81 132.43 149.95 36M 60M 141.89
Current. Lower volume as AAPL was sold back on the 'excuse to sell' session and after gains in 5 of 6 sessions. Will let it test and then buy some more as it holds and bounces.
ABFS 03/18 Flat 31.45 -0.66 32.92 39.65 985K 1.2M 33.18
Current. Continued to fade as oil rose, with volume moving just past average. An early leader, we want to see it hold here and continue higher and we will buy into some more positions.
AIRM 03/21 Test 20 48.78 +0.13 48.40 58.32 136K 300K 47.36
Current. Edged higher on very low volume, slowing down already after a break through resistance on volume. With the market slowing, however, not really a reflection upon AIM and its good reversal.
AKS 03/03 Test BO 52.68 -2.27 55.11 61.38 3.5M 4.5M 52.68
Current. Steel had a tougher session and AKS sold on rising, average trade. It is at the 18 day EMA and the October high so this is where it needs to step up.
AKS 02/19 DB hdl 52.68 -2.27 49.55 58.95 3.5M 4M 52.68
Current.
BCR 03/25 PreAnn 98.85 +1.36 100.11 112.85 597K 1.3M 97.32
Buy Not Hit. Bounced off the 10 day EMA though low trade. Still setting up, still waiting for it to show the breakout.
BNI 03/12 DB hdl 92.38 -1.72 92.08 99.95 2.6M 4.5M 92.68
Current. Transports had their own issues Thursday but the trade was low as it tested back to hold near the 10 day EMA. This is where we want it to hold.
BRKR 03/18 FlyPlat 15.53 +0.03 15.85 19.25 610K 1.1M 14.88
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the low and bounced. Very low trade and still solid in its uptrend above the 10 day EMA.
CAT 03/18 Rev HS 77.03 -0.33 77.32 86.95 7.1M 11M 74.55
Buy Not Issued. Still not able to make the breakaway move yet. Would be best to ease back some here to 76ish and then make the break higher.
CELG 03/24 Flat 60.92 -0.90 61.26 73.55 3.9M 6M 59.68
Current. Gave back some ground on very low trade after breaking through the 200 day SMA. On a test of the 200 day (60.05), if it comes back that far, we will look at adding some positions.
CHT 03/18 FlyPlat 25.57 -0.36 25.92 29.95 2.5M 3M 25.11
Current. A bit more testing toward the 10 day EMA (25.33) on lower, below average volume. Still looking for the next bounce higher.
CHT 01/22 Test BO 25.57 -0.36 21.89 25.95 2.5M 1.2M 24.98
Current.
CNW 03/26 Test BO 48.94 -0.92 50.89 59.65 1.4M 1.9M 48.65
Buy Not Hit. Came on back to test and close at the 18 day EMA on lower trade. Just being patient to let it show us the break higher.
CPST 03/12 Test BO 2.18 +0.09 2.11 3.55 3.8M 5M 1.98
Current. Great volume, and after an intraday test of the 10 day EMA it bounced for a nice gain. Looks very strong.
CSX 03/17 DB hdl 55.46 -1.51 53.85 61.45 5M 7.5M 55.32
Current. Low, below average volume as CSX comes back to test, heading toward the 10 day EMA (54.22). It may pull up and start the rebound before it gets there. Either way we want to take some more positions as it turns back up.
DBC 03/24 Test 50 37.54 +0.41 36.11 41.55 2.4M 1.5M 34.91
Buy Not Issued. Well, after that gap we didn't buy in (it didn't test), and now it is wandering away from us. Will keep looking for a chance to enter but dropping for now.
DNA 03/10 Test BO 80.13 -1.88 81.39 91.39 2.9M 6M 79.97
Current. Great upside Wednesday, then right back down Friday, at least on lower trade. Still in a nice uptrend so letting it ride for now.
ESV 03/04 Cup hdl 62.30 -0.51 62.30 70.95 2.7M 3.8M 61.78
Current. Gapped higher but sold modestly lower on low, below average volume. Just letting it tick higher as long as it will on this recovery.
FDP 03/08 Asc Tri 37.56 +0.04 36.24 41.95 558K 1M 33.98
Buy Not Issued. Started to test but bounced right back. Still likely to test the 10 day EMA (36.69), and if it holds there, that is when we move in.
FSLR 03/25 Cup 227.49 +7.30 223.45 264.95 6.2M 7M 222.32
Current. Gapped higher on rising, just about average volume. It closed well off its high (233), however, leaving it with a tombstone doji. Not going to overthink it, however, and just let it move for us.
GILD 03/07 Dbl btm 49.98 -0.26 49.48 57.95 6.5M 11M 49.48
Current. After that Tuesday jump higher another very modest test, still holding the breakout.
GME 03/26 Cup hdl 54.00 +1.02 54.12 63.95 2.5M 5M 51.91
Entered today. Not a lot of trade, but took a few positions as it moved higher off the 90 day SMA test.
