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Free Weekend Newsletter

Table Of Contents

1) MARKET SUMMARY

2) PRE-SPLIT PLAY

3) TECHNICAL PLAY

4) COVERED CALL PLAY

5) IPOs


The following Investment Newsletter is provided by the InvestmentHouse.com family of websites which include StockSplits.net, CoveredCall.Com and TechnicalTraders.com.

    
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1) MARKET SUMMARY

Nasdaq takes a shot at the trendline, but cannot hold the move.

- The down trendline stops the advance and lots of dojis out there.
- Economic news scares some about the future of rate cuts.
- Major earnings due this week.
- Getting ready for the next move up.
- Subscriber Questions
- Team Trades

Click Here to read the full text of our Weekend Market Summary. Topics this weekend include: The Economy, The Markets, This Week's Economic Calendar; What To Expect This Week In The Markets and our popular Team Trades column.

2) STOCK SPLITS

Be sure to read our Stock Splits Manual. Playing stock splits can be very profitable, but it takes know-how.

Our stock split service focuses on three main types of plays:

1) pre-announcement (where we forecast an upcoming split prior to the company making the announcement); 2) pre-split (these plays are made in the days leading up to the actual split day); and 3) post-split plays (plays made after the actual stock split where the stock is showing continued or renewed strength).

We play pre-split plays as short-term plays. We get in when the technical indicators show us things look right, grab as much as we can, and get out, always being conscious of resistance and support. These stocks are highly volatile at this time, and can turn on you quickly. Don’t let good profits disappear. Watch for turns, especially when a stock trades in a wide range and finishes off its high. That is a sign these stocks often give you that they are running out of steam. We usually get out and ask questions later. We can always get back in. We like to play in the money calls, preferably two strike prices in the money as this usually gives us a greater delta (the percent an option will mover versus the stock’s movement). We prefer deltas of 75 or better. This means if the stock moves 1 point, the option should move three-fourths of that point. That means up or down.

Remember, wait to see the stock start to move up. Don't just blindly make a play and don’t try to guess tops and bottoms. We can look at indicators to give us a clue as to what will happen, but we need the stock to confirm it for us. Here's a pre-split play to watch and our current analysis.

BOBJ (Business Objects--$59.88; -0.50; optionable): Splits 2:1 effective February 22.
Company Profile
STATUS: Software. Made a fine move this week, but showed a topping sign Friday, coming in with a doji. We will see where BOBJ catches support on a pullback, perhaps at the 18 day MVA, which it tapped at its low Friday of 57.13 (below that, recent lows in the 50-51 range) (the 18 day also appears to coincide with the stock’s down trendline, connecting October and December closing highs). On a move back up, the next level of resistance is the 50 day MVA, at 65.79.
PLAY: A move up after a pullback to the 18 day MVA, with stock (insufficient open interest for options).


Chart by StockCharts.com

3) A TECHNICAL PLAY

TLB (Talbots Inc--$49.94; +0.13; optionable (TLB)): Retail
Company Profile
STATUS: In a short cup with handle (previous high 54), the handle forming on below average volume (334,000; avg. 444,000). The stock closed on a doji on the low volume, above support (10 day MVA 48.61 and 49.50, a price hit 5 times), and looks ready to head up from here after posting the small gain. Handle high is 52. The stock has a high relative strength. The company reported good sales for the Christmas season, without resorting to discounting.
BUY POINT: 52.13, on volume of 666,000 or better.
POSITION: Stock. Too few open interests for the stock.


Chart by StockCharts.com

4) A COVERED CALL PLAY

AGE A.G. Edwards --- $45.31 -- Feb $45 at $2.75 -- downside protection of 6% -- return if above $45 is 6% ...
Company Profile


Chart by StockCharts.com

5) IPOs

Just when it seems that the pipeline of undesirable IPOs must be running dry, another company files to withdraw its proposed offering. The latest firm to surrender to the unmerciful market conditions was Lineo, which withdrew its IPO Friday. In just two weeks this year, 12 companies have already cancelled their IPO plans.

(This IPO story is continued on our website in the IPO Forum.)

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Good Investing! See you right here next week!

Your Friends at
InvestmentHouse.com

For return calculations on our covered call, credit spread or put plays Click Here.

The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Eric J. Aafedt of Online Investment Services, LP., or Jon Johnson of Split Ventures, Ltd. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on the related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Eric J. Aafedt or Jon Johnson may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. Eric J. Aafedt and Jon Johnson do not receive compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter.

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