GOOG 03/25 Dbl btm 444.08 -14.11 459.32 499.45 5.8M 8M 447.32
Current. Downgraded and gapped lower, closing just below the 10 day EMA (446) on continued very light, below average volume. Reported fewer clicks and received that downgrade. Despite all of the negatives it did not get trounced, and we are looking for more if it can bounce back strong.
HCBK 03/17 DB hdl 17.74 -0.09 17.53 21.42 9.7M 9M 17.42
Current. Sold back with the financials, but volume was lower and below average as it easily holds above the 10 day EMA (17.54).
IBM 03/05 DB hdl 115.52 -1.39 117.55 133.95 8.4M 12M 116.65
Current. Gapped lower and struggled to hold near the 18 day EMA (115.66). At least volume was lower and it did hold its recent trend higher after the breakout. Thus not getting all rattled about this dip on tech worries.
IMCL 03/05 Cup hdl 42.38 -0.76 44.21 54.94 778K 1.5M 41.68
Buy Not Issued. Selling back to the bottom of the recent range. Will keep watching it but dropping for now out of boredom. Of course that means to watch it closely.
ISRG 03/21 Dbl btm 321.86 -2.11 302.12 348.00 560K 1.5M 293.89
Buy Not Issued. Easing back, still holding the gains after that gap and run on Monday. Seeing how this test pans out and if we can get a new buy point.
KO 03/19 Cup 61.31 +0.16 60.45 67.45 8.1M 13M 59.31
Working laterally over the 90 day SMA on low volume, forming a handle that we can buy into as it makes the breakout.
KWK 02/27 Test BO 35.60 -0.64 34.98 39.95 1M 3M 35.97
Current. Gapped higher but no volume and it could not hold the gain. Lost some ground but quite a recovery and want to see it hold the 18 day EMA at 34.61 on any further test.
KWK 02/05 Test BO 35.60 -0.64 30.78 36.45 1M 3.4M 35.97
Current.
LIFC 03/24 Dbl btm 42.97 +0.21 42.99 49.45 664K 650K 41.04
Current. Gapped higher and ran to 44 but ran out of gas as well on the session. Still very solid in its upside move.
LKQX 03/21 Cup hdl 22.50 -0.34 23.52 28.31 1M 1.9M 21.94
Buy Not Issued. Still testing on low volume, holding over the 18 day EMA as it tests the break higher. Waiting for LKQ to bounce again.
MA 02/09 Rev HS 220.70 -2.15 208.22 239.00 2M 5M 215.32
Current. Low, low volume as MA pauses, loses some ground, but hold up very well after a nice run higher.
NBR 03/11 DB hdl 33.44 +0.29 32.80 37.95 9.9M 8M 32.08
Current. Surged higher to 34 then faded to the close, showing a tombstone doji on the close. After 4 upside sessions it is a bit winded. Note it formed a similar rising star doji just a week ago on the 200 day SMA. Expecting a bit of a test back but a strong breakout should hold it up.
NKE 03/26 Test BO 65.98 -0.29 67.11 77.45 3.8M 6M 65.68
Buy Not Issued. Tried to bounce early but no volume and it faded modestly. Still just waiting for it to finish the test and show the break higher once more.
NUE 03/19 Test 18 69.21 -2.24 72.16 81.95 4.5M 8M 69.97
Current. Sold down to the 18 day EMA on the close on lower, below average volume. Steel had a harder session, but NUE handled it nicely and looks as if it should hold in this vicinity.
NUS 03/24 Test BO 18.46 -0.35 19.08 22.95 226K 600K 18.38
Buy Not Hit. Still testing, still waiting.
ODFL 03/10 Cup hdl 31.95 +0.06 30.36 35.95 523K 840K 31.05
Current. Nice low volume test in progress, holding easily above the 10 day EMA (31.13) as it does so. Very solid.
PCLN 03/21 Asc Bse 118.88 -2.07 127.64 144.95 913K 2.2M 119.92
Current. Still milling around on low volume, closing right on top of the 18 day EMA. In great shape to bounce . . . just needs to do it.
POT 02/09 Rev HS 159.50 -0.60 143.57 162.65 7.2M 7.5M 158.91
Current. Still showing that old POT strength though it did give back a nice gain on the session.
PQ 03/08 Test BO 17.40 +0.37 16.46 19.95 1M 1.1M 16.11
Current. Surged higher again on rising, above average volume, then gave most of it back. Hard to complain, however.
PRGO 03/15 Asc Tri 38.05 +0.95 37.85 43.95 1.4M 2M 36.45
Current. Tested the 10 day EMA and then bounced off of it Thursday. The action we wanted to see though some stronger volume would be appreciated.
PTNR 03/15 Asc Tri 22.40 -0.35 22.99 27.55 151K 325K 22.44
Current. Has tested back to the 18 day EMA (22.24) on lower trade and we are looking for it to bounce from here. Yes, looking for it to bounce from here.
RIG 02/23 Cup hdl 134.09 -1.12 142.88 163.85 7.7M 11M 139.88
Current. Still trying to get back in gear, holding over the 50 day EMA and indeed closing at that level after bouncing higher early in the session. Made a higher low here, now needs to make something of that.
RIMM 03/21 DB hdl 112.15 -6.00 111.25 126.95 25M 32M 115.68
Current. Sold back on rising, average volume as RIMM gave back some of the strong gains of the past week. Held just over the late February peak, so looking for RIMM to hold up in this area and resume the move. As it does, it is a new buy.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 112.15 -6.00 92.30 105.95 25M 32M 115.68
Current.
SCSC 03/24 Rev HS 36.19 -0.76 37.15 42.95 218K 450K 34.55
Buy Not Issued. Modest low volume pullback, still working laterally over the 10 day EMA and just waiting for a stronger break higher.
Current. Gapped lower but did hold over the 18 day EMA (64.87) on the close on lighter, continued below average volume. Steel was sold, but STLD was not sold harder.
STLD 03/05 Cup hdl 65.63 -2.96 63.58 71.55 1.5M 3M 66.91
Current.
SVR 03/21 Test 50 16.71 -0.32 17.30 20.25 365K 645K 16.54
Current. Low volume but faded through the 18 day EMA (16.79). Needs to hold in this range.
URBN 03/26 Test BO 30.54 -0.75 31.65 37.95 3.8M 5.5M 30.69
Buy Not Issued. Continued selling off, giving up the Monday breakout but on very low volume. Okay, just gives us a better entry point as it bounces on volume.
USO 03/25 Test 50 85.73 +0.92 82.41 92.65 4.7M 6M 82.88
Current. Up again as oil continued its rise though it closed off its high at 86.64. Letting it work as high as it will; last peak was at 87.79.
WDC 03/04 Test BO 27.06 -2.41 32.05 37.95 13M 8M 29.81
Buy Not Issued. Dropping as it had a lot of trouble with the tech selling today.
WFR 03/13 Asc Bse 72.81 -8.22 85.31 95.75 14M 6M 92.32
Exited. That was unpleasant. WFR, a strong stock setting up to lead, was pelted.
WFR 02/09 Rev HS 72.81 -8.22 81.09 95.95 14M 7M 82.32
Exited.
XIDE 03/08 Test BO 13.20 -0.24 11.77 14.75 362K 800K 12.55
Current. Stalling out just a bit on lower volume but still a strong trend higher, still well above the 10 day EMA, still letting it work for us.
XTO 03/07 Test BO 60.80 -1.35 61.63 70.95 4.6M 6.2M 60.05
Current. Turned back on lower volume after clearing the mid-month interim peak. Closed above the 10 day EMA (60.29) and that is where we want to see it hold.
YTEC 03/24 Asc Bse 16.90 -0.34 18.24 21.95 83K 325K 16.96
Buy Not Hit. Nice easy and very low volume test of the Monday move continues. Just being patient to let it make the break higher.
ZOLL 03/26 Test BO 27.47 -0.22 27.97 33.95 290K 375K 27.11
Buy Not Issued. Bounced intraday but could not hold the move. Finished showing a hammer doji on the 10 day EMA, a great set up to make the continued break higher.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AET 03/15 Put 43.25 -0.71 43.98 40.25 3.8M 5.8M 45.88
Buy Not Issued. Starting lower off the 18 day EMA test, but volume was quite weak. If it continues tomorrow we will be ready to move in.
AGU 03/19 Dbl Top 64.32 -0.98 63.48 58.11 2.4M 3.8M 66.11
Entered today. Sold off below the 90 day SMA (64.69) then rebounded, but sagged again to close below that key level.
CPRT 03/15 Dbl Top 38.47 -0.43 38.67 35.55 664K 1.2M 39.88
Buy Not Issued. Tried to rally higher but then reversed ground. Not a lot of trade, but if it continues lower it is a buy.
CVX 03/19 Put 84.40 -0.56 83.88 79.12 9.1M 15M 85.11
Buy Not Issued. Rallied up to the 90 day SMA on the high then a big rollover to close lower. No volume on the downside but CVX is still primed to sell off.
DIA 03/12 Put 123.15 -0.77 119.80 115.85 17M 17M 121.55
Current. Sold down to the 18 day EMA on the low but then bounced modestly to close at the 50 day SMA. If it holds here then we have to sell it.
IWM 03/12 Put 69.09 -0.55 65.69 63.45 61M 100M 67.38
Current. Sold off to the 50 day SMA as well on the close. It may sell early on Friday but then if it holds and starts to bounce we need to close it.
SDS 03/12 Test 18 63.41 +0.55 66.12 72.50 23M 30M 65.92
Current. Rallied to tap at the 50 day SMA on the high on still low volume. This is where it breaks on through or stalls; as we think SP500 will hold and bounce, we are looking to sell if the market opens lower but then starts to put in a reversal.
End part 2 of 3
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